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AI Earnings Predictions for Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+1.35%

$31.84

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+4.96%

$32.98

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+2.55%

$32.22

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $31.42 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jan 28, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.35%

$31.84

Act: -1.08%

5D

+4.96%

$32.98

Act: +0.89%

20D

+2.55%

$32.22

Act: +1.50%

Price: $31.42 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001628280-26-003863

mur-20260128false000071742300007174232026-01-282026-01-28

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE

SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): January 28, 2026

MURPHY OIL CORPORATION

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware1-859071-0361522 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

9805 Katy Fwy, Suite G-200 Houston,Texas77024 (Address of principal executive offices, including zip code)

(281) 675-9000

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code Not applicable (Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading SymbolName of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, $1.00 Par ValueMURNew York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).                                             Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.                                                ☐

Item 2.02.   Results of Operations and Financial Condition The following information is furnished pursuant to Item 2.02, “Results of Operations and Financial Condition.” On January 28, 2026 Murphy Oil Corporation (“the Company”) issued a news release announcing its financial and operating results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. The full text of this news release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. The Company also issued a quarterly stockholder update as a supplement to the earnings release, which is furnished hereto as Exhibit 99.2. The information contained in this report and the exhibits hereto shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, unless specifically identified as such.

Item 8.01. Other Events On January 28, 2026, the Company issued a news release, attached hereto as Exhibit 99.3, announcing that the Company’s Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend on the Common Stock of Murphy Oil Corporation of $0.35 per share, or $1.40 per share on an annualized basis. The dividend is payable on March 2, 2026, to stockholders of record as of February 17, 2026.

Item 9.01.  Financial Statements and Exhibits

(d)Exhibits

99.1 Murphy Oil Corporation Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial and Operational Results

99.2 Quarterly Stockholder Update by Murphy Oil Corporation, dated January 28, 2026

99.3 Murphy Oil Corporation Announces Quarterly Dividend, dated January 28, 2026

Signature Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

MURPHY OIL CORPORATION

Date: January 28, 2026

By: /s/ Paul D. Vaughan

Paul D. Vaughan

Vice President and Controller

Exhibit Index

Exhibit No. 99.1 Murphy Oil Corporation Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial and Operational Results

99.2 Quarterly Stockholder Update by Murphy Oil Corporation, dated January 28, 2026

99.3 Murphy Oil Corporation Announces Quarterly Dividend, dated January 28, 2026

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jan 6, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.35%

$31.84

Act: -1.08%

5D

+4.96%

$32.98

Act: +0.89%

20D

+2.55%

$32.22

Act: +1.50%

Price: $31.42 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0000950103-26-000187

false 0000717423

0000717423

2026-01-06 2026-01-06

iso4217:USD

xbrli:shares

iso4217:USD

xbrli:shares

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, DC 20549


FORM 8-K


CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the

Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): January 6, 2026


MURPHY OIL CORPORATION

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)


Delaware 1-8590 71-0361522

(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) (Commission File Number) (IRS Employer Identification No.)

9805 Katy Fwy, Suite G-200

Houston, Texas

77024

(Address of Principal Executive Offices) (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (281) 675-9000

Not applicable

(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)


Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class Trading Symbol Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, $1.00 Par Value MUR New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 1.01. Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement.

On January 2, 2026, Murphy Oil Corporation (the “Company”) entered into an amendment (the “Second Amendment”) to its credit agreement dated October 7, 2024 (as previously amended, the “Credit Agreement”) with, among others, the Company, Murphy Exploration & Production Company – International and Murphy Oil Company Ltd. as borrowers, Murphy Exploration & Production Company and Murphy Exploration & Production Company – USA, as guarantors, JP Morgan Chase Bank, N.A. as administrative agent, and each of the lenders party thereto. The Second Amendment amends the Credit Agreement to, among other things, (i) extend the scheduled maturity of the facility from October 7, 2029 to January 2, 2031; (ii) increase the total commitments thereunder from $1.35 billion to $2.00 billion; and (iii) increase the total letter of credit commitments thereunder from $250 million to $415 million, subject to certain conditions.

Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

The information furnished pursuant to Item 7.01 of this Current Report is incorporated herein by reference.

Item 2.03.

Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance

Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant.

The information contained in Item 1.01 of this Current Report is incorporated herein by reference.

Item 7.01. Regulation FD Disclosure.

On January 6, 2026, the Company announced that its subsidiary has successfully drilled the Hai Su Vang-2X (HSV-2X) appraisal well in Block 15-2/17 in the Cuu Long Basin, located approximately 40 miles offshore of Vietnam. Attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2 is a copy of the press release issued by the Company relating to this announcement.

On January 7, 2026, Eric M. Hambly, President and Chief Executive Officer of the Company, will participate on a panel, and Mr. Hambly and Christopher C. Olson, Senior Vice President, Exploration and Subsurface, of Murphy Exploration & Production Company, will host investor meetings in connection with the Company’s attendance at the Goldman Sachs Energy, CleanTech & Utilities Conference 2026. Attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of the presentation prepared by the Company in connection therewith.


The information in this Item 7.01, including Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (“Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section, and shall not be incorporated by reference into any registration statement or other document pursuant to the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as otherwis

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Nov 5, 2025

0001628280-25-049668

mur-20251105false000071742300007174232025-11-052025-11-05

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE

SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): November 5, 2025

MURPHY OIL CORPORATION

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware1-859071-0361522 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

9805 Katy Fwy, Suite G-200 Houston,Texas77024 (Address of principal executive offices, including zip code)

(281) 675-9000

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code Not applicable (Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading SymbolName of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, $1.00 Par ValueMURNew York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).                                             Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.                                                ☐

Item 2.02.   Results of Operations and Financial Condition The following information is furnished pursuant to Item 2.02, “Results of Operations and Financial Condition.” On November 5, 2025 Murphy Oil Corporation issued a news release announcing its financial and operating results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. The full text of this news release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. The Company also issued a quarterly stockholder update as a supplement to the earnings release, which is furnished hereto as Exhibit 99.2. The information contained in this report and the exhibits hereto shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, unless specifically identified as such.

Item 9.01.  Financial Statements and Exhibits

(d)Exhibits

99.1 Murphy Oil Corporation Announces Third Quarter Results

99.2 Quarterly Stockholder Update by Murphy Oil Corporation, dated November 5, 2025

Signature Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

MURPHY OIL CORPORATION

Date: November 5, 2025

By: /s/ Paul D. Vaughan

Paul D. Vaughan

Vice President and Controller

Exhibit Index

Exhibit No. 99.1 Murphy Oil Corporation Announces Third Quarter Results

99.2 Quarterly Stockholder Update by Murphy Oil Corporation, dated November 5, 2025

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

About Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR) Earnings

This page provides Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on MUR's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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