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as of 07-27-2026 11:17am EST

$171.18
+$1.57
+0.93%
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Waste Connections is a North American waste management company focused on integrated waste collection services. The firm primarily focuses on residential, commercial, municipal, and industrial waste collection, with a secondary market focus on rural areas. With 113 landfills and 222 transfer stations as of 2024, it is the third-largest waste management company by revenue. Revenue is split among six operating segments: Western, Southern, Eastern, Central, Canada, and Midsouth.

Founded: 1997 Country:
Canada
Canada
Employees: N/A City: WOODBRIDGE
Market Cap: 42.8B IPO Year: 2005
Target Price: $204.21 AVG Volume (30 days): 1.2M
Analyst Decision: Buy Number of Analysts: 19
Dividend Yield:
0.85%
Dividend Payout Frequency: annual
EPS: 2.02 EPS Growth: 74.48
52 Week Low/High: $146.89 - $191.91 Next Earning Date: 04-22-2026
Revenue: $9,466,915,000 Revenue Growth: 6.14%
Revenue Growth (this year): 6.14% Revenue Growth (next year): 6.18%
P/E Ratio: 83.97 Index: N/A
Free Cash Flow: 1.2B FCF Growth: -3.56%

AI-Powered WCN Daily Prediction

Machine learning model trained on 25+ technical indicators

Updated 16 hours ago

AI Recommendation

hold
Model Accuracy: 79.12%
79.12%
Confidence

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated by an AI model and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial professionals before making investment decisions.

Stock Insider Trading Activity of Waste Connections Inc. (WCN)

Shea Patrick James

Exec VP, General Counsel & Sec

Sell
WCN Jun 5, 2026

Avg Cost/Share

$156.26

Shares

7,500

Total Value

$1,171,914.75

Owned After

19,737

SEC Form 4

CRAFT JASON

Executive Vice President & COO

Sell
WCN Jun 5, 2026

Avg Cost/Share

$156.59

Shares

1,500

Total Value

$234,887.25

Owned After

32,861

SEC Form 4

NIELSEN III ROBERT

SR VP Operations

Sell
WCN May 13, 2026

Avg Cost/Share

$151.00

Shares

290

Total Value

$43,790.00

Owned After

4,750

SEC Form 4

MITTELSTAEDT RONALD J

President & CEO

Buy
WCN May 12, 2026

Avg Cost/Share

$152.24

Shares

50,000

Total Value

$7,611,750.00

Owned After

301,017

SEC Form 4

NIELSEN III ROBERT

SR VP Operations

Sell
WCN May 12, 2026

Avg Cost/Share

$153.00

Shares

337

Total Value

$51,561.00

Owned After

4,750

SEC Form 4

HANSEN ERIC

Senior Vice President and CIO

Sell
WCN Apr 30, 2026

Avg Cost/Share

$164.82

Shares

6,000

Total Value

$988,924.80

Owned After

13,350

SEC Form 4

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jul 22, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+3.41%

$173.63

Act: +0.05%

5D

+3.51%

$173.80

20D

+2.84%

$172.67

Price: $167.90 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-085802

EX-99.1

2 wcn-20260722xex99d1.htm

EX-99.1

_

Exhibit 99.1

WASTE CONNECTIONS REPORTS SECOND QUARTER 2026 RESULTS AND

RAISES FULL YEAR OUTLOOK

-Better than expected results drive increase to full year 2026 outlook, with upside from improving commodities and ongoing acquisition activity

-Revenue of $2.562 billion, above expectations and up 6.4%

-Net income of $296.4 million, or $1.17 per share, adjusted net income* of $381.7 million, or $1.50 per share

-Adjusted EBITDA* of $840.1 million, above expectations and up 6.8%

-Adjusted EBITDA* margin of 32.8% of revenue

-Record year-to-date share repurchases of $614.5 million, or approximately 1.5% of shares outstanding

TORONTO, ONTARIO, July 22, 2026 - Waste Connections, Inc. (TSX/NYSE: WCN) (“Waste Connections” or the “Company”) today announced its results for the second quarter of 2026 and raised its outlook for the full year.

“We are extremely pleased to deliver results above expectations, led primarily by strong operational execution driving a top-to-bottom beat in the second quarter.  Most notably, adjusted EBITDA* margin expanded to 32.8% on 70 basis points of underlying margin expansion overcoming cost pressures primarily from rapidly spiking fuel and related costs, as well as ongoing drags from comparatively lower commodity values,” said Ronald J. Mittelstaedt, President and Chief Executive Officer.  "Our outperformance, in spite of ongoing geopolitical instability and the associated uncertainty, is a reflection of our differentiated strategy and a purposeful culture, both of which will continue to set us apart."

“Our achievements in the first half of 2026, with recent commodity values and ongoing fuel cost recovery, plus contributions from acquisitions closed to date, position us to increase our full year outlook to revenue of $10.02 billion to $10.05 billion and adjusted EBITDA* of $3.33 billion to $3.34 billion, with upside from improving trends in commodities and contributions from incremental acquisitions.”

