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AI Earnings Predictions for Republic Services Inc. (RSG)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+1.08%

$211.85

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+3.63%

$217.19

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+5.22%

$220.53

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $209.59 Confidence: 99.4% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 BUY +1.08% +3.63% +5.22% 99.4% +2.69%
Q1 2026 BUY +1.48% +3.66% +5.41% 100.0% +3.54%
Q4 2025 BUY +1.48% +3.66% +5.41% 100.0% -0.20%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Aug 6, 2026 · 99% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.08%

$211.85

Act: +2.37%

5D

+3.63%

$217.19

Act: +2.69%

20D

+5.22%

$220.53

Price: $209.59 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001060391-26-000273

EX-99.1

2 exhibit991q22026.htm

EX-99.1

Document

EXHIBIT 99.1

Republic Services, Inc. Reports

Second Quarter 2026 Results

Reported Earnings Per Share of $1.84 and Adjusted Earnings Per Share of $1.85

Generated Year-to-Date Cash Flow from Operations of $2.38 Billion and Adjusted Free Cash Flow of $1.58 Billion

Invested Approximately $860 Million in Value-Creating Acquisitions During the First-Half of 2026

● Increased Full-Year 2026 Financial Guidance

Increased Quarterly Dividend by Approximately 7 Percent

PHOENIX (August 6, 2026) – Republic Services, Inc. (NYSE: RSG) today reported net income of $566 million, or $1.84 per diluted share, for the three months ended June 30, 2026, versus $550 million, or $1.75 per diluted share, for the comparable 2025 period. Excluding certain expenses and other items, on an adjusted basis, net income for the three months ended June 30, 2026, was $569 million, or $1.85 per diluted share, versus $556 million, or $1.77 per diluted share, for the comparable 2025 period.

“Our second quarter results reflect the strength and resilience of our business model, as we continue to execute our strategy and deliver differentiated value for our customers,” said Jon Vander Ark, president and chief executive officer. “Pricing in excess of cost inflation and our disciplined cost management supported accelerated growth in revenue and EBITDA. Given our strong operating performance and momentum across the business, we are increasing our full-year financial guidance.”

1

Second-Quarter and Year-to-Date 2026 Highlights:

•Total revenue growth of 4.6 percent includes 3.7 percent organic growth from our recycling and waste business, 0.2 percent decline from our environmental solutions business, and 1.1 percent growth from acquisitions.

•Core price on total revenue increased revenue by 5.3 percent. Core price on related business revenue increased revenue by 6.4 percent, which consisted of 7.8 percent in the open market and 4.1 percent in the restricted portion of the business.

•Revenue growth from average yield on total revenue was 3.4 percent, and volume decreased revenue by 1.6 percent. Revenue growth from average yield on related business revenue was 4.0 percent, and volume decreased related business revenue by 1.9 percent.

•Net income was $566 million, or a margin of 12.8 percent.

•EPS was $1.84 per share, an increase of 5.1 percent over the prior year.

•Adjusted EPS, a non-GAAP measure, was $1.85 per share, an increase of 4.5 percent over the prior year.

•Adjusted EBITDA, a non-GAAP measure, was $1.42 billion. Adjusted EBITDA margin, a non-GAAP measure, was 32.1 percent of revenue, which remained consistent with the prior year. The Company overcame 50 basis points of margin headwind from event driven landfill volumes received in the prior year.

•Year-to-date cash invested in acquisitions was $860 million.

•Year-to-date cash returned to shareholders was $1.04 billion, which included $651 million of share repurchases and $385 million of dividends paid.

•The Company's average recycled commodity price per ton sold at its recycling centers during the second quarter was $136. This represents a decrease of $13 per ton over the prior year.

•The Company completed and commenced operations on two renewable natural gas projects during the quarter.

•Republic was recognized by several leading organizations during the quarter, including:

◦Dow Jones Best-in-Class Indices for the 10th consecutive year

◦Forbes list of America’s Best Employers for Company Culture

2

Updated Full-Year 2026 Financial Guidance

Republic's financial guidance is based on current economic conditions and does not assume any significant changes in the overall economy for the remainder of 2026. Please refer to the Reconciliation of Full-Year 2026 Financial Guidance section of this document for detail relating to the computation of non-GAAP measures as well as the Information Regarding Forward-Looking Statements section of this document.

