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AI Earnings Predictions for Stanley Black & Decker Inc. (SWK)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+1.28%

$94.24

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+4.21%

$96.97

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+3.76%

$96.55

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $93.05 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 BUY +1.28% +4.21% +3.76% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 BUY +1.06% +3.89% +3.68% 100.0% +6.77%
Q4 2025 SELL -0.43% -5.61% -3.82% 100.0% +6.97%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

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2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jul 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.28%

$94.24

Act: +2.69%

5D

+4.21%

$96.97

20D

+3.76%

$96.55

Price: $93.05 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0000093556-26-000028

EX-99.1

2 ex991q22026.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

Stanley Black & Decker Reports Solid 2Q 2026 Results

On Track to Achieve Full Year Sales and Margin Targets

2Q Earnings and Margin Growth Include Benefit from Tariff Refunds

Raises 2026 EPS and Free Cash Flow Guidance

Reduced Debt by $1.7B and Executed $250M of Share Repurchases in 2Q

New Britain, Connecticut, July 29, 2026 … Stanley Black & Decker (NYSE: SWK), a global leader in tools and outdoor solutions, today announced second quarter 2026 financial results.

Second Quarter 2026 Highlights

•Net sales of $4.0 billion, in-line with prior year and up 3% on an organic basis*

•Gross margin of 33.0%, up 600 basis points versus prior year; adjusted gross margin* of 33.7%, up 620 basis points versus prior year; both included a benefit of roughly 250 basis points from net tariff refunds1

•EPS of $2.33; adjusted EPS* of $1.57; both included a benefit of approximately $0.17 from net tariff refunds1

•Cash from operating activities was $763 million and free cash flow* was $698 million

•Successfully completed the sale of Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing (‘CAM’) in April, which supported debt reduction and capital allocation priorities including share repurchases

Chris Nelson, Stanley Black & Decker's President & CEO, commented, “The Stanley Black & Decker team is committed to executing our strategy and delivering profitable, organic growth. Our second quarter sales, gross margin, and cash performance keep us firmly on track to achieve our full-year targets2. We further strengthened the balance sheet and executed on our capital deployment strategy. In addition, the tariff refunds are supporting incremental growth investments.

“We are confident in our path forward and our ability to navigate the external environment to deliver our long-term financial goals. Through disciplined execution of our strategic priorities, we are strengthening Stanley Black & Decker’s ability to deliver sustainable, profitable growth and create long-term value for our shareholders.”

1 Includes IEEPA tariff refund gain partially offset by directly attributable variable incentive compensation costs, growth investments, and taxes (for EPS only)

2 Refer to “2026 Guidance” on page 3 for further discussion and details of underlying planning assumptions

* Non-GAAP financial measure as further defined on page 5

1

Exhibit 99.1

2Q 2026 Results (all comparisons versus prior year)

•Net sales of $4.0 billion, in-line with prior year, as higher volume (+3%) and currency tailwinds (+1%) were offset by the CAM divestiture and the previously announced strategic transition to a licensing model for the gas walk-behind outdoor products. Pricing was flat. The volume strength was primarily driven by U.S. retail and commercial and industrial (‘C&I’) channels in Tools & Outdoor.

•Gross margin of 33.0%, up 600 basis points; Adjusted gross margin* of 33.7%, up 620 basis points; both included an approximate 250 basis point benefit from net tariff refunds1.

•SG&A expenses of 23.9% of sales, up 180 basis points; Adjusted SG&A expenses* of 23.9%, up 310 basis points; both increases were predominantly due to incremental costs and investments tied to tariff refunds received.

•The tax rate was 29.6% and the adjusted tax rate* was 15.1%.

•Net earnings were 8.9% of sales, an increase of 630 basis points. EBITDA margin* was 17.4%, an increase of 1140 basis points, and adjusted EBITDA margin* was 11.3%, an increase of 320 basis points.

