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AI Earnings Predictions for NexPoint Residential Trust Inc. (NXRT)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

-0.84%

$28.62

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+3.37%

$29.83

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+1.88%

$29.40

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $28.86 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q1 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q1 2026 BUY -0.84% +3.37% +1.88% 100.0% Pending
Q4 2025 SELL -1.12% -3.01% -3.30% 100.0% -5.50%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Apr 28, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

-0.84%

$28.62

5D

+3.37%

$29.83

20D

+1.88%

$29.40

Price: $28.86 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-183645

EX-99.1

2 nxrt-ex99_1.htm

EX-99.1

EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

28 April 2026 | NYSE: NXRT

EARNINGS SUPPLEMENT: FIRST QUARTER 2026

NEXPOINT RESIDENTIAL TRUST, INC.

300 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 700

DALLAS, TX 75201

INVESTOR RELATIONS:

KRISTEN GRIFFITH

NXRT.NEXPOINT.COM

NEXPOINT RESIDENTIAL TRUST, INC. [NYSE:NXRT]

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Earnings Release

1

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

3

Overview

4

Highlights of Recent Activity

5

Financial Summary

7

2026 Full Year Guidance

8

Components of Net Asset Value

9

Consolidated Balance Sheets

10

Consolidated Statements of Operations

11

NOI and Same Store NOI

12

Q1 Same Store Results

13

Q1 Same Store Properties Operating Metrics

15

QoQ Same Store Properties Operating Metrics

16

FFO, Core FFO and AFFO

17

Historical Capital Expenditures

18

Value-Add Program Details

19

Outstanding Debt Details

22

Debt Maturity Schedule

24

Historical Acquisition Details

26

Historical Disposition Details

27

Definitions and Reconciliations of Non-GAAP Measures

28

Sedona at Lone Mountain: Las Vegas, NV

Patio Extensions Underway, ~30% return on Investment

Mockup of Refreshed Exterior Full Paint

NEXPOINT RESIDENTIAL TRUST, INC. [NYSE:NXRT]

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Contact:

Investor Relations

Kristen Griffith

IR@nexpoint.com

(214) 276-6300

Media inquiries: Comms@nexpoint.com

NEXPOINT RESIDENTIAL TRUST, INC. REPORTS FIRST QUARTER 2026 RESULTS

NXRT Recaps Value-Add Results, Tames Expense Growth and Pays Down $33.0 Million on Credit Facility

Dallas, TX, April 28, 2026 – NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. (NYSE:NXRT) reported financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026.

Highlights

• NXRT1 reported net loss, FFO2, Core FFO2 and AFFO2 of $6.8M, $17.4M, $17.3M and $19.6M, respectively, attributable to common stockholders for the quarter ended March 31, 2026, compared to net loss, FFO, Core FFO, and AFFO of $6.9M, $17.4M, $19.1M and $21.6M, respectively, attributable to common stockholders for the quarter ended March 31, 2025.

• For the three months ended March 31, 2026, Q1 Same Store properties3 total revenue, NOI2 , average effective rent, and occupancy decreased 2.2%, 2.7%, 0.9% and 80 bps, respectively, over the prior year period.

• The weighted average effective monthly rent per unit across all 36 properties held as of March 31, 2026 (the “Portfolio”), consisting of 13,304 units4, was $1,485, while physical occupancy was 93.5%.

• NXRT paid a first quarter dividend of $0.53 per share of common stock on March 31, 2026 to stockholders of record on March 13, 2026.

• On February 3, 2026, NXRT used proceeds from a new mortgage note secured by Sedona at Lone Mountain to pay down $33.0 million of its outstanding principal balance on the Credit Facility.

• During the first quarter, for the properties in the Portfolio, NXRT completed 300 full and partial upgrades, leased 225 upgraded units, achieving an average monthly rent premium of $69 and a 19.0% ROI5.

• Since inception, NXRT has completed installation of 10,118 full and partial upgrades, 5,027 kitchen and laundry appliances and 11,199 technology packages, resulting in $155, $51 and $43 average monthly rental increase per unit and 20.7%, 63.5% and 37.2% ROI, respectively.

(1) In this release, “we,” “us,” “our,” the “Company,” and “NXRT” each refer to NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc., a Maryland corporation.

