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AI Earnings Predictions for Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-0.19%

$211.62

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-3.77%

$204.03

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-4.78%

$201.88

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $212.03 Confidence: 99.9% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q3 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q3 2026 SELL -0.19% -3.77% -4.78% 99.9% Pending
Q2 2026 BUY +1.24% +4.07% +7.19% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 SELL +0.00% -4.37% -5.74% 100.0% -1.12%
Q4 2025 SELL -0.36% -2.73% -2.14% 25.0% -4.36%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q3

Q3 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Oct 28, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-0.19%

$211.62

Act: +0.18%

5D

-3.77%

$204.03

20D

-4.78%

$201.88

Price: $212.03 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001628280-26-067753

EX-99.1

2 q326exhibit99_1.htm

EX-99.1

Document

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

PENSKE AUTOMOTIVE GROUP REPORTS QUARTERLY RESULTS

Quarterly Revenue Increases 5% to $8.4 Billion

Income Before Taxes of $302 Million; Net Income of $221 Million; Earnings Per Share of $3.36

BLOOMFIELD HILLS, MI, October 28, 2026 – Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (NYSE: PAG), a diversified international transportation services company and one of the world's premier automotive and commercial truck retailers, today announced financial results for the third quarter of 2026.

Proposed Take Private Transaction

As previously announced on October 15, 2026, the Company entered into a merger agreement (the "Merger Agreement") to be taken private by Motown Acquisition Corp. ("Buyer"), an entity owned by Penske Corporation ("Penske") and Mitsui & Co., Ltd. ("Mitsui") (the "Proposed Transaction"). Under the terms of the Merger Agreement, holders of Penske Automotive Group common stock, other than Penske Corporation, Mitsui and the other members of the investor group, will receive $212.00 per share in cash, valuing the Company at an enterprise value of approximately $16.3 billion. If consummated, upon completion of the Proposed Transaction, the Company will become a privately held company, with approximately 64% of the Company's ownership to be held by Penske and 36% to be held by Mitsui. The Proposed Transaction is expected to close in the first quarter of 2027, subject to the satisfaction or waiver of closing conditions.

In light of the Proposed Transaction, the Company will not host an earnings conference call in connection with its quarterly results. For further detail concerning the Proposed Transaction, please refer to the Company's Current Report on Form 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on October 15, 2026.

Third Quarter and Nine Month Results

For the quarter, revenue increased 5% to $8.4 billion when compared to $8.1 billion for the same period in 2025. Earnings before taxes was $302.0 million, net income attributable to common stockholders was $220.8 million, and related earnings per share was $3.36, in each case including $6.3 million of costs ($4.6 million after tax, or $0.07 per share) associated with the Proposed Transaction. These GAAP results include the full quarterly results of Penske Motor Group in both periods, which are required by GAAP for common control transactions (see Non-GAAP reconciliations below). Foreign currency exchange negatively impacted revenue by $2.3 million, positively impacted net income attributable to common stockholders by $0.7 million, and positively impacted earnings per share by $0.01.

For the nine months ended September 30, 2026, revenue was $24.8 billion, net income attributable to common stockholders was $715.7 million, and related earnings per share was $10.89, in each case including the Proposed Transaction costs noted above. For the same period in 2025, the Company generated $24.0 billion in revenue, net income attributable to common stockholders was $749.1 million, and related earnings per share was $11.30. These GAAP results include a gain on the sale of dealerships, certain disposals and other charges, as well as the full results of Penske Motor Group in both periods, which are required by GAAP for common control transactions (see Non-GAAP reconciliations below). Foreign currency

1

exchange positively impacted revenue by $272.4 million, net income attributable to common stockholders by $5.7 million, and earnings per share by $0.09.

Retail Automotive Dealerships

For the three months ended September 30, 2026, total new units delivered decreased 2% and used units delivered increased 2%. Total retail automotive revenue increased 1% to $7.0 billion and increased 2% on a same-store basis. On a sequential basis when compared to the second quarter of 2026, new vehicle gross profit per unit decreased $258 and used vehicle gross profit per unit decreased $149. When compared to the prior year period, same-store retail automotive service and parts revenue and gross profit both increased 3%.

For the nine months ended September 30, 2026, total new units delivered decreased 1% and used units delivered increased 2%. Total retail automotive revenue increased 3% to $21.3 billion and increased 3% on a same-store basis. When compared to the prior year period, same-store retail automotive service and parts revenue increased 3% and gross profit increased 4%.

