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AI Earnings Predictions for Nike Inc. (NKE)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-4.80%

$33.53

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-6.62%

$32.89

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-6.31%

$33.00

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $35.22 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q3 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q3 2026 SELL -4.80% -6.62% -6.31% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 SELL -4.96% -6.74% -6.64% 95.2% +4.46%
Q3 2025 SELL -3.40% -5.65% -6.15% 100.0% -8.09%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

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2026
Q3

Q3 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Oct 1, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-4.80%

$33.53

Act: -4.21%

5D

-6.62%

$32.89

20D

-6.31%

$33.00

Price: $35.22 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0000320187-26-000184

EX-99.1

2 q1fy27exhibit991er.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Investor Contact:Media Contact:

Paul Trussell Sandra Carreon-John

investor.relations@nike.com media.relations@nike.com

NIKE, INC. REPORTS FISCAL 2027 FIRST QUARTER RESULTS

•Sport Offense continued to drive momentum across priority sports

•Taking actions to reposition NIKE Sportswear, Jordan Brand, and Greater China

•Announces Pace, an operating model transformation to scale the success of the Sport Offense

BEAVERTON, Ore., Oct. 1, 2026 — NIKE, Inc. (NYSE:NKE) today reported fiscal 2027 financial results for its first quarter ended August 31, 2026.

Executive Commentary

"The Sport Offense is driving measurable progress across our performance business, and we introduced Pace to help us accelerate and scale that momentum across NIKE," said Elliott Hill, President and Chief Executive Officer, NIKE, Inc. "We have more work to do in NIKE Sportswear, Jordan Brand and Greater China, and we're taking deliberate actions to strengthen those businesses the right way for the long-term."

"We delivered first quarter results consistent with our expectations, supported by improved gross margin and disciplined cost management," said Dave Denton, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, NIKE, Inc. "As we move forward, we remain focused on strengthening the health of our product portfolio, improving productivity across the enterprise and allocating resources with discipline to support long-term shareholder value."

Overall Results

•First quarter revenues were $11.2 billion, down 4 percent on a reported basis and down 5 percent on a currency-neutral basis*

•Gross margin expanded 60 basis points to 42.8 percent

•Selling and administrative expense decreased 3 percent to $3.9 billion

•Diluted earnings per share was $0.48

First Quarter Income Statement Review

•Revenues for NIKE, Inc. were $11.2 billion, down 4 percent on a reported basis and down 5 percent on a currency-neutral basis.

◦NIKE Brand revenues were $11.0 billion, down 4 percent on a reported and currency-neutral basis, primarily due to declines in Greater China and EMEA, partially offset by growth in North America.

◦NIKE Brand wholesale revenues were $6.8 billion, down 1 percent on a reported and currency-neutral basis, primarily due to declines in Greater China, partially offset by growth in North America.

◦NIKE Direct revenues were $4.1 billion, down 8 percent on a reported basis and down 9 percent on a currency-neutral basis, due to a 13 percent decrease in NIKE Brand Digital and a 5 percent decrease in NIKE-owned stores.

◦Revenues for Converse were $263 million, down 28 percent on a reported and currency-neutral basis, due to declines across all territories.

•Gross margin expanded 60 basis points to 42.8 percent, primarily due to lower warehousing and logistics costs.

•Selling and administrative expense decreased 3 percent to $3.9 billion.

◦Demand creation expense was $1.3 billion, up 5 percent, primarily due to higher brand marketing expense, reflecting higher investment in key sports events.

◦Operating overhead expense was $2.7 billion, down 6 percent, primarily due to lower wage-related expense and lower other administrative costs.

•The effective tax rate was 22.7 percent compared to 21.1 percent for the same period last year, primarily due to foreign tax audit settlements recognized in the current year.

•Net income was $0.7 billion, down 2 percent, and Diluted earnings per share was $0.48.

August 31, 2026 Balance Sheet Review

•Inventories for NIKE, Inc. were $7.8 billion, down 3 percent, primarily reflecting shifts in product mix.

