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AI Earnings Predictions for MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Inc. (MTSI)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+1.12%

$236.04

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+4.18%

$243.16

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-1.12%

$230.79

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $233.41 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q3 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q3 2026 BUY +1.12% +4.18% -1.12% 100.0% Pending
Q2 2026 BUY +0.48% +4.77% +1.94% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 BUY -0.63% +2.58% +2.50% 100.0% +11.35%
Q4 2025 BUY -2.72% +1.42% +8.42% 100.0% +4.91%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q3

Q3 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Nov 5, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.12%

$236.04

5D

+4.18%

$243.16

20D

-1.12%

$230.79

Price: $233.41 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001493594-26-000041

EX-99.1

2 ex99_1earningsreleaseq4fy26.htm

EX-99.1

Document

MACOM Reports Fiscal Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Results

LOWELL, MA, November 5, 2026 – MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (“MACOM”) (Nasdaq: MTSI), a leading supplier of semiconductor products, today announced its financial results for its fiscal fourth quarter and fiscal year ended October 2, 2026.

Fourth Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 GAAP Results

•Revenue was $424.8 million, an increase of 62.7%, compared to $261.2 million in the previous year fiscal fourth quarter and an increase of 24.1% compared to $342.2 million in the prior fiscal quarter;

•Gross margin was 59.9%, compared to 54.5% in the previous year fiscal fourth quarter and 58.3% in the prior fiscal quarter;

•Income from operations was $134.2 million, or 31.6% of revenue, compared to income from operations of $39.6 million, or 15.2% of revenue, in the previous year fiscal fourth quarter and income from operations of $77.1 million, or 22.5% of revenue, in the prior fiscal quarter; and

•Net income was $139.4 million, or $1.78 per diluted share, compared to net income of $45.1 million, or $0.59 per diluted share, in the previous year fiscal fourth quarter, and net income of $100.7 million, or $1.28 per diluted share, in the prior fiscal quarter.

Fourth Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Adjusted Non-GAAP Results

•Adjusted gross margin was 61.3%, compared to 57.1% in the previous year fiscal fourth quarter and 59.7% in the prior fiscal quarter;

•Adjusted income from operations was $162.3 million, or 38.2% of revenue, compared to adjusted income from operations of $67.0 million, or 25.6% of revenue, in the previous year fiscal fourth quarter and adjusted income from operations of $107.7 million, or 31.5% of revenue, in the prior fiscal quarter; and

•Adjusted net income was $163.3 million, or $2.09 per diluted share, compared to adjusted net income of $71.4 million, or $0.94 per diluted share, in the previous year fiscal fourth quarter and adjusted net income of $109.8 million, or $1.40 per diluted share, in the prior fiscal quarter.

Fiscal Year 2026 GAAP Results

•Revenue was $1,327.6 million, an increase of 37.3%, compared to $967.3 million in fiscal year 2025;

•Gross margin was 58.0%, compared to 54.7% in fiscal year 2025;

•Income from operations was $305.5 million, compared to $129.7 million in fiscal year 2025; and

•Net income was $335.3 million, or $4.31 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $54.2 million, or $0.73 per diluted share, in fiscal year 2025, which included a primarily non-cash charge of $193.1 million for loss on extinguishment of debt related to the refinancing of a portion of the Company’s convertible senior notes due 2026.

Fiscal Year 2026 Adjusted Non-GAAP Results

•Adjusted gross margin was 59.5%, compared to 57.4% in fiscal year 2025;

•Adjusted income from operations was $424.4 million, or 32.0% of revenue, compared to $245.7 million, or 25.4% of revenue, in fiscal year 2025; and

•Adjusted net income was $435.7 million, or $5.60 per diluted share, compared to adjusted net income of $263.4 million, or $3.47 per diluted share, in fiscal year 2025.

Management Commentary

“We had a strong fiscal year 2026 and look forward to continued growth in fiscal 2027,” said Stephen G. Daly, President and Chief Executive Officer, MACOM.

