Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns
1-Day Prediction
+0.08%
$5.85
0% positive prob.
5-Day Prediction
-8.98%
$5.32
0% positive prob.
20-Day Prediction
-14.44%
$5.01
0% positive prob.
| Quarter | Signal | 1D Return | 5D Return | 20D Return | Confidence | Actual 5D |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | SELL | +0.08% | -8.98% | -14.44% | 100.0% | Pending |
| Q2 2026 | SELL | -0.36% | -9.59% | -14.19% | 99.9% | Pending |
| Q1 2026 | BUY | +7.01% | +19.77% | +43.21% | 100.0% | +3.85% |
| Q4 2025 | BUY | +7.01% | +19.77% | +43.21% | 100.0% | Pending |
| Q3 2025 | SELL | +0.63% | -6.62% | -15.12% | 100.0% | -18.67% |
SEC 8-K filings with transcript text
Oct 19, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
+0.08%
$5.85
Act: -31.72%
5D
-8.98%
$5.32
20D
-14.44%
$5.01
2 rail-ex99_1.htm
Exhibit 99.1
Press Release
FreightCar America, Inc. Updates Full-Year 2026 Outlook and Reports Preliminary Third Quarter 2026 Results
Tank Car Retrofit Order Removed from Full-Year Outlook and Backlog
Full-Year 2026 Outlook Revised Across Railcar Deliveries, Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA
Full Third Quarter 2026 Results to Be Released on Monday, November 9, 2026, with Conference Call on Tuesday, November 10, 2026at 11:00 a.m. ET
CHICAGO, October 19, 2026 –FreightCar America, Inc. (NASDAQ: RAIL) (“FreightCar America” or the “Company”), a diversified manufacturer and supplier of railroad freight cars, railcar parts and components, today updated its outlook for fiscal year 2026 and reported preliminary results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026.
Tank Car Retrofit Order
The Company has elected to remove 1,285 railcars related to its tank car retrofit order from its backlog because the Company believes that the customer in question is unlikely to be able to meet its obligations under the associated customer contract. The order was to begin delivery in the second half of 2026 and continue through 2027. The updated 2026 outlook announced today excludes the railcars related to this order that had been scheduled to be delivered in 2026. No other orders in the Company’s backlog are affected. After this removal, backlog as of September 30, 2026 was 2,660 units valued at $284.5 million.
Preliminary Third Quarter 2026 Results
• Railcar deliveries of 662 units, compared to 1,304 units in the third quarter of 2025
• Revenue of $75 million to $77 million, compared to $160.5 million in the third quarter of 2025
• Adjusted EBITDA of $(0.3) million to $0.3 million, compared to $17.0 million in the third quarter of 2025
• Backlog of 2,660 units valued at $284.5 million as of September 30, 2026
These preliminary figures are unaudited and subject to the completion of the Company’s quarter-end closing procedures.
“We have elected to remove the customer’s contractually committed tank car retrofit order from our reported backlog in full,” said Nick Randall, President and Chief Executive Officer of FreightCar America. “The removal covers all deliveries scheduled for 2026 and 2027. Our updated 2026 outlook excludes the associated deliveries and reflects our current operating forecast. This adjustment is specific to one customer order. Our remaining backlog continues to be supported by firm customer commitments, and no other orders are affected by this adjustment.”
Randall continued, “Our commitment to the tank car retrofit market remains unchanged. We continue to focus on the railcar types where we have a proven record and continue to gain share, while growing our aftermarket business. Our flexible operating model positions us to execute on our remaining backlog and respond as industry demand improves. We look forward to discussing our commercial progress and strategic priorities on our upcoming earnings call.”
Updated Fiscal Year 2026 Outlook
The Company has updated its outlook for fiscal year 2026 as follows:
Updated Fiscal 2026 Outlook
Prior Fiscal 2026 Outlook (August 3, 2026)
Railcar Deliveries
3,100 – 3,300 railcars
3,500 – 3,900 railcars
Revenue
$370 – $410 million
$410 – $460 million
Adjusted EBITDA1
$15 – $19 million
$36 – $44 million
1. The Company does not provide a reconciliation of forward-looking Adjusted EBITDA guidance due to the inherent difficulty in forecasting and quantifying adjustments necessary to calculate such non-GAAP measure without unreasonable effort. Material changes to such adjustments, including warrant liability and non-core operating items, could affect future GAAP results.
Mike Riordan, Chief Financial Officer of FreightCar America, added, “While our updated outlook excludes the tank car retrofit order, we are confident in our ability to execute on our strategic priorities. With a lower cost base in place, we are positioned to deliver stronger results as our backlog converts into deliveries in 2027, along with continued growth in our aftermarket business.”
The Company expects to report its full third quarter 2026 financial results on Monday, November 9, 2026 after the market close and to host its regularly scheduled conference call on Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 11:00 a.m. (Eastern Time). Details will be provided in a separate announcement.
