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AI Earnings Predictions for Ocugen Inc. (OCGN)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+2.09%

$1.47

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+9.62%

$1.58

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-3.80%

$1.39

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $1.44 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q1 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q1 2026 BUY +2.09% +9.62% -3.80% 100.0% +0.70%
Q4 2025 BUY +3.25% +8.92% -3.31% 100.0% Pending
Q3 2025 SELL +4.36% -1.95% -6.92% 100.0% -4.96%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

May 7, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+2.09%

$1.47

Act: +4.51%

5D

+9.62%

$1.58

Act: +0.70%

20D

-3.80%

$1.39

Act: -11.11%

Price: $1.44 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-057138

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0001372299

2026-05-07 2026-05-07

iso4217:USD

xbrli:shares

iso4217:USD

xbrli:shares

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d)

of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): May 7, 2026

OCUGEN, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware

001-36751

04-3522315

(State or other jurisdiction

of incorporation)

(Commission File

Number)

(IRS Employer

Identification No.)

11 Great Valley Parkway

Malvern, Pennsylvania

19355

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip Code)

(484) 328-4701

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code:

N/A

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

¨ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

¨ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading

Symbol(s)

Name of each exchange

on which registered

Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share

OCGN

The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC

(The Nasdaq Capital Market)

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ¨

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ¨

Item 1.01 Entry Into a Material Definitive Agreement.

Indenture and Notes

On May 7, 2026, Ocugen, Inc. (the “Company”) completed its previously announced private offering (the “offering”) of $115.0 million aggregate principal amount of 6.75% Convertible Senior Notes due 2034 (the “notes”). The notes were issued pursuant to an indenture, dated May 7, 2026 (the “Indenture”), between the Company and U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association, as trustee.

The notes are general unsecured obligations of the Company and rank senior in right of payment to all of its future indebtedness that is expressly subordinated in right of payment to the notes, equal in right of payment to all of its existing and future liabilities that are not so subordinated, and junior to all of its secured indebtedness, to the extent of the value of the assets securing such indebtedness. The notes bear interest at a rate of 6.75% per year. Interest is payable semi-annually in arrears on May 15 and November 15 of each year, beginning on November 15, 2026. The notes mature on May 15, 2034, unless earlier repurchased, redeemed or converted.

The notes may not be converted prior to the earlier of (i) May 15, 2027 and (ii) the “reserved share effective date” (as defined in the Indenture) (such earlier date, the “conversion limit end date”). On or after the conversion limit end date, the notes are convertible at the option of the holders at any time prior to the close of business on the second scheduled trading day immediately preceding the maturity date, as described below. Upon conversion, the Company will pay or deliver, as the case may be, cash, shares of the Company’s common stock, par value $0.01 per share (the “common stock”), or a combination of cash and shares of common stock, at the Company’s election, in the manner and subject to the terms and conditions provided in the Indenture, and, in the case of shares of common stock, subject to application of the Exchange Cap, if applicable; provided that unless and until the reserved share effective date occurs, the Company will settle conversion of notes solely with cash.

Additionally, until stockholder approval for the issuance of common stock pursuant to a conversion of the notes is obtained, the maximum number of common stock that the Company can issue pursuant to any conversion of notes by physical settlement will be 67,629,947 shares of common stock to comply with Nasdaq Rule 5635(d) (the “Exchange Cap”). The indenture will require that any conversion of notes be settled by cash settlement if settlement by the issuance of common stock would otherwise violate Nasdaq Rule 5635(d).

The conversion rate of the notes will initially be 372.7866 shares of common stock per $1,000 principal amount of notes, which is equivalent to an initial conversion price o

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

May 5, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+2.09%

$1.47

Act: +4.51%

5D

+9.62%

$1.58

Act: +0.70%

20D

-3.80%

$1.39

Act: -11.11%

Price: $1.44 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-055411

EX-99.1

2 tm2613584d1_ex99-1.htm

EXHIBIT 99.1

Exhibit 99.1

Ocugen Provides Business Update with First Quarter 2026 Financial Results

Conference Call and Webcast Today at 8:30 a.m. ET

·Positive 12-month data from the OCU410 Phase 2 ArMaDa clinical trial for geographic atrophy (GA) indicates a statistically significant (p<0.05) 31% reduction in lesion size and 27% EZ preservation (correlated to visual function) in optimal dose for Phase 3

