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AI Earnings Predictions for Tvardi Therapeutics Inc. (TVRD)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-4.51%

$1.81

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-5.22%

$1.80

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-9.67%

$1.72

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $1.90 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

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2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Aug 14, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-4.51%

$1.81

Act: -2.11%

5D

-5.22%

$1.80

Act: -2.11%

20D

-9.67%

$1.72

Price: $1.90 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-096417

EX-99.1

2 tm2623143d1_ex99-1.htm

EXHIBIT 99.1

Exhibit 99.1

Tvardi Therapeutics Announces Second Quarter 2026 Results and

Provides Business Update

Reported topline healthy volunteer results for next-generation STAT3 inhibitor TTI-109, confirming the prodrug design, improved tolerability and reductions in disease-relevant immune cell populations

Announced ulcerative colitis (UC) as the initial disease indication for TTI-109 and will host a

KOL webinar on the clinical potential of TTI-109 in UC on August 19, 2026, at 11:00 a.m. ET

HOUSTON, TX – August 14, 2026 – Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc. (“Tvardi” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: TVRD), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on the development of novel, oral, small molecule therapies targeting STAT3 to treat inflammatory and proliferative diseases, today reported its financial and operating results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026, and provided a business update.

Recent Developments

·Reported topline results from the healthy volunteer study of its next-generation STAT3 inhibitor, TTI-109, confirming prodrug design, improved tolerability and pharmacodynamic evidence of STAT3 target engagement.

oTTI-109 delivered TTI-101-equivalent exposure with improved tolerability and, across the active dose range, reductions in cellular and humoral immune populations known to correlate with UC disease severity.

·Selected UC as the initial disease indication for TTI-109, based on its ability to modulate multiple pathogenic pathways downstream of STAT3 simultaneously.

oIn UC, STAT3 acts as a single convergent node downstream of multiple signaling pathways implicated in disease progression, integrating immune dysregulation, inflammation and tissue remodeling.

oThese findings are further supported by published clinical studies linking reductions in activated STAT3 with higher rates of clinical remission across multiple UC therapeutic classes.

oUC represents a large, underserved market, with more than 1.25 million patients diagnosed in the U.S. and an addressable market of approximately $3 billion in the U.S. and $9 billion globally.

·Announced that the Company will host a KOL webinar on the clinical potential of TTI-109 in UC featuring Randy Longman, MD, PhD (Weill Cornell Medicine) on August 19, 2026, at 11:00 a.m. ET.

Imran Alibhai, Ph.D., Chief Executive Officer of Tvardi, stated, “Since our last quarterly report, we have made significant progress in the clinical development of our STAT3 inhibitors. Regarding our next-generation STAT3 inhibitor, TTI-109, we were enthusiastic to see modulation of disease-relevant immune cell population even in healthy volunteers. We believe this bodes well for the development of TTI-109 in inflammatory and proliferative diseases, like UC.”

Key Upcoming Milestones

·August 19, 2026: KOL webinar with Randy Longman, M.D., Ph.D., on the UC treatment landscape and TTI-109. To register, please click here

·4Q 2026: TTI-101 Phase 1b/2 HCC topline data

·2027: Initiation of clinical trial of TTI-109 in UC, subject to clearance of Investigational New Drug (IND) application and additional funding

Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results

Research and development expenses for the three months ended June 30, 2026, were $4.0 million as compared to $5.8 million for the comparable period in 2025. The decrease was primarily driven by lower clinical costs associated with TTI-101, partially offset by higher development costs associated with TTI-109.

General and administrative expenses were $2.6 million for the three months ended June 30, 2026, as compared to $3.1 million for the three months ended June 30, 2025. The decrease was primarily driven by lower professional fees, reflecting higher accounting and consulting costs in the comparable 2025 period associated with the Company's April 2025 merger, partially offset by higher legal and investor relations costs associated with operating as a public company.

Net loss for the three months ended June 30, 2026, was $6.5 million, compared to net income of $4.2 million for the three months ended June 30, 2025. Net income in the prior-year period reflected a $12.7 million non-cash gain from the change in fair value of the Company's convertible notes, which converted into common stock in connection with the Company's merger with Cara Therapeutics in April 2025.

Basic and diluted net loss per share attributable to common shareholders for the three months ended June 30, 2026, were both $(0.69). Basic net income per share attributable to common shareholders for the three months ended June 30, 2025 was $0.51, and diluted net loss per share for the same period was $(1.00), reflecting the dilutive impact of the Company's convertible notes prior to their conversion into common stock in April 2025.

Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026, were $15.8 million, as compared to $30.8 million as of December 31, 2025. Tvardi anticipates that its existing cash, cash equiva

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K

May 8, 2026

0001104659-26-057524

EX-99.1

2 tm2613977d1_ex99-1.htm

EXHIBIT 99.1

Exhibit 99.1

Tvardi Therapeutics Announces First Quarter 2026 Results and Provides Business Update

Topline results from healthy volunteer study and clinical development strategy for next-generation STAT3 inhibitor, TTI-109, anticipated in June

Topline data from Phase 2 trial of TTI-101 in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) on track for 2H 2026

Cash runway expected to be sufficient to fund operations through clinical readouts and into Q4 2026

HOUSTON, TX – May 8, 2026 - Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc. (“Tvardi”) (NASDAQ: TVRD), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on the development of novel, oral, small molecule therapies targeting STAT3 to treat inflammatory and proliferative diseases, today reported its financial and operating results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026, and provided a business update.

Recent Progress and Upcoming Catalysts:

·TTI-109

(Healthy Volunteer Study): Study ongoing with topline data anticipated in June 2026. The Company plans to announce the clinical development strategy based on these results.

·TTI-101

(HCC – REVERT LIVER CANCER study): Phase 1b/2 trial remains on track to report topline results in 2H 2026.

·TTI-101

(IPF – REVERT IPF study additional analyses): Phase 2 trial showed that TTI-101 was associated with a 9.4% baseline-weighted reduction in fibrosis score compared to 2.4% for placebo. Treatment with TTI-101 was also associated with a 4.5-fold greater decline in IL-6, a central STAT3-driven inflammatory cytokine.

Imran Alibhai, Ph.D., Chief Executive Officer of Tvardi, stated, “We are approaching a key inflection point with topline data from our next-generation STAT3 inhibitor, TTI-109, expected in June. These results are expected to inform our future clinical development strategy.”

“TTI-109 is designed to build on the preclinical and clinical activity observed with TTI-101 while potentially offering improved tolerability through its prodrug profile and enabling broader development across inflammatory and proliferative diseases driven by STAT3.”

“In parallel, we remain on track to report topline data from our ongoing Phase 2 REVERT LIVER CANCER trial in the second half of this year. Prior interim findings demonstrated clinically meaningful activity across treatment settings, and we look forward to evaluating the full dataset.”

“We continue to make significant progress advancing both programs, providing line of sight to two near-term value inflection points,” Dr. Alibhai concluded.

Key Upcoming Milestones:

·June 2026: TTI-109 Phase 1 healthy volunteer topline data and clinical development strategy

·2H 2026: TTI-101 Phase 1b/2 HCC topline data

First Quarter 2026 Financial Results

Research and development expenses for the three months ended March 31, 2026, were $4.9 million as compared to $3.1 million for the comparable period in 2025. The increase was primarily driven by higher TTI-109 developmental costs, partly offset by declining clinical costs associated with TTI-101.

General and administrative expenses were $2.1 million for the three months ended March 31, 2026, as compared to $1.2 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025. The increase was primarily driven by higher personnel costs, including stock-based compensation, and professional fees, including costs associated with being a publicly traded company.

Net loss for the three months ended March 31, 2026, was $6.8 million, as compared to a net loss of $9.6 million for the comparable period in 2025.

Basic and diluted net loss per share attributable to common shareholders for the three months ended March 31, 2026, were a net loss of $(0.73), compared to a net loss of $(3.72) for the comparable period in 2025.

Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments as of March 31, 2026, were $25.0 million, as compared to $30.8 million as of December 31, 2025. Tvardi anticipates that its current cash runway is sufficient to fund operations, as currently planned, through clinical readouts and into the fourth quarter of 2026.

About Tvardi Therapeutics

Tvardi is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on the

development of novel, oral small molecule therapies targeting STAT3 to treat inflammatory and proliferative diseases with significant unmet need. STAT3 is a central mediator across critical signaling pathways that drive uncontrolled, proliferation, survival and immune dysregulation. STAT3 is also positioned at the intersection of many signaling pathways integral to the survival and immune evasion of cancer cells. The company is conducting clinical trials with TTI-109 in healthy volunteers and TTI-101 in hepatocellular carcinoma (NCT05440708). To learn more, please visit tvarditherapeutics.com or follow us on LinkedIn and X (Twitter).

