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AI Earnings Predictions for Ponce Financial Group Inc. (PDLB)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+0.67%

$20.16

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+5.61%

$21.15

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+9.42%

$21.92

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $20.03 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 BUY +0.67% +5.61% +9.42% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 SELL -1.46% -4.78% -0.69% 100.0% -0.85%
Q4 2025 BUY +0.71% +6.18% +10.83% 100.0% +1.56%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jul 27, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+0.67%

$20.16

Act: +2.30%

5D

+5.61%

$21.15

20D

+9.42%

$21.92

Price: $20.03 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-316826

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2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Apr 24, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-1.46%

$17.48

Act: -0.90%

5D

-4.78%

$16.89

Act: -0.85%

20D

-0.69%

$17.62

Act: +4.59%

Price: $17.74 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-174984

SEC.gov | Request Rate Threshold Exceeded

U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

You’ve Exceeded the SEC’s Traffic Limit

Your request rate has exceeded the SEC’s maximum allowable requests per second. Your access to SEC.gov will be limited for 10 minutes.

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The block will be lifted automatically by waiting 10 minutes. Continuing to exceed the SEC’s maximum allowable request rate during the time-out period will extend the duration of the time-out period. To ensure fair access for all users, please reduce the rate of your requests and visit SEC.gov again after the 10 minute time-out period has passed.

For best practices on efficiently downloading information from SEC.gov, including the latest EDGAR filings, visit sec.gov/developer. You can also sign up for email updates on the SEC open data program, including best practices that make it more efficient to download data, and SEC.gov enhancements that may impact scripted downloading processes. For more information, contact opendata@sec.gov.

For more information, please see the SEC’s Web Site Privacy and Security Policy. Thank you for your interest in the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Reference ID: 0.c706d217.1784382158.d6353753

More Information

Internet Security Policy

By using this site, you are agreeing to security monitoring and auditing. For security purposes, and to ensure that the public service remains available to users, this government computer system employs programs to monitor network traffic to identify unauthorized attempts to upload or change information or to otherwise cause damage, including attempts to deny service to users.

Unauthorized attempts to upload information and/or change information on any portion of this site are strictly prohibited and are subject to prosecution under the Computer Fraud and Abuse Act of 1986 and the National Information Infrastructure Protection Act of 1996 (see Title 18 U.S.C. §§ 1001 and 1030).

To ensure our website performs well for all users, the SEC monitors the frequency of requests for SEC.gov content to ensure automated searches do not impact the ability of others to access SEC.gov content. We reserve the right to block IP addresses that submit excessive requests. Current guidelines limit users to a total of no more than 10 requests per second, regardless of the number of machines used to submit requests.

If a user or application submits more than 10 requests per second, further requests from the IP address(es) may be limited for a brief period. Once the rate of requests has dropped below the threshold for 10 minutes, the user may resume accessing content on SEC.gov. This SEC practice is designed to limit excessive automated searches on SEC.gov and is not intended or expected to impact individuals browsing the SEC.gov website.

Note that this policy may change as the SEC manages SEC.gov to ensure that the website performs efficiently and remains available to all users.

Note: We do not offer technical support for developing or debugging scripted downloading processes.

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jan 27, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+0.71%

$16.75

Act: +0.36%

5D

+6.18%

$17.66

Act: +1.56%

20D

+10.83%

$18.43

Act: -0.48%

Price: $16.63 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-024843

8-K

false000187407100018740712026-01-272026-01-27

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): January 27, 2026

Ponce Financial Group, Inc. (Exact name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)

Maryland

001-41255

87-1893965

(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

2244 Westchester Avenue

Bronx, New York

10462

(Address of Principal Executive Offices)

(Zip Code)

Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code: (718) 931-9000

(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common stock, par value $0.01 per share

PDLB

The Nasdaq Global Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On January 27, 2026, Ponce Financial Group, Inc. (the "Company"), the holding company for Ponce Bank, N.A. ("Ponce Bank" or the "Bank"), issued a press release announcing its financial results with respect to its fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025. The Company’s press release is included as Exhibit 99.1 to this report.

The information set forth in this Item 2.02 and in the attached Exhibit 99.1 is deemed to be “furnished” and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section. Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure. The Company is scheduled to make presentations to current and prospective investors after January 27, 2026. Attached as Exhibit 99.2 of this Form 8-K is a copy of the presentation which Ponce Financial Group, Inc. will make available at these presentations and will post on its website at www.poncebank.com. This report is being furnished to the SEC and shall not be deemed "filed" for any purpose. Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d)Exhibits.

Exhibit Number

Description

99.1

Press release dated January 27, 2026

99.2

Presentation of Ponce Financial Group

104

Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL)

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

Ponce Financial Group, Inc.

Date:

January 27, 2026

By:

/s/ Carlos P. Naudon

Carlos P. Naudon President and Chief Executive Officer

About Ponce Financial Group Inc. (PDLB) Earnings

This page provides Ponce Financial Group Inc. (PDLB) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on PDLB's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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