2Q 2026 Segment Results

($ in M)SalesSegment Profit Charges3 Adj. Segment Profit*Segment MarginAdj. Segment Margin*

Tools & Outdoor$3,564$389.0$30.5$419.510.9%11.8%

Engineered Fastening$396$51.6$0.1$51.713.0%13.0%

3 See Non-GAAP adjustments on page 14.

Tools & Outdoor net sales were up 3% year over year, as higher volume (+3%) and currency tailwinds (+1%) were partially offset by the previously announced strategic transition to a licensing model for the gas walk-behind outdoor products (-1%). Pricing was flat. Organic revenue* increased 3%, primarily driven by power tools strength in U.S. retail and C&I channels. North America sales were up 3% on a total basis and up 4% organically*, Europe was flat on a total basis and down 2% organically*, while the Rest of World was up 8% on a total basis and up 3% organically*. The Tools & Outdoor segment margin was 10.9%, up 400 basis points year over year. Adjusted segment margin* was 11.8%, up 380 basis points year over year. Segment margin improvement reflected net productivity gains and

1 Includes IEEPA tariff refund gain partially offset by directly attributable variable incentive compensation costs, growth investments, and taxes (for EPS only)

* Non-GAAP financial measure as further defined on page 5

2

Exhibit 99.1

favorable product mix. In addition, the net tariff refunds1 raised segment margin by approximately 150 basis points.

Engineered Fastening net sales were down 18% year over year, due to the CAM div

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Apr 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.06%

$76.70

Act: +2.99%

5D

+3.89%

$78.84

Act: +6.77%

20D

+3.68%

$78.68

Act: +4.45%

Price: $75.89 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0000093556-26-000013

EX-99.1

2 ex991q12026.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

Stanley Black & Decker Reports Strong 1Q 2026 Results

Sales, Margin, and Cash1 On-Track to Achieve Full Year Targets

2Q’26 Aerospace Fasteners Sale Delivers ~$1.6B Net Proceeds;

Bolsters Balance Sheet and Fuels Capital Deployment

Raises 2026 GAAP EPS Guidance on Expected 2Q’26 CAM Gain;

Reaffirms 2026 Adjusted EPS Guidance

New Britain, Connecticut, April 29, 2026 … Stanley Black & Decker (NYSE: SWK), a global leader in tools and outdoor solutions, today announced first quarter 2026 financial results.

First Quarter 2026 Highlights

•Net sales of $3.8 billion, up 3% versus prior year and flat on an organic basis*

•Gross margin of 30.1%, up 20 basis points versus prior year; adjusted gross margin* of 30.2%, down 20 basis points versus prior year

•EPS of $0.39; adjusted EPS* of $0.80

Chris Nelson, Stanley Black & Decker's President & CEO, commented, “Stanley Black & Decker entered 2026 with unwavering commitment to our strategic priorities, and we delivered stronger than planned first quarter results through disciplined execution. Our team’s focus and resilience ensured that sales, gross margin, and cash1 performance remain firmly on track with our full year plan. I am proud of our team for maintaining their customer-centric approach and for advancing our vision to build a world-class branded industrial company.

“We are confident in our strategy and our ability to achieve our long-term financial goals, even amid global economic uncertainty. By protecting and advancing targeted, strategic investments, we are positioning Stanley Black & Decker for sustainable, profitable growth and continued value creation for our shareholders.”

1Q 2026 Results (all comparisons versus prior year)

•Net sales of $3.8 billion, up 3%, as higher price (+3%) and currency (+3%) were partially offset by lower volume (-3%). The volume decline was primarily due to retail softness in North America.

•Gross margin of 30.1%, up 20 basis points, and adjusted gross margin* of 30.2%, down 20 basis points. Delivered approximately flat gross margins – in-line with expectations – as operational cost improvements and higher

1 Refer to “2026 Guidance” on page 3 for further discussion and details of underlying planning assumptions

*Non-GAAP financial measure as further defined on page 5

1

Exhibit 99.1

pricing were largely offset by increased tariff expense, volume deleverage, and other inflation.

