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AI Earnings Predictions for Orchid Island Capital Inc. (ORC)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-0.04%

$8.29

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-3.10%

$8.03

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-1.59%

$8.16

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $8.29 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Jan 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-0.04%

$8.29

Act: -6.03%

5D

-3.10%

$8.03

Act: -7.96%

20D

-1.59%

$8.16

Act: -10.13%

Price: $8.29 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001437749-26-002424

orc20251027_8k.htm

false 0001518621

0001518621

2026-01-29 2026-01-29

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, DC 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the

Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): January 29, 2026

Orchid Island Capital, Inc.

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Charter)

Maryland

001-35236

27-3269228

(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

3305 Flamingo Drive, Vero Beach, Florida 32963

(Address of Principal Executive Offices) (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code (772) 231-1400

N/A

(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class:

Trading symbol:

Name of each exchange on which registered:

Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share

ORC

NYSE

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On January 29, 2026, Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (the “Company”) issued the press release attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 announcing the Company’s results of operations for the period ended December 31, 2025. In addition, the Company posted the supplemental financial information on the investor relations section of its website (https://ir.orchidislandcapital.com). The press release, attached as Exhibit 99.1, is being filed under this “Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition,” and shall be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. The information on the Company's website, including the supplemental financial information described in this Item 2.02, is not incorporated by reference into this Current Report on Form 8-K or in any disclosure document of the Company except as shall be expressly set forth therein.

Caution About Forward-Looking Statements.

This Current Report on Form 8-K contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and other federal securities laws, including, but not limited to, statements regarding interest rates, inflation, liquidity, funding costs, prepayment speeds, portfolio positioning and repositioning, hedging levels, book value, leverage ratio, earnings, dividends, the supply and demand for Agency RMBS and the performance of the Agency RMBS sector generally, the effect of actual or expected actions of the U.S. government, including the Federal Reserve, market expectations, future opportunities and prospects of the Company, the stock repurchase program and general economic conditions. These forward-looking statements are based upon the Company’s present expectations, but the Company cannot assure investors that actual results will not vary from the expectations contained in the forward-looking statements. Investors should not place undue reliance upon forward-looking statements. For further discussion of the factors that could affect outcomes, please refer to the “Risk Factors” section of the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023, which has been filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), and other documents that the Company files with the SEC. All forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made. New risks and uncertainties arise over time, and it is not possible to predict those events or how they may affect the Company. Except as required by law, the Company is not obligated to, and does not intend to, update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits

Exhibit No.

Description

99.1

Press Release dated January 29, 2026

104

Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded w

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Jan 14, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-0.04%

$8.29

Act: -6.03%

5D

-3.10%

$8.03

Act: -7.96%

20D

-1.59%

$8.16

Act: -10.13%

Price: $8.29 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001437749-26-001277

orc20260113_8k.htm

false 0001518621

0001518621

2026-01-14 2026-01-14

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, DC 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the

Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): January 14, 2026

Orchid Island Capital, Inc.

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Charter)

Maryland

001-35236

27-3269228

(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

3305 Flamingo Drive, Vero Beach, Florida 32963

(Address of Principal Executive Offices) (Zip Code)

Registrant's telephone number, including area code  (772) 231-1400

N/A

(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class:

Trading symbol:

Name of each exchange on which registered:

Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share

ORC

NYSE

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On January 14, 2026, Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (the “Company”) announced its estimated book value of 7.54 per share as of December 31, 2025, certain details of its RMBS portfolio as of December 31, 2025, and estimated GAAP net income per share of $0.62, including an estimated $0.43 per share of net realized and unrealized gains on RMBS and derivative instruments, for the quarter ended December 31, 2025. These figures and the estimated book value per share and estimated GAAP net income per share are preliminary, subject to change, and subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm. A copy of the Company’s press release announcing this preliminary information regarding the Company is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by this reference.

Caution About Forward-Looking Statements.

This Current Report on Form 8-K contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and other federal securities laws. These forward-looking statements are based upon the Company’s present expectations, but the Company cannot assure investors that actual results will not vary from the expectations contained in the forward-looking statements. Investors should not place undue reliance upon forward looking statements. For further discussion of the factors that could affect outcomes, please refer to the “Risk Factors” section of the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024. All forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made. New risks and uncertainties arise over time, and it is not possible to predict those events or how they may affect the Company. Except as required by law, the Company is not obligated to, and does not intend to, update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits

Exhibit No.

Description

99.1

Press Release dated January 14, 2026

104

Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

Signatures

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Date: January 14, 2026

ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL, INC.

By:

/s/ Robert E. Cauley

Robert E. Cauley

Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Oct 23, 2025

0001437749-25-031640

orc20250729_8k.htm

false 0001518621

0001518621

2025-10-23 2025-10-23

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, DC 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the

Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): October 23, 2025

Orchid Island Capital, Inc.

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Charter)

Maryland

001-35236

27-3269228

(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

3305 Flamingo Drive, Vero Beach, Florida 32963

(Address of Principal Executive Offices) (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code (772) 231-1400

N/A

(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class:

Trading symbol:

Name of each exchange on which registered:

Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share

ORC

NYSE

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On October 23, 2025, Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (the “Company”) issued the press release attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 announcing the Company’s results of operations for the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2025. In addition, the Company posted supplemental financial information on the investor relations section of its website (https://ir.orchidislandcapital.com). The press release, attached as Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished under this “Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition,” and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any disclosure document of the Company, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such document.

Caution About Forward-Looking Statements.

This Current Report on Form 8-K contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and other federal securities laws, including, but not limited to, statements regarding interest rates, inflation, liquidity, pledging of our structured RMBS, funding levels and spreads, prepayment speeds, portfolio composition, positioning and repositioning, hedging levels, leverage ratio, dividends, investment and return opportunities, the supply and demand for Agency RMBS and the performance of the Agency RMBS sector generally, the effect of actual or expected actions of the U.S. government, including the Federal Reserve, market expectations, capital raising, future opportunities and prospects of the Company, the stock repurchase program, geopolitical uncertainty and general economic conditions (including the effects of tariffs, trade wars, inflation, the U.S. deficit, and the strength of the U.S. dollar). These forward-looking statements are based upon the Company’s present expectations, but the Company cannot assure investors that actual results will not vary from the expectations contained in the forward-looking statements. Investors should not place undue reliance upon forward-looking statements. For further discussion of the factors that could affect outcomes, please refer to the “Risk Factors” section of the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024, which has been filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), and other documents that the Company files with the SEC. All forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made. New risks and uncertainties arise over time, and it is not possible to predict those events or how they may affect the Company. Except as required by law, the Company is not obligated to, and does not intend to, update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits.

About Orchid Island Capital Inc. (ORC) Earnings

This page provides Orchid Island Capital Inc. (ORC) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on ORC's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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