Retail Commercial Truck Dealerships

For the three months ended September 30, 2026, the Company's retail commercial truck dealerships retailed 6,779 new and used units and generated $1.1 billion in revenue and $59.6 million in income before taxes. This compares to 5,108 new and used units, $918.6 million of revenue, and $41.5 million in income before taxes during the same period in the prior year. For the nine months ended September 30, 2026, the Company's retail commercial truck dealerships retailed 15,793 new and used units and gen

2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jul 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.24%

$226.22

Act: -1.27%

5D

+4.07%

$232.54

20D

+7.19%

$239.51

Price: $223.44 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001628280-26-050469

EX-99.1

2 q226exhibit99_1.htm

EX-99.1

Document

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

PENSKE AUTOMOTIVE GROUP REPORTS QUARTERLY RESULTS

New and Used Automotive Units Delivered Increase 5% to Over 125,000

Quarterly Revenue Increases 6% to $8.5 Billion

Income Before Taxes of $354 Million; Net Income of $260 Million; Earnings Per Share of $3.96

Adjusted Income Before Taxes of $323 Million; Adjusted Net Income of $238 Million; Adjusted Earnings Per Share of $3.62

BLOOMFIELD HILLS, MI, July 29, 2026 – Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (NYSE: PAG), a diversified international transportation services company and one of the world's premier automotive and commercial truck retailers, today announced financial results for the second quarter of 2026. For the quarter, revenue increased 6% to $8.5 billion when compared to $8.0 billion for the same period in 2025. Net income attributable to common stockholders was $260.4 million compared to $266.6 million for the same period in 2025, and related earnings per share was $3.96 compared to $4.03 for the same period in 2025. These GAAP results include a gain on the sale of dealerships, as well as the full quarterly results of Penske Motor Group in both periods, which are required by GAAP for common control transactions (see Non-GAAP reconciliations below). Excluding the gain on the sale of dealerships, as reconciled in the attached schedules, adjusted income before taxes was $323.3 million, adjusted net income was $237.7 million, and adjusted earnings per share was $3.62. Foreign currency exchange positively impacted revenue by $47.2 million, net income attributable to common stockholders by $1.7 million, and earnings per share by $0.02.

Commenting on the Company's results, Chair Roger Penske said, "In the second quarter of 2026, our diversified business delivered over 125,000 retail automotive units and more than 5,400 commercial truck units. Retail automotive same-store revenue increased 6%. Retail automotive new and used vehicle gross profit per unit remained strong and consistent when compared to the first quarter of 2026, and service and parts gross margin increased by 80 basis points. Additionally, I am encouraged with the trends we are experiencing across the commercial truck market from an improved freight environment, driving strong orders of Class 8 trucks."

For the six months ended June 30, 2026, revenue was $16.4 billion compared to $16.0 billion for the same period in 2025. Net income attributable to common stockholders was $494.9 million compared to $524.3 million for the same period in 2025, and related earnings per share was $7.52 compared to $7.89 for the same period in 2025. These GAAP results include a gain on the sale of dealerships, certain disposals and other charges, as well as the full results of Penske Motor Group in both periods, which are required by GAAP for common control transactions (see Non-GAAP reconciliations below). Excluding the gain on the sale of dealerships and certain disposals and other charges, as reconciled in the attached schedules, adjusted income before taxes was $599.6 million, adjusted net income was $438.3 million, and adjusted earnings per share was $6.66. Foreign currency exchange positively impacted revenue by $274.8 million, net income attributable to common stockholders by $5.1 million, and earnings per share by $0.07.

1

Retail Automotive Dealerships

For the three months ended June 30, 2026, total new units delivered increased 5% and used units delivered increased 4%. The increase in new units is attributed to resilient consumer demand, coupled with improved new vehicle availability from certain manufacturers. Total retail automotive revenue increased 6% to $7.3 billion and increased 6% on a same-store basis. On a sequential basis when compared to the first quarter of 2026, new vehicle gross profit per unit decreased $1 and used vehicle gross profit per unit increased $19. When compared to the prior year period, same-store retail automotive service and parts revenue increased 2%, gross profit increased 3%, and gross margin improved 80 basis points to 59.5%.

For the six months ended June 30, 2026, total new units delivered remained flat and used units delivered increased 2%. Total retail automotive revenue increased 3% to $14.3 billion and increased 3% on a same-store basis. When compared to the prior year period, same-store retail automotive service and parts revenue increased 3%, gross profit increased 5%, and gross margin improved 60 basis points to 59.2%.

Retail Commercial Truck Dealerships

For the three months ended June 30, 2026, the Company’s retail commercial truck dealerships retailed 5,431 new and used units and generated $927.8 million in revenue and $47.2 million in income before taxes. This compares to 5,339 new and used units, $943.6 million of revenue, and $54.2 million in income before taxes during the same period in the prior year as lower order intake related to the weak freight environment in the third and four

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Apr 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

+0.00%

$171.66

Act: -0.08%

5D

-4.37%

$164.17

Act: -1.12%

20D

-5.74%

$161.81

Act: -2.03%

Price: $171.66 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001628280-26-028227

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About Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) Earnings

This page provides Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on PAG's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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