Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns
1-Day Prediction
-8.48%
$28.82
0% positive prob.
5-Day Prediction
-14.78%
$26.84
0% positive prob.
20-Day Prediction
-19.46%
$25.36
0% positive prob.
| Quarter | Signal | 1D Return | 5D Return | 20D Return | Confidence | Actual 5D |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | SELL | -8.48% | -14.78% | -19.46% | 100.0% | Pending |
| Q4 2025 | BUY | +26.86% | +26.92% | +15.88% | 100.0% | -19.32% |
SEC 8-K filings with transcript text
May 5, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
-8.48%
$28.82
5D
-14.78%
$26.84
20D
-19.46%
$25.36
2 upst991prq12026.htm
Document
Exhibit 99.1
Upstart Announces First Quarter 2026 Results
SAN MATEO, Calif. – May 5, 2026 – Upstart Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: UPST), the leading artificial intelligence (AI) lending marketplace, today announced financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. Upstart will host a conference call and webcast at 1:30 p.m. Pacific Time today. An earnings presentation and link to the webcast are available at ir.upstart.com.
“In Q1, we grew originations 61% and revenue 44% year-over-year - putting us comfortably on track to deliver on our full year outlook. We advanced our AI models, applied for a national bank charter, and grew rapidly in home and auto,” said Paul Gu, Co-founder and CEO. “As I begin my tenure as CEO, my focus is straightforward: build a high-growth, capital-efficient business that delivers strong long-term returns. The application of AI to credit is an unambiguous win for consumers, and we’re proud to be leading the way.”
First Quarter 2026 Highlights
•Transaction Volume: 425,356 loans originated, up 77% year-over-year (“YoY”). Total originations were roughly $3.4 billion, up 61% YoY.
•Total Revenue: $308 million, up 44% YoY. Revenue from fees was $277 million, up 49% YoY.
•Loss from Operations: ($7.5) million, compared to ($4.5) million in Q1 2025.
•Net Loss: ($6.6) million, compared to ($2.4) million in Q1 2025. Diluted net loss per share was ($0.07) compared with ($0.03) in Q1 2025.
•Contribution Profit: $137 million, up 34% YoY. Contribution Margin was 50%, versus 55% in Q1 2025.
•Adjusted EBITDA: $40.5 million, down from $42.6 million in Q1 2025. Adjusted EBITDA Margin was 13%, down from 20% in Q1 2025.
Financial Outlook
For full-year 2026, Upstart continues to expect:
•Total Revenue of approximately $1.4 billion
◦Revenue From Fees of approximately $1.3 billion
•Adjusted EBITDA (Margin % of Total Revenue) of approximately $294 million (21%)
There is no change to the Company’s 2025-2028 targets previously shared on February 10, 2026:
• 2025 - 2028 Total Revenue CAGR: Approximately 35%
• 2028 Adjusted EBITDA Margin: Approximately 25%
Conference Call and Webcast Information
•Live Conference Call and Webcast at 1:30 p.m. PT on May 5, 2026. To access the call in the United States and Canada: 800-330-6710, conference code 7983833. To access the call outside of the United States and Canada: +1 312-471-1353, conference code 7983833. A webcast is available at ir.upstart.com.
•Event Replay: A webcast of the event will be archived for one year at ir.upstart.com.
1
About Upstart
Upstart (NASDAQ: UPST) is the leading AI lending marketplace, connecting millions of consumers to more than 100 banks and credit unions that leverage Upstart’s AI models and cloud applications to deliver superior credit products. With Upstart AI, lenders can approve more borrowers at lower rates while delivering the exceptional digital-first experience customers demand. More than 90% of loans are fully automated, with no human intervention by Upstart. Founded in 2012, Upstart’s platform includes personal loans, automotive retail and refinance loans, home equity lines of credit, and Upstart’s new Cash Line product, a revolving line of credit. Upstart is based in San Mateo, California.
