Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns
1-Day Prediction
-4.66%
$30.93
0% positive prob.
5-Day Prediction
-6.00%
$30.49
0% positive prob.
20-Day Prediction
-6.52%
$30.33
0% positive prob.
| Quarter | Signal | 1D Return | 5D Return | 20D Return | Confidence | Actual 5D |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | SELL | -4.66% | -6.00% | -6.52% | 100.0% | Pending |
| Q2 2026 | BUY | +4.05% | +6.68% | +9.59% | 100.0% | Pending |
| Q1 2026 | BUY | +3.90% | +7.20% | +11.41% | 100.0% | +1.51% |
| Q4 2025 | BUY | +3.59% | +7.46% | +12.08% | 100.0% | +4.88% |
SEC 8-K filings with transcript text
Nov 2, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
-4.66%
$30.93
Act: +2.01%
5D
-6.00%
$30.49
20D
-6.52%
$30.33
2 nssc-ex99d1.htm
Exhibit 99.1
NAPCO Security Technologies, Inc. Reports Fiscal Q1 2027 Results
AMITYVILLE, N.Y., November 2, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- NAPCO Security Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ: NSSC), one of the leading manufacturers and designers of high-tech electronic security equipment, wireless communication devices for intrusion and fire alarm systems and the related recurring service revenues as well as a provider of school safety solutions, today announced financial results for its first quarter of fiscal year 2027. Results are reported in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) and are also reported adjusting for certain items (“Non-GAAP”). A reconciliation between GAAP and Non-GAAP operating results is provided at the end of this press release.
First Quarter 2027 Financial Results as Compared to First Quarter 2026
●Net revenue increased 1.7% to a First Quarter record $50.0 million
●Recurring service revenue (“RSR”) increased 11.5% to a Quarterly record $26.1 million, with over 90% gross margin
●RSR has a prospective annual run rate of approximately $106 million based on October 2026 recurring service revenues
●Equipment revenue decreased 7.3% to $23.9 million
●Gross profit margin increased to 58.7.% vs 56.6% in prior fiscal year quarter
●Net Income increased 6.9% YoY to a First Quarter record $13.0 million
●Diluted Net Income per share increased 5.9% to $0.36
●Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA increased 3.8% to a First Quarter record $15.5 million with an Adjusted EBITDA Margin of 31.0%, compared to $14.9 million with an Adjusted EBITDA Margin of 30.4% in the prior fiscal year quarter
●The board declared a quarterly dividend of $.17 per share, payable on January 4, 2027, to shareholders of record on December 14, 2026.
Kevin Buchel, CEO and President, commented, “Our Fiscal Q1 performance reflects continued positive financial results. We achieved record Q1 revenue of $50.0 million and record Q1 Adjusted EBITDA of $15.5 million, which was bolstered by our recurring service revenue. Our RSR continues to deliver gross margins of over 90% and has a prospective run rate of approximately $106 million, a $3 million increase from the run rate we reported in July 2026. While equipment revenue declined year-over-year, the decrease was driven by two locking distributors reducing their purchases during the quarter. Importantly, sell-through at both distributors grew year-over-year and strengthened meaningfully on a sequential basis. We view sell-through as the truest indicator of end-market demand, and these trends reinforce our confidence in the underlying health of the business.
We are pleased to continue our dividend program of which the quarterly dividend will be $0.17 per share, which will be paid on January 4, 2027, to shareholders of record on December 14, 2026.”
Three months ended September 30,
(dollars in thousands)
% Increase/
Financial Highlights
2026
2025
(decrease)
GAAP Results
Net Revenue
$
49,980
$
49,168
1.7
%
Gross Profit
$
29,352
$
27,846
5.4
%
Gross Profit Margin
58.7
%
56.6
%
Operating Income
$
14,117
$
13,643
3.5
%
Net Income
$
13,009
$
12,165
6.9
%
Diluted Earnings Per Share
$
0.36
$
0.34
5.9
%
Non-GAAP Results
Adjusted EBITDA
$
15,509
$
14,942
3.8
%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin
31.0
%
30.4
%
Adjusted EBITDA Per Share
$
0.43
$
0.42
2.4
%
Free Cash Flows
$
2,317
$
11,444
(79.8)
%
Free Cash Flows Margin
4.6
%
23.3
%
Conference Call Information
Management will conduct a conference call at 11 a.m. ET today, November 2, 2026, and in order to participate please go to the Investor Relations section of the Company website at https://investor.napcosecurity.com/events-presentations or choose https://app.webinar.net/ndlaQ1yQy3W. Alternatively, interested parties may participate in the call by dialing (US) 1-800-836-8184 or (International) 1-646-357-8785. A replay of the webcast will be available on the Investor Relations section of the Company’s website.
About NAPCO Security Technologies, Inc.
