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AI Earnings Predictions for Matrix Service Company (MTRX)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-5.79%

$10.23

32% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-7.79%

$10.01

32% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-8.11%

$9.98

30% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $10.86 Confidence: 36.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 SELL -5.79% -7.79% -8.11% 36.0% Pending
Q1 2026 SELL -8.02% -11.02% -14.09% 100.0% -14.49%
Q4 2025 BUY +5.90% +11.19% +15.73% 100.0% -13.85%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Sep 2, 2026 · 36% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-5.79%

$10.23

Act: -2.62%

5D

-7.79%

$10.01

20D

-8.11%

$9.98

Price: $10.86 Prob +5D: 32% AUC: 1.000
0000866273-26-000053

EX-99

2 a063026ex99earningsrelease.htm

EX-99

Document

Exhibit 99

MATRIX SERVICE COMPANY REPORTS FISCAL YEAR 2026 FOURTH QUARTER AND FULL-YEAR RESULTS

HOUSTON, TX – September 2, 2026 – Matrix Service Company (Nasdaq: MTRX, "Matrix" or "the Company"), a leading heavy industrial contractor that engineers, constructs, and maintains critical energy, power, and industrial infrastructure, today announced financial results for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 ended June 30, 2026.

FOURTH QUARTER FISCAL 2026 HIGHLIGHTS

(all comparisons versus the prior year period unless otherwise noted)

•Revenue of $244.5 million versus $216.4 million; highest quarterly revenue in six years

•Net income of $1.1 million, or $0.04 per share versus net loss of $(11.3) million or $(0.40) per share

•Adjusted net income(1) of $4.6 million, or $0.16 per share versus adjusted net loss of $(7.8) million, or $(0.28) loss per share; second consecutive quarter of profitability

•Adjusted EBITDA(1) of $6.3 million versus $(4.8) million

•Liquidity(2) at June 30, 2026 of $283.9 million with no outstanding debt

•Total backlog of $953.2 million, with awards of $169.0 million

FULL-YEAR FISCAL 2026 RESULTS

(all comparisons versus the prior year period unless otherwise noted)

•Revenue of $873.6 million versus $769.3 million

•Net loss per share of $(0.09) versus $(1.06); adjusted net income (loss) per share of $0.26 versus $(0.93)

•Adjusted EBITDA of $16.0 million versus $(12.9) million

(1) Adjusted net income and adjusted net income per diluted share are non-GAAP financial measures which exclude restructuring expense, Adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure which excludes interest expense, interest income, income taxes, depreciation and amortization expense, restructuring expense, and stock-based compensation. See the Non-GAAP Financial Measures section included at the end of this release for a reconciliation to net income and net income per share.

(2) Liquidity includes unrestricted cash, cash equivalents and borrowing availability under a $90 million ABL facility maturing in September 2029

MANAGEMENT COMMENTARY

“Our fourth quarter results reflect the continued execution of our WIN, EXECUTE, DELIVER strategy. The combination of strong project execution, a more efficient cost structure, and a disciplined focus on the initiatives that matter most resulted in our second consecutive quarter of profitable growth," stated Shawn P. Payne, President and Chief Executive Officer. "Revenue grew 13% year over year as our teams converted backlog into higher volumes, led by specialty storage activity in our Storage and Terminal Solutions segment and continued strong execution in Utility and Power Infrastructure. At the same time, the leaner organizational structure we have built over the past 18 months has meaningfully reduced our fixed overhead costs, while enabling us to support a higher base of revenue with improved efficiency. We enter fiscal 2027 with a debt-free balance sheet and substantial liquidity to support our growth objectives in this next chapter.

1

“Matrix is focused on high-value opportunities, prioritizing backlog growth across our targeted end-markets,” continued Payne. “We secured nearly $170 million of project awards in the fourth quarter, including a major mining construction project in the western United States. This project, which supported a book-to-bill ratio of 3.2x in our Process and Industrial Facilities during the fourth quarter, expands our position in the non-ferrous mining and critical minerals market, broadens the range of end markets served by our engineering and construction capabilities, and represents an important new client relationship that we expect to expand over time.

"Fiscal 2026 was a pivotal year for Matrix," concluded Payne. "Our opportunity pipeline has grown to over $7 billion, reflecting generational levels of investment underway across the markets we serve, including LNG and NGL infrastructure, power generation, electric grid modernization, data centers, and mining and minerals production. A number of larger, multi-year opportunities within that pipeline have advanced meaningfully, and we anticipate a higher level of award activity as those targets reach final investment decision. Looking ahead, we are focused on driving profitable growth, executing projects safely, on time and on budget, and deploying capital with discipline as we seek to drive long-term value creation for our clients and shareholders.”

FISCAL 2026 FOURTH QUARTER CONSOLIDATED RESULTS

Fiscal 2026 fourth quarter revenue was $244.5 million, compared to $216.4 million in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025. The increase in revenue for the quarter was attributable to higher revenue in the Storage and Terminal Solutions segment, partially offset by lower revenue in the Process and Industrial Facilities segment.

Gross profit was $19.5 million, or 8.0% of revenue, in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 compared to $8.1 million

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

May 6, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-8.02%

$12.69

Act: -11.88%

5D

-11.02%

$12.28

Act: -14.49%

20D

-14.09%

$11.85

Act: +3.33%

Price: $13.80 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0000866273-26-000024

EX-99

2 a033126ex99earningsrelease.htm

EX-99

Document

Exhibit 99

MATRIX SERVICE COMPANY REPORTS FISCAL YEAR 2026 THIRD QUARTER RESULTS

TULSA, OK – May 6, 2026 – Matrix Service Company (Nasdaq: MTRX), a leading provider of engineering and construction services to the energy and industrial markets, today announced financial results for the third quarter of fiscal 2026 ended March 31, 2026.

