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AI Earnings Predictions for MoonLake Immunotherapeutics (MLTX)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+2.41%

$18.70

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+8.40%

$19.79

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+17.06%

$21.38

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $18.26 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 BUY +2.41% +8.40% +17.06% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 SELL -1.13% -4.34% -0.52% 100.0% -12.74%
Q4 2025 SELL -0.77% -4.09% +1.77% 100.0% -5.35%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Aug 10, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+2.41%

$18.70

Act: -4.27%

5D

+8.40%

$19.79

20D

+17.06%

$21.38

Price: $18.26 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001213900-26-086939

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Reference ID: 0.e618d017.1786364532.c9f58a45

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2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

May 11, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-1.13%

$18.63

Act: -3.45%

5D

-4.34%

$18.02

Act: -12.74%

20D

-0.52%

$18.74

Act: -5.52%

Price: $18.84 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001821586-26-000005

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U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

You’ve Exceeded the SEC’s Traffic Limit

Your request rate has exceeded the SEC’s maximum allowable requests per second. Your access to SEC.gov will be limited for 10 minutes.

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For best practices on efficiently downloading information from SEC.gov, including the latest EDGAR filings, visit sec.gov/developer. You can also sign up for email updates on the SEC open data program, including best practices that make it more efficient to download data, and SEC.gov enhancements that may impact scripted downloading processes. For more information, contact opendata@sec.gov.

For more information, please see the SEC’s Web Site Privacy and Security Policy. Thank you for your interest in the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Reference ID: 0.c706d217.1784464609.eb48bc68

More Information

Internet Security Policy

By using this site, you are agreeing to security monitoring and auditing. For security purposes, and to ensure that the public service remains available to users, this government computer system employs programs to monitor network traffic to identify unauthorized attempts to upload or change information or to otherwise cause damage, including attempts to deny service to users.

Unauthorized attempts to upload information and/or change information on any portion of this site are strictly prohibited and are subject to prosecution under the Computer Fraud and Abuse Act of 1986 and the National Information Infrastructure Protection Act of 1996 (see Title 18 U.S.C. §§ 1001 and 1030).

To ensure our website performs well for all users, the SEC monitors the frequency of requests for SEC.gov content to ensure automated searches do not impact the ability of others to access SEC.gov content. We reserve the right to block IP addresses that submit excessive requests. Current guidelines limit users to a total of no more than 10 requests per second, regardless of the number of machines used to submit requests.

If a user or application submits more than 10 requests per second, further requests from the IP address(es) may be limited for a brief period. Once the rate of requests has dropped below the threshold for 10 minutes, the user may resume accessing content on SEC.gov. This SEC practice is designed to limit excessive automated searches on SEC.gov and is not intended or expected to impact individuals browsing the SEC.gov website.

Note that this policy may change as the SEC manages SEC.gov to ensure that the website performs efficiently and remains available to all users.

Note: We do not offer technical support for developing or debugging scripted downloading processes.

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 23, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-0.77%

$18.54

Act: -2.57%

5D

-4.09%

$17.92

Act: -5.35%

20D

+1.77%

$19.01

Price: $18.68 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001213900-26-018967

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2026-02-18 2026-02-18

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UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 or 15(d) of the

SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 18, 2026

MOONLAKE IMMUNOTHERAPEUTICS

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)

Cayman Islands

001-39630

98-1711963

(State or Other Jurisdiction

of Incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer

Identification No.)

Dorfstrasse 29

6300 Zug

Switzerland

(Address of Principal Executive Offices and Zip Code)

41 415108022

(Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code)

N/A

(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

Class A ordinary share, par value $0.0001 per share

MLTX

The Nasdaq Capital Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 1.01 Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement

On February 20, 2026 (the “Amendment Closing Date”), MoonLake Immunotherapeutics (the “Company”), as a guarantor, entered into a first amendment to loan and security agreement (the loan and security agreement, as so amended, the “Amended Loan and Security Agreement”) with its subsidiary, MoonLake Immunotherapeutics AG, as borrower, the other guarantors party thereto, the lenders party thereto (the “Lenders”), and Hercules Capital, Inc., as the administrative agent and collateral agent (the “Agent”) for itself and the Lenders, pursuant to which the parties agreed to amend the loan and security agreement dated March 31, 2025 to, among other things, modify the available tranches, milestone dates and financial covenants. As described below, after giving effect to a $25.0 million draw on the Amendment Closing Date, the remaining tranches under the Amended Loan and Security Agreement provide for an aggregate principal amount of up to $400.0 million of potential future funding. The Amended Loan and Security Agreement provides for six non-dilutive senior secured term loan tranches in the aggregate principal amount of $500.0 million (the “Amended Credit Facility”), consisting of (a) a first tranche consisting of term loans in an aggregate principal amount of $75.0 million, which was fully funded on March 31, 2025, (b) a second tranche in an aggregate principal amount of $25.0 million, which was fully funded on the Amendment Closing Date, (c) subject to the Company’s announcement that the IZAR-1 and IZAR-2 Phase 3 studies of sonelokimab (“SLK”) in patients with active psoriatic arthritis each achieved their protocol-specified primary endpoint and that the efficacy and safety data available to the Company together support the planned commercialization strategy and outlook of the Company (the “Tranche 3 Milestone”), a third tranche with additional term loans in an aggregate principal amount of up to $50.0 million, available on the Tranche 3 Milestone achievement date through the earlier of (i) 60 days following such date and (ii) March 15, 2027, (d) subject to (i) the Company’s announcement that the VELA-1 and VELA-2 Phase 3 studies of SLK in adult patients with moderate to severe hidradenitis suppurativa each demonstrated clinically meaningful improvements across protocol-specified 52-week endpoints and an acceptable safety profile which together support (x) the planned commercialization strategy and outlook of the Company and (y) the filing of the biologics license application (“BLA”) for SLK with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration’s (the “FDA”) for an indication for use generally consistent with the population studied in VELA-1 and VELA-2 of patients with moderate to severe hidradenitis suppurativa as the next immediate step in development, in each case, subject to the Agent’

About MoonLake Immunotherapeutics (MLTX) Earnings

This page provides MoonLake Immunotherapeutics (MLTX) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on MLTX's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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