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AI Earnings Predictions for Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated (VRTX)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+4.04%

$448.31

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+4.44%

$450.04

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+5.40%

$454.18

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $430.90 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q1 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q1 2026 BUY +4.04% +4.44% +5.40% 100.0% Pending
Q4 2025 SELL -3.92% -5.45% -4.07% 100.0% +2.40%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

May 4, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+4.04%

$448.31

5D

+4.44%

$450.04

20D

+5.40%

$454.18

Price: $430.90 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0000875320-26-000171

EX-99.1

2 ex-991_q12026.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Vertex Reports First Quarter 2026 Financial Results

— Total revenue of $2.99 billion, an 8% increase compared to first quarter 2025 —

— Povetacicept program continues rapid advancement: Completed rolling BLA submission for U.S. accelerated approval for povetacicept in IgA nephropathy, following positive Phase 3 interim analysis data; initiated Phase 3 portion of Phase 2/3 study in primary membranous nephropathy and Phase 2 proof-of-concept study in generalized myasthenia gravis—

— Continued progress across broad clinical-stage pipeline, including label expansion of eligible U.S. patient populations for ALYFTREK and TRIKAFTA and completion of U.S. regulatory submission for approval of CASGEVY in children ages 5 to less than 12 years old with SCD or TDT —

BOSTON -- Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated (Nasdaq: VRTX) today reported consolidated financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026, and reiterated its full year 2026 financial guidance.

“Vertex is off to a strong start in 2026, driven by leadership in cystic fibrosis; growth in sickle cell disease, beta thalassemia, and acute pain; as well as rapid pipeline progress,” said Reshma Kewalramani, M.D., Chief Executive Officer and President of Vertex. “CASGEVY and JOURNAVX delivered more than 25 percent of our growth this quarter, underscoring the strength of the increasingly diversified revenue base. As we execute across the commercial portfolio and pipeline and build our fourth franchise in nephrology, Vertex is poised to continue to deliver for patients and create long-term value.”

First Quarter 2026 Results

Total revenue increased 8% to $2.99 billion compared to the first quarter of 2025, primarily driven by the continued performance of cystic fibrosis (CF) therapies and growth from diversification into additional disease areas. In the U.S., total revenue increased 7% to $1.78 billion due to continued strong CF patient demand, including from new initiations of ALYFTREK; higher realized net prices in CF versus the prior year; and contributions from CASGEVY and JOURNAVX. Outside the U.S., total revenue increased 9% to $1.21 billion due to strong CF performance across multiple geographies, including ALYFTREK uptake, increased CASGEVY revenue, and a favorable impact from foreign exchange.

Combined GAAP and non-GAAP R&D, Acquired IPR&D and SG&A expenses were $1.5 billion and $1.3 billion, respectively, in the first quarter of 2026, compared to $1.4 billion and $1.2 billion, respectively, for the first quarter of 2025. These increases were primarily due to commercial investment to support the launch of JOURNAVX in acute pain and the build-out of the renal franchise, led by povetacicept in IgAN.

1

GAAP effective tax rate was 17.7% compared to 11.5% for the first quarter of 2025, primarily due to higher excess tax benefits related to stock-based compensation and lower pre-tax book income in the first quarter of 2025 due to an intangible asset impairment charge.

Non-GAAP effective tax rate was 19.6% compared to 18.8% for the first quarter of 2025.

GAAP net income was $1.0 billion compared to $646 million for the first quarter of 2025, as a result of increased product revenue, partially offset by increased operating expenses and income tax expenses. In addition, first quarter 2025 results included a $379.0 million intangible asset impairment charge.

Non-GAAP net income was $1.1 billion, an increase of $93 million compared to the first quarter of 2025, primarily due to increased product revenue, partially offset by increased operating and income tax expenses in the first quarter of 2026.

Cash, cash equivalents, and total marketable securities as of March 31, 2026, were $13.0 billion, compared to $12.3 billion as of December 31, 2025. The increase was primarily due to cash flows from operating activities, partially offset by repurchases of Vertex’s common stock pursuant to its share repurchase programs.

2

Full Year 2026 Financial Guidance

Vertex today reiterated full year 2026 financial guidance. Vertex’s total revenue guidance of $12.95 billion to $13.1 billion includes expectations for continued growth in CF, including the ongoing U.S. rollout and ex-U.S. launches of ALYFTREK, as well as $500 million or more in revenue from non-CF products, including increased patient infusions of CASGEVY through Vertex’s global ATC network and growth in prescriptions and revenue from the second year of the launch of JOURNAVX. Vertex’s guidance for both combined GAAP and non-GAAP R&D, AIPR&D, and SG&A expenses includes expectations for continued investment in multiple mid- and late-stage clinical development programs and commercialization capabilities, and approximately $100 million of currently anticipated AIPR&D expenses. This guidance also includes an immaterial cost impact from tariffs in 2026 based on currently known tariff rates and regulations.

Vertex’s financial guidance is summarized below:

Cu

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 12, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-3.92%

$446.77

Act: +5.69%

5D

-5.45%

$439.69

Act: +2.40%

20D

-4.07%

$446.09

Price: $465.02 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0000875320-26-000034

vrtx-202602120000875320VERTEX PHARMACEUTICALS INC / MAfalse00008753202026-02-122026-02-12

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) February 12, 2026

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Massachusetts 000-19319 04-3039129

(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) (Commission File Number) (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

50 Northern Avenue Boston, Massachusetts 02210 (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)

(617) 341-6100 (Registrant's telephone number, including area code)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class Trading Symbol Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, $0.01 Par Value Per Share

VRTX

The Nasdaq Global Select Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02.  Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On February 12, 2026, Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated (the "Company") issued a press release in which it reported its consolidated financial results for the three and twelve months ended December 31, 2025. A copy of that press release is attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information set forth in Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liability of that section, and shall not be incorporated by reference into any registration statement or other document filed under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits

ExhibitDescription of Document

99.1Press Release Dated February 12, 2026.

104Cover Page Interactive Data File — the cover page XBRL tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document.

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

VERTEX PHARMACEUTICALS INCORPORATED

(Registrant)

Date: February 12, 2026 /s/ Jonathan Biller Jonathan Biller

Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Nov 3, 2025

0000875320-25-000230

vrtx-202511030000875320VERTEX PHARMACEUTICALS INC / MAfalse00008753202025-11-032025-11-03

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) November 3, 2025

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Massachusetts 000-19319 04-3039129

(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) (Commission File Number) (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

50 Northern Avenue Boston, Massachusetts 02210 (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)

(617) 341-6100 (Registrant's telephone number, including area code)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class Trading Symbol Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, $0.01 Par Value Per Share

VRTX

The Nasdaq Global Select Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02.  Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On November 3, 2025, Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated (the "Company") issued a press release in which it reported its consolidated financial results for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025. A copy of that press release is attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information set forth in Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liability of that section, and shall not be incorporated by reference into any registration statement or other document filed under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits

ExhibitDescription of Document

99.1Press Release Dated November 3, 2025.

104Cover Page Interactive Data File — the cover page XBRL tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document.

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

VERTEX PHARMACEUTICALS INCORPORATED

(Registrant)

Date: November 3, 2025 /s/ Jonathan Biller Jonathan Biller

Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer

About Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated (VRTX) Earnings

This page provides Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated (VRTX) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on VRTX's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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