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AI Earnings Predictions for Smith & Wesson Brands Inc. (SWBI)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+15.89%

$14.17

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+16.26%

$14.22

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+15.64%

$14.14

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $12.23 Confidence: 99.9% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 BUY +15.89% +16.26% +15.64% 99.9% Pending
Q1 2026 BUY +15.61% +16.52% +16.81% 100.0% +14.73%
Q4 2025 BUY +15.11% +16.25% +14.96% 100.0% Pending
Q3 2025 SELL -10.23% -10.06% -11.80% 100.0% +23.46%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Sep 3, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+15.89%

$14.17

Act: +5.40%

5D

+16.26%

$14.22

20D

+15.64%

$14.14

Price: $12.23 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-381907

EX-99.1

2 swbi-ex99_1.htm

EX-99.1

EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. Reports

First Quarter Fiscal 2027 Financial Results

- Q1 Net Sales of $112.6 Million

- Q1 Gross Margin of 28.7%

- Q1 EPS of $0.06/Share

MARYVILLE, Tenn., September 3, 2026 – Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ Global Select: SWBI), a U.S.-based leader in firearm manufacturing and design, today announced financial results for the first quarter of fiscal 2027, ended July 31, 2026.

Financial Highlights

• Net sales were $112.6 million, an increase of $27.5 million, or 32.3%, from the comparable quarter last year.

• Gross margin was 28.7% compared with 25.9% in the comparable quarter last year. During the first quarter of fiscal 2027, we received $2.9 million in tariff refunds. These refunds favorably impacted gross margin by approximately 260 basis points and represented a non-recurring benefit.

• GAAP net income was $2.6 million, or $0.06 per diluted share, compared with a net loss of $3.4 million, or $0.08 per diluted share, for the comparable quarter last year.

• Non-GAAP net income was $2.6 million, or $0.06 per diluted share, compared with a net loss of $3.4 million, or $0.08 per diluted share, for the comparable quarter last year. GAAP to non-GAAP adjustments for income exclude costs related to the relocation. For a detailed reconciliation, see the schedules that follow in this release.

• Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDAS was $13.8 million, or 12.2% of net sales, compared with $7.4 million, or 8.7% of net sales, for the comparable quarter last year.

Mark Smith, President and Chief Executive Officer, commented, "We are off to an excellent start to fiscal 2027. Continued solid demand for our products in both the consumer and professional channels in the first quarter were a direct result of our purposeful focus on innovation, the strength of our industry partnerships, operational execution, and the power of the iconic Smith & Wesson brand. We delivered significant year-over-year increases in all key financial metrics, including 32% growth in net sales and an increase in earnings per share to $0.06 from a loss of $0.08 last year. This continues to be a story about brand strength paired with a purposeful long-term strategy. With this momentum, we expect our second quarter to significantly outperform last year on both the top and bottom lines."

Deana McPherson, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, commented, "We continue to expect a normal seasonal environment and strong demand for our products, resulting in anticipated sales for the second quarter of roughly 10% above last year. For the full year, we continue to expect that our fiscal 2027 revenue will grow approximately 5-7% over fiscal 2026. Consistent with our capital allocation strategy, our board of directors has authorized a $0.13 per share quarterly dividend, which will be paid to stockholders of record on September 17, 2026, with payment to be made on October 1, 2026."

Conference Call and Webcast

The company will host a conference call and webcast on September 3, 2026 to discuss its first quarter fiscal 2027 financial and operational results. Speakers on the conference call will include Mark Smith, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Deana McPherson, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. The conference call may include

forward-looking statements. The conference call and webcast will begin at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time (2:00 p.m. Pacific Time). Interested parties in North America are invited to participate by dialing 1-877-704-4453. Interested parties from outside North America are invited to participate by dialing 1-201-389-0920. Participants should dial in at least 10 minutes prior to the start of the call. A live and archived webcast of the event will be available on the company's website at www.smith-wesson.com under the Investor Relations section.

Reconciliation of U.S. GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Measures

In this press release, certain non-GAAP financial measures, including “non-GAAP gross profit,” “non-GAAP gross margin,” “non-GAAP operating expenses,” “non-GAAP operating income,” “non-GAAP net income,” “non-GAAP net income per share – diluted,” “Adjusted EBITDAS,” “Adjusted EBITDAS Margin,” and “free cash flow” are presented. We use these non-GAAP financial measures to facilitate a comparison of our operating performance on a consistent basis from period to period that, when viewed in combination with our results prepared in accordance with GAAP, provides a more complete understanding of factors and trends affecting our business than does GAAP measures alone. We believe these financial measures assist our board of directors, management, investors, and other users of the financial statements in comparing our results on a consistent basis from period to period because it removes certain non-cash items and other items that we do not consider to be indicative of our core and/or ongoing operations. We believe it is use

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jun 17, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+15.61%

$15.81

Act: +17.59%

5D

+16.52%

$15.93

Act: +14.73%

20D

+16.81%

$15.97

Act: +8.67%

Price: $13.68 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-274138

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2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Mar 5, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+15.11%

$13.57

Act: +18.07%

5D

+16.25%

$13.71

20D

+14.96%

$13.55

Price: $11.79 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-093923

8-K

false 0001092796 0001092796 2026-03-05 2026-03-05

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): March 5, 2026

Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. (Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Charter)

Nevada

001-31552

87-0543688

(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.) 1852 Proffitt Springs Road Maryville, Tennessee 37801 (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code) (800) 331-0852 (Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, Par Value $0.001 per Share

SWBI

Nasdaq Global Select Market Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (17 §CFR 230.405) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (17 CFR §240.12b-2). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.  ☐

Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

We are furnishing the disclosure in this Item 2.02 in connection with the disclosure of information in the form of the textual information from a press release issued on March 5, 2026. The information in this Item 2.02 (including Exhibit 99.1) is furnished pursuant to Item 2.02 and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purpose of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section. We do not have, and expressly disclaim, any obligation to release publicly any updates or any changes in our expectations or any change in events, conditions, or circumstances on which any forward-looking statement is based. The text included with this Current Report on Form 8-K is available on our website at www.smith-wesson.com, although we reserve the right to discontinue that availability at any time.

Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits.

Exhibit No.

99.1

Press release from Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc., dated March 5, 2026, entitled “Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. Reports Third Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial Results

104

Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

SMITH & WESSON BRANDS, INC.

Date: March 5, 2026

By:

/s/ Deana L. McPherson

Deana L. McPherson

Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer, and Assistant Secretary

About Smith & Wesson Brands Inc. (SWBI) Earnings

This page provides Smith & Wesson Brands Inc. (SWBI) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on SWBI's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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