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AI Earnings Predictions for Orion Group Holdings Inc. (ORN)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+4.99%

$12.61

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+13.90%

$13.68

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+20.93%

$14.52

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $12.01 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q1 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q1 2026 BUY +4.99% +13.90% +20.93% 100.0% Pending
Q4 2025 SELL +0.09% -6.80% -4.34% 99.8% Pending
Q3 2025 BUY +2.68% +16.37% +30.52% 100.0% +7.74%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Apr 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+4.99%

$12.61

5D

+13.90%

$13.68

20D

+20.93%

$14.52

Price: $12.01 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001402829-26-000034

EX-99.1

2 orn-20260428xex99d1.htm

EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

ORION GROUP HOLDINGS REPORTS

FIRST QUARTER 2026 RESULTS

HOUSTON – April 28, 2026 – Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: ORN) (the “Company” or “Orion”), a leading specialty construction company, today reported its financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026.

Highlights for the quarter ended March 31, 2026

●Revenue of $216 million, GAAP net income of $4.7 million or $0.12 per diluted share, Adjusted EBITDA of $8.7 million and Adjusted EPS of $0.05 per diluted share

●Cash flow from operations of $4.9 million

●Booked awards and change orders of $219 million in the quarter

●Reaffirming full-year 2026 guidance

“We delivered a solid start to the year, supported by disciplined operational performance and a healthy $24 billion pipeline of opportunities. This translated into top- and bottom-line growth and good cash flow generation,” said Travis Boone, President and Chief Executive Officer of Orion. “Our teams continue to execute at a high level, positioning us well for the remainder of 2026.”

“In our Marine segment, demand for mission-critical waterfront infrastructure continues to build, particularly across defense and port modernization projects. We are seeing an uptick in opportunities with the U.S. Coast Guard and the Department of War, underpinned by sustained federal investment in marine infrastructure outlined in the President’s Budget released in early April. We are making good progress integrating J.E. McAmis, leveraging their technical skillset to expand our opportunities and enhance project execution.”

“Our Concrete segment had a fantastic quarter across all key metrics and delivered strong revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth. Data center development continues to serve as a primary market driver, supported by sustained investment from hyperscalers and enterprise customers, with expanding opportunities in growing end markets such as cold storage and advanced manufacturing.”

“Our backlog is growing and our pursuit pipeline remains healthy, with broad-based opportunities across both segments as we move through the year. This combination supports affirmation of our full year 2026 guidance,” concluded Boone.

1

First Quarter 2026 Results

Quarter Ended

March 31,

March 31,

2026

​ ​ ​

2025

Revenue

$

216.3

$

188.7

GAAP Net Income (Loss)

$

4.7

$

(1.4)

GAAP EPS

$

0.12

$

(0.04)

Adjusted EBITDA

$

8.7

$

8.2

Adjusted EPS

$

0.05

$

0.01

See definitions and reconciliation of non-GAAP measures elsewhere in this release.

Contract revenues of $216.3 million in the first quarter of 2026 increased $27.6 million, or 15%, from $188.7 million in the first quarter of last year, primarily due to strong demand and expansion of services in the Concrete segment.

Gross profit was $25.9 million in the first quarter of 2026, an increase of $2.9 million, or 12%, from $23.0 million in the first quarter of 2025. The increase was primarily driven by the increase in revenue, strong project execution and favorable completions.

Selling, general and administrative expenses were $26.3 million for the first quarter of 2026, up from $22.5 million in the first quarter of last year, primarily to support business growth and the acquisition of J.E. McAmis during the quarter.

GAAP net income for the quarter ended March 31, 2026 was $4.7 million, or $0.12 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $1.4 million, or $0.04 per diluted share, in the first quarter last year.

Adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter of 2026 was $8.7 million, an increase of 7% compared to the first quarter of 2025. The year-over-year increase was primarily attributable to revenue growth and strong project execution.

Backlog

March 31,

December 31,

2026

2025

Marine

$

494

$

480

Concrete

174

160

Total

$

668

$

640

First quarter 2026 backlog included approximately $219 million in new awards. Recent Marine awards included maintenance dredging and a road bridge project for the Army in Hawaii, and a petroleum terminal expansion project. Recent Concrete awards included multiple data centers and expanded site work as well as numerous other commercial buildings.

2

Balance Sheet Update

As of March 31, 2026, current assets were $261 million, including unrestricted cash and cash equivalents of $6.3 million. Total debt outstanding was $72 million, with $53 million of outstanding borrowings under the UMB Credit Facility. The Company incurred borrowings of approximately $47 million under the UMB Credit Facility in connection with its acquisition of J.E. McAmis.

Guidance

The following forward-looking guidance reflects the Company’s current expectations and beliefs as of April 27, 2026, and is subject to change. The following statements apply only as of the date

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Mar 4, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

+0.09%

$13.41

Act: -11.79%

5D

-6.80%

$12.49

20D

-4.34%

$12.82

Price: $13.40 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001402829-26-000006

ORION GROUP HOLDINGS, INC._ March 3, 2026 0001402829false00014028292026-03-032026-03-03 ​ ​

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549 ​

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

​ Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 ​ Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): March 3, 2026 ​

ORION GROUP HOLDINGS, INC.

