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AI Earnings Predictions for Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+13.65%

$7.93

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+21.14%

$8.45

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+19.36%

$8.33

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $6.98 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q1 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q1 2026 BUY +13.65% +21.14% +19.36% 100.0% +6.64%
Q3 2025 BUY +18.95% +19.38% +18.33% 100.0% +11.31%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jun 16, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+13.65%

$7.93

Act: +0.76%

5D

+21.14%

$8.45

Act: +6.64%

20D

+19.36%

$8.33

Act: -8.56%

Price: $6.98 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-271795

EX-99.1

2 vnce-ex99_1.htm

EX-99.1

EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

VINCE HOLDING CORP. REPORTS FIRST QUARTER 2026 RESULTS

Net Sales Increased 10.5% to $64.0 Million vs. 1Q25

Raises Full Year Fiscal 2026 Guidance

NEW YORK, New York – June 16, 2026 – Vince Holding Corp. (Nasdaq: VNCE) ("VNCE" or the "Company"), a global retail platform, today reported its financial results for the first quarter ended May 2, 2026.

Brendan Hoffman, Chief Executive Officer of VNCE said, “We delivered strong first quarter results that demonstrate the powerful momentum we’ve built is not only sustained but accelerating. Net sales grew 10.5%, with direct-to-consumer up 15.6% and wholesale increasing 5.9% demonstrating strength across our entire business. Our strategic investments in customer experience are paying off, fueling double-digit growth in both new and reactivated customers and supporting healthy full-price selling."

Mr. Hoffman continued, "We’re executing with discipline and precision across our business. The strength we’ve established has carried into the second quarter, reinforcing my confidence in our trajectory. With our strategic foundation firmly in place and a talented team driving product and execution, we are raising our full year guidance and remain focused on driving sustained profitable growth and creating long-term shareholder value."

In this press release, the Company is presenting its financial results in conformity with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP") as well as on an "adjusted" basis. Adjusted results presented in this press release are non-GAAP financial measures. See "Non-GAAP Financial Measures" below for more information about the Company's use of non-GAAP financial measures.

For the first quarter ended May 2, 2026:

• Total Company net sales increased 10.5% to $64.0 million compared to $57.9 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2025. The year-over-year increase was driven by a 15.6% increase in the direct-to-consumer segment and a 5.9% increase in the wholesale segment.

• Gross profit was $32.4 million, or 50.6% of net sales, compared to gross profit of $29.2 million, or 50.3% of net sales, in the first quarter of fiscal 2025. The increase in gross margin rate was primarily driven by approximately 130 basis points due to the favorable impact from higher pricing and 100 basis points due to the favorable impact of lower discounting, largely offset by the unfavorable impact of higher tariffs.

• Selling, general, and administrative expenses were $35.0 million, or 54.7% of sales, compared to $33.6 million, or 58.0% of sales, in the first quarter of fiscal 2025. The increase in SG&A dollars was primarily driven by higher benefit costs as well as marketing and advertising costs.

• Loss from operations was $2.6 million compared to loss from operations of $4.4 million in the same period last year.

• Income tax benefit was $0.4 million compared to an income tax expense of $0 in the same period last year. The benefit is due to the impact of applying the Company's estimated annual effective tax rate to the year-to-date ordinary pre-tax loss.

• Net loss was $2.1 million or $(0.16) per share compared to net loss of $4.8 million or $(0.37) per share in the same period last year.

• Adjusted EBITDA* was $(1.1) million compared to $(3.0) million in the same period last year.

• The Company ended the quarter with 54 company-operated Vince stores, a net decrease of 4 stores since the first quarter of fiscal 2025.

First Quarter Review

• Net sales increased 10.5% to $64.0 million as compared to the first quarter of fiscal 2025.

• Wholesale segment sales increased 5.9% to $32.1 million compared to the first quarter of fiscal 2025.

• Direct-to-consumer segment sales increased 15.6% to $32.0 million compared to the first quarter of fiscal 2025.

• Income from operations excluding unallocated corporate expenses was $12.0 million compared to income from operations of $8.6 million in the same period last year.

Net Sales and Operating Results by Segment:

Three Months Ended

May 2,

May 3,

(in thousands)

2026

2025

Net Sales:

Vince Wholesale

$

32,066

$

30,290

Vince Direct-to-consumer

31,969

27,643

Total net sales

$

64,035

$

57,933

Income (loss) from operations:

Vince Wholesale

$

10,134

$

9,397

Vince Direct-to-consumer

1,847

(800

)

Total segment income from operations

11,981

8,597

Unallocated corporate (1)

(14,628

)

(13,035

)

Total loss from operations

$

(2,647

)

$

(4,438

)

(1) Unallocated corporate expenses are related to the Vince brand and are comprised of selling, general and administrative expenses attributable to corporate and administrative activities (such as marketing, design, finance, information technology, legal and human resource departments), and other charges that are not directly attributable to the Company's Vince Wholesale and Vince Direct-to-consumer reportable segments.

