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AI Earnings Predictions for Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (SDHC)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-2.67%

$13.68

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-6.56%

$13.13

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-3.66%

$13.54

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $14.05 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 SELL -2.67% -6.56% -3.66% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 SELL -4.18% -7.26% -3.02% 100.0% -2.40%
Q4 2025 SELL -4.18% -7.26% -3.02% 100.0% Pending
Q3 2025 SELL -3.74% -8.45% -6.72% 100.0% -1.28%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Aug 6, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-2.67%

$13.68

Act: -1.35%

5D

-6.56%

$13.13

20D

-3.66%

$13.54

Price: $14.05 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001628280-26-053827

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2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Apr 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-4.18%

$12.77

Act: +6.38%

5D

-7.26%

$12.36

Act: -2.40%

20D

-3.02%

$12.93

Act: -7.50%

Price: $13.33 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001628280-26-028106

EX-99.1

2 sdhc-20260429xexx991.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

Smith Douglas Homes Reports First Quarter 2026 Results

ATLANTA, April 29, 2026 (Business Wire) – Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (NYSE: SDHC) (“Smith Douglas” or the “Company”) today announced first quarter results for the three months ended March 31, 2026.

Q1 2026 Results as compared to Q1 2025:

•Home closings decreased 7% to 624

•Home closing revenue decreased 8% to $206.4 million

•Home closing gross margin of 19.6% compared to 23.8%

•Net new home orders increased 28% to 981

•Backlog homes increased 10% to 869

•Pretax income of $4.3 million compared to $19.6 million

•Earnings of $0.06 per diluted share compared to $0.30

•Debt-to-book capitalization of 13.6% compared to 9.0% at December 31, 2025

•Active community count increased 24% to 108 at quarter end

•Total controlled lots increased 14% to 23,314

•Repurchased 449,604 shares of Class A common stock for $5.7 million

“Smith Douglas Homes delivered a solid start to 2026, with first quarter deliveries at the high end of our guidance range and home closing gross margin exceeding expectations,” said Greg Bennett, Chief Executive Officer and Vice Chairman of Smith Douglas Homes. “While demand conditions remained uneven early in the quarter, we saw steady improvement in our sales pace as the quarter progressed, reflecting the underlying resilience of demand for attainable housing in our markets.”

Mr. Bennett continued, “Our strategy remains centered on operational discipline and maintaining a steady cadence of home starts that supports quick inventory turns. With company-wide build times averaging approximately 57 business days, we believe our efficient production model continues to be a meaningful competitive advantage, allowing us to respond quickly to shifting market conditions while delivering value to our customers.”

Russ Devendorf, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, added, “During the quarter we generated 981 net new orders and experienced sequential improvement in sales pace each month, culminating in a pace of four homes per community in March. Financing incentives remain an important tool in helping buyers manage monthly affordability, and we were encouraged by the positive demand response to modest pricing adjustments.”

Mr. Devendorf continued, “Our long-term strategy remains focused on disciplined growth, maintaining a land-light balance sheet, and expanding our footprint across high-growth Southern markets. As we continue to scale operations in markets such as Dallas, Chattanooga and the Alabama Gulf Coast, we believe our combination of attainable pricing, customization and operational efficiency positions us well to drive market share gains over time.”

1

Conference Call & Webcast Information

Management will host a conference call to discuss the Company’s results at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time on April 29, 2026. Interested parties can dial in using the numbers below or access the call via a webcast link provided in the investor relations section of the company’s website.

To pre-register for the call:

https://events.q4inc.com/analyst/807396100?pwd=T0pURcqS

To join with dial-in:

Local: (+1) 585-542-9983

Toll Free: (+1) 833-461-5787

Conference ID: 807396100

A replay of the call will be available on the Company’s website shortly after the call concludes.

About Smith Douglas Homes

Headquartered in Woodstock, Georgia, Smith Douglas Homes completed its initial public offering in January 2024. Since its inception, Smith Douglas has been entrusted by over 20,000 families to fulfill their new home dreams. Ranked as a top 50 builder nationally for several years and with 2,908 closings in 2025, Smith Douglas currently holds the #32 position on the Builder Magazine Top 100 list. The Smith Douglas communities are primarily targeted to entry-level and empty-nest homebuyers looking to purchase a new home priced below the Federal Housing Administration loan limit in the metro areas of Atlanta, Birmingham, Central Georgia, Charlotte, Chattanooga, Dallas-Fort Worth, Greenville, Houston, Huntsville, Nashville, Raleigh, and the Alabama Gulf Coast. Smith Douglas offers its homebuyers a personalized, affordable buying experience at attractive prices, delivering exceptional value and quality.

Investor Relations

Joe Thomas

investors@smithdouglas.com

2

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All statements contained in this press release that do not relate to matters of historical fact should be considered forward-looking statements, including without limitation statements regarding the Company’s performance, growth, strategic plans and opportunities, financial position, ability to navigate the changing homebuilding landscape in the macroeconomic environment, and the timing of any of the foregoing. These statements are neither promises nor guarantees

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Mar 11, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-4.18%

$12.87

Act: -4.12%

5D

-7.26%

$12.46

20D

-3.02%

$13.02

Price: $13.43 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001628280-26-016653

sdhc-202603110001982518false00019825182026-03-112026-03-11

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549


FORM 8-K


CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 March 11, 2026 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported)


Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)


Delaware001-4191793-1969003 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(IRS Employer Identification No.)

110 Village Trail, Suite 215 Woodstock, Georgia 30188 (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)

(770) 213-8067 (Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

N/A (Former name or former address, if changed since last report)


Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ☐   Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐   Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐   Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐   Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading SymbolName of each exchange on which registered Class A common stock, $0.0001 par value per shareSDHCThe New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company    ☒ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☒

Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 11, 2026, Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (the “Company”) announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. The full text of the press release issued by the Company in connection with the announcement is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K (the “Current Report”). The information contained in Item 2.02 of this Current Report (including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto) shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act, except as expressly provided by specific reference in such a filing.

Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d)Exhibits The following exhibit relates to Item 2.02 and shall be deemed to be furnished, and not filed:

Exhibit No. Description 99.1 Press release dated March 11, 2026

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Date: March 11, 2026

SMITH DOUGLAS HOMES CORP.

By:/s/ Russell Devendorf Russell Devendorf Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

About Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (SDHC) Earnings

This page provides Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (SDHC) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on SDHC's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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