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AI Earnings Predictions for Moderna Inc. (MRNA)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+5.56%

$44.65

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+8.04%

$45.70

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+5.69%

$44.71

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $42.30 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

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2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Feb 13, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+5.56%

$44.65

5D

+8.04%

$45.70

20D

+5.69%

$44.71

Price: $42.30 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001682852-26-000015

mrna-202602130001682852false00016828522026-02-132026-02-13

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 13, 2026

MODERNA, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware 001-38753 81-3467528 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)  (Commission File Number)  (IRS Employer Identification No.)

325 Binney Street

Cambridge, MA 02142

(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (617) 714-6500

Not Applicable (Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Common stock, par value $0.0001 per shareMRNAThe Nasdaq Stock Market LLC

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company      ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.       ☐

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On February 13, 2026, Moderna, Inc. issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference.

The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, is intended to be furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits.

Exhibit No.  Description

99.1  Press release issued by Moderna, Inc. dated February 13, 2026

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

MODERNA, INC.

Date: February 13, 2026 By:/s/ James M. Mock

James M. Mock Chief Financial Officer

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jan 12, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+5.56%

$44.65

5D

+8.04%

$45.70

20D

+5.69%

$44.71

Price: $42.30 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001682852-26-000007

mrna-202601120001682852false00016828522026-01-122026-01-12

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): January 12, 2026

MODERNA, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware 001-38753 81-3467528 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)  (Commission File Number)  (IRS Employer Identification No.)

325 Binney Street Cambridge, MA 02142 (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (617) 714-6500

Not Applicable (Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Common stock, par value $0.0001 per shareMRNAThe Nasdaq Stock Market LLC

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

Emerging growth company      ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.       ☐

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On January 12, 2026, Moderna, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release (the “Press Release”) in connection with the Company’s presentation on the same date at the 44th Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference. The Press Release contains certain preliminary financial information as of and for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025. Specifically, the Press Release states that (i) the Company expects approximately $1.9 billion (unaudited) in revenue for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, (ii) the Company expects GAAP operating expenses of $5.0 - $5.2 billion (unaudited) for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, and (iii) the Company’s current expectation with respect to its cash, cash equivalents and investments in marketable securities as of December 31, 2025 is approximately $8.1 billion (unaudited).

The information in this Item 2.02 is unaudited and preliminary and does not present all information necessary for an understanding of the Company’s results of operations for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, or financial condition as of December 31, 2025. The audit of the Company’s financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2025 is ongoing and could result in changes to the information in this Item 2.02.

Item 7.01    Regulation FD Disclosure.

The disclosure in Item 2.02 above is hereby incorporated by reference into this Item 7.01.

The information contained in Items 2.02 and 7.01, as well as Exhibit 99.1, to this Current Report on Form 8-K shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall such information be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing. Item 9.01    Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits.

Exhibit No.  Description 99.1  Press release issued by Moderna, Inc. dated January 12, 2026

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Date: January 12, 2026

MODERNA, INC.

By:/s/ James M. Mock

James M. Mock

Chief Financial Officer

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Nov 6, 2025

0001682852-25-000073

mrna-202511060001682852false00016828522025-11-062025-11-06

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): November 6, 2025

MODERNA, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware 001-38753 81-3467528 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)  (Commission File Number)  (IRS Employer Identification No.)

325 Binney Street

Cambridge, MA 02142

(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (617) 714-6500

Not Applicable (Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Common stock, par value $0.0001 per shareMRNAThe Nasdaq Stock Market LLC

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company      ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.       ☐

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On November 6, 2025, Moderna, Inc. issued a press release announcing its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference.

The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, is intended to be furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits.

Exhibit No.  Description

99.1  Press release issued by Moderna, Inc. dated November 6, 2025

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

MODERNA, INC.

Date: November 6, 2025 By:/s/ James M. Mock

James M. Mock Chief Financial Officer

About Moderna Inc. (MRNA) Earnings

This page provides Moderna Inc. (MRNA) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on MRNA's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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