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AI Earnings Predictions for Triumph Financial Inc. (TFIN)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-7.44%

$73.30

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-7.75%

$73.05

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-10.35%

$70.99

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $79.19 Confidence: 99.9% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Jul 21, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-7.44%

$73.30

Act: +2.39%

5D

-7.75%

$73.05

Act: -2.66%

20D

-10.35%

$70.99

Price: $79.19 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001539638-26-000028

tfin-20260721

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UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(D)

OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): July 21, 2026

TRIUMPH FINANCIAL, INC.

(Exact name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)

Texas

(State or Other Jurisdiction

of Incorporation)

001-36722

(Commission

File Number)

20-0477066

(IRS Employer

Identification No.)

12700 Park Central Drive, Suite 1700

Dallas, Texas

(Address of Principal Executive Offices)

75251

(Zip Code)

(214) 365-6900

(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instructions A.2. below):

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2b)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4c)

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ¨

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered

Common stock, par value $0.01 per shareTFINThe New York Stock Exchange

NYSE Texas

Depositary Shares Each Representing a 1/40th Interest in a Share of 7.125% Series C Fixed-Rate Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred StockTFIN PRThe New York Stock Exchange

Item 2.02.Results of Operations and Financial Condition

On July 21, 2026, Triumph Financial, Inc. (the “Company”) announced its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026 in its letter to shareholders attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. Exhibit 99.1 includes certain non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of those measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures is included as a table in the letter to shareholders. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall be considered furnished for purposes of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), and shall not be deemed “filed” for any purpose.

Forward-Looking Statements

This Current Report on Form 8-K contains forward-looking statements. Any statements about our expectations, beliefs, plans, predictions, forecasts, objectives, assumptions or future events or performance are not historical facts and may be forward-looking. You can identify forward-looking statements by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “believes,” “expects,” “could,” “may,” “will,” “should,” “seeks,” “likely,” “intends,” “plans,” “pro forma,” “projects,” “estimates” or “anticipates” or the negative of these words and phrases or similar words or phrases that are predictions of or indicate future events or trends and that do not relate solely to historical matters. You can also identify forward-looking statements by discussions of strategy, plans or intentions. Forward-looking statements involve numerous risks and uncertainties and you should not rely on them as predictions of future events. Forward-looking statements depend on assumptions, data or methods that may be incorrect or imprecise and we may not be able to realize them. We do not guarantee that the transactions and events described will happen as described (or that they will happen at all). The following factors, among others, could cause actual results and future events to differ materially from those set forth or contemplated in the forward-looking statements: business and economic conditions generally and in the bank and non-bank financial services industries, nationally and within our local market areas; our ability to mitigate our risk exposures; our ability to maintain our historical earnings trends; changes in management personnel; interest rate risk; concentration of our products and services in the transportation industry; credit risk associated with our loan portfolio; lack of seasoning in our loan portfolio; d

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K

Apr 21, 2026

0001539638-26-000014

tfin-20260421

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UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(D)

OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): April 21, 2026

TRIUMPH FINANCIAL, INC.

(Exact name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)

Texas

(State or Other Jurisdiction

of Incorporation)

001-36722

(Commission

File Number)

20-0477066

(IRS Employer

Identification No.)

12700 Park Central Drive, Suite 1700

Dallas, Texas

(Address of Principal Executive Offices)

75251

(Zip Code)

(214) 365-6900

(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instructions A.2. below):

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2b)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4c)

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ¨

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered

Common stock, par value $0.01 per shareTFINThe New York Stock Exchange

NYSE Texas

Depositary Shares Each Representing a 1/40th Interest in a Share of 7.125% Series C Fixed-Rate Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred StockTFIN PRThe New York Stock Exchange

Item 2.02.Results of Operations and Financial Condition

On April 21, 2026, Triumph Financial, Inc. (the “Company”) announced its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026 in its letter to shareholders attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. Exhibit 99.1 includes certain non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of those measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures is included as a table in the letter to shareholders. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall be considered furnished for purposes of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), and shall not be deemed “filed” for any purpose.

