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AI Earnings Predictions for Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+7.52%

$2.97

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+6.13%

$2.93

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+10.15%

$3.05

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $2.77 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q3 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q3 2026 BUY +7.52% +6.13% +10.15% 100.0% Pending
Q2 2026 SELL -5.45% -7.79% -15.06% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 SELL -6.30% -7.97% -8.96% 100.0% -6.22%
Q4 2025 BUY +4.64% +3.78% +6.26% 23.4% -10.26%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q3

Q3 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Oct 30, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+7.52%

$2.97

Act: -1.08%

5D

+6.13%

$2.93

20D

+10.15%

$3.05

Price: $2.77 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001628280-26-068453

EX-99.1

2 vrrm-20261030xexx991.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

Verra Mobility Announces Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results

•Total revenue of $258.9 million

•Net income of $40.4 million

•Net cash provided from operations of $114.5 million

•Record bookings quarter in Government Solutions, excluding quarter in which we booked the New York City Department of Transportation (“NYCDOT”) contract renewal

•Reaffirming fiscal year 2026 guidance provided August 5, 2026

•Board appointed Matthew Kvarda as Interim Chief Financial Officer

•Update on Commercial Services’ customer contracts

MESA, Ariz., October 30, 2026 /PRNewswire/ – Verra Mobility Corporation (NASDAQ: VRRM), a leading provider of smart mobility technology solutions, announced today the financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026.

Third Quarter 2026 Financial Highlights

•Revenue: Total revenue for the third quarter of 2026 was $258.9 million, a decrease of 1% compared to $261.9 million for the third quarter of 2025. Service revenue decreased 1%, driven by a 14% decline in our Commercial Services segment partially offset by 13% growth in our Government Solutions segment.

•Net income and Diluted Earnings Per Share (“EPS”): Net income for the third quarter of 2026 was $40.4 million, or $0.27 per share, based on 152.1 million diluted weighted average shares outstanding. Net income for the comparable 2025 period was $46.8 million, or $0.29 per share, based on 161.9 million diluted weighted average shares outstanding. The decrease in net income for the third quarter of 2026 was primarily due to decreased revenue and margins.

•Adjusted EPS*: Adjusted EPS for the third quarter of 2026 was $0.36 per share compared to $0.37 per share for the third quarter of 2025.

•Adjusted EBITDA*: Adjusted EBITDA was $103.9 million for the third quarter of 2026 compared to $113.3 million for the same period in 2025. Adjusted EBITDA Margin* was 40% and 43% of total revenue for the 2026 and 2025 periods, respectively. The primary driver of the Adjusted EBITDA margin decline was an approximate 560 basis point decline in the Commercial Services segment profit margin.

•Net Cash Provided from Operations: Cash provided by operating activities increased by $36.8 million from $77.7 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025 to $114.5 million for the three months ended September 30, 2026. Net income quarter-over-quarter decreased by $6.4 million, from $46.8 million in 2025 to $40.4 million in 2026. The aggregate adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities decreased $12.3 million mainly due to decreases in stock-based compensation, deferred income taxes, and an uncertain tax position reserve release. The aggregate changes in operating assets and liabilities increased by $55.5 million in 2026 compared to the prior year period, of which the majority was attributable to a decrease in accounts receivable, partially offset by a decrease in accounts payable.

1

Exhibit 99.1

•Free Cash Flow*: Free Cash Flow was $89.4 million for the third quarter of 2026 compared to $49.0 million for the prior year period. The increase in Free Cash Flow is attributable to the items impacting cash provided by operating activities (as discussed above) and a reduction in capital expenditures.

*Non-GAAP measure; refer to “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” further below for explanatory notes and a reconciliation to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

We report our results of operations based on three operating segments:

•Commercial Services offers automated toll and violations management and title and registration solutions to rental car companies, fleet management companies and other large fleet owners.

•Government Solutions delivers automated safety solutions to municipalities, school districts and government agencies, including services and technology that enable photo enforcement cameras to detect and process traffic violations related to speed, red-light, school bus and city bus lane management.

•Parking Solutions provides an integrated suite of parking software, transaction processing and hardware solutions to universities, municipalities, parking operators, healthcare facilities and transportation hubs in the United States and Canada.