THIRD QUARTER FISCAL 2026 HIGHLIGHTS

•Revenue of $206.7 million

•Net income of $0.8 million, or $0.03 per diluted share

•Adjusted net income(1) of $3.8 million, or $0.13 per diluted share

•Adjusted EBITDA(1) of $4.9 million

•Liquidity at March 31, 2026 of $297.2 million with no outstanding debt

•Total backlog of $1.0 billion, with awards of $108.3 million

•Updates fiscal 2026 revenue guidance in a range of between $870 million and $890 million

(1) Adjusted net income and adjusted net income per diluted share are non-GAAP financial measures which exclude restructuring expense, Adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure which excludes interest expense, interest income, income taxes, depreciation and amortization expense, restructuring expense, and stock-based compensation. See the Non-GAAP Financial Measures section included at the end of this release for a reconciliation to net income and net income per share.

MANAGEMENT COMMENTARY

"During the fiscal third quarter, our team demonstrated strong project execution and operational focus, culminating in a return to profitability," said John Hewitt, President and Chief Executive Officer.

“Although our third quarter revenue was affected by client-related engineering and permitting delays, as well as severe weather, our strong project execution and improved cost structure enabled us to achieve adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.13.

“While the pace of new awards was subdued during the third quarter, among the awards are an increasing number that are related to high-demand verticals including more than $30 million in increased electrical infrastructure and grid-related investments being driven in part by data center demand. Subsequent to the close of the quarter, we also received a limited notice to proceed for a major mining project on the west coast, which will begin in Q4 of this fiscal year and support revenue throughout fiscal 2027.

“Overall bidding activity remained steady, and our project opportunity pipeline remains healthy at more than $6.9 billion, reflecting multi-year opportunities across our core LNG markets, mining and minerals, power generation, and data center–related infrastructure.

“Due to the combined impact of client and weather-related delays on booked work in the third quarter, we have elected to lower our full-year fiscal 2026 revenue guidance. These project activities will move into later periods. Our return to profitability marks an important inflection point as we remain focused on continuous improvement.

"Under the leadership and organizational vision of incoming President and CEO Shawn Payne, the business is undertaking further streamlining to assure it is well positioned to build on its strong legacy and deliver sustainable profitable growth and long-term value creation.”

1

FISCAL 2026 THIRD QUARTER CONSOLIDATED RESULTS

Fiscal 2026 third quarter revenue was $206.7 million, compared to $200.2 million in the third quarter of fiscal 2025. The increase in revenue for the quarter was attributable to higher revenue in the Storage and Terminal Solutions segment, partially offset by lower revenue in the Processing and Industrial Facilities segment and the impact of client-related delays and severe weather events in the quarter.

Gross profit was $17.2 million, or 8.3% of revenue, in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 compared to $12.9 million, or 6.4% of revenue, for the third quarter of fiscal 2025. The increase in gross margin was due to higher gross margins in the Storage and Terminal Solutions and Utility and Power Infrastructure segments, partially offset by lower gross margins in the Process and Industrial Facility segment.

SG&A expenses were $15.2 million in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, compared to $17.7 million for the third quarter of fiscal 2025. The decrease in SG&A expenses primarily reflects the reduction of costs associated with the Company's organizational realignment initiatives over the last 12 months. Additionally, stock compensation expense decreased by $1.0 million primarily as a result of executive separations during the period.

During the quarter, the Company incurred $3.0 million of restructuring costs and other expenses associated with the previously announced CEO leadership transition and a lease impairment.

For the third quarter of fiscal 2026, the Company had net income of $0.8 million, or $0.03 per share, compared to a net loss of $3.4 million, or $(0.12) per share, in the third quarter of fiscal 2025. Adjusted net income for the third quarter of fiscal 2026 was $3.8 million, or $0.13 per share,

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Feb 4, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+5.90%

$14.30

Act: -16.67%

5D

+11.19%

$15.01

Act: -13.85%

20D

+15.73%

$15.62

Act: -16.74%

Price: $13.50 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0000866273-26-000012

mtrx-202602040000866273false00008662732026-02-042026-02-04

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, DC 20549


FORM 8-K


CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE

SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of report (Date of earliest event reported) February 4, 2026


Matrix Service Company (Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)


Delaware 001-15461 73-1352174 (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) (Commission File Number) (IRS Employer Identification No.)

15 East 5th Street, Suite 1100, Tulsa, Oklahoma 74103 (Address of principal executive offices and zip code) 918-838-8822 (Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code)

NOT APPLICABLE

(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)


Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class Trading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, par value $0.01 per shareMTRXNASDAQ Global Select Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (17 CFR §230.405) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Act of 1934 (17 CFR §240.12b-2). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected to not use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 4, 2026 the Company issued a press release announcing financial results for the fiscal 2026 second quarter. The full text of the press release is attached as Exhibit 99 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information in this Item 2.02 and Exhibit 99 attached hereto is being furnished pursuant to Item 2.02 and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing. Item 9.01    Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits.

Exhibit No.Description

99Press release dated February 4, 2026, announcing financial results for the fiscal 2026 second quarter.

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Matrix Service Company

Dated: February 4, 2026 By: /s/ Kevin S. Cavanah

Kevin S. Cavanah Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

About Matrix Service Company (MTRX) Earnings

This page provides Matrix Service Company (MTRX) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on MTRX's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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