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AI Earnings Predictions for Performance Food Group Company (PFGC)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+1.05%

$108.54

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+3.13%

$110.78

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+4.02%

$111.73

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $107.41 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 BUY +1.05% +3.13% +4.02% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 BUY +1.22% +3.14% +4.40% 100.0% +3.05%
Q4 2025 BUY +1.36% +3.53% +5.00% 100.0% +0.46%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Aug 12, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.05%

$108.54

Act: -2.73%

5D

+3.13%

$110.78

20D

+4.02%

$111.73

Price: $107.41 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-345718

EX-99.1

2 pfgc-ex99_1.htm

EX-99.1

EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

NEWS RELEASE

For Immediate Release

Investors:

Media:

William S. Marshall

Scott Golden

SVP, Investor Relations

Director, Communications & Engagement

(804) 287-8108

(804) 484-7873

Bill.Marshall@pfgc.com

Scott.Golden@pfgc.com

Performance Food Group Company Reports Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year Fiscal 2026 Results

Strong Independent Case Volume and Cash Flow Generation; Announces Full-Year 2027 Financial Guidance

Fourth-Quarter Fiscal 2026 Highlights

• Total case volume increased 3.5%

• Total Independent Foodservice case volume increased 8.0%

• Organic Independent Foodservice case volume increased 5.8%

• Net sales increased 6.4% to $18.0 billion

• Gross profit improved 8.3% to $2.2 billion

• Net income increased 23.4% to $162.3 million

• Adjusted EBITDA increased 7.4% to $587.5 million1

• Diluted Earnings Per Share (“EPS”) increased 22.6% to $1.03

• Adjusted Diluted EPS increased 2.6% to $1.591

Full-Year Fiscal 2026 Highlights

• Total case volume increased 5.1%

• Total Independent Foodservice case volume increased 10.2%

• Organic Independent Foodservice case volume increased 5.9%

• Net sales increased 7.2% to $67.8 billion

• Gross profit improved 9.1% to $8.1 billion

• Net income increased 5.6% to $359.3 million

• Adjusted EBITDA increased 9.2% to $1,929.4 million1

• Diluted EPS increased 5.0% to $2.29

• Adjusted Diluted EPS increased 1.6% to $4.551

• Operating Cash Flow of $1,413.7 million

• Free Cash Flow of $1,029.6 million1

RICHMOND, Va. – August 12, 2026 – Performance Food Group Company (“PFG” or the “Company”) (NYSE: PFGC) today announced its fourth-quarter and full-year fiscal 2026 business results.

“Our solid execution throughout the year produced a strong finish to fiscal 2026” said Scott McPherson, PFG’s President & Chief Executive Officer. “Consistent market share gains across our business units translated into strong revenue growth and record-setting

1 This earnings release includes several metrics, including Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted Diluted Earnings Per Share, and Free Cash Flow, that are not calculated in accordance with Generally Accepted Accounting Principles in the U.S. (“GAAP”). Please see “Statement Regarding Non-GAAP Financial Measures” at the end of this release for the definitions of such non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliations of such non-GAAP financial measures to their respective most comparable financial measures calculated in accordance with GAAP.

EBITDA results. We enter fiscal 2027 with significant momentum, reflected in the outlook we are providing today. I want to thank PFG associates across the Company for making these results possible and positioning us for another strong year ahead.”

Fourth-Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial Summary

Total case volume increased 3.5% for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 compared to the prior year period. Total organic case volume increased 1.8% for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 compared to the prior year period, benefiting from a 5.8% increase in organic independent cases, including growth in Performance Brands cases. Total independent case volume increased 8.0%.

Net sales for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 grew 6.4% to $18.0 billion compared to the prior year period primarily driven by an increase in selling price per case as a result of inflation, an increase in organic cases sold, including a favorable shift in mix of cases sold, and recent acquisitions. Overall product cost inflation for the Company was approximately 4.7% for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026.

Gross profit for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 grew 8.3% to $2.2 billion compared to the prior year period, primarily due to growth and mix of cases sold, including growth in the independent channel, which generates higher gross profit due to additional services provided, recent acquisitions, and vendor rebates and promotional incentives.

Operating expenses rose 6.4% to $1.8 billion in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 compared to the prior year period primarily driven by additional operating expenses as a result of recent acquisitions, an increase in fuel expense due to higher fuel prices and miles driven as a result of new business, an increase in personnel expenses related to wages and commissions, and an increase in depreciation and amortization expense mainly driven by an increase in transportation equipment and facilities under finance leases.

Net income for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 increased $30.8 million year-over-year to $162.3 million primarily driven by an increase in gross profit, partially offset by increases in operating expenses and income tax expense. The effective tax rate in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 was approximately 26.8% compared to 25.6% in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025. The effective tax rate for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 differed from the prior year period primarily due to a decrease in income tax credits net of valua

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

May 6, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.22%

$94.13

Act: -0.31%

5D

+3.14%

$95.92

Act: +3.05%

20D

+4.40%

$97.08

Act: +1.01%

Price: $93.00 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-207521

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2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Feb 4, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.36%

$91.08

Act: +0.29%

5D

+3.53%

$93.03

Act: +0.46%

20D

+5.00%

$94.35

Act: +0.20%

Price: $89.86 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-036704

8-K

false000161867300016186732026-02-042026-02-04

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 4, 2026

Performance Food Group Company (Exact name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)

Delaware

001-37578

43-1983182

(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

12500 West Creek Parkway Richmond, Virginia

23238

(Address of Principal Executive Offices)

(Zip Code)

Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code: (804) 484-7700 Not Applicable (Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instructions A.2. below):

Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, $0.01 par value

PFGC

New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02 Results of Operations. On February 4, 2026, Performance Food Group Company (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing the results of the Company’s operations for the fiscal quarter ended December 27, 2025. The full text of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference in this Item 2.02. The information in this Item 2.02 of this Current Report on Form 8-K and Exhibit 99.1 is being furnished and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing made by the Company under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing. Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits.

Exhibit Number

Description

99.1

Press Release of Performance Food Group Company, dated February 4, 2026, announcing results for the fiscal quarter ended December 27, 2025.

104

Cover page Interactive Data File (embedded within Inline XBRL document).

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

PERFORMANCE FOOD GROUP COMPANY

Date: February 4, 2026

By:

/s/ A. Brent King

A. Brent King

Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary

About Performance Food Group Company (PFGC) Earnings

This page provides Performance Food Group Company (PFGC) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on PFGC's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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