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-looking Statements

Statements contained in this press release regarding matters that are not historical facts are “forward-looking statements” within the

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K

Mar 31, 2026

0001104659-26-037724

EX-99.1

2 tm2610603d1_ex99-1.htm

EXHIBIT 99.1

Exhibit 99.1

Tvardi Therapeutics Announces Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Results and Provides Business Update

Results from healthy volunteer study of next-generation STAT3 inhibitor, TTI-109, on track for Q2 2026

Topline data from Phase 2 trial of TTI-101 in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are anticipated in H2 2026

Cash runway expected to be sufficient to fund operations into Q4 2026 after clinical readouts

HOUSTON, TX – March 31, 2026 - Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc. (“Tvardi”) (NASDAQ: TVRD), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on the development of novel, oral, small molecule therapies targeting STAT3 to treat inflammatory and proliferative diseases, today announced its financial and operating results for the fourth quarter and full-year ended December 31, 2025, and provided a business update.

Recent Highlights:

·Additional analysis from the REVERT IPF Phase 2 trial demonstrated that TTI-101 was associated with a 9.4% baseline-weighted reduction in fibrosis score compared to 2.4% for placebo, as well as a 4.5-fold greater decline in IL-6, a central STAT3-driven inflammatory cytokine. These findings are consistent with preclinical data demonstrating reductions in established fibrosis and inflammatory signaling across multiple validated disease models.

·The healthy volunteer study of its next-generation STAT3 inhibitor, TTI-109, is ongoing, with topline data anticipated in the second quarter of 2026.

·The ongoing Phase 1b/2 REVERT LIVER CANCER trial will report topline results in the second half of 2026 to allow the data additional time to mature. This timing adjustment is intended to enhance the depth of insights gleaned from the program, including longitudinal and translational assessments, characterization of durability and dose optimization (including the addition of up to 15 participants in the monotherapy arm to explore once-a-day dosing), to better inform subsequent development and regulatory strategy.

Imran Alibhai, Ph.D., Chief Executive Officer of Tvardi, stated, “We entered 2026 with line-of-site to two significant clinical milestones: 1) healthy volunteer data from our next-generation STAT3 inhibitor, TTI-109, in the second quarter of this year, and 2) topline data from our ongoing Phase 2 trial of TTI-101 in HCC, which we anticipate in the second half.”

“Further analysis of data from our Phase 2 IPF trial of TTI-101 that we announced in October revealed compelling trends. These data give us optimism for TTI-109, which has been developed to enhance TTI-101’s ability to target STAT3 as a more efficient delivery vehicle with the potential to improve tolerability.”

“At the same time, we eagerly await data from our ongoing Phase 2 REVERT LIVER CANCER trial, with a data readout expected in the second half of this year to allow for further data maturation. Interim results from this study have already shown clinically meaningful activity of TTI-101 both as monotherapy and in combination with established anti-cancer agents across treatment lines, and we believe the broader dataset will better position us to define the optimal development path and regulatory strategy for this important program.”

“I believe we are well positioned to continue to advance these promising molecules, potentially offering new hope to patients requiring new, more effective treatment options while creating enduring value for our company,” Dr. Alibhai concluded.

Upcoming Milestones:

·Preliminary topline data from a healthy volunteer study of the company’s next-generation STAT3 inhibitor, TTI-109, anticipated in the second quarter of 2026

·Preliminary topline data from the company’s ongoing REVERT LIVER CANCER Phase 1b/2 clinical trial of TTI-101, anticipated in the second half of 2026

Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Financial Results

Research and development expenses for the three months ended December 31, 2025, were $5.5 million as compared to $8.6 million for the comparable period in 2024. For the full year 2025, research and development expenses were $18.0 million, as compared to $23.7 million for the full year 2024. The decrease was primarily driven by declining clinical costs associated with TTI-101 offset by an increase in TTI-109 developmental costs.

General and administrative expenses were $2.1 million for the three months ended December 31, 2025, as compared to $2.2 million for the three months ended December 31, 2024. For the full year 2025, general and administrative expenses were $8.7 million, as compared to $4.5 million for the full year 2024. The increase was primarily driven by increases in professional fees, attributable to increased legal, accounting and audit fees incurred as a result of the merger with Cara Therapeutics and subsequent filings as a public company.

Net loss for the three months ended December 31, 2025, was $7.3 million, as compared to a net loss of $12.7 million for the comparable period in 2024. For the full year

About Tvardi Therapeutics Inc. (TVRD) Earnings

This page provides Tvardi Therapeutics Inc. (TVRD) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on TVRD's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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