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AI Earnings Predictions for Tootsie Roll Industries Inc. (TR)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-1.26%

$36.60

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-4.21%

$35.51

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-1.17%

$36.64

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $37.07 Confidence: 99.6% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q3 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q3 2026 SELL -1.26% -4.21% -1.17% 99.6% Pending
Q2 2026 BUY +1.16% +1.96% +4.79% 98.7% +3.88%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q3

Q3 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Oct 22, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-1.26%

$36.60

Act: -6.16%

5D

-4.21%

$35.51

20D

-1.17%

$36.64

Price: $37.07 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-118027

EX-99.1

2 tr-ex99d1.htm

EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

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TOOTSIE ROLL INDUSTRIES, INC.

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7401 South Cicero Avenue

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Chicago, IL 60629

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Phone 773/838-3400

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Fax 773/838-3534

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PRESS RELEASE

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STOCK TRADED: NYSE

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

TICKER SYMBOL: TR

Wednesday, October 21, 2026

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CHICAGO, ILLINOIS – October 21, 2026 - Ellen R. Gordon, Chairman, Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. reported third quarter and nine months 2026 net sales and net earnings.

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Third quarter 2026 net sales were $227,163,000 compared to $230,614,000 in third quarter 2025, a decrease of $3,451,000 or 1%. Third quarter 2026 net earnings were $23,216,000 compared to $35,659,000 in third quarter 2025, and net earnings per share were $0.31 and $0.48 in third quarter 2026 and 2025, respectively, a decrease of $0.17 per share or 35%.

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Nine months 2026 net sales were $528,594,000 compared to $530,325,000 in nine months 2025, a decrease of $1,731,000. Nine months 2026 net earnings were $54,224,000 compared to $71,261,000 in nine months 2025, and net earnings per share were $0.72 and $0.95 in nine months 2026 and 2025, respectively, a decrease of $0.23 per share or 24%.

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Mrs. Gordon said, “Third quarter and nine months 2026 were adversely impacted by the timing of sales, including seasonal Halloween sales, between third and fourth quarter 2026 when compared to the prior year’s corresponding quarterly periods. We are focused on the long term and are continuing our higher support levels of our brands with increased trade promotions, as well as advertising. Because trade promotions are accounted for as a reduction in reported net sales, these higher levels of trade promotions had some adverse effects on our reported net sales for third quarter and nine months 2026.

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In addition to the timing impact of sales between the third and fourth quarters as discussed above, third quarter and nine months 2026 gross margins were adversely affected by higher unit costs for ingredients, primarily cocoa and chocolate, and packaging materials. However, our cocoa and chocolate costs were more favorable in third quarter 2026 compared to first half 2026 and we expect this to continue in fourth quarter 2026. Cocoa commodities markets have retreated from their extraordinarily high price levels in 2025 but remain well above historical levels. Higher energy costs have driven increases in unit costs for resin-based packaging materials which contributed to higher packaging costs primarily beginning in third quarter 2026. Increased costs, including the effects of inflation, for plant labor and benefits, maintenance, and supplies also had an adverse effect on margins in third quarter and nine months 2026 compared to the corresponding periods in the prior year.

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During third quarter and nine months 2026, elevated energy costs also contributed to significant increases in freight and delivery expenses, reflecting higher fuel surcharges driven by the increase in cost of diesel fuel. This cost increase accelerated in third quarter 2026 and we expect freight and delivery costs to remain elevated through fourth quarter 2026 and likely into 2027. Although the Company continues to monitor its input costs, we are mindful of the effects and limits when passing on higher input costs to our customers as well as the final consumers of our products.

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The Company is continuing its higher support levels of its brands this year with increased advertising as well as higher trade promotions as discussed above. The Company’s advertising was significantly increased and concentrated in the third quarter this year. As a result, third quarter and nine months 2026 reflect significantly higher advertising expense compared to the corresponding periods in the prior year.

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On September 1, 2026, the Company acquired a confectionery business principally comprising the Winis brand which is manufactured and sold in Mexico. Management believes that this product line will be complementary to its existing Mexican subsidiary’s confectionery business which manufactures and sells products under the Tutsi brand. The sales and operating results of this acquisition were not material to the reported consolidated sales and operating results for the third quarter and nine months 2026. During third quarter and nine months 2026, the Company recognized approximately $1,300,000 and $2,500,000, respectively, of acquisition related expenses, which had an adverse effect on 2026 reported results when compared to the prior year corresponding periods.

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Third quarter and nine months 2026 net earnings did benefit from some tariff refund recoveries. However, investment income in third quarter and nine months 2026 from the Company’s investments in marketable securities is lower compared to the comparable periods in the prior year. Third quarter and nine months 2025 includes a favorable cumulative adjustment to record bond accretion not previously reported on certain bonds purchased

2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jul 23, 2026 · 99% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.16%

$38.36

Act: -1.05%

5D

+1.96%

$38.66

Act: +3.88%

20D

+4.79%

$39.74

Price: $37.92 Prob +5D: 99% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-086127

Transcript text not available. View on SEC.gov →

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K

Apr 23, 2026

0001104659-26-047445

Transcript text not available. View on SEC.gov →

About Tootsie Roll Industries Inc. (TR) Earnings

This page provides Tootsie Roll Industries Inc. (TR) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on TR's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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