About FreightCar America
FreightCar America, headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, is a leading designer, producer and supplier of railroad freight cars, railcar parts and components. We also specialize in railcar repairs, complete railcar rebody services and railcar conversions that repurpose idled rail assets back into revenue service. Since 1901, our customers have trusted us to build quality railcars that are critical to economic growth and instrumental to the North American supply chain. To learn more about FreightCar America, visit www.freightcaramerica.com.
Forward-Look
Aug 3, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
-0.36%
$8.21
Act: +3.64%
5D
-9.59%
$7.45
20D
-14.19%
$7.07
2 rail-ex99_1.htm
Exhibit 99.1
Press Release
FreightCar America, Inc. Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results
Exceptional Order Intake and Increasing Market Share Drive Sequential Backlog Growth of 121%
Aftermarket revenue growth of 13% Year over Year; Second Aftermarket acquisition completed following Quarter-End
Operating cash flow of $12.1 million, and Free Cash Flow of $11.3 million, up 43% year over year
CHICAGO, August 3, 2026 – FreightCar America, Inc. (NASDAQ: RAIL) (“FreightCar America” or the “Company”), a diversified manufacturer and supplier of railroad freight cars, railcar parts and components, today reported results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026.
Second Quarter 2026 Highlights
• Revenues of $113.1 million, compared to $118.6 million in the second quarter of 2025, with railcar deliveries of 927 units compared to 939 units in the prior year period
• Aftermarket revenues grew 13% year over year, reflecting continued organic growth in parts and components and the contribution from our recent acquisition
• Gross margin of 5.5% with gross profit of $6.2 million, inclusive of $2.2 million of workforce realignment costs, compared to gross margin of 15.0% with gross profit of $17.8 million in the second quarter of 2025
• Recorded a $24.9 million non-cash loss related to share price appreciation accounting on the warrant liability, resulting in a net loss of $30.1 million, or $(0.94) per diluted share, and adjusted net loss of $0.8 million, or $(0.02) per diluted share, compared to adjusted net income of $3.8 million, or $0.11 per diluted share, in the prior year period.
• Holder exercised outstanding warrants during the quarter, reducing the warrant liability to $14.0 million at June 30, 2026 from $119.4 million at March 31, 2026 and resulting in positive stockholders’ equity of $36.2 million.
• Adjusted EBITDA of $1.2 million, representing a margin of 1.0%, compared to $9.3 million and a margin of 7.8% in the second quarter of 2025
• Ended the quarter with a backlog of 3,972 units valued at $344 million, reflecting a diversified mix of new railcar builds, conversions and retrofits
“Our second-quarter results reflect two different realities,” said Nick Randall, President and Chief Executive Officer of FreightCar America. “Commercially, we delivered one of the strongest order quarters in our recent history, with backlog value increasing 121% sequentially and our share of industry new-railcar orders reaching approximately 45%. Operationally, the production ramp began later than planned due to customer delivery timing, reducing fixed-cost absorption and shifting a portion of expected 2026 deliveries into early 2027.”
Randall continued, “We realigned our Castaños operating footprint to the productivity improvements achieved over the past two years, while preserving the installed capacity and critical capabilities required to scale. As a result, we expect to generate approximately $12 million of annualized structural savings, with benefits beginning in the third quarter. Combined with 13% growth in aftermarket revenue and the addition of our second acquisition following quarter-end, we enter the second half with a substantially larger backlog, a lower cost base and a broader presence across the railcar lifecycle.”
Fiscal Year 2026 Outlook
The Company has updated its outlook for fiscal year 2026 as follows:
Updated Fiscal 2026 Outlook
Year-over-Year Change at Midpoint of Range
Railcar Deliveries
3,500 – 3,900 railcars
(10.3)%
Revenue
$410 - $460 million
(13.2)%
Adjusted EBITDA1
$36 - $44 million
(2.9)%
1. The Company does not provide a reconciliation of forward-looking Adjusted EBITDA guidance due to the inherent difficulty in forecasting and quantifying adjustments necessary to calculate such non-GAAP measure without unreasonable effort. Material changes to such adjustments, including warrant liability and non-core operating items, could affect future GAAP results.
Mike Riordan, Chief Financial Officer of FreightCar America, added, “Free cash flow rose 43% year over year to $11.3 million, while maintaining solid balance sheet flexibility. We also closed our second aftermarket acquisition in under a year, an immediately accretive addition to our business as we continue to execute on our capital allocation priorities. While our updated full-year outlook reflects the shift in new railcar delivery timing, our lower cost structure and robust order intake support stronger results in the back half. Our long-term growth trajectory and value we are building for the years ahead remain firmly on track.”
