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AI Earnings Predictions for Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+1.24%

$226.22

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+4.07%

$232.54

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+7.19%

$239.51

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $223.44 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 BUY +1.24% +4.07% +7.19% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 SELL +0.00% -4.37% -5.74% 100.0% -1.12%
Q4 2025 SELL -0.36% -2.73% -2.14% 25.0% -4.36%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jul 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.24%

$226.22

Act: -1.27%

5D

+4.07%

$232.54

20D

+7.19%

$239.51

Price: $223.44 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001628280-26-050469

EX-99.1

2 q226exhibit99_1.htm

EX-99.1

Document

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

PENSKE AUTOMOTIVE GROUP REPORTS QUARTERLY RESULTS

New and Used Automotive Units Delivered Increase 5% to Over 125,000

Quarterly Revenue Increases 6% to $8.5 Billion

Income Before Taxes of $354 Million; Net Income of $260 Million; Earnings Per Share of $3.96

Adjusted Income Before Taxes of $323 Million; Adjusted Net Income of $238 Million; Adjusted Earnings Per Share of $3.62

BLOOMFIELD HILLS, MI, July 29, 2026 – Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (NYSE: PAG), a diversified international transportation services company and one of the world's premier automotive and commercial truck retailers, today announced financial results for the second quarter of 2026. For the quarter, revenue increased 6% to $8.5 billion when compared to $8.0 billion for the same period in 2025. Net income attributable to common stockholders was $260.4 million compared to $266.6 million for the same period in 2025, and related earnings per share was $3.96 compared to $4.03 for the same period in 2025. These GAAP results include a gain on the sale of dealerships, as well as the full quarterly results of Penske Motor Group in both periods, which are required by GAAP for common control transactions (see Non-GAAP reconciliations below). Excluding the gain on the sale of dealerships, as reconciled in the attached schedules, adjusted income before taxes was $323.3 million, adjusted net income was $237.7 million, and adjusted earnings per share was $3.62. Foreign currency exchange positively impacted revenue by $47.2 million, net income attributable to common stockholders by $1.7 million, and earnings per share by $0.02.

Commenting on the Company's results, Chair Roger Penske said, "In the second quarter of 2026, our diversified business delivered over 125,000 retail automotive units and more than 5,400 commercial truck units. Retail automotive same-store revenue increased 6%. Retail automotive new and used vehicle gross profit per unit remained strong and consistent when compared to the first quarter of 2026, and service and parts gross margin increased by 80 basis points. Additionally, I am encouraged with the trends we are experiencing across the commercial truck market from an improved freight environment, driving strong orders of Class 8 trucks."

For the six months ended June 30, 2026, revenue was $16.4 billion compared to $16.0 billion for the same period in 2025. Net income attributable to common stockholders was $494.9 million compared to $524.3 million for the same period in 2025, and related earnings per share was $7.52 compared to $7.89 for the same period in 2025. These GAAP results include a gain on the sale of dealerships, certain disposals and other charges, as well as the full results of Penske Motor Group in both periods, which are required by GAAP for common control transactions (see Non-GAAP reconciliations below). Excluding the gain on the sale of dealerships and certain disposals and other charges, as reconciled in the attached schedules, adjusted income before taxes was $599.6 million, adjusted net income was $438.3 million, and adjusted earnings per share was $6.66. Foreign currency exchange positively impacted revenue by $274.8 million, net income attributable to common stockholders by $5.1 million, and earnings per share by $0.07.

1

Retail Automotive Dealerships

For the three months ended June 30, 2026, total new units delivered increased 5% and used units delivered increased 4%. The increase in new units is attributed to resilient consumer demand, coupled with improved new vehicle availability from certain manufacturers. Total retail automotive revenue increased 6% to $7.3 billion and increased 6% on a same-store basis. On a sequential basis when compared to the first quarter of 2026, new vehicle gross profit per unit decreased $1 and used vehicle gross profit per unit increased $19. When compared to the prior year period, same-store retail automotive service and parts revenue increased 2%, gross profit increased 3%, and gross margin improved 80 basis points to 59.5%.

For the six months ended June 30, 2026, total new units delivered remained flat and used units delivered increased 2%. Total retail automotive revenue increased 3% to $14.3 billion and increased 3% on a same-store basis. When compared to the prior year period, same-store retail automotive service and parts revenue increased 3%, gross profit increased 5%, and gross margin improved 60 basis points to 59.2%.

Retail Commercial Truck Dealerships

For the three months ended June 30, 2026, the Company’s retail commercial truck dealerships retailed 5,431 new and used units and generated $927.8 million in revenue and $47.2 million in income before taxes. This compares to 5,339 new and used units, $943.6 million of revenue, and $54.2 million in income before taxes during the same period in the prior year as lower order intake related to the weak freight environment in the third and four

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Apr 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

+0.00%

$171.66

Act: -0.08%

5D

-4.37%

$164.17

Act: -1.12%

20D

-5.74%

$161.81

Act: -2.03%

Price: $171.66 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001628280-26-028227

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2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 11, 2026 · 25% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-0.36%

$172.59

Act: +2.32%

5D

-2.73%

$168.49

Act: -4.36%

20D

-2.14%

$169.52

Act: -15.08%

Price: $173.22 Prob +5D: 37% AUC: 1.000
0001628280-26-007173

pag-202602110001019849FALSE00010198492026-02-112026-02-11

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of Earliest Event Reported):February 11, 2026

Penske Automotive Group, Inc.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware    1-12297    22-3086739 (State or other jurisdiction(Commission(I.R.S. Employer of incorporation)File Number)Identification No.)

2555 Telegraph Road,

Bloomfield Hills, Michigan 48302 (Address of principal executive offices)(Zip Code)

Registrant's telephone number, including area code:248-648-2500

Not Applicable Former name or former address, if changed since last report

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Voting Common Stock, par value $0.0001 per sharePAGNew York Stock Exchange

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐  Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐  Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐  Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐  Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On February 11, 2026, we issued a press release announcing our fourth quarter and full year 2025 financial results and other information. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1.

Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure.

The information set forth in Item 2.02 is incorporated into this Item 7.01 by reference. The information furnished in this Current Report under Item 2.02 and Item 7.01 shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.

Item 8.01 Other Events.

On February 11, 2026, we announced that our Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend in the amount of $1.40 per share, payable on March 5, 2026, to shareholders of record as of February 25, 2026.

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits

Exhibit Index

Exhibit No. Description 99.1 Press Release.

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (formatted as inline XBRL).

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Penske Automotive Group, Inc.

February 11, 2026 By: /s/ Shane M. Spradlin Name: Shane M. Spradlin Title: Executive Vice President

About Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) Earnings

This page provides Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on PAG's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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