NAPCO Security Technologies, Inc., is one of the leading manufacturers and designers of high-tech electronic security devices, wireless recurring communication services for intrusion and fire alarm systems as well as a provider of school safety solutions, The Company consists of four Divisions: NAPCO, plus three wholly owned subsidiaries: Alarm Lock, Continental Instruments, and Marks USA. Headquartered in Amityville, New York, its products are installed by tens of thousands of security professionals worldwide in commercial, industrial, institutional, residential and government applicat
Aug 24, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
+4.05%
$39.11
Act: -3.09%
5D
+6.68%
$40.10
20D
+9.59%
$41.19
2 nssc-20260820xex99d1.htm
Exhibit 99.1
NAPCO Security Technologies, Inc. Reports Fiscal Q4 and Full Year 2026 Results
AMITYVILLE, N.Y., August 24, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- NAPCO Security Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ: NSSC), one of the leading manufacturers and designers of high-tech electronic security equipment, wireless communication devices for intrusion and fire alarm systems and the related recurring service revenues as well as a provider of school safety solutions, today announced financial results for its fourth quarter and fiscal year 2026. Results are reported in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) and are also reported adjusting for certain items (“Non-GAAP”). A reconciliation between GAAP and Non-GAAP operating results is provided at the end of this press release.
Fourth Quarter 2026 Financial Results as Compared to Fourth Quarter 2025
●Net revenue increased 10.0% to a quarterly record $55.8 million, as compared to $50.7 million
●Recurring service revenue (“RSR”) increased 12.9% to $25.3 million, with over 90% gross margin, as compared to $22.4 million
●Equipment revenue increased 7.7% to $30.5 million, compared to $28.3 million
●Gross profit margin of 61.3%, which included a benefit of approximately 600 basis points from tariff refunds, vs 52.8% in prior fiscal year quarter
●Net Income increased 52.7% YoY to a quarterly record $17.8 million, as compared to $11.6 million
●Diluted Net Income per share increased 51.5% to $0.50, which is inclusive of a benefit of approximately $0.09 from net tariff refunds, as compared to $0.33
●Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA increased 44.3% to a quarterly record $20.6 million with an Adjusted EBITDA Margin of 36.8%
Full Year 2026 Financial Results as Compared to Full Year 2025
●Net revenue increased 11.4% to a record $202.3 million, as compared to $181.6 million
●RSR increased 13.0% to $97.5 million, with over 90% gross margin, as compared to $86.3 million
●RSR has a prospective annual run rate of approximately $103 million based on July 2026 recurring service revenues
●Equipment revenue increased 10.0% to $104.8 million, compared to $95.3 million
●Gross profit margin of 59.2%, which included a benefit of approximately 50 basis points from tariff refunds, vs 55.6% in prior fiscal year
●Net Income decreased (.9%) to $43.0 million, as compared to $43.4 million. Full year net income and net income per share were negatively affected by a $16 million litigation settlement charge taken in Q3 of fiscal 2026
●Diluted Net Income per share increased 0.8% YoY to $1.20, which is inclusive of a benefit of approximately $0.03 from net tariff refunds and negative impact of approximately $0.40 from net litigation settlement costs, as compared to $1.19
●Non-GAAP Net Income increased 32.0% to $57.3 million, as compared to $43.4 million
●Non-GAAP Diluted Net Income per share increased 34.5% YoY to $1.60, as compared to $1.19.
●Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA increased 27.9% YoY to a record $66.7 million, with an Adjusted EBITDA Margin of 33.0%
●The Board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.17 per share, payable on October 2, 2026 to shareholders of record on September 11, 2026.
Kevin Buchel, CEO and President, commented, “Our Fiscal Q4 performance completes a strong close to our fiscal year end and reflects continued positive financial results. We achieved record Q4 revenue and Adjusted EBITDA of $55.8 and $20.6 million, respectively, which was bolstered by our recurring service revenue with its continued year over year double digit growth. We saw a rebound in our equipment sales, which increased 10.0% for the year, driven by strong demand for our door-locking products as well as a 36% growth in sales of our intrusion products in Q4, which is primarily a result of increased sales of our StarLink fire communicators. Our RSR continues to deliver gross margins of over 90%, and represents approximately 45% of total revenue in Q4, and has a prospective run rate of approximately $103 million based on our July 2026 recurring service revenue. Our revenue growth and margin expansion in Q4 resulted in a 53% increase in net income, a 44% increase in Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA and our Adjusted EBITDA margin was 36.8% as compared to 28.1% in Q4 of Fiscal 2025.
As such we are pleased to continue our dividend program and will be increasing the quarterly dividend by 13.3% to $0.17 per share, which will be paid on October 2, 2026, to shareholders of record on September 11, 2026.”
