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AI Earnings Predictions for PHINIA Inc. (PHIN)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-0.75%

$57.15

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-4.29%

$55.11

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+4.21%

$60.00

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $57.58 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q3 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q3 2026 SELL -0.75% -4.29% +4.21% 100.0% Pending
Q2 2026 BUY +2.14% +4.81% +5.11% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 BUY +2.03% +4.33% +4.87% 100.0% +8.73%
Q4 2025 SELL -0.75% -4.29% +4.21% 100.0% +1.96%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q3

Q3 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Oct 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-0.75%

$57.15

Act: +2.23%

5D

-4.29%

$55.11

20D

+4.21%

$60.00

Price: $57.58 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001968915-26-000152

EX-99.1

2 q320268kex991pressrelease.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

PHINIA REPORTS THIRD QUARTER 2026 RESULTS, IMPROVES FULL YEAR OUTLOOK

Auburn Hills, Michigan, October 29, 2026 – PHINIA Inc. (NYSE: PHIN), (“PHINIA”, or the “Company”), a diversified industrial supplier and global leader in the development of fuel systems, electrical systems, and aftermarket solutions, today reported results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026.

THIRD QUARTER 2026 HIGHLIGHTS:

(all comparisons versus the prior-year period)

•Net sales increased 0.4% to $912 million; excluding the impact of foreign currency, net sales remained flat year over year.

•Net earnings of $67 million, or $1.80 per diluted share; Adjusted net earnings of $68 million, or $1.83 per adjusted diluted share, an increase from $1.59 last year.

•Adjusted EBITDA increased $2 million to $135 million; Adjusted EBITDA margin rate was 14.8%, an increase of 20 basis points (bps).

•Stable execution on return of capital program; repurchased $65 million of common equity under existing share repurchase authorization, paid $11 million in cash dividends.

“Our third quarter results were consistent with our expectations and reflect stable end market demand, continued aftermarket momentum, and strong financial discipline,” said Brady Ericson, President and Chief Executive Officer of PHINIA. “We generated another quarter of profitable growth, with Adjusted EBITDA increasing $2 million, or 20 bps, despite higher R&D spending and investments in customer relationships, demonstrating the resilience of our business and consistent execution. Based on our solid third quarter results and the continued business momentum, we are updating our fiscal 2026 financial guidance.

“We made further progress on our key strategic priorities during the quarter, highlighted by strong new award activity in targeted growth markets and consistent execution on our disciplined capital allocation strategy. Our business momentum continued into the third quarter, as we delivered strong new award activity, with awards focused on emerging growth industries. Importantly, we returned $76 million of capital to shareholders during the quarter, which represents 104% of adjusted free cash flow, and we remain committed to our balanced capital allocation strategy, which is focused on investments for growth, strategic acquisitions, and capital returns.

“We are focused on building a diversified growth business, driven by strong product leadership, expansion into growth markets, product innovation, and disciplined financial execution. Our strong new business momentum and consistent financial results are evidence our strategy is working. We remain committed to our strategic framework and confident in our ability to execute on our key priorities, all with a focus on delivering value for our shareholders,” concluded Ericson.

CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL RESULTS

PHINIA delivered third quarter net sales of $912 million, an increase of 0.4% when compared to the prior-year period. Excluding the impact of foreign currency of $4 million, net sales remained flat year over year. Results in both periods were impacted by tariff-related customer recovery mechanisms. Third quarter 2025 benefitted from net sales associated with tariff cost recoveries, while third quarter 2026 reflected

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reductions in net sales related to tariff cost refunds to be returned to customers. Excluding the effects of this tariff-related volatility, core business sales increased $21 million year-over-year. Power Systems net sales declined 1.8% to $561 million primarily reflecting the non-recurrence of favorable customer pricing actions realized in the prior year and the timing of tariff recovery mechanisms with customers. Aftermarket Solutions net sales increased 4.2% to $351 million driven by higher sales in the Americas, partially offset by the timing of tariff recovery mechanisms with customers.

The Company reported net earnings of $67 million, and Adjusted EBITDA of $135 million. The year-over-year increase in Adjusted EBITDA was driven primarily by higher sales volume in the Americas and the favorable timing of tariff recovery mechanisms, partially offset by increased R&D investment and the non-recurrence of favorable customer pricing actions realized in 2025. Adjusted EBITDA margin increased 20 basis points year-over-year to 14.8%, primarily reflecting the timing of tariff recovery mechanisms.

BUSINESS UPDATE

During the third quarter of 2026, PHINIA continued to advance its multi-year value creation strategy across its commercial, operational, and capital allocation priorities. The following highlights key progress achieved during the three months ended September 30, 2026.

