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AI Earnings Predictions for PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust of Beneficial Interest (PMT)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+5.34%

$7.72

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+6.77%

$7.82

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+8.94%

$7.98

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $7.33 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q3 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q3 2026 BUY +5.34% +6.77% +8.94% 100.0% Pending
Q2 2026 BUY +5.34% +6.77% +8.93% 99.8% -2.48%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q3

Q3 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Oct 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+5.34%

$7.72

5D

+6.77%

$7.82

20D

+8.94%

$7.98

Price: $7.33 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-437878

EX-99.1

2 d179622dex991.htm

EX-99.1

EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results and

Announces Changes to its Leadership Team

WESTLAKE VILLAGE, Calif. – October 29, 2026 – PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (NYSE: PMT) today reported net loss attributable to common shareholders of $36 million, or $(0.41) per common share on net investment income of $36 million for the third quarter of 2026. Adjusted net income attributable to common shareholders was $30 million, or $0.35 in adjusted earnings per share (EPS)1.

PMT’s Board of Trustees also approved a $130 million increase to its share repurchase authorization, bringing total available repurchase capacity to over $200 million.

Additionally, PMT today announced that Doug Jones, President and Chief Mortgage Banking Officer, will be retiring on June 30, 2027 after a storied career in the mortgage banking industry including more than 15 years of leadership at Pennymac. His roles and responsibilities will transition to other senior leaders within the company over the next several months.

Also, effective January 1, 2027, Kevin Ryan, currently Chief Strategy Officer, will assume the role of Chief Financial Officer (CFO). Current CFO, Daniel Perotti, will remain in his current role through the remainder of this year and will continue to support the company in an advisory role through the first quarter of 2027. Mr. Ryan will continue to lead the strategy and business development teams while in his new role.

“I am extraordinarily grateful to both Doug and Dan for their long service at Pennymac and their ongoing commitment to and passion for our business,” said Chairman and Chief Executive Officer David Spector. “Both served in various roles and helped to shape Pennymac’s significant growth and transformation into a leading mortgage company. They have made invaluable contributions to the company, and will be greatly missed.”

Mr. Spector continued, “We are very fortunate to have an exceptional leadership team and a deep bench of talent to lead Pennymac into the next chapter, and drive long-term value for our shareholders.”

CEO Commentary

“PMT navigated a challenging third-quarter market backdrop characterized by widening mortgage spreads and sharply rising benchmark interest rates,” said Chairman and CEO David Spector. “While these dynamics pressured the net fair value of our portfolio assets and reduced book value by approximately 5%, our underlying portfolio performed well, generating adjusted EPS of $0.35 per common share, or an annualized adjusted ROE of 9%.1”

Mr. Spector continued, “We have continued to adjust our investment portfolio by rotating capital into organically created, higher-returning credit investments. In recent periods, we have sold or contracted to sell $35 billion in UPB of MSRs, releasing capital from lower-yielding assets and redeploying the proceeds into investments from private-label securitizations which we expect will deliver low-to-mid-teens ROEs. During the third quarter, we completed eight securitizations and retained $167 million in senior and subordinate investments. Additionally, our projected run-rate return potential increased to $0.38 per share. Given these dynamics and considering PMT currently trades at a steep discount to book value, we expect to decrease our current dividend in favor of share repurchases.”

1

Items labeled as “adjusted” are non-GAAP financial measures. See page 9 for a reconciliation of GAAP net income to adjusted net income attributable to common shareholders and adjusted EPS.

1

The table below highlights key financial performance metrics2:

($ in millions except for per share metrics)

3Q26

2Q26

3Q25

Q/Q

Y/Y

Net investment income

36

73

99

(50 )%

(63 )%

Net (loss) income attributable to common shareholders

(36 )

20

48

N/M

N/M

Diluted earnings (loss) per common share

$ (0.41 )

$ 0.23

$ 0.55

N/M

N/M

Annualized return on common equity

(ROE)(1)

(11 )%

6 %

14 %

N/M

N/M

Adjusted net income to common shareholders

30

21

32

42 %

(5 )%

Adjusted EPS

$ 0.35

$ 0.25

$ 0.37

42 %

(5 )%

Annualized adjusted ROE

9 %

6 %

10 %

3 %

0 %

Book value per share (at period end)

$ 14.03

$ 14.83

$ 15.16

(5 )%

(7 )%

Dividends declared per common share

$ 0.40

$ 0.40

$ 0.40

—

—

(1)

Return on average common equity is calculated based on net income attributable to common shareholders as a percentage of monthly average common equity during the quarter

Business Highlights

•

Acquired $1.2 billion in unpaid principal balance (UPB) of loans through correspondent production activities, down 53% from the prior quarter and 64% from the third quarter of 2025

