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AI Earnings Predictions for SPS Commerce Inc. (SPSC)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+1.74%

$68.31

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+1.86%

$68.39

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-0.03%

$67.12

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $67.14 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 BUY +1.74% +1.86% -0.03% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 BUY +0.35% +1.86% -0.35% 100.0% +1.85%
Q4 2025 SELL -13.83% -15.83% -15.13% 100.0% -10.50%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jul 30, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.74%

$68.31

Act: +9.31%

5D

+1.86%

$68.39

20D

-0.03%

$67.12

Price: $67.14 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001092699-26-000063

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2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Apr 30, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+0.35%

$56.32

Act: +4.52%

5D

+1.86%

$57.16

Act: +1.85%

20D

-0.35%

$55.92

Act: +0.62%

Price: $56.12 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001092699-26-000042

spsc-20260430

FALSE000109269900010926992026-04-302026-04-30

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

April 30, 2026

Date of report (Date of earliest event reported)

SPS COMMERCE, INC.

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in its Charter)

Delaware001-3470241-2015127

(State of Incorporation)(Commission File Number)(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

333 South Seventh Street, Suite 1000

Minneapolis, Minnesota 55402

(Address of Principal Executive Offices)(Zip Code)

(612) 435-9400

(Registrant's Telephone Number, Including Area Code)

Not Applicable

(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered

Common stock, par value $0.001 per shareSPSCThe Nasdaq Stock Market LLC

(Nasdaq Global Market)

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act

Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On April 30, 2026, SPS Commerce, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release disclosing its results of operations and financial condition for our first quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1.

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Information

Certain statements in this Current Report on Form 8-K may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 including, but not limited to, the Company’s plans to repurchase shares of its common stock, the timing and amount of any share repurchases under the program, if any, the effects of the repurchase program on future results of operations or financial condition, and the timing and impact of the leadership transitions. These statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the results of the Company to be materially different than those expressed or implied in such statements. Certain of these risk factors and others are included in documents the Company files with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including but not limited to, the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025, as well as subsequent reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. In addition, these forward-looking statements are subject to factors and uncertainties related to the leadership transitions, including disruptions and uncertainties related thereto, the ability of a successor to have the desired level of experience and expertise, the potential impact on the Company’s business and future strategic direction resulting from the officer transitions, and the Company’s ability to retain other key members of senior management. Other unknown or unpredictable factors also could have material adverse effects on the Company’s future results. The forward-looking statements included in this report are made only as of the date hereof. The Company cannot guarantee future results, levels of activity, performance or achievements. Accordingly, you should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. Finally, the Company expressly disclaims any intent or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.

Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d)    Exhibits

Exhibit No.Exhibit

99.1

Press Release dated April 30, 2026

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

SPS COMMERCE, INC.

Date: April 30, 2026

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 12, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-13.83%

$55.80

Act: -4.37%

5D

-15.83%

$54.50

Act: -10.50%

20D

-15.13%

$54.95

Act: -6.49%

Price: $64.75 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001092699-26-000007

spsc-20260210FALSE000109269900010926992026-02-102026-02-10

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 February 10, 2026 Date of report (Date of earliest event reported)

SPS COMMERCE, INC.

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in its Charter)

Delaware001-3470241-2015127 (State of Incorporation)(Commission File Number)(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

333 South Seventh Street, Suite 1000

Minneapolis, Minnesota 55402 (Address of Principal Executive Offices)(Zip Code)

(612) 435-9400 (Registrant's Telephone Number, Including Area Code) Not Applicable (Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report) Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Common stock, par value $0.001 per shareSPSCThe Nasdaq Stock Market LLC (Nasdaq Global Market)

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act ☐

Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 12, 2026, SPS Commerce, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release disclosing its results of operations and financial condition for our fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1.

Item 5.02. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.

Appointment of new Chief Financial Officer

On February 10, 2026, the Company’s board of directors (the “Board”) appointed Joseph Del Preto as the Company’s Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer, effective March 16, 2026 (the “Transition Date”), succeeding Kimberly Nelson, who announced her retirement as Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer, effective upon the conclusion of a customary transition period, as further described below.

Mr. Del Preto, age 50, will join the Company from Sprout Social, Inc. (Nasdaq: SPT), a leading, cloud-based social media management platform for publishing analytics and listening across all social media networks, where he has served as Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer since July 2017. Prior to that, Mr. Del Preto served as Global Controller at Groupon, Inc., an e-commerce marketplace connecting consumers with local businesses and national brands, beginning in July 2011. He previously served as Vice President of Finance at Echo Global Logistics, a publicly held provider of technology enabled transportation and supply chain management services (later acquired by The Jordan Company); and as Controller of Innerworkings, Inc., a publicly held global marketing execution firm (later acquired by HH Global Group Limited), from 2005 to 2011. Mr. Del Preto began his career as a Senior Audit Accountant at PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) in 1997.

Mr. Del Preto accepted a written offer letter (the “Offer Letter”) from the Company establishing his compensation as     Chief Financial Officer. Pursuant to the Offer Letter, Mr. Del Preto’s initial compensation will consist of the following:

•an initial annualized base salary of $475,000; •participation in the Company’s Management Incentive Plan (“MIP”) for the performance period consisting of the Company’s 2026 fiscal year in the target dollar amount of 75% of his annualized base salary, pro-rated based on the Transition Date, with the same terms as the 2026 MIP applicable to other executive officers of the Company; •the following equity awards under the Company’s 2010 Equity Incentive Plan: ◦as the 2026 annual equity award: ▪an award of restricted stock units (“RSUs”) with a value of $1,900,000, to be granted on the fifth business day following the Company’s release of financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026, with the number of RSUs to be determined by dividing the value of the cl

About SPS Commerce Inc. (SPSC) Earnings

This page provides SPS Commerce Inc. (SPSC) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on SPSC's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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