(2) FFO, Core FFO, AFFO and NOI are non-GAAP measures. For a discussion of why we consider these non-GAAP measures useful and reconciliations of FFO, Core FFO, AFFO and NOI to net income (loss), see the “Definitions and Reconciliations of Non-GAAP Measures” and “FFO, Core FFO and AFFO” sections of this release.

(3) We define “Same Store” properties as properties that were in our Portfolio for the entirety of the periods being compared. There are 35 properties encompassing 12,984 units of apartment space in our Same Store pool for the three months ended March 31, 2026 (our “Q1 Same Store” properties).

(4) Total number of units owned as of March 31, 2026 is 13,305, however 1 unit is currently down.

(5) We define Return on Investment (“ROI”) as the sum of the actual 12-month rent premium divided by the sum of the total cost.

NXRT.NEXPOINT.COM

Page 1

NEXPOINT RESIDENTIAL TRUST, INC. [NYSE:NXRT]

First Quarter 2026 Financial Results

• Total revenues were $63.5 million for the first quarter of 2026, compared to $63.2 million for the first quarter of 2025.

• Net loss attributable to common stockholders for the first quarter of 2026 totaled $6.8 million, or loss of $0.27 per diluted share. This compared to net loss attributable to common stockholders of $6.9 million, or loss of $0.27 per diluted share for the first quarter of 2025.

• The change in our net loss of $6.8 million for the three months ended March 31, 2026 as compared to our net loss of $6.9 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025 primarily relates to an increase in operating incom

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 24, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-1.12%

$28.59

Act: +0.52%

5D

-3.01%

$28.04

Act: -5.50%

20D

-3.30%

$27.95

Price: $28.91 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-065382

8-K

false000162039300016203932026-02-242026-02-24

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): February 24, 2026

NEXPOINT RESIDENTIAL TRUST, INC.

(Exact Name Of Registrant As Specified In Charter)

Maryland

001-36663

47-1881359

(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

300 Crescent Court, Suite 700 Dallas, Texas 75201 (Address of Principal Executive Offices) (Zip Code) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (214) 276-6300

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share

NXRT

New York Stock Exchange; NYSE Texas, Inc.

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition. The following information is intended to be furnished under Item 2.02 of Form 8-K, “Results of Operations and Financial Condition.” This information shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Exchange Act, whether made before or after the date of this report, regardless of any general incorporation language in the filing. In a press release dated February 24, 2026, NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. (the “Company”) announced financial results for the Company’s fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025. The full text of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits.

Exhibit Number

Exhibit Description

99.1

Press Release dated February 24, 2026

104

Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

NEXPOINT RESIDENTIAL TRUST, INC.

By:

/s/ Paul Richards

Name: Paul Richards Title: Chief Financial Officer, Executive VP-Finance, Treasurer and Assistant Secretary

Date: February 24, 2026

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Oct 28, 2025

0001193125-25-252425

8-K

0001620393false00016203932025-10-282025-10-28

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): October 28, 2025

NEXPOINT RESIDENTIAL TRUST, INC.

(Exact Name Of Registrant As Specified In Charter)

Maryland

001-36663

47-1881359

(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

300 Crescent Court, Suite 700 Dallas, Texas 75201 (Address of Principal Executive Offices) (Zip Code) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (214) 276-6300

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below): ☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share

NXRT

New York Stock Exchange; NYSE Texas, Inc.

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition. The following information is intended to be furnished under Item 2.02 of Form 8-K, “Results of Operations and Financial Condition.” This information shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Exchange Act, whether made before or after the date of this report, regardless of any general incorporation language in the filing. In a press release dated October 28, 2025, NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. (the “Company”) announced financial results for the Company’s third quarter ended September 30, 2025. The full text of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits.

Exhibit Number

Exhibit Description

99.1

Press Release dated October 28, 2025

104

Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

NEXPOINT RESIDENTIAL TRUST, INC.

By:

/s/ Paul Richards

Name: Paul Richards Title: Chief Financial Officer, Executive VP-Finance, Treasurer and Assistant Secretary

Date: October 28, 2025

About NexPoint Residential Trust Inc. (NXRT) Earnings

This page provides NexPoint Residential Trust Inc. (NXRT) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on NXRT's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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