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AI Earnings Predictions for Pathfinder Bancorp Inc. (MD) (PBHC)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+1.45%

$16.96

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+2.73%

$17.18

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+2.31%

$17.11

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $16.72 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q3 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q3 2026 BUY +1.45% +2.73% +2.31% 100.0% Pending
Q2 2026 SELL -2.47% -4.92% -5.27% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 SELL -2.47% -4.92% -5.27% 100.0% +3.01%
Q4 2025 BUY +1.15% +2.82% +3.79% 100.0% +0.07%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q3

Q3 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Nov 2, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.45%

$16.96

5D

+2.73%

$17.18

20D

+2.31%

$17.11

Price: $16.72 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-442749

EX-99.1

2 pbhc-ex99_1.htm

EX-99.1

EX-99.1

Investor/Media Contacts

James A. Dowd, President, CEO

Justin K. Bigham, Executive Vice President, CFO

Telephone: (315) 343-0057

Pathfinder Bancorp, Inc. Announces Financial Results for the Third Quarter of 2026

Pathfinder reported earnings of $0.32 per diluted share, with continued progress resolving previously identified commercial credits, disciplined deposit pricing, a focus on relationship-based deposits, and sequential-quarter net interest income growth.

OSWEGO, N.Y., November 2, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Pathfinder Bancorp, Inc. (“Pathfinder” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: PBHC) announced its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026.

The holding company for Pathfinder Bank (“the Bank”) reported net income of $2.1 million, or $0.32 per diluted share, in the third quarter of 2026, compared to $2.7 million, or $0.42 per diluted share, in the second quarter of 2026, and $626,000, or $0.10 per diluted share, in the third quarter of 2025.

Third Quarter 2026 Highlights and Key Developments

• Third quarter 2026 net income reflected provision expense of $231,000, attributed to quantitative and qualitative factor adjustments to the allowance for credit losses (“ACL”), compared to a provision benefit of $155,000 in the second quarter of 2026 and provision expense of $3.5 million in the third quarter of 2025.

• The Company’s ACL, which reflects the risk-based reserve build undertaken in the second half of 2025 to absorb future loss resolution activity related to commercial individually analyzed loans ("IALs"), was $22.7 million, or 2.60% of total loans, on September 30, 2026, $26.9 million, or 3.03% of loans, on June 30, 2026, and $18.7 million, or 2.08%, on September 30, 2025. Specific reserves, including those previously established in conjunction with last year’s comprehensive commercial portfolio review, represented 57.4% of the ACL at the end of the third quarter of 2026. Net charge-offs (“NCOs”) were $4.3 million in the third quarter of 2026, driven primarily by commercial IALs and fully covered by previously established specific reserves. NCOs were $1.9 million in the second quarter of 2026 and $670,000 in the third quarter of 2025.

• Loans totaled $873.0 million at September 30, 2026, compared to $889.0 million at June 30, 2026, and $898.5 million at September 30, 2025. Commercial loans were $531.6 million or 60.9% of total loans at September 30, 2026, compared to $544.6 million at June 30, 2026 and $543.7 million at September 30, 2025.

• Deposits totaled $1.16 billion at September 30, 2026, compared to $1.17 billion at June 30, 2026, and $1.23 billion at September 30, 2025, reflecting intentional runoff of higher-cost time and brokered deposits, as well as municipal deposit seasonality. Core deposits were $957.1 million or 82.6% of total deposits on September 30, 2026, compared to $961.6 million on June 30, 2026, and $960.1 million on September 30, 2025.

• Net interest income was $10.7 million in the third quarter of 2026, compared to $10.5 million in the second quarter of 2026 and $11.6 million in the third quarter of 2025. Net interest margin (“NIM”) was 3.07% in the third quarter of 2026, compared to 3.08% in the second quarter of 2026 and 3.34% in the year-ago period. In the third quarter of 2025, prepayment penalty income contributed $260,000 and 7 basis points to net interest income and NIM, respectively.

• The average cost of total deposits improved to 2.04% in the third quarter of 2026, down 3 basis points from the second quarter of 2026 and 24 basis points from the third quarter of 2025, while the average cost of interest-bearing deposits was 2.48%, unchanged from the linked quarter and down 23 basis points from the year-ago period.

• Noninterest expense was $9.4 million, or 2.51% of average assets on an annualized basis in the third quarter of 2026. Noninterest expense was $8.7 million or 2.39% of average assets in the second quarter of 2026 and $8.9 million or 2.40% of average assets in the third quarter of 2025.

• The efficiency ratio was 78.13% in the third quarter of 2026, compared to 74.26% in the second quarter of 2026 and 68.78% in the third quarter of 2025(1).

• Pre-tax, pre-provision (“PTPP”) net income was $2.6 million in the third quarter of 2026, compared to $3.0 million in the second quarter of 2026 and $4.1 million in the third quarter of 2025(1).

• Quarterly cash dividends payable to common stockholders of $0.10 per share were declared on September 28, 2026 and are payable on November 6, 2026.

“Third quarter results demonstrate continued execution of our strategy for strengthening our relationship-focused community bank,” President and Chief Executive Officer James Dowd said. “Credit performance continued to reflect the orderly resolution of previously identified commercial credits, with net charge-offs fully covered by specific reserves previously established for those exposures. In addition, recen

2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Jul 30, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-2.47%

$15.88

Act: +0.43%

5D

-4.92%

$15.48

20D

-5.27%

$15.42

Price: $16.28 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-326175

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2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Apr 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-2.47%

$13.26

Act: +2.21%

5D

-4.92%

$12.93

Act: +3.01%

20D

-5.27%

$12.88

Price: $13.60 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-191606

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If a user or application submits more than 10 requests per second, further requests from the IP address(es) may be limited for a brief period. Once the rate of requests has dropped below the threshold for 10 minutes, the user may resume accessing content on SEC.gov. This SEC practice is designed to limit excessive automated searches on SEC.gov and is not intended or expected to impact individuals browsing the SEC.gov website.

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About Pathfinder Bancorp Inc. (MD) (PBHC) Earnings

This page provides Pathfinder Bancorp Inc. (MD) (PBHC) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on PBHC's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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