Second Quarter 2026 Conference Call & Webcast Information
The Company will host a conference call and live webcast on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, at 11:00 a.m. (Eastern Time) to discuss its second quarter 2026 financial results. FreightCar America invites shareholders and other interested parties to listen to its financial results conference call. Teleco
May 4, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
+7.01%
$8.62
Act: -4.22%
5D
+19.77%
$9.65
Act: +3.85%
20D
+43.21%
$11.54
Act: -6.08%
2 rail-ex99_1.htm
Exhibit 99.1
Press Release
FreightCar America, Inc. Reports First Quarter 2026 Results
Continued Aftermarket revenue growth of 86%
Gross profit margin of 17%, with 190 basis points of gross margin expansion
Sequential backlog growth of 14%
CHICAGO, May 4, 2026 – FreightCar America, Inc. (NASDAQ: RAIL) (“FreightCar America” or the “Company”), a diversified manufacturer and supplier of railroad freight cars, railcar parts and components, today reported results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026.
First Quarter 2026 Highlights
• Revenues of $64.3 million, consistent with expectations, compared to $96.3 million in the first quarter of 2025, with railcar deliveries of 577 units compared to 710 units in the prior year period
• Gross margin of 16.8% with gross profit of $10.8 million, compared to gross margin of 14.9% with gross profit of $14.4 million in the first quarter of 2025
• Recorded $49.1 million of non-cash adjustments related to warrant liability, resulting in net income of $41.6 million, or $1.15 per share, and adjusted net loss of $479 thousand, or $(0.04) per share
• Adjusted EBITDA was $3.2 million, representing a margin of 4.9%, compared to $6.4 million and a margin of 6.7% in the first quarter of 2025
• Ended the quarter with a backlog of 2,058 units valued at $156 million, reflecting a diversified mix of railcar conversion programs and new railcar builds
“Our first quarter results were in line with expectations and reflective of the current industry environment. Despite this environment, we continue to win high quality commercial opportunities, create new efficiencies and grow our aftermarket parts business. This represents our highest quarterly gross margin in over a decade and demonstrates that we are well positioned across the cycle,” said Nick Randall, President and Chief Executive Officer of FreightCar America. “Fleets continue to age and deferred replacement needs are contributing to pent-up demand across the industry. As replacement demand materializes, FreightCar America is well positioned to respond quickly and capitalize in a shorter lead-time environment, supported by scalable capacity and strong operational flexibility. At the same time, our differentiated full-service railcar offering, including retrofits, conversions and an expanding aftermarket presence, positions us well to drive growth and create value across a range of market conditions.”
Randall continued, “Looking ahead, we remain focused on disciplined execution against the opportunities we see across our business as the year progresses. Our tank car retrofit program remains on track, and we expect continued growth in our aftermarket program. Together, our total backlog, productivity improvements, flexible manufacturing footprint and disciplined commercial approach provide visibility into our full-year expectations and reinforce our ability to perform across a range of market conditions.”
Fiscal Year 2026 Outlook
The Company is reaffirming the outlook for fiscal year 2026:
Fiscal 2026 Outlook
Year-over-Year Change at Midpoint of Range
Railcar Deliveries
4,000 – 4,500 Railcars
3.0%
Revenue
$500 - $550 million
4.8%
Adjusted EBITDA1
$41 - $50 million
10.4%
1. The Company does not provide a reconciliation of forward-looking Adjusted EBITDA guidance due to the inherent difficulty in forecasting and quantifying adjustments necessary to calculate such non-GAAP measure without unreasonable effort. Material changes to such adjustments, including warrant liability and non-core operating items, could affect future GAAP results.
Mike Riordan, Chief Financial Officer of FreightCar America, added, “During the quarter, we continued to grow our backlog and maintained solid balance sheet flexibility, enabling us to further reduce debt and preserve financial strength. We are well positioned to continue executing on our capital allocation priorities, including targeted organic investments that expand our capabilities and disciplined selective opportunities that strengthen our platform. Looking ahead, we expect these investments to support profitable growth across the business and drive long-term value for our shareholders.”
First Quarter 2026 Conference Call & Webcast Information
The Company will host a conference call and live webcast on Tuesday, May 5, at 11:00 a.m. (Eastern Time) to discuss its first quarter 2026 financial results. FreightCar America invites shareholders and other interested parties to listen to its financial results conference call. Teleconference details are as follows:
• May 5, 2026
• 11:00 a.m. Eastern Time
• Phone: 1-877-407-0789 or 1-201-689-8562
• Webcast access: https://viavid.webcasts.com/starthere.jsp?ei=1759680&tp_key=d43c008515
An audio replay of the conference call will be available beginning at 3:00 p.m. (Eastern Time) on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, until 11:59 p.m. (Eastern Time) on Tuesday, May 19, 2026. To access the replay, pl
This page provides FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.
Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on RAIL's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.