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AI Earnings Predictions for Arcadia Biosciences Inc. (RKDA)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-3.90%

$1.03

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-11.93%

$0.94

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-0.14%

$1.07

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $1.07 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q1 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q1 2026 SELL -3.90% -11.93% -0.14% 100.0% -17.03%
Q3 2025 SELL -4.06% -12.15% +7.23% 100.0% +1.89%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

May 14, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-3.90%

$1.03

Act: -11.15%

5D

-11.93%

$0.94

Act: -17.03%

20D

-0.14%

$1.07

Act: -3.74%

Price: $1.07 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-223985

EX-99.1

2 rkda-ex99_1.htm

EX-99.1

EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

Arcadia Biosciences (RKDA) Announces First Quarter 2026

Financial Results and Business Highlights

-- Zola® volumes increase 18% year-over-year --

-- SG&A at lowest level in Arcadia’s history --

DALLAS, Texas (May 14, 2026) – Arcadia Biosciences, Inc.® (Nasdaq: RKDA), a producer and marketer of innovative wellness products, today released its financial and business results for the first quarter of 2026.

“We are very pleased with our performance during the first quarter of 2026,” said T.J. Schaefer, CEO of Arcadia. “We were able to bring in gross proceeds of approximately $2.1 million from the exercise of previously outstanding preferred investment options, Zola® coconut water revenues and volumes increased at a double-digit rate compared to the same quarter last year, and our selling, general, and administrative expenses are at the lowest level in Arcadia’s history as a public company.

“Going forward, we continue to evaluate strategic alternatives but also remain focused on growing our Zola coconut water brand and are excited about the prospects of launching a new product that we expect to be on the shelves of many of our largest customers this fall,” Schaefer added.

Arcadia Biosciences, Inc.

Financial Snapshot

(Unaudited)

($ in thousands)

Three Months Ended March 31,

2026

2025

Favorable / (Unfavorable)

$

%

Total revenues

1,100

1,200

(100)

(8%)

Total operating expenses

1,879

670

(1,209)

(180%)

(Loss) income from continuing operations

(779)

530

(1,309)

(247%)

Net (loss) income attributable to common stockholders

(4,385)

2,599

(6,984)

(269%)

1

More detailed financial information is included in the company’s Report on Form 8-K and Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), available in the Investors section of the company’s website under SEC Filings.

Revenues

Sales of Zola coconut water unit volumes increased 18% and also benefitted from a price increase that went into effect at the beginning of the year. However, reported revenues decreased $100,000, or 8%, during the first quarter of 2026 compared to the same period in 2025, driven primarily by a revenue reserve release of approximately $193,000 in 2025.

Operating Expenses

Total operating expenses increased by $1.2 million during the first quarter of 2026 compared to the same period in 2025 due to the $750,000 gain on sale of the company’s reduced gluten and oxidative stability patent portfolios and $1.0 million gain related to the change in fair value of contingent consideration liability in the first quarter of 2025.

Cost of revenues increased $18,000, or 3%, during the first quarter of 2026 compared to the same period in 2025 driven primarily by the increase in Zola sales volume, which increased product costs and freight expenses.

Selling, general, and administrative expenses decreased by $559,000 during the first quarter of 2026 compared to the same period in 2025, driven primarily by the absence of M&A fees and lower employee costs in the first quarter of 2026.

Net Loss (Income) Attributable to Common Stockholders

Net loss attributable to common stockholders for the first quarter of 2026 was $4.4 million, or $2.11 per share, a $7.0 million decrease from the $2.6 million net income, or $1.90 per share, for the first quarter of 2025. The decrease was primarily driven by the loss relating to the company’s January 2026 warrant inducement offer transaction of $2.9 million and other loss of $1.5 million, in addition to the $750,000 gain on sale of the company’s reduced gluten and oxidative stability patent portfolios and $1.0 million gain related to the change in fair value of contingent consideration liability in the first quarter of 2025.

About Arcadia Biosciences, Inc.

