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AI Earnings Predictions for Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-2.47%

$25.56

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-5.38%

$24.80

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-3.52%

$25.29

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $26.21 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 5, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-2.47%

$25.56

Act: +2.98%

5D

-5.38%

$24.80

Act: -0.88%

20D

-3.52%

$25.29

Act: +11.24%

Price: $26.21 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001698990-26-000002

mgy-202602050001698990false00016989902026-02-052026-02-05

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): February 5, 2026

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware001-3808381-5365682 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(I.R.S. Employer Identification Number)

Nine Greenway Plaza, Suite 1300 Houston, Texas 77046

(Address of principal executive offices, including zip code)

(713) 842-9050

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Securities registered pursuant to section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Class A Common Stock, par value $0.0001 Per ShareMGYNew York Stock Exchange

Item 2.02    Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On February 5, 2026, Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release, a copy of which is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein, announcing its financial and operational results for the fourth quarter and full-year ended December 31, 2025. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02 (including Exhibit 99.1) shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise be subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act.

Item 7.01    Regulation FD Disclosure

On February 5, 2026, the Company provided information in an earnings presentation on its website, www.magnoliaoilgas.com, regarding its financial and operational results for the fourth quarter and full-year ended December 31, 2025. The earnings presentation, which is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2, is being furnished and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Exchange Act, or otherwise be subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act or the Exchange Act.

Item 9.01    Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d)    Exhibits.

Exhibit NumberDescription 99.1Press Release

99.2Earnings Presentation

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (formatted as inline XBRL)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

MAGNOLIA OIL & GAS CORPORATION

Date: February 5, 2026By:       /s/ Timothy D. Yang

Name:  Timothy D. Yang Title:    Executive Vice President, General Counsel, Corporate Secretary and Land

2

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Oct 29, 2025

0001698990-25-000028

mgy-202510290001698990false00016989902025-10-292025-10-29

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): October 29, 2025

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware001-3808381-5365682 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(I.R.S. Employer Identification Number)

Nine Greenway Plaza, Suite 1300 Houston, Texas 77046

(Address of principal executive offices, including zip code)

(713) 842-9050

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Securities registered pursuant to section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Class A Common Stock, par value $0.0001 Per ShareMGYNew York Stock Exchange

Item 2.02    Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On October 29, 2025, Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release, a copy of which is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein, announcing its financial and operational results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02 (including Exhibit 99.1) shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise be subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act.

Item 7.01    Regulation FD Disclosure

On October 29, 2025, the Company provided information in an earnings presentation on its website, www.magnoliaoilgas.com, regarding its financial and operational results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. The earnings presentation, which is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2, is being furnished and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Exchange Act, or otherwise be subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act or the Exchange Act.

Item 9.01    Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d)    Exhibits.

Exhibit NumberDescription 99.1Press Release

99.2Earnings Presentation

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (formatted as inline XBRL)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

MAGNOLIA OIL & GAS CORPORATION

Date: October 29, 2025 By:       /s/ Timothy D. Yang

Name:  Timothy D. Yang Title:    Executive Vice President, General Counsel, Corporate Secretary and Land

2

2025
Q2

Q2 2025 Earnings

8-K

Jul 30, 2025

0001698990-25-000019

mgy-202507300001698990false00016989902025-07-302025-07-30

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): July 30, 2025

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware001-3808381-5365682 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(I.R.S. Employer Identification Number)

Nine Greenway Plaza, Suite 1300 Houston, Texas 77046

(Address of principal executive offices, including zip code)

(713) 842-9050

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Securities registered pursuant to section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Class A Common Stock, par value $0.0001 Per ShareMGYNew York Stock Exchange

Item 2.02    Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On July 30, 2025, Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release, a copy of which is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein, announcing its financial and operational results for the quarter ended June 30, 2025. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02 (including Exhibit 99.1) shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise be subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act.

Item 7.01    Regulation FD Disclosure

On July 30, 2025, the Company provided information in an earnings presentation on its website, www.magnoliaoilgas.com, regarding its financial and operational results for the quarter ended June 30, 2025. The earnings presentation, which is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2, is being furnished and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Exchange Act, or otherwise be subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act or the Exchange Act.

Item 9.01    Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d)    Exhibits.

Exhibit NumberDescription 99.1Press Release

99.2Earnings Presentation

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (formatted as inline XBRL)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

MAGNOLIA OIL & GAS CORPORATION

Date: July 30, 2025 By:       /s/ Timothy D. Yang

Name:  Timothy D. Yang Title:    Executive Vice President, General Counsel, Corporate Secretary and Land

2

About Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) Earnings

This page provides Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on MGY's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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