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AI Earnings Predictions for Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+7.91%

$34.29

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+17.22%

$37.25

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+39.12%

$44.21

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $31.78 Confidence: 99.8% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 BUY +7.91% +17.22% +39.12% 99.8% Pending
Q2 2026 SELL -14.00% -12.48% -2.06% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 BUY +6.69% +17.23% +36.62% 100.0% +17.29%
Q4 2025 SELL -14.00% -12.48% -2.06% 100.0% +12.56%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Aug 11, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-14.00%

$21.94

Act: +19.87%

5D

-12.48%

$22.33

20D

-2.06%

$24.98

Price: $25.51 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001375365-26-000021

EX-99.1

2 exhibit991_20260630.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

Supermicro Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Results

SAN JOSE, Calif. -- August 11, 2026 -- (BUSINESS WIRE) -- Super Micro Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ: SMCI) (“Supermicro” or the “Company”), a Total IT Solution Provider for AI, Cloud, Storage, and 5G/Edge, today announced unaudited financial results for its fourth quarter and full fiscal year ended June 30, 2026.

Fourth Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Highlights

•Net sales of $11.1 billion versus $10.2 billion in Q3'26 and $5.8 billion in Q4'25.

•Gross margin of 17.5% versus 9.9% in Q3'26 and 9.5% in Q4'25.

•Net income of $1,178 million versus $483 million in Q3'26 and $195 million in Q4'25.

•Diluted net income per common share of $1.62 versus $0.72 in Q3'26 and $0.31 in Q4'25.

•Non-GAAP gross margin of 17.6% versus 9.6% in Q4'25.

•Non-GAAP diluted net income per common share of $1.70 versus $0.41 in Q4'25.

•Cash flow provided by operations for Q4'26 of $747 million and capital expenditures and investments of $25 million.

"Our Total AI/IT Solutions strategy continues to deliver strong results, we added several hundred enterprise and other customers in the past year, generated more than $60 billion in new orders, and booked record backlog entering fiscal 2027," said Charles Liang, Founder, President and CEO of Supermicro. "As demand accelerates, we are improving profitability through a richer enterprise customer mix and broader adoption of our optimized Data Center Building Block Solutions® (DCBBS) architecture. Combined with continued investment in technology leadership, manufacturing scale, and global compliance, we are enabling customers to deploy AI infrastructure faster and more efficiently."

The Non-GAAP gross margin for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2026 was 17.6% with adjustments for stock-based compensation expense of $9 million. The Non-GAAP diluted net income per common share for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2026 was $1.70.

Fiscal Year 2026 Summary

Net sales for the full fiscal year ended June 30, 2026, were $39.1 billion versus $22.0 billion for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2025. Gross margin for fiscal year 2026 was 10.8% versus 11.1% for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2025. Net income for fiscal year 2026 was $2.2 billion, or $3.26 per diluted share, versus $1.0 billion, or $1.68 per diluted share, for fiscal year 2025.

For the full fiscal year ended 2026, non-GAAP gross margin was 10.9%, with adjustments for stock-based compensation expenses of $34 million. Non-GAAP net income attributable to common stockholders for fiscal year 2026 was $2.5 billion, or $3.63 per diluted share, versus $1.3 billion, or $2.06 per diluted share, for fiscal year 2025. This non-GAAP net income attributable to common stockholders includes adjustments for stock-based compensation expense of $316 million, which are net of the related tax effect of $97 million for fiscal year 2026.

As of June 30, 2026, total cash and cash equivalents was $7.5 billion and total bank debt and convertible notes were $8.7 billion.

Business Outlook

The Company expects net sales in the range of $14.5 billion and $15.5 billion for the first quarter of fiscal year 2027 ending September 30, 2026, GAAP net income per diluted share of $0.89 to $0.98 and non-GAAP net income per diluted share of $1.01 to $1.10. The Company’s projections for GAAP and non-GAAP net income per diluted share assume a tax rate of approximately 20.1% and 20.5%, respectively, and a fully diluted share count of 745 million shares for GAAP and fully diluted share count of 761 million shares for non-GAAP. The outlook for the first quarter of fiscal year 2027 GAAP net income per diluted share includes approximately $106 million in expected stock-based compensation expense, net of related tax effects of $32 million that are excluded from non-GAAP net income per diluted share.