•

Acquired $2.1 billion in UPB of loans from PFSI production for inclusion in private label securitizations, down 7% from the prior quarter and up 60% from the third quarter of 2025

•

Closed two investor loan securitizations, three jumbo loan securitizations, and three owner o

2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jul 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+5.34%

$10.21

Act: -3.92%

5D

+6.77%

$10.35

Act: -2.48%

20D

+8.93%

$10.56

Price: $9.69 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-324102

EX-99.1

2 d25774dex991.htm

EX-99.1

EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust Reports

Second Quarter 2026 Results

WESTLAKE

VILLAGE, Calif. – July 29, 2026 – PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (NYSE: PMT) today reported net income attributable to common shareholders of $20 million, or $0.23 per common share on net investment income of $73 million for the second quarter of 2026.

CEO Commentary

“PMT generated net income attributable to common shareholders of $20 million in the second quarter, or $0.23 per diluted share, representing an annualized return on common equity of 6%,” said Chairman and CEO David Spector. “We are moving to strengthen the overall earnings power of our portfolio. During the quarter, we closed six securitizations totaling $2.2 billion in unpaid principal balance, which generated $120 million of net new investments in non-Agency subordinate bonds.”

Mr. Spector continued, “Given the success we are seeing in our private label securitization program, we are shifting equity allocation towards those more accretive credit opportunities. In June, we took the initial steps in what we believe will be a series of actions to reduce our exposure to mortgage servicing rights (MSRs), agreeing to sell $13 billion in unpaid principal balance (UPB) of MSRs and electing to stop Agency-eligible loan acquisitions in our correspondent channel. These initial actions unlock capital from our MSR portfolio to redeploy into organically-created credit investments with return potential in the low-to-mid teens. We expect this realignment of our balance sheet will bolster PMT’s return profile to deliver attractive total returns over the long term.”

The table below highlights key financial performance metrics:

($ in millions except for per share metrics)

2Q26

1Q26

2Q25

Q/Q

Y/Y

Net investment income

73

82

70

(11 )%

4 %

Net income (loss) attributable to common shareholders

20

14

(3 )

45 %

N/M

Diluted earnings (loss) per common share

$ 0.23

$ 0.16

$ (0.04 )

44 %

N/M

Annualized return on common equity

(ROE)(1)

6 %

4 %

(1 )%

44 %

N/M

Book value per share (at period end)

$ 14.83

$ 14.98

$ 15.00

(1 )%

(1 )%

Dividends declared per common share

$ 0.40

$ 0.40

$ 0.40

—

—

(1)

Return on average common equity is calculated based on net income attributable to common shareholders as a percentage of monthly average common equity during the quarter

Business Highlights

•

Acquired $2.6 billion in UPB of loans through correspondent production activities, down 8% from the prior quarter and 17% from the second quarter of 2025; beginning in June, PMT elected to stop acquiring Agency-eligible conventional loans through correspondent production but will continue acquiring 100% of all non-Agency loans

•

Acquired $2.2 billion in UPB of loans from PFSI production for inclusion in private label securitizations, up 44% from the prior quarter and 123% from the second quarter of 2025

•

Closed three Agency-eligible investor loan securitizations, one jumbo loan securitization, and two

Agency-eligible owner occupied loan securitizations with a combined UPB of $2.2 billion

•

Generated $120 million of net new investments in non-Agency subordinate bonds1

•

Purchased $486 million of Agency floating-rate mortgage-backed securities (MBS)

1

We consolidate the assets and liabilities of the trust that issued the subordinate and senior bonds; accordingly, these investments are shown as Loans held for investment at fair value and Asset-backed financing of variable interest entities at fair value on our consolidated balance sheets

1

Notable Activity After Quarter End

•

Completed one jumbo loan securitization and one Agency-eligible owner-occupied loan securitization with a

combined UPB of $692 million, generating $36 million of net new investments in non-Agency subordinate bonds2

•

Entered into an agreement to sell $13 billion in UPB of low-coupon Agency MSRs with an expected close at the end of August

Credit Sensitive Strategies Segment

The table below highlights key operating metrics and financial performance in the credit sensitive strategies segment:

($ in millions)

2Q26

1Q26

2Q25

Q/Q

Y/Y

Organically-created CRT investments (at period end)

Fair value

938

962

1,049

(2 )%

(11 )%

Underlying UPB

18,090

18,716

20,356

(3 )%

(11 )%

Fair value of subordinate MBS held in VIE from PMT private label securitizations (at period end)

853

735

274

16 %

211 %

Profitability

Income excluding market-driven value changes

12

12

14

4 %

(15 )%

Market-driven value changes(1)

(1 )