Mr. Mittelstaedt added, “Along with a record amount of share repurchases, we’ve completed acquisitions with over $100 million in annualized revenue and remain well-positioned for another outsized year of activity.  The enduring strength of our balance sheet and free cash flow generation once again demonstrates our ability to fund our growth strategy while increasing our return of capital to shareholders.”

Q2 2026 Results

Revenue in the second quarter totaled $2.562 billion, up from $2.407 billion in the year ago period.  Operating income was $437.6 million, which included $58.5 million primarily attributable to impairments related to adjustments to landfill closure and post closure costs and $7.9 million primarily in transaction-related expenses.  This compares to operating income of $459.5 million in the second quarter of 2025, which included $7.3 million primarily in impairments and other operating items and transaction-related expenses.  Net income in the second quarter was $296.4 million, or $1.17 per share on a diluted basis of 253.9 million shares.  In the year ago period, the Company reported net income of $290.3 million, or $1.12 per share on a diluted basis of 259.0 million shares.

Adjusted net income* in the second quarter was $381.7 million, or $1.50 per diluted share, versus $333.1 million, or $1.29 per diluted share, in the prior year period.  Adjusted EBITDA* in the second quarter was $840.1 million, as compared to $786.4 million in the

-1-

prior year period.  Adjusted net income, adjusted net income per diluted share and adjusted EBITDA, all non-GAAP measures, primarily exclude impairments and acquisition-related items, as reflected in the detailed reconciliations in the attached tables.

Six Months Year to Date Results

For the six months ended June 30, 2026, revenue was $4.932 billion, up from $4.635 billion in the year ago period.  Operating income, which included $138.0 million primarily attributable to adjustments to landfill closure and post closure costs, $9.9 million in transaction-related expenses, partially offset by $1.3 million in fair value changes to equity awards, was $801.6 million, as compared to operating income of $849.8 million in the prior year period, which included $27.5 million primarily attributable to transaction-related expenses and impairments and other operating items.

Net income for the six months ended June 30, 2026 was $515.7 million, or $2.02 per share on a diluted basis of 254.9 million shares.  In the year ago period, the Company reported net income of $531.8 million, or $2.05 per share on a diluted basis of 258.9 million shares.

Adjusted net income* for the six months ended June 30, 2026 was $696.6 million, or $2.73 per diluted share, compared to $626.2 million, or $2.42 per diluted share, in the year ago period. Adjusted EBITDA* for the six months ended June 30, 2026 was $1.610  billion, as compared to $1.499 billion in the pr

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Apr 22, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+2.77%

$160.85

Act: +7.91%

5D

+3.36%

$161.76

Act: +4.63%

20D

+3.20%

$161.52

Act: +0.30%

Price: $156.51 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-046820

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2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 11, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-1.35%

$169.38

Act: -8.22%

5D

-1.34%

$169.40

Act: -3.28%

20D

+0.16%

$171.97

Price: $171.70 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-013370

Waste Connections, Inc._February 11, 2026 0001318220false00013182202026-02-112026-02-11 ​ ​

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

Current Report Pursuant To Section 13 or 15 (d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 11, 2026

Waste Connections, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Ontario, Canada ​ ​ ​ 1-34370 ​ ​ ​ 98-1202763

(State or other jurisdiction of Incorporation) ​ (Commission File Number) ​ (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

​ 6220 Hwy 7, Suite 600 Woodbridge Ontario L4H 4G3 Canada (Address of principal executive offices) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (905) 532-7510 Not Applicable (Former name or address, if changed since last report.)

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Shares, no par value WCN New York Stock Exchange NYSE Texas, Inc. Toronto Stock Exchange

​ Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below): ​

​ ☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

​ ​ ​

​ ☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

​ ​ ​

​ ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

​ ​ ​

​ ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

​ Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐ ​ ​ ​ ​

Item 2.02  Results of Operations and Financial Condition. ​ See Item 7.01 below. Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure. On February 11, 2026, Waste Connections, Inc., a corporation organized under the laws of Ontario, Canada (“Waste Connections” or the “Company”), issued a press release announcing its fourth quarter and full year 2025 results and its full year 2026 outlook.  A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information furnished in Items 2.02 and 7.01 is not deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, is not subject to the liabilities of that section, and is not deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended.

Safe Harbor and Forward-Looking Information

This document contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 ("PSLRA"), including "forward-looking information" within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws. These forward-looking statements are neither historical facts nor assurances of future performance and reflect Waste Connections' current beliefs and expectations regarding future events and operating performance. These forward-looking statements are often identified by the words "may," "might," "believes," "thinks," "expects," "estimate," "continue," "intends" or other words of similar meaning. All of the forward-looking statements included in this document are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the PSLRA and applicable securities laws in Canada. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties. Forward-looking statements in this document include, but are not limited to, statements about expected 2026 financial results, outlook and related assumptions, and potential acquisition activity. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ, possibly materially, from those indicated by the forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, risk factors detailed from time to time in the Company's filings with the SEC and the securities commissions or similar regulatory authorities in Canada.  You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this document.  Waste Connections undertakes no obligation to update the forward-looking statements set forth in this document, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise, unless required by applicable securities laws. ​ Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d)Exhibits.

Exhibit No. Description

99.1 Press Release, dated February 11, 2026, issued by Waste Connections, Inc.

104

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