Forward-Looking Statements

This Current Report on Form 8-K contains forward-looking statements. Any statements about our expectations, beliefs, plans, predictions, forecasts, objectives, assumptions or future events or performance are not historical facts and may be forward-looking. You can identify forward-looking statements by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “believes,” “expects,” “could,” “may,” “will,” “should,” “seeks,” “likely,” “intends,” “plans,” “pro forma,” “projects,” “estimates” or “anticipates” or the negative of these words and phrases or similar words or phrases that are predictions of or indicate future events or trends and that do not relate solely to historical matters. You can also identify forward-looking statements by discussions of strategy, plans or intentions. Forward-looking statements involve numerous risks and uncertainties and you should not rely on them as predictions of future events. Forward-looking statements depend on assumptions, data or methods that may be incorrect or imprecise and we may not be able to realize them. We do not guarantee that the transactions and events described will happen as described (or that they will happen at all). The following factors, among others, could cause actual results and future events to differ materially from those set forth or contemplated in the forward-looking statements: business and economic conditions generally and in the bank and non-bank financial services industries, nationally and within our local market areas; our ability to mitigate our risk exposures; our ability to maintain our historical earnings trends; changes in management personnel; interest rate risk; concentration of our products and services in the transportation industry; credit risk associated with our loan portfolio; lack of seasoning in our loan portfolio

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K

Jan 26, 2026

0001539638-26-000004

tfin-20260126

FALSE0001539638CHX00015396382026-01-262026-01-260001539638us-gaap:CommonStockMemberexch:XNYS2026-01-262026-01-260001539638us-gaap:CommonStockMemberexch:XCHI2026-01-262026-01-260001539638us-gaap:SeriesCPreferredStockMemberexch:XNYS2026-01-262026-01-26

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(D)

OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): January 26, 2026

TRIUMPH FINANCIAL, INC.

(Exact name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)

Texas

(State or Other Jurisdiction

of Incorporation)

001-36722

(Commission

File Number)

20-0477066

(IRS Employer

Identification No.)

12700 Park Central Drive, Suite 1700

Dallas, Texas

(Address of Principal Executive Offices)

75251

(Zip Code)

(214) 365-6900

(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instructions A.2. below):

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2b)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4c)

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ¨

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered

Common stock, par value $0.01 per shareTFINThe New York Stock Exchange

NYSE Texas

Depositary Shares Each Representing a 1/40th Interest in a Share of 7.125% Series C Fixed-Rate Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred StockTFIN PRThe New York Stock Exchange

Item 2.02.Results of Operations and Financial Condition

On January 26, 2026, Triumph Financial, Inc. (the “Company”) announced its financial results for the quarter ended December 31, 2025 in its letter to shareholders attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. Exhibit 99.1 includes certain non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of those measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures is included as a table in the letter to shareholders. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall be considered furnished for purposes of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), and shall not be deemed “filed” for any purpose.

Forward-Looking Statements

This Current Report on Form 8-K contains forward-looking statements. Any statements about our expectations, beliefs, plans, predictions, forecasts, objectives, assumptions or future events or performance are not historical facts and may be forward-looking. You can identify forward-looking statements by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “believes,” “expects,” “could,” “may,” “will,” “should,” “seeks,” “likely,” “intends,” “plans,” “pro forma,” “projects,” “estimates” or “anticipates” or the negative of these words and phrases or similar words or phrases that are predictions of or indicate future events or trends and that do not relate solely to historical matters. You can also identify forward-looking statements by discussions of strategy, plans or intentions. Forward-looking statements involve numerous risks and uncertainties and you should not rely on them as predictions of future events. Forward-looking statements depend on assumptions, data or methods that may be incorrect or imprecise and we may not be able to realize them. We do not guarantee that the transactions and events described will happen as described (or that they will happen at all). The following factors, among others, could cause actual results and future events to differ materially from those set forth or contemplated in the forward-looking statements: business and economic conditions generally and in the bank and non-bank financial services industries, nationally and within our local market areas; our ability to mitigate our risk exposures; our ability to maintain our historical earnings trends; changes in management personnel; interest rate risk; concentration of our products and services in the transportation industry; credit risk associated with our loan portfolio; lack of seasoning in our loan po

About Triumph Financial Inc. (TFIN) Earnings

This page provides Triumph Financial Inc. (TFIN) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on TFIN's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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