Investors
Sonya Banerjee
ir@upstart.com
Press
Eric Smith
press@upstart.com
This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, including, but not limited to, statements regarding our outlook for the full-year of 2026 and beyond. These statements may include words such as “anticipate”, “becoming”, “believe”, “can have”, “continue”, “could”, “estimate”, “expect”, “intend”, “likely”, “look forward”, “may”, “ongoing,” “plan”, “potential”, “predict”, “project”, “should”, “target”, “will”, “would,” or the negative of these terms or other words and terms of similar meaning in connection with any discussion of the timing or nature of future operating or financial performance or other events that do not relate strictly to historical or current facts. Forward-looking statements give our current expectations and projections relating to our financial condition; macroeconomic factors; plans; objectives; product development; growth opportunities and the sustainability of our business and market position; assumptions; risks; future performance; business; investments; and results of operations, including revenue (including revenue from fees and net interest income (loss)), contribution margin, net income (loss), Adjusted EBITDA, basic weighted-average share count, and diluted weighted-average share count. Forward-looking statements are based on information available at the time those statements are made or management’s good faith beliefs and assumptions as of that time with respect to future events, i
Feb 10, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
+26.86%
$49.58
Act: -15.33%
5D
+26.92%
$49.60
Act: -19.32%
20D
+15.88%
$45.29
Act: -29.76%
upst-202602100001647639false00016476392026-02-102026-02-10
Washington, D.C. 20549
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934
February 10, 2026 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported)
Upstart Holdings, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Delaware 001-39797 46-4332431
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number) (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)
2950 S. Delaware Street, Suite 410 San Mateo, CA 94403 (Address of principal executive offices, including zip code)
(833) 212-2461 (Registrant's telephone number, including area code)
Not Applicable (Former name or former address, if changed since last report)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):
☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each class Trading Symbol Name of each exchange on which registered
Common Stock, par value $0.0001 per shareUPSTNasdaq Global Select Market
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐
Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.
On February 10, 2026, Upstart Holdings, Inc. (“Upstart”) reported financial results for the fiscal quarter and full fiscal year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this report and is incorporated by reference herein.
The information contained in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, is furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section. The information shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any other filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission made by Upstart regardless of any general incorporation language in such filing, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
Upstart is making reference to non-GAAP financial information in both the press release and the conference call. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the comparable GAAP financial measures is contained in the attached press release.
Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits
Exhibit No.Description 99.1Press Release issued by Upstart Holdings, Inc. dated February 10, 2026
104Cover Page Interactive Data File (Cover page XBRL tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document)
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
Upstart Holdings, Inc. Dated: February 10, 2026 By:/s/ Sanjay Datta Sanjay Datta Chief Financial Officer
Nov 4, 2025
upst-202511040001647639false00016476392025-11-042025-11-04
Washington, D.C. 20549
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934
November 4, 2025 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported)
Upstart Holdings, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Delaware 001-39797 46-4332431
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number) (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)
2950 S. Delaware Street, Suite 410 San Mateo, CA 94403 (Address of principal executive offices, including zip code)
(833) 212-2461 (Registrant's telephone number, including area code)
Not Applicable (Former name or former address, if changed since last report)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):
☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each class Trading Symbol Name of each exchange on which registered
Common Stock, par value $0.0001 per shareUPSTNasdaq Global Select Market
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐
Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.
On November 4, 2025, Upstart Holdings, Inc. (“Upstart”) reported financial results for the fiscal quarter ended September 30, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this report and is incorporated by reference herein.
The information contained in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, is furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section. The information shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any other filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission made by Upstart regardless of any general incorporation language in such filing, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
Upstart is making reference to non-GAAP financial information in both the press release and the conference call. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the comparable GAAP financial measures is contained in the attached press release.
Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits
Exhibit No.Description 99.1Press Release issued by Upstart Holdings, Inc. dated November 4, 2025
104Cover Page Interactive Data File (Cover page XBRL tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document)
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
Upstart Holdings, Inc. Dated: November 4, 2025 By:/s/ Sanjay Datta Sanjay Datta Chief Financial Officer
This page provides Upstart Holdings Inc. (UPST) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.
Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on UPST's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.