Business Outlook

For the fiscal first quarter ending January 1, 2027, MACOM expects revenue to be in the range of $450 million to $460 million. Adjusted gross margin is expected to be between 62.0% and 63.0%, and adjusted earnings per diluted share is expected to be between $2.21 and $2.29 utilizing an anticipated non-GAAP income tax rate of 6% and 79.0 million fully diluted shares outstanding.

Conference Call

MACOM will host a conference call on Thursday, November 5, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time to discuss its fiscal fourth quarter and fiscal year 2026 financial results and business outlook. Investors and analysts may visit MACOM's Investor Relations website at https://ir.macom.com/events-webcasts to register for a user-specific access code for the live call or to access the live webcast. A replay of the call will be available within 24 hours and remain accessible by all interested parties for approximately 90 days.

About MACOM

MACOM designs and manufactures high-performance semiconductor products for the Industrial and Defense, Data Center and Telecommunications industries. MACOM services over 6,000 customers annually with a broad product portfolio that incorporates RF, Microwave, Analog and Mixed Signal and Optical semiconductor technologies. MACOM has achieved certification to the IATF16949 automotive standard, the AS9100D aerospace standard, the ISO9001 international quality standard and the ISO14001 environmental management standard. MACOM operates facilities across the United States, Europe, and Asia and is headquartered in Lowell, Massachusetts.

Special Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

Th

2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Aug 6, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+0.48%

$303.10

Act: +3.04%

5D

+4.77%

$316.04

20D

+1.94%

$307.50

Price: $301.64 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001493594-26-000036

SEC.gov | Request Rate Threshold Exceeded

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2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

May 7, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

-0.63%

$342.30

Act: +3.83%

5D

+2.58%

$353.37

Act: +11.35%

20D

+2.50%

$353.08

Act: +0.27%

Price: $344.47 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001493594-26-000024

SEC.gov | Request Rate Threshold Exceeded

U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

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The block will be lifted automatically by waiting 10 minutes. Continuing to exceed the SEC’s maximum allowable request rate during the time-out period will extend the duration of the time-out period. To ensure fair access for all users, please reduce the rate of your requests and visit SEC.gov again after the 10 minute time-out period has passed.

For best practices on efficiently downloading information from SEC.gov, including the latest EDGAR filings, visit sec.gov/developer. You can also sign up for email updates on the SEC open data program, including best practices that make it more efficient to download data, and SEC.gov enhancements that may impact scripted downloading processes. For more information, contact opendata@sec.gov.

For more information, please see the SEC’s Web Site Privacy and Security Policy. Thank you for your interest in the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Reference ID: 0.c706d217.1784333577.cca3b555

More Information

Internet Security Policy

By using this site, you are agreeing to security monitoring and auditing. For security purposes, and to ensure that the public service remains available to users, this government computer system employs programs to monitor network traffic to identify unauthorized attempts to upload or change information or to otherwise cause damage, including attempts to deny service to users.

Unauthorized attempts to upload information and/or change information on any portion of this site are strictly prohibited and are subject to prosecution under the Computer Fraud and Abuse Act of 1986 and the National Information Infrastructure Protection Act of 1996 (see Title 18 U.S.C. §§ 1001 and 1030).

To ensure our website performs well for all users, the SEC monitors the frequency of requests for SEC.gov content to ensure automated searches do not impact the ability of others to access SEC.gov content. We reserve the right to block IP addresses that submit excessive requests. Current guidelines limit users to a total of no more than 10 requests per second, regardless of the number of machines used to submit requests.

If a user or application submits more than 10 requests per second, further requests from the IP address(es) may be limited for a brief period. Once the rate of requests has dropped below the threshold for 10 minutes, the user may resume accessing content on SEC.gov. This SEC practice is designed to limit excessive automated searches on SEC.gov and is not intended or expected to impact individuals browsing the SEC.gov website.

Note that this policy may change as the SEC manages SEC.gov to ensure that the website performs efficiently and remains available to all users.

Note: We do not offer technical support for developing or debugging scripted downloading processes.

About MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Inc. (MTSI) Earnings

This page provides MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Inc. (MTSI) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on MTSI's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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