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AI Earnings Predictions for Prairie Operating Co. (PROP)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-9.66%

$0.93

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-18.31%

$0.84

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-21.42%

$0.81

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $1.03 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q1 2026

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

May 14, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-9.66%

$0.93

Act: -16.98%

5D

-18.31%

$0.84

Act: -12.62%

20D

-21.42%

$0.81

Act: -24.06%

Price: $1.03 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001140361-26-021309

EX-99.1

2 ef20072808_ex99-1.htm

EXHIBIT 99.1

Exhibit 99.1

Houston, Texas, May 14, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Prairie Operating Co. (Nasdaq: PROP) (the “Company,” “Prairie,” “we,” “our,” or “us”) – an independent energy company engaged in the development and acquisition of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (“NGL”) resources in the Denver-Julesburg (DJ) Basin – today announced its financial and operational results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026.

Recent Key Highlights

Total production of 2.1 MMBoe, or approximately 23,200 Boe/d, with 72% liquids (48% oil).

Total revenue of $83.4 million, an increase of over 500% quarter-over-quarter

Adjusted EBITDA(1) of $37.2 million, an increase of over 600% quarter-over-quarter.

Delivered strong operational execution, with recently drilled wells coming in below AFE.

Expanded hedging program, securing commodity price protection through the second quarter of 2029.

Executed partial refinancing of the Series F Preferred Stock in April, reducing outstanding balance and significantly lowering warrant-related dilution.

(1) Adjusted EBITDA is a Non-GAAP measure, refer to “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for reconciliations of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures used throughout this Current Report on Form 8-K.

Richard Frommer Interim Chief Executive Officer, commented:

“Prairie delivered a strong start to 2026, with meaningful production growth, solid financial performance, and continued operational execution across our DJ Basin assets. Importantly, we made significant progress on our capital structure during the quarter through the partial refinancing of the Series F Preferred, which reduced both the outstanding balance and potential dilution. This marks an important step forward, and we remain focused on fully addressing the remaining Series F Preferred to simplify our capital structure and remove this overhang entirely. With a high-quality asset base, improving financial profile, and clear strategic priorities, we believe Prairie is well positioned to deliver sustainable long-term value for our shareholders.”

First Quarter 2026 Highlights

Revenue of $83.4 million, driven by realized prices (excluding hedges) of $67.91 per barrel for oil, $13.33 per barrel for NGLs, and $2.53 per Mcf for natural gas.

Net loss attributable to Prairie Operating Co. common stockholders of $174.4 million, or $2.16 basic loss per share.

Adjusted EBITDA(1) of $37.2 million compared to $5.2 million for the quarter ended March 31, 2025.

Capital expenditures incurred of $34.1 million.

Net cash provided by operating activities of $42.3 million.

(1) Adjusted EBITDA is a Non-GAAP measure, refer to “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for reconciliations of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures used throughout this Current Report on Form 8-K.

Operational Update

Operationally, the first quarter of 2026 reflected continued strong execution across Prairie’s DJ Basin position, with a clear focus on efficiency, cost control, and consistent well performance.

Since January 1, the Company has drilled a total of 17 wells across two of its key development pads. At the Elder pad, Prairie drilled nine wells with an average spud-to-rig release time of 6.2 days and an average measured depth of approximately 18,435 feet. At the Opal Coalbank pad, the Company drilled 8 wells with an average spud-to-rig release time of 5.5 days and an average measured depth of approximately 18,373 feet.

Operational performance remained strong across both pads. Notably, 13 of the 17 wells were drilled in a single run, and all wells were delivered below AFE, with average cost savings exceeding $100,000 per well. These results highlight the Company’s continued improvements in drilling efficiency, execution consistency, and capital discipline. From a geological standpoint, the program included 13 Niobrara wells and four Codell wells, further enhancing the depth and quality of Prairie’s development inventory.

In addition to drilling activity, the Company continued to advance completion and turn-in-line operations, with early well performance meeting or exceeding expectations.

Overall, Prairie continues to execute at a high level, delivering strong operational results while maintaining disciplined capital allocation and positioning the Company for sustained, efficient growth.

First Quarter Results

Key Financial Highlights

(In thousands, except per share amounts)

Three Months Ended March 31, 2026

Total revenues

$

83,417

Net loss attributable to Prairie Operating Co. common stockholders

$

(174,397

)

Loss per share – basic & diluted

$

(2.16

)

Adjusted EBITDA

$

37,203

Capital expenditures (1)

$

34,074

(1)

Excludes $47.3 million of capital costs included in accounts payable and accrued expenses as of March 31, 2026.