Three months ended June 30,
Year ended June 30,
(dollars in thousands)
(dollars in thousands)
% Increase/
% Increase/
Financial Highlights
2026
2025
(decrease)
2026
2025
(decrease)
GAAP Results
Net Revenue
$
55,809
May 4, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
+3.90%
$41.15
Act: +5.58%
5D
+7.20%
$42.46
Act: +1.51%
20D
+11.41%
$44.13
Act: -8.61%
2 nssc-20260430xex99d1.htm
Exhibit 99.1
NAPCO Security Technologies, Inc. Reports Fiscal 2026 Q3 Results
Fiscal Q3 2026 Highlights
●Q3 Net revenues of $49.2 million, a 11.8% YoY increase
●Equipment revenue increased 8.4% YoY to $24.2 million
●Recurring service revenue (“RSR”) increased 15.4% YoY to $24.9 million with a 90.4% gross margin
●RSR had a prospective annual run rate of approximately $101 million based on April 2026 recurring service revenues.
●Gross profit margin for Q3 2026 of 60.0% vs 57.2% in prior fiscal year quarter
●Net (loss) income for the three and nine months ended March 31, 2026, of $(0.4) million and $25.3 million is inclusive of a $16.0 million litigation settlement charge
●Non-GAAP Diluted Net Income per share increased YoY to $0.39 vs $0.28
●Q3 Adjusted EBITDA increased 20.2% YoY to $15.8 million with an Adjusted EBITDA Margin of 32.2%
●The Board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share, payable on July 3, 2026 to shareholders of record on June 12, 2026.
AMITYVILLE, N.Y., May 4, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- NAPCO Security Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ: NSSC), one of the leading manufacturers and designers of high-tech electronic security equipment, wireless communication devices for intrusion and fire alarm systems and the related recurring service revenues as well as a provider of school safety solutions, today announced financial results for its third quarter of fiscal 2026. Results are reported in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) and are also reported adjusting for certain items (“Non-GAAP”). A reconciliation between GAAP and Non-GAAP operating results is provided at the end of this press release.
Three months ended March 31,
Nine months ended March 31,
(dollars in thousands)
(dollars in thousands)
% Increase/
% Increase/
Financial Highlights
2026
2025
(decrease)
2026
2025
(decrease)
GAAP Results
Net Revenue
$
49,167
$
43,961
11.8
%
$
146,507
$
130,897
11.9
%
Gross Profit
$
29,489
$
25,127
17.4
%
$
85,573
$
74,232
15.3
%
Gross Profit Margin
60.0
%
57.2
%
58.4
%
56.7
%
Operating (Loss) Income
$
(1,188)
$
11,146
(110.7)
%
$
27,208
$
34,173
(20.4)
%
Net (Loss) Income
$
(408)
$
10,122
(104.0)
%
$
25,260
$
31,774
(20.5)
%
Diluted (Loss) Earnings Per Share
$
(0.01)
$
0.28
(103.6)
%
$
0.70
$
0.86
(18.6)
%
Non-GAAP Results
Operating Income
$
14,812
$
11,146
32.9
%
$
43,208
$
34,173
26.4
%
Net Income
$
13,859
$
10,122
36.9
%
$
39,527
$
31,774
24.4
%
Net Income Margin
28.2
%
23.0
%
27.0
%
24.3
%
Diluted Earnings Per Share
$
0.39
$
0.28
39.3
%
$
1.10
0.86
27.9
%
Adjusted EBITDA
$
15,820
$
13,161
20.2
%
$
46,112
$
37,877
21.7
%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin
32.2
%
29.9
%
31.5
%
28.9
%
Adjusted EBITDA Per Share
$
0.44
$
0.36
22.2
%
$
1.28
$
1.03
%
24.3
%
Free Cash Flows
$
16,022
$
13,314
20.3
%
$
41,979
$
37,024
13.4
%
Free Cash Flows Margin
32.6
%
30.3
%
28.7
%
28.3
%
Richard Soloway, Chairman and CEO, commented, “Our Fiscal Q3 performance reflects positive financial results, including record Q3 Adjusted EBITDA of $15.8 million, which was sustained by our recurring service revenue with its continued year over year double digit growth, and the consistent demand for our door-locking products that drove growth in our equipment revenue and improved equipment gross margins, which increased to approximately 29%. Our RSR continues to sustain gross margins of over 90%, represents approximately 51% of total revenue in Q3, and has a prospective run rate of approximately $101 million based on our April 2026 recurring service revenue. Our revenue growth and margin expansion resulted in a 37% increase in Non-GAAP net income, a 20% increase in Adjusted EBITDA and our adjusted EBITDA margin was 32.2% as compared to 29.9% in Q3 of Fiscal 2025.
As such we are pleased to continue our dividend program and will be paying the next quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share on July 3, 2026 to shareholders of record on June 12, 2026.”
Conference Call Information
Management will conduct a conference call at 11 a.m. ET today, May 4, 2026, and in order to participate please go to the Investor Relations section of the Company we
This page provides NAPCO Security Technologies Inc. (NSSC) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.
Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on NSSC's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.