Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns
1-Day Prediction
-1.11%
$212.63
0% positive prob.
5-Day Prediction
-4.26%
$205.85
0% positive prob.
20-Day Prediction
-2.52%
$209.61
0% positive prob.
| Quarter | Signal | 1D Return | 5D Return | 20D Return | Confidence | Actual 5D |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | SELL | -1.11% | -4.26% | -2.52% | 100.0% | -0.73% |
| Q4 2025 | BUY | +0.48% | +2.00% | +4.17% | 100.0% | +6.82% |
SEC 8-K filings with transcript text
Apr 23, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
-1.11%
$212.63
Act: -0.24%
5D
-4.26%
$205.85
Act: -0.73%
20D
-2.52%
$209.61
Act: -0.59%
2 pkg-ex99_1.htm
Exhibit 99.1
Lake Forest, IL, April 22, 2026 – Packaging Corporation of America (NYSE: PKG) today reported first quarter 2026 net income of $171 million, or $1.91 per share, and net income of $215 million, or $2.40 per share, excluding special items. First quarter net sales were $2.4 billion in 2026 and $2.1 billion in 2025.
Diluted earnings per share attributable to Packaging Corporation of America shareholders
Three Months Ended
March 31,
2026
2025
Change
Reported Diluted EPS
$
1.91
$
2.26
$
(0.35
)
Special Items Expense (1)
0.49
0.05
0.44
Diluted EPS excluding Special Items (2)
$
2.40
$
2.31
$
0.09
(1) For descriptions and amounts of our special items, see the schedules with this release.
(2) Diluted EPS excluding Special Items is a non-GAAP financial measure. For information regarding our use of non-GAAP financial measures and descriptions and amounts of our special items, see the schedules with this release.
Reported earnings in the first quarter of 2026 include special items primarily for restructuring of the Wallula, WA containerboard mill, acquisition and integration-related costs and closure costs related to corrugated products facilities.
Excluding special items, the $.09 per share increase in first quarter 2026 earnings compared to the first quarter of 2025 was driven primarily by favorable prices and mix in the legacy packaging business $.17, lower fiber cost in the legacy packaging business $.11, lower maintenance outage expenses $.09, lower labor and operating costs in the legacy packaging business $.08, favorable price and mix in the paper segment $.02, favorable volume in the paper segment $.01, lower tax rate $.01 and lower share count $.01. These items were partially offset by higher freight costs ($.13), lower production and sales volume in the legacy packaging business ($.11), higher depreciation expense in the legacy packaging business ($.05), higher labor and operating costs in the paper segment ($.03) and higher corporate and other expenses ($.03). The acquired Greif operations generated a loss of ($.06) during the quarter.
Excluding special items, earnings were $.20 above first quarter guidance of $2.20 per share primarily due to favorable volume and mix in the legacy packaging segment, favorable labor and operating costs, and a lower tax rate. These items were partially offset by higher freight costs and lower than expected earnings from the acquired Greif operations due to lower volume and higher costs from the January winter storm and unfavorable mix, freight and recycled fiber costs.
Financial information by segment is summarized below and in the schedules with this release.
(dollars in millions)
Three Months Ended
March 31,
2026
2025
Segment operating income (loss)
Packaging
$
260.3
$
278.1
Paper
32.9
35.6
Corporate and Other
(41.9
)
(33.4
)
$
251.3
$
280.3
Segment operating income (loss) excluding special items (1)
Packaging
$
316.5
$
284.0
Paper
32.9
35.6
Corporate and Other
(38.5
)
(33.4
)
$
310.9
$
286.2
EBITDA excluding special items (1)
Packaging
$
481.8
$
409.3
Paper
37.7
40.2
Corporate and Other
(34.0
)
(28.4
)
$
485.5
$
421.1
(1) Segment operating income (loss) excluding special items and EBITDA excluding special items are non-GAAP financial measures. We provide information regarding our use of non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliations of historical non-GAAP financial measures presented in this press release to the most comparable measure reported in accordance with GAAP in the schedules to this press release.