Balance Sheet

At the end of the first quarter of fiscal 2026,

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Apr 15, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+13.65%

$7.93

Act: +0.76%

5D

+21.14%

$8.45

Act: +6.64%

20D

+19.36%

$8.33

Act: -8.56%

Price: $6.98 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-155934

EX-99.1

2 vnce-ex99_1.htm

EX-99.1

EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

VINCE HOLDING CORP. REPORTS FOURTH QUARTER AND FISCAL YEAR 2025 RESULTS

Q4 Net Sales Increased 4.7% to $83.7M

Q4 Net Loss of $3.6M, includes $6M charge related to Saks reorganization; Q4 Adjusted EBITDA of $4.5M

FY2025 Net Sales Increased 2.2% to $300.0M

FY2025 Net Income of $6.4M; FY2025 Adjusted EBITDA of $15.1M

NEW YORK, New York – April 15, 2026 – Vince Holding Corp. (Nasdaq: VNCE) ("VNCE" or the "Company"), a global retail platform, today reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended January 31, 2026.

Brendan Hoffman, Chief Executive Officer of VNCE said, "I am incredibly proud of the strong operating results we delivered in the fourth quarter reflecting the powerful momentum we built throughout fiscal 2025. Our team executed across all areas of the business, delivering nearly 5% sales growth with profitability exceeding the high end of our guidance ranges. The strength we saw in our direct-to-consumer business, with approximately 10% growth, demonstrates the power of our strategic initiatives as well as the quality of our product offering which continues to resonate with customers."

Mr. Hoffman continued, "Our teams have done a tremendous job navigating the current environment while advancing key initiatives - from expanding our e-commerce capabilities and drop-ship program to scaling our men's business and driving a full-price store business. The momentum we built throughout fiscal 2025 has carried seamlessly into the new year. We enter fiscal 2026 operating from a position of strength with a clear roadmap for profitable growth ahead."

In this press release, the Company is presenting its financial results in conformity with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP") as well as on an "adjusted" basis. Adjusted results presented in this press release are non-GAAP financial measures. See "Non-GAAP Financial Measures" below for more information about the Company's use of non-GAAP financial measures and Exhibit 3 and Exhibit 4 to this press release for reconciliations of GAAP measures to such non-GAAP measures.

For the fourth quarter ended January 31, 2026:

• Total Company net sales increased 4.7% to $83.7 million compared to $80.0 million in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024. The year-over-year increase was driven by a 10.4% increase in the direct-to-consumer segment which offset a 1.2% decline in the wholesale segment.

• Gross profit was $41.1 million, or 49.1% of net sales, compared to gross profit of $40.1 million, or 50.1% of net sales, in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024. The decrease in gross margin rate was primarily driven by approximately 300 basis points due to the unfavorable impact of tariffs, 160 basis points due to higher promotional activity, and approximately 125 basis points due to increased freight costs, partially offset by a favorable impact of approximately 380 basis points primarily due to higher pricing.

• Selling, general, and administrative expenses were $44.0 million, or 52.6% of sales, compared to $37.8 million, or 47.2% of sales, in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024. The increase in SG&A dollars was primarily driven by a $6.0 million bad debt expense related to the Saks reorganization.

• Loss from operations was ($2.9) million compared to a loss from operations of ($29.7) million in the same period last year. The year over year decrease in loss from operations is primarily driven by $32.0 million non-cash goodwill impairment charge (the “Goodwill Impairment Charge”) recorded in the prior comparative quarter, offset by the bad debt expense of $6.0 million related to the Saks reorganization. For fiscal 2025, excluding the impact of the bad debt expense, adjusted income from operations* was $3.1 million. For the prior year, excluding the Goodwill Impairment Charge and the transaction

expenses ("P180 Transaction Expenses") related to the acquisition of the Company’s majority stake by a wholly owned subsidiary of P180, Inc., adjusted income from operations* was $2.5 million.

• Income tax provision was $0.5 million compared to an income tax benefit of $2.0 million in the same period last year. The year over year change is primarily driven by a tax benefit taken in the prior comparative quarter due to the reversal of the non-cash deferred tax liability associated with the goodwill impairment, which previously could not be used as a source of income to support the realization of certain deferred tax assets related to the Company's net operating losses.

• Net loss was ($3.6) million or $(0.28) per share compared to a net loss of ($28.3) million or $(2.24) per share in the same period last year. Excluding the impact of bad debt expense in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, adjusted net income* for the period was $2.4 million or $0.18 per share. This compares to adjusted net income* in the prior year period of $0.8 million or $0.06 per share which excludes the Goodwill

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Dec 9, 2025 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+18.95%

$3.89

Act: +3.67%

5D

+19.38%

$3.90

Act: +11.31%

20D

+18.33%

$3.87

Act: +9.48%

Price: $3.27 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-25-311904

8-K

false000157915700015791572025-12-092025-12-09

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): December 09, 2025

Vince Holding Corp. (Exact name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)

Delaware

001-36212

75-3264870

(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

500 5th Avenue 20th Floor

New York, New York

10110

(Address of Principal Executive Offices)

(Zip Code)

Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code: 323 421-5980

(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, $0.01 par value per share

VNCE

The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On December 9, 2025, Vince Holding Corp. (the "Company") announced its financial results for its third fiscal quarter ended November 1, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K.

The information, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, which the registrant furnished in this report, is not deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section. Registration statements or other documents filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission shall not incorporate this information by reference, except as otherwise expressly stated in such filing. Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits.

Exhibit No.

Description of Exhibit

99.1

Press Release of the Company, dated December 9, 2025.

104

Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

VINCE HOLDING CORP.

Date:

December 9, 2025

By:

/s/ Brendan Hoffman

Brendan Hoffman Chief Executive Officer

About Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE) Earnings

This page provides Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on VNCE's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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