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AI Earnings Predictions for Velocity Financial Inc. (VEL)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

-0.61%

$20.29

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+5.94%

$21.62

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+4.07%

$21.24

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $20.41 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

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2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jan 26, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

-0.61%

$20.29

5D

+5.94%

$21.62

20D

+4.07%

$21.24

Price: $20.41 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-021758

8-K

false 0001692376 0001692376 2026-01-26 2026-01-26

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): January 26, 2026

Velocity Financial, Inc. (Exact name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)

Delaware

001-39183

46-0659719

(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

2945 Townsgate Road, Suite 110

Westlake Village, California

91361

(Address of Principal Executive Offices)

(Zip Code) Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code: (818) 532-3700 Not Applicable (Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common stock, par value $0.01 per share

VEL

The New York Stock Exchange

(indicate by check mark)

Common stock, par value $0.01 per share

VEL

NYSE Texas, Inc. Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On January 26, 2026, Velocity Financial, Inc. (“Velocity” or the “Company”) issued a press release announcing certain preliminary unaudited financial results for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and incorporated into this Item 2.02 by reference. The information provided in Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is intended to be furnished and shall not be deemed filed for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any other filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Item 8.01 Other Events. Unregistered Offering of Senior Notes On January 26, 2026, Velocity issued a press release announcing the offering (the “Offering”) by Velocity Commercial Capital, LLC, a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company (the “Issuer), of up to $500 million aggregate principal amount of Senior Notes due 2031 (the “Notes”), subject to market and other conditions. The Notes will be fully and unconditionally guaranteed on a senior unsecured basis by the Company. The Notes will not be guaranteed by any of the Company’s subsidiaries at the time of issuance. The Notes are to be sold only to persons reasonably believed to be “qualified institutional buyers” pursuant to Rule 144A under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), and to certain persons outside the United States in reliance on Regulation S under the Securities Act. The Notes have not been, and will not be, registered under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the securities laws of any other jurisdiction and may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an applicable exemption from registration requirements. This Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.2 attached hereto, shall not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor shall there be any offer or sale of, any securities in any jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2 and is incorporated herein into this Item 8.01 by reference. Forward-Looking Statements This Current Report on Form 8-K includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 as contained in Section 27A of the Securities Act and Section 21E of the Exchange Act, which reflect management’s current views and estimates regarding the prospects of the industry and our prospects, plans, business, results of operations, financi

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Nov 7, 2025

0001193125-25-271180

8-K

0001692376 false 0001692376 2025-11-06 2025-11-06 0001692376 exch:XNYS 2025-11-06 2025-11-06

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): November 6, 2025

Velocity Financial, Inc. (Exact name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)

Delaware

001-39183

46-0659719

(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

2945 Townsgate Road, Suite 110

Westlake Village, California

91361

(Address of Principal Executive Offices)

(Zip Code) Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code: (818) 532-3700 Not Applicable (Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common stock, par value $0.01 per share

VEL

The New York Stock Exchange

Common stock, par value $0.01 per share

VEL

NYSE Texas, Inc. Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 6, 2025, we issued a press release announcing financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. The press release is attached as Exhibit 99 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information provided in Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99, is intended to be furnished and shall not be deemed filed for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any other filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Item 9.01 Exhibits.

Exhibit Number

Description

99

Press Release dated November 6, 2025

104

Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

Velocity Financial, Inc.

Date: November 7, 2025

By:

/s/ Roland T. Kelly

Roland T. Kelly

Chief Legal Officer and General Counsel

2025
Q2

Q2 2025 Earnings

8-K

Aug 8, 2025

0001193125-25-176444

8-K

false 0001692376 0001692376 2025-08-07 2025-08-07

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): August 7, 2025

Velocity Financial, Inc. (Exact name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)

Delaware

001-39183

46-0659719

(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

2945 Townsgate Road, Suite 110

Westlake Village, California

91361

(Address of Principal Executive Offices)

(Zip Code) Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code: (818) 532-3700 Not Applicable (Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common stock, par value $0.01 per share

VEL

The New York Stock Exchange Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 7, 2025, we issued a press release announcing financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2025. The press release is attached as Exhibit 99 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information provided in Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99, is intended to be furnished and shall not be deemed filed for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any other filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Item 9.01 Exhibits.

Exhibit Number

Description

99

Press Release dated August 7, 2025

104

Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

Velocity Financial, Inc.

Date: August 7, 2025

By:

/s/ Roland T. Kelly

Roland T. Kelly

Chief Legal Officer and General Counsel

About Velocity Financial Inc. (VEL) Earnings

This page provides Velocity Financial Inc. (VEL) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on VEL's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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