Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns
1-Day Prediction
-1.99%
$1.09
0% positive prob.
5-Day Prediction
-8.11%
$1.02
0% positive prob.
20-Day Prediction
-5.59%
$1.05
0% positive prob.
| Quarter | Signal | 1D Return | 5D Return | 20D Return | Confidence | Actual 5D |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | SELL | -1.99% | -8.11% | -5.59% | 100.0% | -15.87% |
| Q4 2025 | SELL | -1.99% | -8.11% | -5.59% | 100.0% | +21.18% |
SEC 8-K filings with transcript text
May 7, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
-1.99%
$1.09
Act: -11.71%
5D
-8.11%
$1.02
Act: -15.87%
20D
-5.59%
$1.05
Act: -24.32%
2 merc-ex99_1.htm
For Immediate Release
Selected Highlights
• First quarter Operating EBITDA* of $7.8 million (net loss of $52.0 million), including a non-cash inventory impairment of $22.0 million, compared to $47.1 million (net loss of $22.3 million) in the same quarter of 2025
• Secured an extended waiver for the German revolving credit facility to address covenant compliance and to provide flexibility to pursue and implement steps to enhance liquidity and financial condition to position for an eventual market recovery
• On track for our $100 million "One Goal One Hundred" goal, attaining $11.0 million of cost savings in the first quarter, and a total of approximately $41.0 million since launch in April 2025; one of various initiatives to improve our balance sheet
• Mass timber momentum continues to build, backed by an order book and commitments of $171 million that support a multi-year production plan
NEW YORK, NY, May 7, 2026 ‑ Mercer International Inc. (Nasdaq: MERC) today reported first quarter 2026 Operating EBITDA of $7.8 million, a decrease from $47.1 million in the same quarter of 2025 and an increase from negative $20.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2025.
In the first quarter of 2026, net loss was $52.0 million ($0.78 per share) compared to $22.3 million ($0.33 per share) in the same quarter of 2025 and $308.7 million ($4.61 per share) in the fourth quarter of 2025.
Mr. Juan Carlos Bueno, Chief Executive Officer, stated: "Our pulp sales realizations showed resilience this quarter as softwood pulp markets held steady, while hardwood pulp performance trended upward on favorable demand-supply dynamics. However, elevated fiber costs across our supply chain and a slower-than-anticipated recovery in prices continued to weigh on our results. As a result, we recognized a non-cash impairment of $22 million against pulp and fiber inventory. We are starting to see supply responses to prevailing market conditions and currently
*Operating EBITDA is not a measure of financial performance under accounting principles generally accepted in the United States ("GAAP") and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for analysis of our results as reported under GAAP. See page 6 of the financial tables included in this press release for a reconciliation of net loss to Operating EBITDA.
Page 2
expect a more balanced market in the later half of 2026.
The current conflicts in the Middle East and their impacts on energy supply are creating significant inflationary pressures and further economic uncertainty. We believe these conditions may negatively impact demand for our products and increase certain operating costs, such as chemicals and freight. Conversely, high oil prices are raising interest in bio-substitution, as expensive oil-based synthetics drive increased demand for lower-cost, wood-pulp-derived alternatives. While the potential impacts and duration of these conditions are currently unknown, we continue to monitor and assess these events.
We continue to pursue our "One Goal One Hundred" program and remain confident that we will achieve our targeted $100 million in cost savings and operational efficiencies by year end. With $11 million in profitability actions realized this quarter, our cumulative total has reached approximately $41 million since its launch in April 2025. The program is part of our broader initiatives to improve our balance sheet and preserve cash, including efforts to reduce capital expenditures and optimize working capital.
In the first quarter of 2026, European softwood pulp prices increased compared to the fourth quarter of 2025 due to supply constraints, although these gains were offset by higher discounts. In China, softwood pulp pricing remained under pressure from an oversupplied paper sector and ongoing economic uncertainties, while excess inventory tempered the North American market. Conversely, hardwood pulp prices increased globally due to stronger demand and tightening inventory levels. Looking ahead to the second quarter, we expect softwood pulp prices to increase modestly across all markets, with hardwood pricing remaining relatively steady.
Our lumber sales realizations in both the U.S. and Europe were relatively stable in the first quarter of 2026. For the second quarter, we currently expect lumber prices to remain stable in Europe and modestly increase in the U.S. due to low supply.
Per unit fiber costs for our pulp and solid wood segments increased in the first quarter of 2026 compared to the fourth quarter of 2025 driven by supply constraints and strong demand. We currently expect per unit fiber costs to stabilize in the second quarter of 2026 as improved availability is offset by strong demand.
In the first quarter of 2026, we had relatively stable production but fiber constraints in Europe required us to strategically
Feb 12, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
-1.99%
$1.67
Act: +4.71%
5D
-8.11%
$1.56
Act: +21.18%
20D
-5.59%
$1.60
Act: -12.35%
8-K
false000133327400013332742026-02-122026-02-12
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 12, 2026
(Exact name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)
Washington
000-51826
47-0956945
(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)
(Commission File Number)
(IRS Employer Identification No.)
Suite 1120, 700 West Pender Street, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, V6C 1G8 (Address of Principal Executive Offices) Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code: (604) 684-1099 Not Applicable (Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instructions A.2. below):
☐
Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
☐
Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
☐
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
☐
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each class
Trading Symbol(s)
Name of each exchange on which registered
Common Stock, par value $1.00 per share
NASDAQ Global Select Market
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐
Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition The information furnished under Item 2.02 of this Current Report shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing. On February 12, 2026, Mercer International Inc. (the “Company”) announced by press release the Company’s results for its full fiscal year and fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025. A copy of such press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report. Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits (d) Exhibits.
Exhibit Number
Description
99.1
Press Release dated February 12, 2026
104
Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)
1
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
Date: February 12, 2026
By:
/s/ Richard Short
Richard Short
Chief Financial Officer
2
Nov 6, 2025
8-K
false000133327400013332742025-11-062025-11-06
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): November 6, 2025
(Exact name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)
Washington
000-51826
47-0956945
(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)
(Commission File Number)
(IRS Employer Identification No.)
Suite 1120, 700 West Pender Street, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, V6C 1G8 (Address of Principal Executive Offices) Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code: (604) 684-1099 Not Applicable (Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instructions A.2. below):
☐
Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
☐
Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
☐
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
☐
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each class
Trading Symbol(s)
Name of each exchange on which registered
Common Stock, par value $1.00 per share
NASDAQ Global Select Market
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐
Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition The information furnished under Item 2.02 of this Current Report shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing. On November 6, 2025, Mercer International Inc. (the “Company”) announced by press release the Company’s results for its third quarter ended September 30, 2025. A copy of such press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report. Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits (d) Exhibits.
Exhibit Number
Description
99.1
Press Release dated November 6, 2025
104
Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)
1
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
Date: November 6, 2025
By:
/s/ Richard Short
Richard Short
Chief Financial Officer
2
This page provides Mercer International Inc. (MERC) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.
Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on MERC's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.