For fiscal year 2027, the Company expects net sales in the range of $65.0 billion to $72.0 billion.

Conference Call and Webcast Information

Supermicro will present a live audio webcast of our conference call to review its fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2026 financial results on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, at 5:00 p.m. ET / 2:00 p.m. PT. The webcast will be available at https://ir.supermicro.com.

A replay of the webcast will be available shortly after the call at the same website and will remain accessible for one year.

Forward Looking Statements and Other Disclosures

Statements contained in this press release that are not historical fact may be forward looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. These forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “continue,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “may,” "plan,” “seek,” “should,” “will,” “would,” “optimistic” or similar expressions

2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Jul 21, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-14.00%

$21.94

Act: +19.87%

5D

-12.48%

$22.33

20D

-2.06%

$24.98

Price: $25.51 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001375365-26-000019

SEC.gov | Request Rate Threshold Exceeded

U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

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Reference ID: 0.e618d017.1785191145.3ebe44b1

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2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

May 5, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+6.69%

$29.80

Act: +22.57%

5D

+17.23%

$32.74

Act: +17.29%

20D

+36.62%

$38.16

Act: +69.60%

Price: $27.93 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001375365-26-000013

SEC.gov | Request Rate Threshold Exceeded

U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

You’ve Exceeded the SEC’s Traffic Limit

Your request rate has exceeded the SEC’s maximum allowable requests per second. Your access to SEC.gov will be limited for 10 minutes.

Current guidelines limit each user to a total of no more than 10 requests per second, regardless of the number of machines used to submit requests. To ensure that SEC.gov remains available to all users, we reserve the right to block IP addresses that submit excessive requests.

The block will be lifted automatically by waiting 10 minutes. Continuing to exceed the SEC’s maximum allowable request rate during the time-out period will extend the duration of the time-out period. To ensure fair access for all users, please reduce the rate of your requests and visit SEC.gov again after the 10 minute time-out period has passed.

For best practices on efficiently downloading information from SEC.gov, including the latest EDGAR filings, visit sec.gov/developer. You can also sign up for email updates on the SEC open data program, including best practices that make it more efficient to download data, and SEC.gov enhancements that may impact scripted downloading processes. For more information, contact opendata@sec.gov.

For more information, please see the SEC’s Web Site Privacy and Security Policy. Thank you for your interest in the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Reference ID: 0.c706d217.1784333358.cc90e4d9

More Information

Internet Security Policy

By using this site, you are agreeing to security monitoring and auditing. For security purposes, and to ensure that the public service remains available to users, this government computer system employs programs to monitor network traffic to identify unauthorized attempts to upload or change information or to otherwise cause damage, including attempts to deny service to users.

Unauthorized attempts to upload information and/or change information on any portion of this site are strictly prohibited and are subject to prosecution under the Computer Fraud and Abuse Act of 1986 and the National Information Infrastructure Protection Act of 1996 (see Title 18 U.S.C. §§ 1001 and 1030).

To ensure our website performs well for all users, the SEC monitors the frequency of requests for SEC.gov content to ensure automated searches do not impact the ability of others to access SEC.gov content. We reserve the right to block IP addresses that submit excessive requests. Current guidelines limit users to a total of no more than 10 requests per second, regardless of the number of machines used to submit requests.

If a user or application submits more than 10 requests per second, further requests from the IP address(es) may be limited for a brief period. Once the rate of requests has dropped below the threshold for 10 minutes, the user may resume accessing content on SEC.gov. This SEC practice is designed to limit excessive automated searches on SEC.gov and is not intended or expected to impact individuals browsing the SEC.gov website.

Note that this policy may change as the SEC manages SEC.gov to ensure that the website performs efficiently and remains available to all users.

Note: We do not offer technical support for developing or debugging scripted downloading processes.

About Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) Earnings

This page provides Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on SMCI's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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