·About 20% of patients demonstrated no progression of disease and 75% of subjects showed > 30% reduction in Iesion growth compared to control, with a favorable safety and tolerability profile

·Allows robust registrational Phase 3 trial design, a potential combined U.S./EU trial with 300 subjects, with adaptive design powered at over 95%

·Trial enrollment complete for OCU400 for retinitis pigmentosa (RP) and OCU410ST for Stargardt disease registration trials, and on target to complete two Biologics License Application (BLA) submissions by 2027

· The closing of a private offering of $115 million aggregate principal amount ($130 million if overallotment is exercised) of 6.75% convertible senior notes due 2034, with a conversion premium of 45%, is expected to extend cash runway into 2028, subject to customary closing conditions

oThe Company expects to utilize $32.7 million of net proceeds from the Notes to retire the Avenue debt (12.5% interest rate)

MALVERN, Pa., May 5, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) – Ocugen, Inc. (“Ocugen” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: OCGN), a pioneering biotechnology leader in gene therapies for blindness diseases, today reported first quarter 2026 financial results along with a general business update.

With the recent offering, the Company is expected to have cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash of $112.1 million, at closing, which includes the Avenue debt payoff. The Company will use the remaining net proceeds for general corporate purposes and expects to extend cash runway into 2028. The offering is expected to close on May 7, 2026, subject to customary closing conditions and includes an option to retire the debt with a cash payment. If the remaining Janus Henderson warrants are exercised, the Company will receive an additional $15 million in gross proceeds increasing expected cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash to $127.1 million.

“In the first few months of 2026, we have completed enrollment of two of our late-stage programs and are diligently working toward initiating our first BLA submission for RP and registration trial for dry AMD later this year,” said Dr. Shankar Musunuri, Chairman, Chief Executive Officer, and Co-Founder of Ocugen. “We are executing well against our plans with the highest productivity per employee rate compared to our peers, adequate cash runway with the recent offering, and key milestone achievement to create long-term value creation for our patients and shareholders.”

Enrollment for liMeliGhT, the first and largest gene therapy registrational trial for broad RP patients (N=140), was completed, reflecting strong engagement from investigators and patients. The OCU400 Phase 3 clinical trial includes representation of a wide range of genetic mutations associated with early to advanced stages of clinical and/or genetic diagnosis of RP (over 25 genetic mutations), and patient response is intended to support the gene-agnostic mechanism of action of Ocugen’s novel modifier gene therapy platform. The Company plans to initiate the rolling BLA submission for OCU400 in the third quarter of 2026 and complete the BLA submission by the second quarter of 2027.

Manufacturing readiness for OCU400 is well underway and completion of process performance qualification (PPQ) batches remains on track for the second quarter of 2026. Approximately 300,000 people in the U.S. and Europe are living with RP, and OCU400 is intended as a treatment for early to advanced cases of RP, with potential approval in the fourth quarter of 2027.

GARDian3 clinical trial enrollment and dosing were completed ahead of schedule. GARDian3 is a multicenter, randomized, masked, pivotal Phase 2/3 confirmatory registration trial designed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of OCU410ST in patients with all mutations of Stargardt disease. The study enrolled 63 subjects diagnosed with Stargardt disease. Subjects randomized to the treatment group received a one-time subretinal injection of OCU410ST in the eye with poorer visual acuity, while the untreated control group did not receive any treatment. The primary endpoint is to evaluate the reduction in atrophic lesion size at 12 months. Key secondary endpoints include improvements in best corrected visual acuity (BCVA) and low luminance visual acuity (LLVA), compared to controls. Observational endpoints include preservation of Ellipsoid Zone (EZ), which correlates to visual function. While demonstrating functional benefit via visual acuity within 12 months can be challenging due to the disease’s natural history, it

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

May 4, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+2.09%

$1.47

Act: +4.51%

5D

+9.62%

$1.58

Act: +0.70%

20D

-3.80%

$1.39

Act: -11.11%

Price: $1.44 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-054866

EX-99.1

2 tm2613474d1_ex99-1.htm

EXHIBIT 99.1

Exhibit 99.1

Excerpts from Preliminary Offering Memorandum

Overview

We are a biotechnology company focused on discovering, developing, and commercializing novel gene therapies that improve health and offer hope for patients across the globe.