The Company provided additional details as follows:

•Revenue: Increased original guidance to a range of $17.200 billion to $17.300 billion

•Adjusted EBITDA: Increased original guidance to a range of $5.525 billion to $5.550 billion

•Adjusted Diluted Earnings per Share: Updated original guidance to a range of $7.23 to $7.28 per share

•Adjusted Free Cash Flow: Increased original guidance to a range of $2.540 billion to $2.575 billion

Company Increases Quarterly Dividend

Republic continues to increase cash returns to shareholders, and previously announced that its Board of Directors approved a 4.5-cent increase in the quarterly dividend. The quarterly dividend of $0.670 per share for shareholders of record on October 2, 2026, will be paid on October 15, 2026.

Presentation of Certain Performance Metrics and Non-GAAP Measures

Adjusted diluted earnings per share, adjusted net income - Republic, adjusted pre-tax income, adjusted tax impact, EBITDA, EBITDA margin, adjus

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

May 7, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.48%

$204.53

Act: -1.30%

5D

+3.66%

$208.92

Act: +3.54%

20D

+5.41%

$212.45

Act: +4.21%

Price: $201.55 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001060391-26-000210

EX-99.1

2 exhibit991q12026.htm

EX-99.1

Document

EXHIBIT 99.1

Republic Services, Inc. Reports

First Quarter 2026 Results

First Quarter Earnings Per Share of $1.70

Expanded First Quarter Net Income Margin 50 Basis Points and Adjusted EBITDA Margin 50 Basis Points

Generated Cash Flow from Operations of $1.23 Billion

Generated Adjusted Free Cash Flow of $984 Million

Invested More Than $700 Million in Value-Creating Acquisitions To Date

● Named to Fortune's 2026 World's Most Admired Companies List

PHOENIX (May 7, 2026) – Republic Services, Inc. (NYSE: RSG) today reported net income of $525 million, or $1.70 per diluted share, for the three months ended March 31, 2026, versus $495 million, or $1.58 per diluted share, for the comparable 2025 period. Excluding certain expenses and other items, on an adjusted basis, net income for the three months ended March 31, 2026, was $526 million, or $1.70 per diluted share, versus $496 million, or $1.58 per diluted share, for the comparable 2025 period.

“We are off to a strong start and remain well positioned to achieve our full‑year objectives,” said Jon Vander Ark, president and chief executive officer. “Disciplined pricing and effective cost management drove solid earnings growth and 50 basis points of adjusted EBITDA margin expansion in the first quarter. We remain focused on executing our strategy and investing for growth to deliver long‑term value for our customers and shareholders."

1

First-Quarter 2026 Highlights:

•Total revenue growth of 2.6 percent includes 2.8 percent organic growth from our recycling and waste business, 1.3 percent organic decline from our environmental solutions business, and 1.1 percent growth from acquisitions.

•Core price on total revenue increased revenue by 5.7 percent. Core price on related business revenue increased revenue by 6.8 percent, which consisted of 8.4 percent in the open market and 4.4 percent in the restricted portion of the business.

•Revenue growth from average yield on total revenue was 3.4 percent, and volume decreased revenue by 0.8 percent. Revenue growth from average yield on related business revenue was 4.1 percent, and volume decreased related business revenue by 1.0 percent.

•Net income was $525 million, or a margin of 12.8 percent.

•EPS and Adjusted EPS, a non-GAAP measure, were both $1.70 per share, an increase of 7.6 percent over the prior year.

•Adjusted EBITDA, a non-GAAP measure, was $1.32 billion, and adjusted EBITDA margin, a non-GAAP measure, was 32.1 percent of revenue, an increase of 50 basis points over the prior year.

•Cash invested in acquisitions was $433 million.

•Cash returned to shareholders was $507 million, which included $314 million of share repurchases and $193 million of dividends paid.

•The Company's average recycled commodity price per ton sold at its recycling centers during the first quarter was $120. This represents a decrease of $35 per ton over the prior year.

•Republic was recognized by several leading organizations during the quarter, including:

◦Ethisphere's 2026 World's Most Ethical Companies® List

◦Fortune's 2026 World's Most Admired Companies List

Company Declared Quarterly Dividend

On May 5, 2026, the Board of Directors of Republic Services, Inc. declared a regular quarterly dividend of $0.625 per share for shareholders of record on July 2, 2026. The dividend will be paid on July 15, 2026.