(Exact name of Registrant as specified in its charter) ​ ​

Delaware 1-33891 26-0097459

(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) (Commission File Number) (IRS Employer Identification Number)

​ 2940 Riverby Road, Suite 400 Houston, Texas 77020 (Address of principal executive offices) ​ (713) 852-6500 (Registrant's telephone number, including area code) ​ Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ☐    Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ​ ☐    Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ​ ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ​ ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c) ​

Title of Each Class ​ ​ ​ Trading Symbol(s) ​ ​ ​ Name of Each Exchange on Which Registered

Common stock, $0.01 par value per share ​ ORN ​ The New York Stock Exchange

Common stock, $0.01 par value per share ​ ORN ​ NYSE Texas

​ Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). ​ Emerging growth company ☐ ​ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐ ​ ​ ​ ​

​ Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition. ​ On March 3, 2026, Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. ​ The information contained in this Item 2.02 to the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for any purpose, and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended  (the “Exchange Act”), except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing. ​ Use of Non-GAAP Financial Information To help understand the Company’s financial performance, the Company has supplemented its financial results that it provides in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) with non-GAAP financial measures. Such financial measures include Adjusted Net Income (Loss), Adjusted Earnings (Loss) Per Common Share, earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (“EBITDA”), Adjusted EBITDA, and Adjusted EBITDA Margin. ​ We believe these non-GAAP financial measures are frequently used by investors, securities analysts and other parties in the evaluation of our performance and liquidity with that of other companies in our industry. Management uses these measures to evaluate our operating performance, liquidity and capital structure. In addition, our incentive compensation plan measures performance based on our consolidated EBITDA, along with other factors. The methods we use to produce these non-GAAP financial measures may differ from methods used by other companies. These measures should be considered in addition to, not as a substitute for, financial measures prepared in accordance with GAAP. Applicable reconciliations to the nearest GAAP financial measure of each non-GAAP financial measure are included in the attached Exhibit 99.1. ​ Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits

Exhibit No. Description

​ ​

99.1 Press Release of Orion Group Holdings, Inc. dated March 3, 2026.

104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).

​ ​ ​

EXHIBIT INDEX

Exhibit No.

Description

99.1

Press Release of Orion Group Holdings, Inc. dated March 3, 2026.

104

Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).

​ ​

SIGNATURE

​ Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized. ​ ​

​ Orion Group Holdings, Inc.

Dated: March 4, 2026 By: /s/ Travis J. Boone

​ ​

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Oct 29, 2025 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+2.68%

$10.48

Act: +10.77%

5D

+16.37%

$11.88

Act: +7.74%

20D

+30.52%

$13.33

Act: -3.04%

Price: $10.21 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001402829-25-000060

ORION GROUP HOLDINGS, INC._ October 29, 2025 0001402829false00014028292025-10-292025-10-29 ​ ​

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549 ​

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

​ Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 ​ Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): October 29, 2025 ​

ORION GROUP HOLDINGS, INC.

(Exact name of Registrant as specified in its charter) ​ ​

Delaware 1-33891 26-0097459

(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) (Commission File Number) (IRS Employer Identification Number)

​ 2940 Riverby Road, Suite 400 Houston, Texas 77020 (Address of principal executive offices) ​ (713) 852-6500 (Registrant's telephone number, including area code) ​ Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ☐    Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ​ ☐    Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ​ ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ​ ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c) ​

Title of Each Class

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of Each Exchange on Which Registered

Common stock, $0.01 par value per share ​ ORN ​ The New York Stock Exchange

Common stock, $0.01 par value per share ​ ORN ​ NYSE Texas

​ Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). ​ Emerging growth company ☐ ​ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐ ​ ​ ​ ​

​ Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On October 29, 2025, Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) held an earnings call to discuss its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. Due to technical issues, the beginning of the earnings call may not have been accessible to all participants. Accordingly, the Company is furnishing as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K a full transcript of the earnings call.

Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure.

The information above in Item 2.02 is incorporated herein by reference. The information contained in Item 2.02 above and this Item 7.01, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for any purpose, and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended  (the “Exchange Act”), except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing. ​ Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits

Exhibit No. Description

​ ​

99.1 Transcript of Orion Group Holdings, Inc. Third Quarter 2025 earnings conference call, held October 29, 2025.

104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).

​ ​ ​

EXHIBIT INDEX

Exhibit No.

Description

99.1 Transcript of Orion Group Holdings, Inc. Third Quarter 2025 earnings conference call, held October 29, 2025.

104

Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).

​ ​

SIGNATURE

​ Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized. ​ ​

​ Orion Group Holdings, Inc.

Dated: October 29, 2025 By: /s/ Travis J. Boone

​ ​ President and Chief Executive Officer

​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​

About Orion Group Holdings Inc. (ORN) Earnings

This page provides Orion Group Holdings Inc. (ORN) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on ORN's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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