Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns
1-Day Prediction
+1.62%
$208.54
100% positive prob.
5-Day Prediction
+2.93%
$211.22
100% positive prob.
20-Day Prediction
+5.51%
$216.52
95% positive prob.
| Quarter | Signal | 1D Return | 5D Return | 20D Return | Confidence | Actual 5D |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | BUY | +1.62% | +2.93% | +5.51% | 100.0% | Pending |
| Q4 2025 | SELL | -1.93% | -1.86% | +3.04% | 100.0% | -3.38% |
SEC 8-K filings with transcript text
Jul 15, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
+1.62%
$208.54
Act: +0.28%
5D
+2.93%
$211.22
20D
+5.51%
$216.52
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Apr 15, 2026
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Jan 28, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
-1.93%
$208.63
Act: -2.11%
5D
-1.86%
$208.78
Act: -3.38%
20D
+3.04%
$219.21
Act: -0.47%
pgr-20260126FalsePROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/000008066100000806612026-01-262026-01-26
Washington, D.C. 20549
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) January 26, 2026
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Ohio001-0951834-0963169 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(IRS Employer Identification No.)
300 North Commons Blvd.,Mayfield Village, Ohio 44143 (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)
Registrant’s telephone number, including area code (440) 461-5000
Not Applicable (Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:
☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, $1.00 Par ValuePGRNew York Stock Exchange
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).
Emerging growth company☐
If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐
Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.
On January 28, 2026, The Progressive Corporation (the “Company”) issued a news release containing financial results of the Company and its consolidated subsidiaries for the month and year ended December 31, 2025, and selected quarterly financial results. A copy of the news release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1.
Item 5.02 Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.
(b) On January 28, 2026, the Company issued a news release announcing that John P. Sauerland, the Company's Chief Financial Officer (CFO), intends to retire from the Company on July 3, 2026, and that Andrew J. Quigg, the Company's Chief Strategy Officer, is expected to be appointed as CFO upon Mr. Sauerland's retirement. A copy of the news release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2.
Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.
(d) Exhibits
See exhibit index on page 3. - 1 -
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
Date:January 28, 2026
By:/s/ Carl G. Joyce Name:Carl G. Joyce Title:Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer
- 2 -
Exhibit No. Under Reg. S-K Item 601Form 8-K Exhibit No.
Description
9999.1News release dated January 28, 2026, containing financial results of The Progressive Corporation and its consolidated subsidiaries for the month and year ended December 31, 2025, and selected quarterly financial results.
9999.2News release dated January 28, 2026, announcing CFO retirement and other management changes.
104104Cover Page Interactive Data File (the cover page tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document).
- 3 -
This page provides Progressive Corporation (The) (PGR) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.
Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on PGR's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.