5

7

N/M

N/M

Total income contribution

11

17

22

(32 )%

(49 )%

Weighted average equity allocated

411

390

450

5 %

(9 )%

Annualized ROE

11 %

17 %

19 %

(6 )%

(8 )%

May not sum due to rounding

(1)

Categorization of market-driven value changes or non-recurring impacts

are based on management assessment; income excluding market-driven value changes does not represent REIT tax

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K

May 5, 2026

0001193125-26-206554

EX-99.1

2 d947376dex991.htm

EX-99.1

EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust

Reports First Quarter 2026 Results

WESTLAKE VILLAGE, Calif. – May 5, 2026 – PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (NYSE: PMT) today reported net income attributable to common shareholders of $14.2 million, or $0.16 per common share for the first quarter of 2026, on net investment income of $82.1 million. PMT previously announced a cash dividend for the first quarter of 2026 of $0.40 per common share of beneficial interest, which was declared on March 11, 2026, and was paid on April 24, 2026, to common shareholders of record as of April 9, 2026.

First Quarter 2026 Highlights

Financial results:

•

Net income attributable to common shareholders of $14.2 million; annualized return on average common shareholders’ equity of 4%1

•

Lower contribution from the interest rate sensitive strategies, primarily due to increased mortgage servicing rights (MSR) runoff related to higher coupon loans, partially offset by improved results in the aggregation and securitization2 segment

•

Book value per common share was $14.98 at March 31, 2026, down from $15.25 at December 31, 2025

Other investment highlights:

•

Investment activity driven by acquisition volumes

•

Loans acquired totaled $4.3 billion in unpaid principal balance (UPB), down 21% from the prior quarter

•

Acquired $2.8 billion in UPB of conventional conforming and nonconforming correspondent loan volume from PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. (NYSE: PFSI) through the correspondent fulfillment arrangement, down 24% from the prior quarter

1

Return on average common equity is calculated based on net income attributable to common shareholders as a percentage of monthly average common equity during the quarter

2

Formerly referred to as the correspondent production segment

1

•

Resulted in the creation of $40 million in new mortgage servicing rights (MSRs)

•

Also acquired $1.5 billion in UPB of loans from PFSI’s production, down 15% from the prior quarter

•

Closed three Agency-eligible investor loan securitizations, two jumbo loan securitizations, and three

Agency-eligible owner occupied loan securitizations with a combined UPB of $2.8 billion

•

Generated $189 million of net new investments in non-Agency subordinate bonds and $12 million of net new investments in non-Agency senior bonds3

•

Sold $477 million of Agency fixed-rate mortgage-backed securities (MBS)

Other highlights:

•

Redeemed $345 million of exchangeable senior notes due March 2026

Notable activity after quarter end:

•

Completed one Agency-eligible investor loan securitization, one Agency-eligible owner occupied loan

securitization, and priced another Agency-eligible investor loan securitization with a combined UPB of $1.1 billion

•

Generated $70 million of net new investments in non-Agency subordinate bonds2

“PMT’s first quarter net income of $14 million, or $0.16 in diluted earnings per share was impacted by lower contributions from our interest rate sensitive strategies partially offset by improved results in our aggregation and securitization segment,” said Chairman and CEO David Spector. “While these factors contributed to a decline in book value per share, the underlying fundamentals of our investments remain strong. We are particularly enthusiastic about the continued success of our private label securitization program, highlighted by the completion of eight transactions during the quarter totaling $2.8 billion in UPB. This activity drove continued organic investment creation and we retained more than $200 million of new investments, reinforcing our ability to create high-quality credit assets in a challenging environment. We remain on pace to complete approximately 30 securitizations in 2026, which we expect will build a substantial foundation of investments with attractive returns to support PMT’s future earnings.”

3

We consolidate the assets and liabilities of the trust that issued the subordinate and senior bonds; accordingly, these investments are shown as Loans held for investment at fair value and Asset-backed financing of variable interest entities at fair value on our consolidated balance sheets

2

Mr. Spector continued, “Our ability to successfully pivot toward credit-sensitive strategies underscores the depth and agility of our investment platform. The shift into private label securitizations has allowed us to deploy capital into new, high-quality credit investments that we anticipate will produce low-to-mid teens returns on equity. We remain focused on the continued expansion of our securitization program and disciplined capital allocation. As a result, we are confident that our strategy and diversified portfolio of investments will drive the returns necessary to support our dividend and create value for our shareholders over the long-term.”

The following table presents the contributions of PMT’s segments to pretax income:

Quarter ended March 31, 2026

Credit

About PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust of Beneficial Interest (PMT) Earnings

This page provides PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust of Beneficial Interest (PMT) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on PMT's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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