Commercial Update

PHINIA secured several new business awards and expanded its global distribution reach, including the following:

•First methanol engine program, extending PHINIA’s technology into alternative fuels and industrial off-highway applications

2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jul 30, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+2.14%

$83.89

Act: +0.73%

5D

+4.81%

$86.08

20D

+5.11%

$86.33

Price: $82.13 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001968915-26-000109

EX-99.1

2 q220268kex991pressrelease.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

PHINIA REPORTS SECOND QUARTER 2026 RESULTS

Auburn Hills, Michigan, July 30, 2026 – PHINIA Inc. (NYSE: PHIN), a diversified, industrial supplier and global leader in the development of fuel systems, electrical systems, and aftermarket solutions, today reported results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026.

Second Quarter Highlights:

•On June 30, 2026, PHINIA entered into a definitive agreement to acquire the stoba Group, a global technology partner specialized in high-precision components, systems, and customized manufacturing solutions. The proposed transaction is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2026, subject to customary regulatory approvals and closing conditions.

•Net sales of $940 million, an increase of 5.6% compared with Q2 2025.

◦Excluding the impacts of foreign currency and the acquisition of Swedish Electromagnet Invest AB (SEM), increases of $21 million and $18 million, respectively, net sales increased $11 million or 1.2%, primarily driven by volumes in the Americas, partially offset by tariff recoveries.

•Net earnings of $40 million and net margin of 4.3%, representing a year-over-year decrease of $6 million and 90 basis points (bps), respectively.

•Adjusted EBITDA of $130 million, an increase of $4 million year-over-year driven primarily by net tariff refunds and the acquisition of SEM, partially offset by higher employee costs primarily attributable to variable and stock-based compensation, associated with the Company’s continued strong performance. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 13.8%, down 40 bps year-over-year, primarily due to increased employee-related costs and unfavorable product mix, which more than offset the margin benefit of tariff recoveries.

•Net earnings per diluted share of $1.05.

◦Adjusted net earnings per diluted share of $1.53 (excluding $0.48 per diluted share related to non-operating items detailed in the non-GAAP appendix below), reflecting the operational increases detailed above and a reduction in share count.

•Returned $53 million to shareholders through $42 million of share repurchases and $11 million in dividends.

Key Wins in Strategic Growth Markets:

New and incumbent business wins remained strong. Notable Q2 wins include:

•A heated-tip multi-point fuel injection system program supporting a passenger vehicle engine application, further expanding our alternative fuel portfolio.

•A 24V starter program supporting a Class 8 commercial vehicle platform, reinforcing our long-standing position in the heavy-duty on-highway market.

•A complete common rail system program, including the rail, pump, injectors, and electronic control unit, for agricultural applications, strengthening our presence in the off-highway market.

•Opened vehicle electronics distribution with a leading pan-European distributor, significantly expanding our market access across the EMEA region.

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•Expansion of our global aftermarket footprint through new customer acquisitions, branch expansion and increased distribution penetration across North Africa, Eastern Europe, North and South America, China, Southeast Asia and Oceania, increasing customer reach and product availability in strategic growth markets.

“We delivered another quarter of strong performance, with sales growth across our business and higher adjusted EBITDA year-over-year. These results reflect healthy demand in the Americas, the successful integration of SEM, and the consistent execution of our strategic priorities. As we navigate a dynamic operating environment, we remain focused on driving profitable growth and delivering long-term value for our shareholders. The planned acquisition of stoba Group marks another important milestone in that journey, expanding our manufacturing capabilities and reinforcing the resilience, control, and flexibility of our supply chain.” said Brady Ericson, President and Chief Executive Officer of PHINIA.

Balance Sheet and Cash Flow:

The Company ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $370 million and $450 million of available capacity under its Revolving Credit Facility. Total debt at quarter end was $1,019 million.

Net cash generated by operating activities was $91 million, representing a year-over-year increase of $34 million. Adjusted free cash flow was $74 million, an increase of $54 million compared to the second quarter of 2025, primarily due to strong execution of inventory optimization initiatives, working capital discipline, and lower capital expenditures.

