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AI Earnings Predictions for Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+11.07%

$12.86

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+16.58%

$13.49

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+17.17%

$13.56

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $11.57 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q3 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q3 2026 BUY +11.07% +16.58% +17.17% 100.0% Pending
Q2 2026 SELL -7.60% -9.97% -6.39% 100.0% Pending
Q2 2026 SELL -7.60% -9.97% -6.39% 100.0% -14.75%
Q4 2025 SELL -7.52% -9.59% -6.80% 100.0% +9.23%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q3

Q3 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Oct 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+11.07%

$12.86

Act: +3.20%

5D

+16.58%

$13.49

20D

+17.17%

$13.56

Price: $11.57 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001874178-26-000065

EX-99.1

2 ex-9913q26rivianearningspr.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Rivian Releases Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results

•Generated $2.155 billion in revenue, a 38 percent increase year-over-year

•Deliveries up 46 percent year-over-year with R2 already the best-selling Rivian vehicle by volume, outselling both R1 and EDV in the third quarter

•Given Rivian’s strong performance, the company is improving 2026 guidance across all metrics

Irvine, California, October 29, 2026: Rivian Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ: RIVN), an American automotive technology company that develops and manufactures category-defining electric vehicles as well as vertically integrated technologies and offers a suite of value-added services, today announced its third quarter 2026 financial results.

RJ Scaringe, Rivian Founder and CEO, said:

“We had great results with R2 becoming our best selling vehicle by volume in the third quarter. Customer and media feedback on R2 has been exceptional. Regarding our technology roadmap, our autonomy platform is progressing rapidly, and we are super excited about Point to Point. We are laying the foundations for a future that we believe will be fully electric, autonomous and AI defined. I could not be more excited about the opportunity ahead for Rivian.”

Business Highlights

Rivian achieved record production volumes in Normal, Illinois as it continued to ramp R2 manufacturing. The company had record deliveries of 19,248 units with R2 delivering much of the gain quarter-over-quarter. R2 is already the best-selling Rivian vehicle, outselling both R1 and EDV in the third quarter. R2 continues to generate rave reviews and awards from the media and recently won Top Gear’s SUV of the Year for 2027.

Rivian continues to innovate with software and AI. With the Rivian Assistant, Rivian has developed a smarter and more customizable AI-defined vehicle experience for R1 and R2 owners. In its October OTA (over-the-air) update, the company added Gmail integration to Rivian Assistant and released the annual “Halloween Mode.”

Rivian continues to see strong momentum in the company’s Autonomy+ offering, which is available on every R2 and R1 starting with the 2025 model year. Today, every vehicle with Autonomy+ is capable of Universal Hands-Free on millions of miles of roads. Rivian’s next milestone is the company’s Point to Point feature. This means customers will be able to enter an address while their vehicle follows the route from start to finish, handling city streets, stop lights, highway interchanges and everything in-between with driver supervision. A limited rollout of Point to Point is expected to begin later this year via the invitation-only Autonomy Early Access Program, with a general release to all Autonomy+ subscribers expected in 2027. Rivian believes Point to Point capabilities will be an important purchase criteria for customers and are becoming a driver of market share. Additionally, last week, Rivian announced the acquisition of Third Dimension AI to support its closed loop simulation efforts. The company will share more at its Autonomy and AI Day on December 9.

Third Quarter 2026 Results Summary

Production and Deliveries

•19,751 vehicles produced at Rivian’s manufacturing facility in Normal, Illinois.

•19,248 vehicles delivered to customers.

Revenues

•Consolidated revenue was $2.155 billion, a 38 percent increase over the same quarter of the prior year. This was driven by a 46 percent year-over-year increase in delivery volumes, $81 million in revenues related to regulatory credits, and strong performance from the company’s software and services segment.

◦Automotive revenue was $1.550 billion, a 36 percent increase over the same quarter of the prior year, primarily due to the increase in vehicle deliveries and an $80 million increase in revenues related to regulatory credits, which were partially offset by a decline in average vehicle selling price due to a higher mix of R2 and commercial van deliveries.

◦Software and services revenue was $605 million, a 45 percent increase over the same quarter of the prior year, primarily due to increases in vehicle electrical architecture and software development services, vehicle repair and maintenance services, and Autonomy+, partially offset by lower remarketing sales. $354 million or 59 percent of software and services revenue was attributable to the company’s joint venture with Volkswagen Group.

Gross Profit

•Consolidated gross profit was $176 million, a $152 million improvement over the same quarter of the prior year.

◦Automotive gross profit loss for the third quarter was $(80) million compared to $(130) million in the same quarter of the prior year, a $50 million improvement primarily resulting from increases in delivery volumes at an improved per unit margin, an increase in revenues related to regulatory credits, and an IEEPA tariff refund receivable, partially offset by costs related to the ramp of R2 production. In the quarter, Rivian recognized ap

2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Jul 30, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-7.60%

$18.60

Act: -18.60%

5D

-9.97%

$18.13

Act: -14.75%

20D

-6.39%

$18.85

Price: $20.14 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001874178-26-000053

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2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Jul 6, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-7.60%

$18.60

Act: -18.60%

5D

-9.97%

$18.13

Act: -14.75%

20D

-6.39%

$18.85

Price: $20.14 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-080813

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U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

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The block will be lifted automatically by waiting 10 minutes. Continuing to exceed the SEC’s maximum allowable request rate during the time-out period will extend the duration of the time-out period. To ensure fair access for all users, please reduce the rate of your requests and visit SEC.gov again after the 10 minute time-out period has passed.

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For more information, please see the SEC’s Web Site Privacy and Security Policy. Thank you for your interest in the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

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Internet Security Policy

By using this site, you are agreeing to security monitoring and auditing. For security purposes, and to ensure that the public service remains available to users, this government computer system employs programs to monitor network traffic to identify unauthorized attempts to upload or change information or to otherwise cause damage, including attempts to deny service to users.

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If a user or application submits more than 10 requests per second, further requests from the IP address(es) may be limited for a brief period. Once the rate of requests has dropped below the threshold for 10 minutes, the user may resume accessing content on SEC.gov. This SEC practice is designed to limit excessive automated searches on SEC.gov and is not intended or expected to impact individuals browsing the SEC.gov website.

Note that this policy may change as the SEC manages SEC.gov to ensure that the website performs efficiently and remains available to all users.

Note: We do not offer technical support for developing or debugging scripted downloading processes.

About Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN) Earnings

This page provides Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on RIVN's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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