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AI Earnings Predictions for PROG Holdings Inc. (PRG)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+2.42%

$31.41

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+5.41%

$32.32

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+2.70%

$31.49

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $30.66 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q3 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q3 2026 BUY +2.42% +5.41% +2.70% 100.0% Pending
Q2 2026 BUY +2.65% +5.16% +4.10% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 BUY +3.10% +5.78% +4.14% 100.0% +1.40%
Q4 2025 SELL -2.75% -5.91% -4.42% 100.0% +2.71%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

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2026
Q3

Q3 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Oct 28, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+2.42%

$31.41

Act: +8.42%

5D

+5.41%

$32.32

20D

+2.70%

$31.49

Price: $30.66 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001628280-26-067737

EX-99.1

2 a2026q3ex991earningsrelease.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

PROG Holdings Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results

•Consolidated revenues from continuing operations of $725.8 million, up 25.6%; Net earnings from continuing operations of $37.5 million

•Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations of $80.0 million, up 21.8%

•Diluted EPS from continuing operations of $0.92; Non-GAAP Diluted EPS from continuing operations of $1.06, up 21.8%

•Consolidated GMV of $912.0 million, up 58.9%

•Net leverage ratio ended the quarter at 1.5x

•Company announces intention to enter into $100 million accelerated share repurchase program during the fourth quarter, Board replenishes and extends current share repurchase program

SALT LAKE CITY, October 28, 2026 - PROG Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PRG), the fintech holding company for Progressive Leasing, Four Technologies, MoneyApp and Purchasing Power, today announced financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026, which includes the results of Purchasing Power since January 2, 2026, the date the Company acquired Purchasing Power.

"Our third-quarter results reflect the strength and resilience of our diversified platform and the discipline with which we run it, with consolidated GMV growth of 59% and continued profitability even against a more pressured consumer backdrop," said Steve Michaels, PROG Holdings’ Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer. "We are taking a more cautious view of the consumer as we close out the year, but the fundamentals of our business remain strong, and our strategic progress is clear. Our growth engine is working, and we are improving portfolio metrics with our active management in the face of macro pressures. Every part of our ecosystem is contributing, with Four delivering profitable, triple-digit growth and Purchasing Power performing as expected as it enters its most important quarter of the year. Together with a healthy balance sheet, we believe this will continue to give us the flexibility to invest in the business while returning meaningful capital to shareholders. We continued repurchasing shares throughout the third quarter and we are announcing today our intention to enter into an accelerated share repurchase program, which reflects our deep conviction in the long-term value we are building. This keeps us on track to deliver against the multi-year growth targets we laid out at our Investor Day in March."

Consolidated Results

Consolidated revenues for the third quarter of 2026 were $725.8 million, an increase of 25.6% from the same period in 2025.

Consolidated net earnings from continuing operations for the quarter were $37.5 million, compared with $32.3 million in the prior year period. The effective income tax rate was 28.4% in the third quarter of 2026, compared to 27.8% in the same period in the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations for the quarter was $80.0 million, or 11.0% of revenues, compared with $65.7 million, or 11.4% of revenues for the same period in 2025.

Diluted earnings per share from continuing operations for the third quarter of 2026 were $0.92, compared with $0.80 in the year ago period. On a non-GAAP basis, diluted earnings per share from continuing operations were up 21.8% at $1.06 in the third quarter of 2026, compared with $0.87 for the same period in 2025.

Progressive Leasing Results

Progressive Leasing's third quarter GMV of $420.4 million was up 2.3% compared to the same period in 2025. Revenues were $552.7 million, down 0.7% from the prior year. The provision for lease merchandise write-offs for the quarter was 8.3% of leasing revenues. Earnings before taxes for the third quarter of 2026 were $40.8 million, down 12.7% from the third quarter of 2025. Adjusted EBITDA was $56.5 million, down 12.3% from the third quarter of 2025.

Four Results

Four's GMV for the third quarter of 2026 was $330.4 million, an increase of 102.6% compared to the same period in the prior year. Revenues were $37.2 million, up 113.8% from the year ago period. Four's earnings before taxes for the third quarter of 2026 were $10.0 million, up 683.6% from the third quarter of 2025. Adjusted EBITDA was $11.4 million, up 323.3% from the third quarter of 2025.

Purchasing Power Results

The Company acquired Purchasing Power on January 2, 2026. Purchasing Power's GMV, which is defined as the total value of merchandise and services purchased and delivered to customers through its platform, was $161.2 million, up 12.3% from the third quarter of 2025 on a standalone basis.

Revenues were $131.8 million in the third quarter of 2026. Earnings before taxes were $3.0 million and adjusted EBITDA was $12.9 million for the third quarter of 2026.