2026 Full Year Guidance:

The Company is refining its guidance and now expects 2026 net sales of $3.57 billion to $3.67 billion. This implies a year-over-year growth of 2% to 5% in 2026. The Company’s net earnings and adjusted EBITDA are projected to be $155 million to $180 million and $485 million to $515 million, respectively, with net earnings margin of 4.3% to 4.9% and adjusted EBITDA margin of 13.5% to 14.1%. The Company expect

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Apr 30, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+2.03%

$73.61

Act: +3.04%

5D

+4.33%

$75.27

Act: +8.73%

20D

+4.87%

$75.67

Act: +6.99%

Price: $72.15 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001968915-26-000068

EX-99.1

2 q120268kex991pressrelease.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

PHINIA REPORTS FIRST QUARTER 2026 RESULTS - STRATEGIC BUSINESS WINS ADVANCE DIVERSIFICATION ACROSS END MARKETS AND ALTERNATIVE FUELS

Auburn Hills, Michigan, April 30, 2026 – PHINIA Inc. (NYSE: PHIN), a diversified, industrial supplier and global leader in the development of fuel systems, electrical systems, and aftermarket solutions, today reported results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026.

First Quarter Highlights:

•Net sales of $878 million, an increase of 10.3% compared with Q1 2025.

◦Excluding the impacts of foreign currency and the acquisition of SEM, increases of $39 million and $14 million, respectively, net sales increased $29 million or 3.6%, primarily driven by volumes in Asia and the Americas and tariff recoveries.

•Net earnings of $37 million and net margin of 4.2%, representing a year-over-year increase of $11 million and 90 basis points (bps), respectively.

•Adjusted EBITDA of $115 million with adjusted EBITDA margin of 13.1%, representing a year-over-year increase of $12 million and 20 bps, primarily driven by supplier savings and overhead cost control measures and net tariff recoveries.

•Net earnings per diluted share of $0.96.

◦Adjusted net earnings per diluted share of $1.29 (excluding $0.33 per diluted share related to non-operating items detailed in the non-GAAP appendix below), reflecting the operational increases detailed above and a reduction in share count.

•Returned $67 million to shareholders through $56 million of share repurchases and $11 million in dividends.

Key Wins in Strategic Growth Markets:

New and incumbent business wins remained strong, notable Q1 wins include:

•A Compressed Natural Gas Fuel Rail Assembly contract with a leading global OEM, marking our third consecutive quarter of a major alternative fuel program win in India.

•A jet fuel direct injector program for unmanned aerial drone engines with a new customer, highlighting our growing capabilities in advanced propulsion solutions.

•A direct injection fuel rail assembly contract with a major Chinese OEM, supporting a luxury SUV platform equipped with a dual‑fuel‑injection V8 engine.

•Expanding our product portfolio with a major warehouse distributor in the Americas by adding steering and suspension and vehicle electronics, broadening our existing customer relationship.

•Expanding our Aftermarket presence by adding two new customers in Europe and expanding a propulsion‑agnostic program within the Asia Pacific region.

•Renewing a starter program with a global commercial vehicle and off-highway OEM, reinforcing our long-standing presence to supply starters for severe duty and long-haul applications.

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“I’m pleased with our first-quarter performance, which underscores our disciplined execution and continued focus on creating value for our shareholders. Adjusted earnings per diluted share increased by more than 37% compared with the first quarter of 2025. Building on the strong performance we delivered in 2025 and the confidence we shared at our 2026 Investor Day, we are seeing growing traction in attractive new markets and expanding our customer base, including new wins in alternative fuels, commercial vehicles and aerospace and defense,” said Brady Ericson, President and Chief Executive Officer of PHINIA.

Balance Sheet and Cash Flow:

The Company ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $328 million and $480 million of available capacity under its Revolving Credit Facility. Total debt at quarter end was $992 million.

Net cash generated by operating activities was $53 million, representing a year-over-year increase of $13 million. Adjusted free cash flow was $42 million, a record for the first quarter since becoming a standalone company. Adjusted free cash flow increased $45 million compared to the first quarter of 2025, primarily due to higher earnings adjusted for non-cash charges, improved working capital and lower capital expenditures.

2026 Full Year Guidance:

The Company continues to expect 2026 net sales of $3.52 billion to $3.72 billion. This implies a year-over-year growth of 1% to 7% in 2026. The Company’s net earnings and adjusted EBITDA are projected to be $165 million to $195 million and $485 million to $525 million, respectively, with net earnings margin of 4.7% to 5.2% and adjusted EBITDA margin of 13.7% to 14.3%. The Company expects to generate $200 million to $240 million in adjusted free cash flow. Adjusted tax rate is expected to be in the range of 30% to 34%.

The Company will host a conference call to review first quarter 2026 results and take questions from the investment community at 8:30 a.m. ET today. This call will be webcast at PHINIA Q1 2026 Earnings Call. Additional presentation materials will be available at Investors.phinia.com.

About PHINIA

PHINIA is a diversified industrial supplier and global leader in the development of fuel systems, electrical systems, and aftermarket s

About PHINIA Inc. (PHIN) Earnings

This page provides PHINIA Inc. (PHIN) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on PHIN's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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