Revenue And Production

Revenue for the quarter ended March 31, 2026 was $83.4 million, $67.8 million related to oil. Production for the quarter ended Marc

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K

Mar 30, 2026

0001140361-26-012029

EX-99.1

2 ef20068429_ex99-1.htm

EXHIBIT 99.1

Exhibit 99.1

Prairie Operating Co. Announces Year End 2025 Results

2025 total revenue of $241.6 million (approximately $315.0 million including Bayswater), an increase of approximately 3,000% year-over-year

Record Adjusted EBITDA(1) of $155.5 million (approximately $220.0 million including Bayswater), an increase of over 975% year-over-year

Approximately 3,900% increase in yearly production to an average of 18,500 Boe/d (approximately 24,000 Boe/d including Bayswater) (50% oil / 73% liquids)

Current production rate of approximately 28,000 net Boe/d

Reached agreement to extend grant of Series F Preferred equity anniversary warrants

Houston, Texas, March 30, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Prairie Operating Co. (Nasdaq: PROP) (the “Company,” “Prairie,” “we,” “our,” or “us”), an independent energy company engaged in the development and acquisition of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (“NGL”) resources in the Denver-Julesburg (DJ) Basin – today announced its financial and operational results for the year ended December 31, 2025.

Recent Key Highlights

Record total production of 6.75 million of barrels of oil equivalent (“MMBoe”) (approximately 73% liquids).

Proved reserves of 121,119 MBoe, 43% of which are proved undeveloped with a discounted future net cash flows of $851.7 million, PV-10(1) of $1,219.8 million.

Expanded hedging program, securing favorable commodity pricing through 2029.

Closed and completed transition services period for $602.75 million acquisition of assets from Bayswater Exploration & Production.

Completed six additional complementary acquisitions, adding approximately 44,000 net acres at attractive metrics.

Exited 2025 with a current production rate of approximately 28,000 net Boe/d, reflecting the strength of the Company’s asset base and the impact of development activity during the year.

(1) EBITDA and PV-10 are Non-GAAP measures, refer to “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for reconciliations of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures used throughout this Current Report on Form 8-K.

Richard Frommer Interim Chief Executive Officer, commented:

“2025 marked a transformational year for Prairie. We materially scaled production, expanded margins, fully integrated the Bayswater assets, and strengthened our balance sheet while maintaining capital discipline and operational excellence.”

“Our team delivered record production and Adjusted EBITDA (1), giving us strong momentum entering 2026. With a deep inventory of high-quality drilling locations, expanded hedge protection, and growing scale in the DJ Basin, we believe Prairie is well positioned to execute on its strategy and create long-term shareholder value.”

Year End 2025 Results Summary

Revenue of $241.6 million (approximately $315.0 million including Bayswater), driven by realized prices (excluding hedges) of $59.91 per barrel for oil, $18.16 per barrel for NGLs, and $0.88 per Mcf for natural gas.

Net loss attributable to common stockholders of $60.9 million, or $1.35 basic loss per share.

Adjusted EBITDA(1) of $155.5 million (approximately $220.0 million including Bayswater) compared to $(17.7) million for the year ended December 31, 2024.

Capital expenditures incurred of $183.4 million, approximately 35% below midpoint of guidance.

Net cash provided by operating activities of $153.9 million.

Proved reserves of 121,119 MBoe, 43% of which are proved undeveloped.

Standardized measure of discounted future net cash flows of $851.7 million, PV-10(1) of $1,219.8 million.

(1) Adjusted EBITDA and PV-10 are Non-GAAP measures, refer to “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for reconciliations of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures used throughout this Current Report on Form 8-K.

2025 Operational Summary

Operationally, 2025 marked a significant step forward for Prairie as the Company completed the transition period following the Bayswater acquisition and assumed full operational control of those assets.

On April 1, 2025, we launched the development program at our Rusch pad development in Weld County, which consists of 11 two-mile lateral wells. The Rusch wells came online late in September 2025 with initial average oil and natural gas production measured before any deductions for fuel, flare, or vented volumes (“Two-stream”) gross production of 475 Boe/d.

On April 28, 2025, we announced our plan to begin completions on nine previously drilled but uncompleted wells acquired in the Bayswater Acquisition. Completion activities at the Opal/Coalbank pad began in May 2025, and the wells came online mid-July 2025 with initial average Two-stream gross production of 725 Boe/d.

On June 1, 2025, we moved the drilling rig to our Noble pad development in Weld County, which consists of seven wells. The Noble wells came online in November 2025 with initial average Two-stream gross production of 550 Boe/d.

In September 2025, we moved the drilling rig to o

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Nov 14, 2025

0001140361-25-042355

false000116289600011628962025-11-142025-11-14

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d)

of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): November 14, 2025

Prairie Operating Co.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware

001-41895

98-0357690

(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

55 Waugh Drive

Suite 400

Houston, TX

77007

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip Code)

(713) 766-1200

(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

Not Applicable

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share

PROP

The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02

Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On November 14, 2025, Prairie Operating Co. announced its financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025 by issuing a press release. The full text of the press release issued in connection with the announcement is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1.

The information being furnished under Item 2.02 of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as may be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.

Item 9.01

Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits

Exhibit Number

Description

99.1

Press Release, dated November 14, 2025.

104

Cover Page Interactive Date File-formatted as Inline XBRL.

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

PRAIRIE OPERATING CO.

By:

/s/ Gregory S. Patton

Name:

Gregory S. Patton

Title:

Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

Date: November 14, 2025

About Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) Earnings

This page provides Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on PROP's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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