Our technology pipeline includes:

·Modifier Gene Therapy Platform

OCU400 — Based on the use of nuclear hormone receptors ("NHRs"), we believe our novel modifier gene therapy platform has the potential to address major blindness diseases, including rare genetic diseases such as Retinitis Pigmentosa (“RP”) (OCU400), with a gene-agnostic approach. OCU400 is intended for early to advanced cases of RP including clinical and/or genetic diagnosis with both syndromic and non-syndromic forms of the disease. In February 2025, we announced that the European Commission has provided a positive opinion from the European Medicines Agency's ("EMA") Committee for Advanced Therapies for OCU400 Advanced Therapy Medicinal Product ("ATMP") classification. We have completed enrollment in the Phase 3 liMeliGhT clinical trial for OCU400. Positive long-term, 3-year Phase 1/2 data for OCU400 were recently assessed in evaluable subjects and builds on prior 2-year results showing consistent clinically meaningful, approximately 2-line LLVA gain across mutations. OCU400 maintained a favorable durability, safety and tolerability profile with no new treatment-related serious adverse events or adverse events of interest emerged. We expect to begin a rolling BLA submission in the third quarter of 2026. Topline Phase 3 data expected in the first quarter of 2027, advancing OCU400 towards potential approval in 2027 as a treatment option for early- to late-stage RP.

OCU410ST — We initiated dosing in GARDian3 pivotal confirmatory trial for OCU410ST in July 2025. The OCU410ST Phase 2/3 pivotal confirmatory trial represents our second late-stage clinical program. We plan to submit a BLA for OCU410ST by mid-2027 in alignment with our strategic goal of filing three BLAs by 2028. In May 2025, we announced that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (“FDA”) has granted Rare Pediatric Disease Designation for OCU410ST for the treatment of ABCA4-associated retinopathies including Stargardt disease, retinitis pigmentosa 19, and cone-rod dystrophy 3 ("CORD3"). In November 2024, the EMA granted orphan medicinal product designation for OCU410ST for the treatment of ABCA4-associated retinopathies (>1200 mutations) including Stargardt disease, RP 19, and CORD3. In June 2025, we announced that the FDA has cleared the Investigational New Drug ("IND") amendment to initiate a Phase 2/3 pivotal confirmatory trial of OCU410ST, a modifier gene therapy candidate being developed for all Stargardt disease (ABCA4-associated retinopathies). In August, 2025, we announced that the Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use of the EMA reviewed the study design, endpoints and planned statistical analysis of the ongoing pivotal confirmatory OCU410ST Phase 2/3 GARDian3 clinical trial for Stargardt disease and provided acceptability of a single U.S.-based trial for submission of a MAA. In April 2026, we announced early completion of dosing in the Phase 2/3 pivotal confirmatory trial.

OCU410 — We completed dosing in Phase 2 of the Phase 1/2 ArMaDa clinical trial for OCU410 for the treatment of geographic atrophy (“GA”), an advanced form of dAMD. In March 2025, OCU410 and OCU410ST received ATMP classification from the EMA. In March 2026, we announced positive 12-month topline data from the Phase 2 ArMaDa clinical trial. We expect to meet with FDA/EMA to align on the Phase 3 study design and reach agreement by the third quarter of 2026.

·Novel Biologic Therapy for Retinal Diseases — OCU200 is a novel fusion protein consisting of two human proteins, tumstatin and transferrin. OCU200 possesses unique features which potentially enable it to treat vascular complications of diabetic macular edema, diabetic retinopathy, and wet age-related macular degeneration. Tumstatin is the active component of OCU200 and binds to integrin receptors, which play a crucial role in disease pathogenesis. Transferrin is expected to facilitate the targeted delivery of tumstatin into the retina and choroid and potentially help increase the interaction between tumstatin and integrin receptors. OCU200 Phase 1 clinical trial enrollment was completed in the first quarter of 2026.

·Inhaled Mucosal Vaccine Platform — Our next-generation, inhaled mucosal vaccine platform includes OCU500, a COVID-19 vaccine. We have completed IND-enabling studies and GMP manufacturing of clinical trial material for OCU500. The National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases ("NIAID"), part of the National Institutes of Health ("NIH") intends to initiate a Phase 1 clinical trial for OCU500 in the second quarter of 2026.

Recent Developments

We estimate that our cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash were approximately $32.2 m

About Ocugen Inc. (OCGN) Earnings

This page provides Ocugen Inc. (OCGN) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on OCGN's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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