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AI Earnings Predictions for Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The) (SMG)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-0.45%

$70.01

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-3.85%

$67.62

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-3.37%

$67.96

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $70.33 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 SELL -0.45% -3.85% -3.37% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 BUY +2.55% +6.59% +7.67% 100.0% +0.69%
Q4 2025 SELL -0.45% -3.85% -3.37% 100.0% +0.16%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Jul 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-0.45%

$70.01

Act: -2.87%

5D

-3.85%

$67.62

20D

-3.37%

$67.96

Price: $70.33 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0000825542-26-000036

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2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Apr 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+2.55%

$64.01

Act: +0.45%

5D

+6.59%

$66.53

Act: +0.69%

20D

+7.67%

$67.21

Act: -3.11%

Price: $62.42 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0000825542-26-000021

EX-99.1

2 exhibit991q2f26newsrelease.htm

EXHIBIT 99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

The Scotts Miracle-Gro CompanyNEWS

ScottsMiracle-Gro Reports Strong Second Quarter Results;

Increase in Sales and Gross Margin Improvement Drive EPS Growth

Net sales increased by 5%

Gross margin rate improved by over 200 basis points

Net leverage at 3.71x, down from prior year of 4.41x

MARYSVILLE, Ohio, April 29, 2026 – The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (NYSE: SMG), the leading marketer of branded consumer lawn and garden products in North America, today reported results for the second quarter ended March 28, 2026.

“Our performance reflects progress on all our financial imperatives,” said Jim Hagedorn, chairman and CEO. “We continued our growth trajectory and delivered meaningful leverage ratio improvement, putting us in position for more shareholder friendly actions including the previously announced multi-year share repurchase program. At the same time, we are reinvesting in our consumer franchise with a focus on achieving our fiscal 2026 guidance that is foundational to our longer-range financial targets.”

Mark Scheiwer, chief financial officer and chief accounting officer, added, “We delivered a strong second quarter, executing on net sales growth, gross margin expansion and other key financial priorities. We are driving profitability growth and improved free cash flow while making incremental investments in consumer activation and return-generating capital expenditures. Strong sales and POS momentum continued in April, further boosting our confidence in the full-year outlook.”

Fiscal 2026 Second Quarter Highlights

•Net sales were $1.46 billion, an increase of 5% versus prior year.

•GAAP and non-GAAP adjusted gross margin rate of 41.8% improved by 280 and 240 basis points over prior year, respectively.

•GAAP net income from continuing operations of $4.46 per share and non-GAAP adjusted net income from continuing operations of $4.53 per share improved by 18 percent and 13 percent over prior year, respectively.

•Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA of $437.4 million improved by 9 percent over prior year.

•Net leverage of 3.71x improved 0.70x versus last year.

Fiscal 2026 Outlook

The fiscal 2026 guidance that has been reaffirmed by the Company includes:

•U.S. Consumer net sales low single-digit growth

•Non-GAAP adjusted gross margin rate of at least 32%

•Non-GAAP adjusted net income per share from continuing operations of $4.15 to $4.35

•Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA mid single-digit growth

•Free cash flow of $275 million, driving leverage ratio down to the high 3’s

The Company will file a Form 8-K prior to the start of the conference call that will include financial results for the three and six months ended March 28, 2026. In addition the Company will also upload these financial results to its investor relations website at https://scottsmiraclegro.gcs-web.com/financial-information/quarterly-results prior to the call.

Conference Call and Webcast Scheduled for 8:15 a.m. ET Today, April 29, 2026

The Company will discuss results during a video presentation via webcast today at 8:15 a.m. ET. To watch the Company presentation and listen to the question-and-answer session, please register in advance at this webcast link. For those planning to participate in the question-and-answer session that follows the video presentation, please register for the webcast to view the presentation in addition to registering in advance via this audio link to receive call-in details and a unique PIN. A replay of the conference call will also be available on the Company’s investor website, where an archive of the press release and any accompanying information will remain available for at least a 12-month period.

About ScottsMiracle-Gro

With approximately $3.3 billion in sales, the Company is the leading marketer of branded consumer lawn and garden products in North America. The Company’s brands are among the most recognized in the industry. The Company’s Scotts®, Miracle-Gro®, Ortho® and Tomcat® brands are market-leading in their categories. For additional information, visit us at www.scottsmiraclegro.com.

Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

Statements contained in this press release, other than statements of historical fact, which address activities, events and developments that the Company expects or anticipates will or may occur in the future, including, but not limited to, information regarding the future economic performance and financial condition of the Company, the plans and objectives of the Company’s management, and the Company’s assumptions regarding such performance and plans are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the U.S. federal securities laws that are subject to risks and uncertainties. These forward-looking statements generally can be identified as statements that include phrases such as “guidance,” “outlook,” “projected,” “believe,” “target,” “predict,” “estimate,” “forecast,” “strategy,” “ma

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 20, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-0.45%

$69.65

Act: -1.20%

5D

-3.85%

$67.27

Act: +0.16%

20D

-3.37%

$67.60

Price: $69.96 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0000825542-26-000015

smg-20260220false000082554200008255422026-02-202026-02-20

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549


FORM 8-K


CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 20, 2026


The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)


Ohio001-1159331-1414921 (State or other jurisdiction (Commission(IRS Employer of incorporation or organization) File Number)Identification No.)

14111 Scottslawn RoadMarysvilleOhio43041 (Address of principal executive offices)(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (937) 644-0011 Not applicable (Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)


Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Common Shares, $0.01 stated valueSMGNYSE

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b–2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b of this chapter).  Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition. During the first quarter of fiscal 2026, the Company determined that the Hawthorne business met the criteria to be classified as held for sale. The Company determined this represents a strategic shift, and therefore, the Company classified its results of operations to reflect the Hawthorne business as a discontinued operation for all periods presented in its Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the period ended December 27, 2025, which was filed on February 4, 2026. The Company is furnishing the information within this Current Report on Form 8-K to provide additional historical financial results reflecting the Hawthorne business as a discontinued operation. Attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 are the following unaudited condensed consolidated selected financial data of the Company:

•Revised reported GAAP quarterly and annual results for fiscal 2024 and 2025; •Revised adjusted non-GAAP financial measures for the quarterly and annual periods comprising fiscal 2024 and 2025; and •Revised Segment results for the quarterly and annual periods comprising fiscal 2024 and 2025.

This Current Report on Form 8-K should be read in conjunction with the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal years ended September 30, 2025 and 2024, the Company’s Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the fiscal quarters ended June 28, 2025, March 29, 2025, December 28, 2024, June 29, 2024, March 30, 2024 and December 30, 2023, and other Company filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits. (a) Financial statements of businesses acquired: Not applicable. (b) Pro forma financial information: Not applicable. (c) Shell company transactions: Not applicable. (d) Exhibits: Exhibit No.Description 99.1Unaudited Condensed, Consolidated Selected Financial Data

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

THE SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO COMPANY

Dated: February 20, 2026By: /s/ MARK J. SCHEIWER Printed Name: Mark J. Scheiwer Title: Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Chief Accounting Officer

INDEX TO EXHIBITS

Current Report on Form 8-K Dated February 20, 2026 The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company

Exhibit No.Description 99.1 Unaudited Condensed, Consolidated Selected Financial Data

About Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The) (SMG) Earnings

This page provides Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The) (SMG) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on SMG's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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