Third Quarter 2026 Segment Detail

•The Commercial Services segment generated total revenue of $100.3 million, a 14% decrease compared to $117.3 million in the same period in 2025. Segment profit was $61.3 million, a 22% decrease from $78.3 million in the prior year period. The decreases in revenue and segment profit compared to the prior year period resulted from a $16.1 million or 20% reduction in rental car companies (“RAC”) tolling revenue, due to the effect of contract extensions entered into with two of our significant customers on terms materially less favorable to us than those of the prior agreement, fleet volume fluctuations with one significant customer, and reduced travel

2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Aug 5, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-5.45%

$5.30

Act: -8.73%

5D

-7.79%

$5.17

20D

-15.06%

$4.77

Price: $5.61 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-335111

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2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

May 6, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-6.30%

$13.42

Act: +2.16%

5D

-7.97%

$13.18

Act: -6.22%

20D

-8.96%

$13.04

Act: -69.90%

Price: $14.32 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-209031

EX-99.1

2 vrrm-ex99_1.htm

EX-99.1

EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

Verra Mobility Announces First Quarter 2026 Financial Results

• Total revenue of $223.6 million

• Net income of $26.7 million

• Net cash provided from operations of $40.8 million

• Reaffirming fiscal year 2026 guidance

MESA, Ariz., May 6, 2026 /PRNewswire/ – Verra Mobility Corporation (NASDAQ: VRRM), a leading provider of smart mobility technology solutions, announced today the financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026.

“We are pleased with our first quarter performance, which reflects a solid start to 2026. We delivered top-line results in line with expectations, with upside in profitability, while continuing to build momentum across our key growth areas,” said David Roberts, President and CEO, Verra Mobility. “We also saw strong bookings in Government Solutions, reinforcing the long-term value and visibility of that segment. As we look ahead, we are well-positioned for continued growth, supported by a robust pipeline and disciplined execution.”

First Quarter 2026 Financial Highlights

• Revenue: Total revenue for the first quarter of 2026 was $223.6 million, an increase of 0.1% compared to $223.3 million for the first quarter of 2025. Service revenue growth was 1%, driven by 4% growth in our Government Solutions segment mostly offset by a 4% decrease from our Commercial Services segment. Government Solutions service revenue growth was driven primarily by $7.5 million in revenue from expansions in speed, red light and bus lane programs outside of the New York City Department of Transportation (“NYCDOT”) contract, partially offset by a $3.4 million decrease in revenue primarily driven by the pricing change, net of installation revenue from new camera installations under the new NYCDOT contract. The decline in Commercial Services revenue was due to lower revenue from our fleet management company (“FMC”) customers due to prior period customer churn. Parking Solutions service revenue increased by $1.0 million compared to the first quarter of 2025, as increased revenue from our software as a service (“SaaS”) product offerings and professional services revenue was offset by a decrease in subscription services revenue related to parking management solutions.

• Net income and Diluted Earnings Per Share (“EPS”): Net income for the first quarter of 2026 was $26.7 million, or $0.17 per share, based on 153.7 million diluted weighted average shares outstanding. Net income for the comparable 2025 period was $32.3 million, or $0.20 per share, based on 162.1 million diluted weighted average shares outstanding. The decrease in net income for the first quarter of 2026 was primarily attributable to an increase in operating expenses, decrease in product sales, partially offset by a legal settlement finalized in February 2026, in which the company received ordinary shares of a publicly traded company based in Australia.

• Adjusted EPS*: Adjusted EPS for the first quarter of 2026 was $0.25 per share compared to $0.30 per share for the first quarter of 2025.

1

Exhibit 99.1

• Adjusted EBITDA*: Adjusted EBITDA was $86.0 million for the first quarter of 2026 compared to $95.4 million for the same period in 2025. Adjusted EBITDA Margin* was 38% and 43% of total revenue for the 2026 and 2025 periods, respectively.

• Net Cash Provided from Operations: Cash provided by operating activities decreased by $22.2 million from $63.0 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025 to $40.8 million for the three months ended March 31, 2026. Net income year-over-year decreased by $5.6 million, from $32.3 million in 2025 to $26.7 million in 2026. The aggregate adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities decreased $7.6 million mainly due to the share-based proceeds acquired from a legal settlement finalized in February 2026, and a decrease in credit loss expense, partially offset by an increase in deferred income taxes and the mark-to-market adjustment on the share-based proceeds. The aggregate changes in operating assets and liabilities decreased by $9.0 million in 2026 compared to the prior year were primarily due to an increase in the net use of working capital, of which the majority was attributable to an increase in unbilled receivables and inventory and a decrease in accrued liabilities, partially offset by a decrease in net accounts receivable and prepaid assets.

• Free Cash Flow*: Free Cash Flow was $9.6 million for the first quarter of 2026 compared to $41.7 million for the prior year period. The decline in Free Cash Flow is attributable to the items impacting cash provided by operating activities (as discussed above) and increased capital expenditures in the Government Solutions segment.

*Non-GAAP measure; refer to “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” further below for explanatory notes and a reconciliation to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

We report our results of operations based on three operating s

About Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM) Earnings

This page provides Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on VRRM's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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