2

Presentation of Certain Performance Metrics and Non-GAAP Measures

Adjusted diluted earnings per share, adjusted net income - Republic, adjusted pre-tax income, adjusted tax impact, EBITDA, EBITDA margin, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA margin, adjusted EBITDA by business type, adjusted EBITDA margin by business type and adjusted free cash flow are described in the Performance Metrics and Reconciliations of Certain Non-GAAP Measures section of this document.

About Republic Services

Republic Services, Inc. is a leader in the environmental services industry. Through its subsidiaries, the Company provides customers with the most complete set of products and services, including recycling, solid waste, special waste, hazardous waste and field services. Republic’s industry-leading commitments to advance circularity and support decarbonization are helping deliver on its vision to partner with customers to create a more sustainable world. For more information, please visit RepublicServices.com.

For more information, contact:

Media Inquiries

Investor Inquiries

Roman Blahoski (480) 718-0328

Aaron Evans (480) 718-0309

media@RepublicServices.com

investor@RepublicServices.com

3

SUPPLEMENTAL UNAUDITED FINANCIAL INFORMATION

AND OPERATING DATA

REPUBLIC SERVICES, INC.

CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS

(in millions, except per share amounts)

March 31,December 31,

20262025

(Unaudited)

ASSETS

Current assets:

Cash and cash equivalents$118 $76

Accounts receivable, less allowance for doubtful accounts and other of $60 and $66, respectively 1,917 1,897

Pr

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Feb 17, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.48%

$224.46

Act: -1.97%

5D

+3.66%

$229.28

Act: -0.20%

20D

+5.41%

$233.15

Price: $221.19 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001060391-26-000093

rsg-202602170001060391false00010603912026-02-172026-02-17

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of Earliest Event Reported): February 17, 2026 Republic Services, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware 1-14267 65-0716904 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) (Commission File Number) (IRS Employer Identification No.)

5353 East City North Drive Phoenix, Arizona 85054 (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (480) 627-2700 Not Applicable (Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities Registered Pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: Title of Each Class Trading Symbol Name of exchange on which registered Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share RSG New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. o

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition. 3

Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure. 3

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits. 4

SIGNATURES

5

EX-99.1

EX-104

2

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 17, 2026, Republic Services, Inc. (the Company) issued a press release containing information about the Company’s financial results for the three months and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of this press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.

Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure. Full-Year 2026 Financial Guidance Our guidance is based on current economic conditions. The Company expects full-year revenue to be in a range of $17,050 million to $17,150 million. Net income attributable to Republic Services, Inc. is expected to be in a range of $2,200 million to $2,220 million for 2026. Adjusted Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (adjusted EBITDA) is expected to be in a range of $5,475 million to $5,525 million for the full-year. Adjusted EBITDA consists of net income, plus provision for income taxes, which is expected to be in a range of $505 million to $515 million, plus interest expense, net, which is expected to be in a range of $575 million to $585 million, plus depreciation, depletion, amortization and accretion, which is expected to be in a range of $1,980 million to $1,990 million, plus loss from unconsolidated equity method investments, which is expected to be approximately $190 million, plus restructuring charges, which is expected to be approximately $25 million. Diluted earnings per share is expected to be in a range of $7.14 to $7.22 for the full year. The Company's adjusted diluted earnings per share is expected to be in a range of $7.20 to $7.28. Adjusted diluted earnings per share excludes the impact of restructuring charges. We believe adjusted EBITDA and adjusted diluted earnings per share provide an understanding of operational activities before the financial impact of certain items. We use these measures, and believe investors will find them helpful, in understanding the ongoing performance of our operations separate from items that have a disproportionate impact on our results for a particular period. We have incurred comparable charges, costs, and recoveries in prior periods, and similar types of adjustments can reasonably be expected to be recorded in future periods. Our definitions of adjusted EBITDA and adjusted diluted earnings per share may not be comparable to similarly titled measures presented by other companies. Cash provided by operating activities is expected to be in a range of $4,460 million to $4,540 million for the full year. Adjusted free cash flow for 2026 is expected to be in a range of $2,520 million to $2,560 million. Adjusted free cash flow consists of cash provided by operating activities, less prope

About Republic Services Inc. (RSG) Earnings

This page provides Republic Services Inc. (RSG) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on RSG's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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