Liquidity and Capital Allocation

PROG Holdings ended the third quarter of 2026 with cash of $108.9 million and gross debt of $872.0 million. Since the acquisition of Purchasing Power, the Company has reduced its total debt by $326.6 million. The Company repurchas

2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jul 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+2.65%

$43.92

Act: +0.75%

5D

+5.16%

$44.99

20D

+4.10%

$44.53

Price: $42.78 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001808834-26-000101

EX-99.1

2 a2026q2ex991earningsrelease.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

PROG Holdings Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results

•Consolidated revenues from continuing operations of $719.7 million, up 22.3%; Net earnings from continuing operations of $37.4 million

•Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations of $88.4 million, up 22.8%

•Diluted EPS from continuing operations of $0.92; Non-GAAP Diluted EPS from continuing operations of $1.19, up 19.0%

•Consolidated GMV of $902.0 million, up 60.1%

•Net leverage ratio ended the quarter at 1.7x

SALT LAKE CITY, July 29, 2026 - PROG Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PRG), the fintech holding company for Progressive Leasing, Four Technologies, MoneyApp and Purchasing Power, today announced financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026, which includes the results of Purchasing Power since January 2, 2026, the date the Company acquired Purchasing Power.

"PROG Holdings delivered a strong second quarter, with revenue toward the higher end of our outlook and both adjusted EBITDA and Non-GAAP EPS coming in above the top end of our April outlook ranges, a reflection of disciplined execution across the business," said PROG Holdings Chairman, President and CEO Steve Michaels. "Every product in our ecosystem contributed: consolidated GMV grew 60% year-over-year, Progressive Leasing returned to positive GMV growth of 3.4% with adjusted EBITDA margin at 12.7%, Four delivered its eleventh consecutive quarter of triple-digit GMV growth, and Purchasing Power's GMV grew double-digits."

"Equally important was our continued strengthening of the balance sheet. We used our strong cash flow to pay down debt, bringing our net leverage ratio to approximately 1.7 times, down from about 2.5 times right after the acquisition of Purchasing Power, and comfortably within our targeted range of 1.5 to 2.0 times. This deleveraging gave us the confidence to resume share repurchases during the quarter."

"Reflecting our second-quarter outperformance and the momentum we see across our product ecosystem, we are raising our full-year 2026 outlook. Our performance is a testament to the resilience of our platform and the discipline with which we run it," concluded Michaels.

Consolidated Results

Consolidated revenues for the second quarter of 2026 were $719.7 million, an increase of 22.3% from the same period in 2025.

Consolidated net earnings from continuing operations for the quarter were $37.4 million, compared with $37.6 million in the prior year period. The effective income tax rate was 26.4% in the second quarter of 2026, compared to 26.5% in the same period in the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations for the quarter was $88.4 million, or 12.3% of revenues, compared with $72.0 million, or 12.2% of revenues for the same period in 2025.

Diluted earnings per share from continuing operations for the second quarter of 2026 were $0.92, compared with $0.93 in the year ago period. On a non-GAAP basis, diluted earnings per share from continuing operations were up 19.0% at $1.19 in the second quarter of 2026, compared with $1.00 for the same period in 2025.

Progressive Leasing Results

Progressive Leasing's second quarter GMV of $428.1 million was up 3.4% compared to the same period in 2025. Revenues were $550.6 million, down 3.4% from the prior year. The provision for lease merchandise write-offs for the quarter was 8.4% of leasing revenues. Earnings before taxes for the second quarter of 2026 were $45.4 million, down 11.9% from the second quarter of 2025. Adjusted EBITDA was $69.9 million, up 0.3% from the second quarter of 2025.

Four Results

Four's GMV for the second quarter of 2026 was $315.1 million, an increase of 110.6% compared to the same period in the prior year. Revenues were $35.1 million, up 118.2% from the year ago period. Four's earnings before taxes for the second quarter of 2026 were $7.1 million, up 139.9% from the second quarter of 2025. Adjusted EBITDA was $8.7 million, up 111.2% from the second quarter of 2025.

Purchasing Power Results

The Company acquired Purchasing Power on January 2, 2026. Purchasing Power's GMV, which is defined as the total value of merchandise and services purchased and delivered to customers through its platform, was $158.8 million, up 15.2% from the second quarter of 2025 on a standalone basis.

Revenues were $130.4 million in the second quarter of 2026. Loss before taxes was $0.3 million and adjusted EBITDA was $10.6 million for the second quarter of 2026.