•SG&A expenses of 23.0% of sales, down 20 basis points, and adjusted SG&A expenses* of 22.8%, up 20 basis points. Delivered approximately flat performance as strategic growth investments were balanced by disciplined and targeted cost management.

•The tax rate was 29.7% and the adjusted tax rate* was 26.3%.

•Net earnings were 1.5% of sales, a decrease of 90 basis points. EBITDA margin* was 7.1%, a decrease of 180 basis points, and adjusted EBITDA margin* was 9.2%, a decrease of 50 basis points.

1Q 2026 Segment Results

($ in M)SalesSegment Profit Charges1 Adj. Segment Profit*Segment MarginAdj. Segment Margin*

Tools & Outdoor$3,336$276.0$12.6$288.68.3%8.7%

Engineered Fastening$511$60.9$0.2$61.111.9%12.0%

1 See Non-GAAP adjustments on page 13.

Tools & Outdoor net sales were up 2% year over year, as higher pricing (+4%) and currency (+3%) were partially offset by volume declines (-5%). Organic revenue* decreased by 1%, primarily due to lower retail volumes in North America. This decline was mostly offset by increased sell-in ahead of the outdoor product Spring season, strong performance in prioritized international markets, and higher rates of professional conversions within the U.S. commercial & industrial channel. North America sales were down 1% on a total basis and down 2% organically*, Europe increased by 11% on a total basis and was positive 1% organically*, while the Rest of World was up 6% on a total basis and flat organically*. The Tools & Outdoor segment margin was 8.3%, down 50 basis points year over year. Adjusted segment margin* was 8.7%, down 90 basis points. These margin declines were predominantly due to growth investments, and greater sales volume of lower-margin outdoor products. Higher pricing was largely offset by increased tariff expenses.

Engineered Fastening net sales were up 10% year over year, as strong volume (+6%), pricing (+1%) and currency (+3%) all contributed to growth. Organic revenues* were up 7%, driven by robust aerospace growth and automotive outperforming the market. These gains were partially offset by a decline in industrial volume. The Engineered Fastening segment margin was 11.9%, up 350

*Non-GAAP financial measure as further defined on page 5

2

Exhibit 99.1

basis points year over year, and adjusted segment margin* was 12.0%, up 190 basis points year over year. These substantial margin expansions were driven by improved profitability in aerospace, and higher volume and mix in automotive.

Completion of CAM Sale Enables Meaningful Deb

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 4, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-0.43%

$84.26

Act: +1.11%

5D

-5.61%

$79.88

Act: +6.97%

20D

-3.82%

$81.40

Act: -7.92%

Price: $84.63 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0000093556-26-000004

swk-202602040000093556false00000935562026-02-042026-02-04

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of Earliest Event Reported): February 4, 2026

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

CT1-522406-0548860

(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

1000 STANLEY DRIVE

NEW BRITAIN, CT 06053

(Address of principal executive offices, including Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (860) 225-5111

Not Applicable (Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: Title Of Each ClassTrading SymbolsName Of Each Exchange On Which Registered Common Stock- $2.50 Par Value per ShareSWKNew York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ¨

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition On February 4, 2026, Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. issued a press release announcing fourth quarter and full year 2025 results.

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits. (a) Not applicable (b) Not applicable (c) Not applicable (d) Exhibits 99.1 Press release dated February 4, 2026, issued by Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. 99.2 Financial statements and supporting schedules contained in Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.'s February 4, 2026 press release. 104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

February 4, 2026 By:/s/ Patrick Hallinan Name:Patrick Hallinan Title:Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Chief Administrative Officer

Exhibit Index

Exhibit No.Description

99.1Press release dated February 4, 2026, issued by Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

99.2Financial statements and supporting schedules contained in Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.'s February 4, 2026 press release.

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).

About Stanley Black & Decker Inc. (SWK) Earnings

This page provides Stanley Black & Decker Inc. (SWK) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on SWK's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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