In the legacy packaging business, total corrugated products shipments were up 1.2% and shipments per day were up 2.8% compared to the first quarter of 2025, with one fewer shipping day in 2026. Including the acquired Greif business, total corrugated products shipments were up 19.9% and shipments per day were up 21.8% compared to the first quarter of 2025. Containerboard production was 1,398,000 tons, and containerboard inventory was down 39,000 tons compared to the fourth quarter of 2025 and up 48,000 tons compared to the first quarter of 2025, primarily due to the acquisition. In the Paper segment, sales volume was up 2.7% from the first quarter of 2025.
Commenting on reported results, Mark W. Kowlzan, Chairman and CEO, said, “We achieved a first quarter record in shipments per day in our legacy corrugated operations. We saw continued demand improvement which, together with improved mix, drove our strong earnings performance for the quarter. Our containerboard mills performed exceptionally well both in terms of production and efficiency, which helped us mitigate the effects of higher freight, recycled fiber and other input costs as well as the weather challenges we faced earlier in the quarter. We continued to make good progress on the integration of our
Jan 28, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
+0.48%
$218.65
Act: +1.19%
5D
+2.00%
$221.95
Act: +6.82%
20D
+4.17%
$226.68
Act: +6.53%
8-K
PACKAGING CORP OF AMERICAfalse000007567700000756772026-01-272026-01-27
Washington, D.C. 20549
Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d)
of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): January 27, 2026
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Delaware
1-15399
36-4277050
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)
(Commission File Number)
(IRS Employer Identification No.)
1 North Field Court, Lake Forest, Illinois 60045 (Address of Principal Executive Offices, including Zip Code)
(847) 482-3000 (Registrants' Telephone Number, Including Area Code)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrants under any of the following provisions:
☐
Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
☐
Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
☐
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2 (b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2 (b))
☐
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4 (c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4 (c))
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐ Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Exchange Act:
Title of each class
Trading Symbol(s)
Name of each exchange on which registered
Common Stock
PKG
New York Stock Exchange
Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition. The information furnished in this Item 2.02, including the exhibit described below, shall not be deemed “filed” hereunder for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Exchange Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing. On January 27, 2026, Packaging Corporation of America issued a press release announcing fourth quarter and full year financial results. The press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated into this Item 2.02 by reference. Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits
99.1
Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Press Release dated January 27, 2026
104
Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrants have duly caused this report to be signed on their behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
(Registrant)
By:
/s/ KENT A. PFLEDERER
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Date: January 27, 2026
Oct 23, 2025
8-K
false0000075677PACKAGING CORP OF AMERICA00000756772025-10-222025-10-22
Washington, D.C. 20549
Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d)
of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): October 22, 2025
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Delaware
1-15399
36-4277050
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)
(Commission File Number)
(IRS Employer Identification No.)
1 North Field Court, Lake Forest, Illinois 60045 (Address of Principal Executive Offices, including Zip Code)
(847) 482-3000 (Registrants' Telephone Number, Including Area Code)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrants under any of the following provisions:
☐
Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
☐
Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
☐
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2 (b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2 (b))
☐
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4 (c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4 (c))
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐ Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Exchange Act:
Title of each class
Trading Symbol(s)
Name of each exchange on which registered
Common Stock
PKG
New York Stock Exchange
Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition. The information furnished in this Item 2.02, including the exhibit described below, shall not be deemed “filed” hereunder for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Exchange Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing. On October 22, 2025, Packaging Corporation of America issued a press release announcing third quarter financial results. The press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated into this Item 2.02 by reference. Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits
99.1
Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Press Release dated October 22, 2025
104
Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrants have duly caused this report to be signed on their behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
(Registrant)
By:
/s/ KENT A. PFLEDERER
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Date: October 22, 2025
This page provides Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.
Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on PKG's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.