Since 2002, Arcadia Biosciences (Nasdaq: RKDA) has been innovating high-value, healthy ingredients to meet consumer demands for healthier choices. With its roots in agricultural innovation, Arcadia cultivates next-generation wellness products. For more information, visit www.arcadiabio.com.

Safe Harbor Statement

This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements relate to future events or future results of operations concerning the company and its products, including, but not limited to, statements relating to Zola products and sales, the company’s growth, cash position, operating costs, financial performance, evaluation of possible strategic alternatives and

2

transactions, and the impact on shareholder value. Undue reliance should not be placed on any forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are only predictions and are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from the results anticipated by such forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties include, b

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K

Mar 26, 2026

0001193125-26-126220

EX-99.1

2 rkda-ex99_1.htm

EX-99.1

EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

Arcadia Biosciences (RKDA) Announces Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Financial Results and Business Highlights

-- Zola® revenues increase 17% year-over-year --

-- Arcadia and Roosevelt Resources terminate proposed business combination --

-- Exercise of preferred investment options yields $2.1 million gross proceeds --

DALLAS, Texas (March 26, 2026) – Arcadia Biosciences, Inc.® (Nasdaq: RKDA), a producer and marketer of innovative wellness products, today released its financial and business results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2025.

“At the end of 2025, we received a termination notice from Roosevelt Resources related to the Securities Exchange Agreement concerning a proposed business combination, signed in December 2024.” said T.J. Schaefer, CEO of Arcadia.

Schaefer continued, “After receiving this news, we took steps to improve our balance sheet by entering into definitive agreements for the immediate exercise of certain outstanding preferred investment options, resulting in gross proceeds of approximately $2.1 million to Arcadia. We intend to use these proceeds, along with our other assets, to continue growing our Zola® coconut water brand while we evaluate strategic alternatives.

“In 2025, Zola sales growth continued to outpace the coconut water category. At the same time, we reduced our SG&A expenses by approximately 27%, and our net cash used in operating activities declined by 49% in 2025 compared to 2024,” Schaefer added.

1

Arcadia Biosciences, Inc.

Financial Snapshot

(Unaudited)

($ in thousands)

Three months ended Dec 31

Twelve months ended Dec 31

2025

2024

Favorable/ (Unfavorable)

2025

2024

Favorable/ (Unfavorable)

$

%

$

%

Total Revenues

901

1,216

(315)

(26%)

4,858

5,045

(187)

(4%)

Total Operating Expenses

2,276

3,495

1,219

35%

7,358

8,693

1,335

15%

Loss From Continuing Operations

(1,375)

(2,279)

904

40%

(2,500)

(3,648)

1,148

31%

Net Loss Attributable to Common Stockholders

(1,336)

(4,064)

2,728

67%

(2,339)

(7,038)

4,699

67%

Certain previously reported financial information has been reclassified to conform to the current year presentation. Reclassifications are related to the presentation of the financial results of our former GoodWheatTM brand as discontinued operations. The financial information above and narrative that follows relate to continuing operations unless stated otherwise.

More detailed financial statements are included in the Form 8-K filed today, available in the Investors section of the company’s website under SEC Filings.

Revenues

Revenues decreased by $315,000, or 26%, during the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024 in part due to lower Zola sales and higher deductions. In addition, the fourth quarter of 2024 included $55,000 in sales of GLA oil that were absent in 2025.

Revenues for the full year of 2025 decreased $187,000, or 4%, compared to 2024 despite an increase in Zola sales primarily due to $756,000 in sales of GLA oil in 2024 that were absent in 2025. Zola revenues increased $701,000, or 17%, compared to 2024 primarily driven by an increase in distribution resulting in higher sales volume.

Operating Expenses

Cost of revenues decreased by $118,000, or 14%, during the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024 primarily due to lower Zola sales. Cost of revenues increased $135,000, or 5%, during 2025 compared to 2024 driven by a 17% increase in Zola sales, which increased product costs and freight expenses. Cost of revenues for 2024 also included a write-down of $154,000 related to hemp and GoodWheat seed.

Selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses decreased by $1.1 million and $2.6 million for the fourth quarter and full year of 2025 compared to the same periods in 2024, respectively, primarily driven by operating costs and employee related costs in 2024 that were absent in 2025.

2

Other operating expenses increased by $1.2 million for the full year 2025 compared to 2024 driven by a $4.0 million gain related to the asset sale to Corteva in 2024 that was offset by a $750,000 gain related to the asset sale to Bioceres as well as a gain of $2.0 million associated with the reduction of the company’s contingent liability in 2025.

Net Loss Attributable to Common Stockholders

Net loss attributable to common stockholders for the fourth quarter of 2025 was $1.4 million, or $0.97 per share, compared to $4.1 million, or $2.98 per share, for the same period in 2024. The improvement in net loss attributable to common stockholders for the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024 was primarily driven by the decrease in SG&A expenses as well as the change in the estimated fair value of common stock warrant and option liabilities.

Net loss attributable to common stockholders for 2025 was $2.3 million, or $1.71 per share, compared to $7.1 million, or $5.17 per share, for 2024. The impr

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Nov 7, 2025 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-4.06%

$3.55

Act: -2.43%

5D

-12.15%

$3.25

Act: +1.89%

20D

+7.23%

$3.97

Price: $3.70 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-25-272368

8-K

0001469443false0001469443dei:FormerAddressMember2025-11-072025-11-0700014694432025-11-072025-11-07

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): November 07, 2025

Arcadia Biosciences, Inc. (Exact name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)

Delaware

001-37383

81-0571538

(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

5956 Sherry Lane Suite 2000

Dallas, Texas

75225

(Address of Principal Executive Offices)

(Zip Code)

Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code: 214 974-8921

5950 Sherry Lane, Suite 215

Dallas, TX 75225

(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ☒Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common

RKDA

The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 7, 2025 Arcadia Biosciences, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1, and related third quarter financial information is furnished as Exhibit 99.2, to this Current Report on Form 8-K and are incorporated herein by reference.

The information furnished in this Form 8-K, the press release attached as Exhibit 99.1, and the financial information attached as Exhibit 99.2, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section or Sections 11 and 12(a)(2) of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended. The information contained in this Item 2.02, in the press release attached as Exhibit 99.1, and in the financial information attached as Exhibit 99.2, shall not be incorporated by reference into any filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission made by the Company, whether made before or after the date hereof, regardless of any general incorporation language in such filing.

No Offer or Solicitation

As previously reported on a Report on Form 8-K filed by the Company with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") on December 6, 2024, on December 4, 2024, the Company, Roosevelt Resources, LP, a Texas limited partnership (“Roosevelt”), and certain other parties entered into a Securities Exchange Agreement (as the same may be amended, the “Exchange Agreement”) providing for the combination of the two companies in an all-stock transaction. Under the terms of the Exchange Agreement, at the closing of the transactions contemplated by the Exchange Agreement, Arcadia will issue to the partners of Roosevelt shares of Arcadia common stock in exchange for all of the equity interests in Roosevelt.

This Report, including the information contained herein and the exhibits filed or furnished herewith, is not intended to and does not constitute (i) a solicitation of a proxy, consent or approval with respect to any securities or in respect of the proposed Exchange transaction with Roosevelt or (ii) an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to subscribe for or buy or an invitation to purchase or subscribe for any securities pursuant to the proposed transaction or otherwise, nor shall there be any sale, issuance or transfer of securities in any jurisdiction in contravention of applicable law. No offer of securities shall be made except by means of a prospectus meeting the requirements of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or an exemption therefrom.

Subject to certain exceptions to be approved by the relevant regulators or certain facts to be ascertained, no public offer will be made directly or indirectly, in or into any jurisdic

About Arcadia Biosciences Inc. (RKDA) Earnings

This page provides Arcadia Biosciences Inc. (RKDA) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on RKDA's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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