•Cash and equivalents and Short-term investments were $8.4 billion, down approximately $0.2 billion, as cash generated by operations was more than offset by cash dividends and capital expenditures.

Shareholder Returns

NIKE has a strong track record of returns to shareholders. In the first quarter, the Company returned approximately $610 million to shareholders through dividends, up 3 percent from the prior year.

Recent Developments

Pace is an operating model transformation to accelerate and scale the success of the Sport Offense. The program includes and builds upon the previous cost realignment plan announced in March 2026. Pace includes efforts to modernize NIKE's global supply chain, the establishment of a new campus in India to fuel its enterprise capabilities, a realignment to three geographies, and further streamlining of the organization to reduce costs.

NIKE expects Pace to deliver approximately $2.5 billion in cumulative savings through fiscal 2031, with approximately $1.0 billion of pre-tax charges, primarily consisting of employee-related costs, through fiscal 2031, in addition to approximately $0.3 billion of severance costs recognized in fiscal 2026. NIKE expects approximately $0.3 billion to be recognized in fiscal 2027.

The savings estimate is stated before the expected pre-tax charges described above and any future reinves

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Jun 30, 2026 · 95% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-4.96%

$39.02

Act: +5.03%

5D

-6.74%

$38.29

Act: +4.46%

20D

-6.64%

$38.34

Price: $41.06 Prob +5D: 2% AUC: 1.000
0000320187-26-000076

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2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Jun 23, 2026 · 95% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-4.96%

$39.02

Act: +5.03%

5D

-6.74%

$38.29

Act: +4.46%

20D

-6.64%

$38.34

Price: $41.06 Prob +5D: 2% AUC: 1.000
0000320187-26-000070

SEC.gov | Request Rate Threshold Exceeded

U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

You’ve Exceeded the SEC’s Traffic Limit

Your request rate has exceeded the SEC’s maximum allowable requests per second. Your access to SEC.gov will be limited for 10 minutes.

Current guidelines limit each user to a total of no more than 10 requests per second, regardless of the number of machines used to submit requests. To ensure that SEC.gov remains available to all users, we reserve the right to block IP addresses that submit excessive requests.

The block will be lifted automatically by waiting 10 minutes. Continuing to exceed the SEC’s maximum allowable request rate during the time-out period will extend the duration of the time-out period. To ensure fair access for all users, please reduce the rate of your requests and visit SEC.gov again after the 10 minute time-out period has passed.

For best practices on efficiently downloading information from SEC.gov, including the latest EDGAR filings, visit sec.gov/developer. You can also sign up for email updates on the SEC open data program, including best practices that make it more efficient to download data, and SEC.gov enhancements that may impact scripted downloading processes. For more information, contact opendata@sec.gov.

For more information, please see the SEC’s Web Site Privacy and Security Policy. Thank you for your interest in the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Reference ID: 0.ce06d217.1784466699.b5f77647

More Information

Internet Security Policy

By using this site, you are agreeing to security monitoring and auditing. For security purposes, and to ensure that the public service remains available to users, this government computer system employs programs to monitor network traffic to identify unauthorized attempts to upload or change information or to otherwise cause damage, including attempts to deny service to users.

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To ensure our website performs well for all users, the SEC monitors the frequency of requests for SEC.gov content to ensure automated searches do not impact the ability of others to access SEC.gov content. We reserve the right to block IP addresses that submit excessive requests. Current guidelines limit users to a total of no more than 10 requests per second, regardless of the number of machines used to submit requests.

If a user or application submits more than 10 requests per second, further requests from the IP address(es) may be limited for a brief period. Once the rate of requests has dropped below the threshold for 10 minutes, the user may resume accessing content on SEC.gov. This SEC practice is designed to limit excessive automated searches on SEC.gov and is not intended or expected to impact individuals browsing the SEC.gov website.

Note that this policy may change as the SEC manages SEC.gov to ensure that the website performs efficiently and remains available to all users.

Note: We do not offer technical support for developing or debugging scripted downloading processes.

About Nike Inc. (NKE) Earnings

This page provides Nike Inc. (NKE) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on NKE's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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