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AI Earnings Predictions for Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-3.53%

$114.68

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-4.57%

$113.44

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-7.88%

$109.51

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $118.88 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q3 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q3 2026 SELL -3.53% -4.57% -7.88% 100.0% Pending
Q2 2026 BUY +1.18% +4.30% +7.82% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 SELL -3.24% -3.18% -4.00% 100.0% -7.36%
Q4 2025 SELL -3.24% -3.18% -4.00% 100.0% +5.92%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q3

Q3 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Oct 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-3.53%

$114.68

Act: +2.65%

5D

-4.57%

$113.44

20D

-7.88%

$109.51

Price: $118.88 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001758730-26-000143

EX-99.1

2 tw-2026xq3xex991.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Investor Relations

Ashley Serrao + 1 646 430 6027

Ashley.Serrao@Tradeweb.com

Sameer Murukutla + 1 646 767 4864

Sameer.Murukutla@Tradeweb.com

Media Relations

Daniel Noonan + 1 646 767 4677

Daniel.Noonan@Tradeweb.com

Savannah Steele + 1 646 767 4941

Savannah.Steele@Tradeweb.com

TRADEWEB REPORTS THIRD QUARTER 2026 FINANCIAL RESULTS

New York, October 29, 2026 – Tradeweb Markets Inc. (Nasdaq: TW), a global leader in electronic trading across asset classes, today reported financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026.

$584.5 million quarterly revenues, an increase of 14.9% (15.4% on a constant currency basis) compared to prior year period

$258.5 million quarterly international revenues, an increase of 22.4% (23.8% on a constant current basis) compared to prior year period

$3.2 trillion average daily volume (“ADV”) for the quarter, an increase of 22.4% compared to prior year period; quarterly ADV records in municipal bonds

$224.9 million net income and $238.8 million adjusted net income for the quarter, increases of 6.8% and 15.6%, respectively, from prior year period

54.5% adjusted EBITDA margin and $318.9 million adjusted EBITDA for the quarter, compared to 54.0% and $274.4 million, respectively, for prior year period

$0.94 diluted earnings per share (“Diluted EPS”) and $1.02 adjusted diluted earnings per share for the quarter

$0.14 per share quarterly cash dividend declared, a 16.7% per share increase from prior year period

Billy Hult, CEO of Tradeweb:

“Our third quarter 2026 revenue and volumes reflect the strength and breadth of our global, multi-asset platform, with average daily volume increasing 22.4% year-over-year. Against a backdrop of rising Treasury yields, shifting central bank policy and geopolitical uncertainty, we continued helping clients access liquidity and manage risk while investing in opportunities to drive our long-term growth.

Innovation was a constant across our core and frontier markets. We enhanced Tradeweb Ai-Price with more responsive corporate bond pricing, expanded our Saudi debt market offering, and reached new milestones in digital assets, including transactions involving tokenized U.S. Treasuries and fully on-chain repo. These developments underscore our focus on bringing new efficiencies to trading, settlement and collateral mobility.

In October, we announced our agreement to acquire Trumid, the largest acquisition in our history and a significant step forward in our credit strategy. We've always been builders of marketplaces, and this transaction reflects our belief in combining strategic acquisitions with organic innovation. By bringing together Trumid's differentiated trading protocols and hedge fund relationships with our global reach and institutional network, we see significant opportunities to connect trading across the entire bond lifecycle, develop new solutions with our partners and accelerate innovation in global credit markets.

Our strategy remains focused on solving real challenges for clients, expanding our capabilities and investing in the future of electronic markets. We believe this approach positions Tradeweb to capture new opportunities and deliver sustainable, long-term growth across a range of market conditions.”

SELECT FINANCIAL RESULTS3Q263Q25Change Constant

Currency

Change(1)

ADV (US $bn)

(Unaudited)

(dollars in thousands, except per share amounts)(Unaudited)Asset ClassProduct3Q263Q25YoY

GAAP Financial MeasuresRatesCash$603 $535 12.9 %

Total revenue$584,545 $508,598 14.9%15.4 %Derivatives1,345 921 46.0 %

Rates$324,459 $274,497 18.2%18.9 %Total1,948 1,456 33.8 %

Credit$132,990 $121,334 9.6%10.0 %CreditCash191618.9 %

Equities$38,420 $29,829 28.8%29.8 %Derivatives422661.3 %

Money Markets$44,173 $42,889 3.0%3.0 %Total61 42 45.0 %

Market Data$36,872 $30,817 19.6%19.7 %EquitiesCash151226.0 %

Other$7,631 $9,232 (17.3)%(17.3)%Derivatives15144.8 %

Operating Income$253,430 $210,371 20.5%Total30 26 14.4 %

Net income$224,905 $210,549 6.8%Money MarketsCash1,1141,0526.0 %

Net income attributable to Tradeweb Markets Inc. (2) $197,457 $185,636 6.4%Total1,114 1,052 6.0 %

Total$3,153 $2,575 22.4 %

Diluted EPS$0.94 $0.86 9.3%

Net income margin38.5 %41.4 %-292bps

Non-GAAP Financial Measures

(1) Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA margin, Adjusted EBIT, Adjusted EBIT margin, Adjusted Net Income, Adjusted Diluted EPS and constant currency change are non-GAAP financial measures. See "Non-GAAP Financial Measures" below and the attached schedules for additional information and reconciliations of such non-GAAP financial measures.

(2) Represents net income less net income attributable to non-controlling interests.

Adjusted EBITDA (1) $318,854 $274,423 16.2%16.0 %

Adjusted EBITDA margin (1) 54.5 %54.0 %+59bps+25bps

Adjusted EBIT (1) $296,437 $255,546 16.0%15.7 %

Adjusted EBIT margin (1) 50.7 %50.2 %+47bps+13bps

Adjusted Net Income (1) $238,844 $206,529 15.6%15.4 %

Adjus

2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jul 30, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.18%

$98.95

Act: +2.76%

5D

+4.30%

$102.00

20D

+7.82%

$105.44

Price: $97.80 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001758730-26-000132

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2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Apr 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-3.24%

$114.29

Act: -4.12%

5D

-3.18%

$114.36

Act: -7.36%

20D

-4.00%

$113.40

Act: -15.64%

Price: $118.12 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001758730-26-000095

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U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

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For best practices on efficiently downloading information from SEC.gov, including the latest EDGAR filings, visit sec.gov/developer. You can also sign up for email updates on the SEC open data program, including best practices that make it more efficient to download data, and SEC.gov enhancements that may impact scripted downloading processes. For more information, contact opendata@sec.gov.

For more information, please see the SEC’s Web Site Privacy and Security Policy. Thank you for your interest in the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Reference ID: 0.ce06d217.1784386210.ac518ecd

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To ensure our website performs well for all users, the SEC monitors the frequency of requests for SEC.gov content to ensure automated searches do not impact the ability of others to access SEC.gov content. We reserve the right to block IP addresses that submit excessive requests. Current guidelines limit users to a total of no more than 10 requests per second, regardless of the number of machines used to submit requests.

If a user or application submits more than 10 requests per second, further requests from the IP address(es) may be limited for a brief period. Once the rate of requests has dropped below the threshold for 10 minutes, the user may resume accessing content on SEC.gov. This SEC practice is designed to limit excessive automated searches on SEC.gov and is not intended or expected to impact individuals browsing the SEC.gov website.

Note that this policy may change as the SEC manages SEC.gov to ensure that the website performs efficiently and remains available to all users.

Note: We do not offer technical support for developing or debugging scripted downloading processes.

About Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) Earnings

This page provides Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on TW's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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