Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns
1-Day Prediction
+7.01%
$8.62
100% positive prob.
5-Day Prediction
+19.77%
$9.65
100% positive prob.
20-Day Prediction
+43.21%
$11.54
95% positive prob.
| Quarter | Signal | 1D Return | 5D Return | 20D Return | Confidence | Actual 5D |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | BUY | +7.01% | +19.77% | +43.21% | 100.0% | +3.85% |
| Q4 2025 | BUY | +7.01% | +19.77% | +43.21% | 100.0% | Pending |
| Q3 2025 | SELL | +0.63% | -6.62% | -15.12% | 100.0% | -18.67% |
SEC 8-K filings with transcript text
May 4, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
+7.01%
$8.62
Act: -4.22%
5D
+19.77%
$9.65
Act: +3.85%
20D
+43.21%
$11.54
Act: -6.08%
2 rail-ex99_1.htm
Exhibit 99.1
Press Release
FreightCar America, Inc. Reports First Quarter 2026 Results
Continued Aftermarket revenue growth of 86%
Gross profit margin of 17%, with 190 basis points of gross margin expansion
Sequential backlog growth of 14%
CHICAGO, May 4, 2026 – FreightCar America, Inc. (NASDAQ: RAIL) (“FreightCar America” or the “Company”), a diversified manufacturer and supplier of railroad freight cars, railcar parts and components, today reported results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026.
First Quarter 2026 Highlights
• Revenues of $64.3 million, consistent with expectations, compared to $96.3 million in the first quarter of 2025, with railcar deliveries of 577 units compared to 710 units in the prior year period
• Gross margin of 16.8% with gross profit of $10.8 million, compared to gross margin of 14.9% with gross profit of $14.4 million in the first quarter of 2025
• Recorded $49.1 million of non-cash adjustments related to warrant liability, resulting in net income of $41.6 million, or $1.15 per share, and adjusted net loss of $479 thousand, or $(0.04) per share
• Adjusted EBITDA was $3.2 million, representing a margin of 4.9%, compared to $6.4 million and a margin of 6.7% in the first quarter of 2025
• Ended the quarter with a backlog of 2,058 units valued at $156 million, reflecting a diversified mix of railcar conversion programs and new railcar builds
“Our first quarter results were in line with expectations and reflective of the current industry environment. Despite this environment, we continue to win high quality commercial opportunities, create new efficiencies and grow our aftermarket parts business. This represents our highest quarterly gross margin in over a decade and demonstrates that we are well positioned across the cycle,” said Nick Randall, President and Chief Executive Officer of FreightCar America. “Fleets continue to age and deferred replacement needs are contributing to pent-up demand across the industry. As replacement demand materializes, FreightCar America is well positioned to respond quickly and capitalize in a shorter lead-time environment, supported by scalable capacity and strong operational flexibility. At the same time, our differentiated full-service railcar offering, including retrofits, conversions and an expanding aftermarket presence, positions us well to drive growth and create value across a range of market conditions.”
Randall continued, “Looking ahead, we remain focused on disciplined execution against the opportunities we see across our business as the year progresses. Our tank car retrofit program remains on track, and we expect continued growth in our aftermarket program. Together, our total backlog, productivity improvements, flexible manufacturing footprint and disciplined commercial approach provide visibility into our full-year expectations and reinforce our ability to perform across a range of market conditions.”
Fiscal Year 2026 Outlook
The Company is reaffirming the outlook for fiscal year 2026:
Fiscal 2026 Outlook
Year-over-Year Change at Midpoint of Range
Railcar Deliveries
4,000 – 4,500 Railcars
3.0%
Revenue
$500 - $550 million
4.8%
Adjusted EBITDA1
$41 - $50 million
10.4%
1. The Company does not provide a reconciliation of forward-looking Adjusted EBITDA guidance due to the inherent difficulty in forecasting and quantifying adjustments necessary to calculate such non-GAAP measure without unreasonable effort. Material changes to such adjustments, including warrant liability and non-core operating items, could affect future GAAP results.