Liquidity and Capital Allocation

PROG Holdings ended the second quarter of 2026 with cash of $85.2 million and gross debt of $893.7 million. During the quarter, the Company repaid $50.0 million of debt related to the acquisition of Purchasing Power. Since the acquisition of Purchasing Power, the Company has reduced its total debt by $304.9 million. The Company repurchased $10.2 million of its stock in the quarter at an average price of $36.37 per share, leaving $299.4 million

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Apr 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+3.10%

$36.95

Act: -0.03%

5D

+5.78%

$37.91

Act: +1.40%

20D

+4.14%

$37.32

Act: +3.82%

Price: $35.84 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001808834-26-000065

EX-99.1

2 a2026q1ex991earningsrelease.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

PROG Holdings Reports First Quarter 2026 Results

•Consolidated revenues from continuing operations of $742.7 million, up 11.1%; Net earnings from continuing operations of $36.2 million

•Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations of $90.3 million, up 29.2%

•Diluted EPS from continuing operations of $0.89; Non-GAAP Diluted EPS from continuing operations of $1.24, up 37.8%

•Consolidated GMV of $805.6 million, up 54.4%

•$210 million of net recourse debt reduction since the acquisition of Purchasing Power, resulting in net leverage ratio of 2.0

SALT LAKE CITY, April 29, 2026 - PROG Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PRG), the fintech holding company for Progressive Leasing, Purchasing Power, Four Technologies and MoneyApp, today announced financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026, which includes the results of Purchasing Power since January 2, 2026, the date the Company acquired Purchasing Power.

"We delivered a strong start to 2026, with first quarter results exceeding the high end of our outlook for earnings, and non-GAAP EPS," said PROG Holdings President and CEO Steve Michaels. "This performance reflects disciplined execution across the organization and the benefits of our diversified model, with improving trends at Progressive Leasing, continued triple-digit growth and strong economics at Four, and growth at Purchasing Power. Importantly, Progressive Leasing returned to year-over-year GMV growth as we exited the quarter, reflecting the progress we've made on our initiatives and the lapping of prior headwinds. We also meaningfully improved the balance sheet, reducing our net leverage ratio to two times as we prioritized debt reduction following the Purchasing Power acquisition."

"We saw continued momentum in our ecosystem with increasing engagement across products, which is driving higher customer lifetime value and improving acquisition efficiency. As our ecosystem scales, we are able to drive more efficient growth through cross-product connectivity."

"Based on our strong first quarter and the momentum we are seeing in the business, we have increased our full-year 2026 outlook, providing a positive start towards the three-year 2028 compound annual growth targets we outlined at our Investor Day. These targets, inclusive of Purchasing Power on a pro forma 2025 basis, are to grow consolidated GMV 20% to 25%, revenue 5% to 8%, Adjusted EBITDA 13% to 16%, and non-GAAP EPS 17% to 20%. Despite a challenging

macro environment, our model is performing as designed, and we remain focused on executing our Grow, Enhance, and Expand strategy that we believe will deliver durable, profitable growth and long-term shareholder value," concluded Michaels.

Consolidated Results

Consolidated revenues for the first quarter of 2026 were $742.7 million, an increase of 11.1% from the same period in 2025.

Consolidated net earnings from continuing operations for the quarter were $36.2 million, compared with $34.6 million in the prior year period. The effective income tax rate was 23.9% in the first quarter of 2026, compared to 26.8% in the same period in the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations for the quarter was $90.3 million, or 12.2% of revenues, compared with $69.9 million, or 10.5% of revenues for the same period in 2025.

Diluted earnings per share from continuing operations for the first quarter of 2026 were $0.89, compared with $0.83 in the year ago period. On a non-GAAP basis, diluted earnings per share from continuing operations were up 37.8% at $1.24 in the first quarter of 2026, compared with $0.90 for the same period in 2025.

Progressive Leasing Results

Progressive Leasing's first quarter GMV of $393.0 million was down 2.2% compared to the same period in 2025. Revenues were $596.9 million, down 8.4% from the prior year. The provision for lease merchandise write-offs for the quarter was 7.3% of leasing revenues, approximately flat from the prior year, and within the Company's 6-8% targeted annual range. Earnings before taxes for the first quarter of 2026 were $52.0 million, up 6.9% from the first quarter of 2025. Adjusted EBITDA was $76.7 million, up 14.1% from the first quarter of 2025.

Four Results

Four's GMV for the first quarter of 2026 was $280.0 million, an increase of 133.6% compared to the same period in the prior year. Revenues were $35.0 million, up 142.3% from the year ago period. Four's earnings before taxes for the first quarter of 2026 were $11.4 million, up 478.2% from the first quarter of 2025. Adjusted EBITDA was $12.9 million, up 201.0% from the first quarter of 2025.

Purchasing Power Results

The Company acquired Purchasing Power on January 2, 2026. Accordingly, results for the first quarter 2026 reflect activity since the acquisition date. Purchasing Power's GMV, which is defined as the total value of merchandise and services purchased and delivered to customers through its platform, was $

About PROG Holdings Inc. (PRG) Earnings

This page provides PROG Holdings Inc. (PRG) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on PRG's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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