Mike Riordan, Chief Financial Officer of FreightCar America, added, “During the quarter, we continued to grow our backlog and maintained solid balance sheet flexibility, enabling us to further reduce debt and preserve financial strength. We are well positioned to continue executing on our capital allocation priorities, including targeted organic investments that expand our capabilities and disciplined selective opportunities that strengthen our platform. Looking ahead, we expect these investments to support profitable growth across the business and drive long-term value for our shareholders.”
First Quarter 2026 Conference Call & Webcast Information
The Company will host a conference call and live webcast on Tuesday, May 5, at 11:00 a.m. (Eastern Time) to discuss its first quarter 2026 financial results. FreightCar America invites shareholders and other interested parties to listen to its financial results conference call. Teleconference details are as follows:
• May 5, 2026
• 11:00 a.m. Eastern Time
• Phone: 1-877-407-0789 or 1-201-689-8562
• Webcast access: https://viavid.webcasts.com/starthere.jsp?ei=1759680&tp_key=d43c008515
An audio replay of the conference call will be available beginning at 3:00 p.m. (Eastern Time) on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, until 11:59 p.m. (Eastern Time) on Tuesday, May 19, 2026. To access the replay, pl
Mar 9, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
+7.01%
$10.70
Act: +0.09%
5D
+19.77%
$11.98
20D
+43.21%
$14.32
8-K
0001320854falsetrue0001320854us-gaap:CommonStockMember2026-03-092026-03-090001320854us-gaap:PreferredStockMember2026-03-092026-03-0900013208542026-03-092026-03-09
Washington, D.C. 20549
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): March 9, 2026
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Delaware
000-51237
25-1837219
(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)
(Commission File Number)
(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)
125 South Wacker Drive, Suite 1500 Chicago, Illinois 60606 (Address of Principal Executive Offices) (Zip Code) (800) 458-2235 (Registrant's telephone number, including area code) N/A (Former name or former address, if changed since last report)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:
☐
Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
☐
Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
☐
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
☐
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each class
Trading Symbol(s)
Name of each exchange on which registered
Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share
The Nasdaq Global Market
Preferred Stock Purchase Rights
N/A
The Nasdaq Global Market
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐
Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 9, 2026, FreightCar America, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025, and provided its financial outlook for the full year 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act. Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits
Exhibit 99.1
Earnings release dated March 9, 2025, issued by FreightCar America, Inc.
Exhibit 104
Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
Date: March 9, 2026
By:
/s/ Michael A. Riordan
Michael A. Riordan
Vice President, Finance, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
Nov 10, 2025 · 100% conf.
1D
+0.63%
$9.54
Act: -6.75%
5D
-6.62%
$8.85
Act: -18.67%
20D
-15.12%
$8.05
Act: -4.85%
8-K
false0001320854true0001320854us-gaap:CommonStockMember2025-11-102025-11-100001320854us-gaap:PreferredStockMember2025-11-102025-11-1000013208542025-11-102025-11-10
Washington, D.C. 20549
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): November 10, 2025
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Delaware
000-51237
25-1837219
(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)
(Commission File Number)
(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)
125 South Wacker Drive, Suite 1500 Chicago, Illinois 60606 (Address of Principal Executive Offices) (Zip Code) (800) 458-2235 (Registrant's telephone number, including area code) N/A (Former name or former address, if changed since last report)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:
☐
Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
☐
Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
☐
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
☐
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each class
Trading Symbol(s)
Name of each exchange on which registered
Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share
The Nasdaq Global Market
Preferred Stock Purchase Rights
N/A
The Nasdaq Global Market
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐
Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 10, 2025, FreightCar America, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the third quarter of 2025. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act. Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits
Exhibit 99.1
Earnings release dated November 10, 2025, issued by FreightCar America, Inc.
Exhibit 104
Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
Date: November 10, 2025
By:
/s/ Michael A. Riordan
Michael A. Riordan
Vice President, Finance, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
This page provides FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.
Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on RAIL's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.