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AI Earnings Predictions for Medpace Holdings Inc. (MEDP)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+12.91%

$745.81

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+11.87%

$738.96

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+14.56%

$756.69

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $660.53 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q3 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q3 2026 BUY +12.91% +11.87% +14.56% 100.0% Pending
Q2 2026 SELL -12.22% -11.82% -12.65% 100.0% +10.76%
Q1 2026 SELL -10.49% -10.68% -11.92% 100.0% -18.66%
Q4 2025 BUY +12.71% +12.00% +14.49% 100.0% -19.52%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q3

Q3 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Oct 21, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+12.91%

$745.81

Act: -1.96%

5D

+11.87%

$738.96

20D

+14.56%

$756.69

Price: $660.53 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001668397-26-000034

EX-99.1

2 medp-20261021exx991.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

Investor Contact:

David Ruhe

283-227-6472

d.ruhe@medpace.com

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Media Contact:

Michael Maley

283-227-6367

m.maley@medpace.com

Medpace Holdings, Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results

•Revenue of $716.0 million in the third quarter of 2026 increased 8.5% from revenue of $659.9 million for the comparable prior-year period, representing a backlog conversion rate of 23.8%.

•Net new business awards were $873.4 million in the third quarter of 2026, representing an increase of 10.6% from net new business awards of $789.6 million for the comparable prior-year period.

•Third quarter of 2026 GAAP net income was $137.5 million, or $4.84 per diluted share, versus GAAP net income of $111.1 million, or $3.86 per diluted share, for the comparable prior-year period. Net income margin was 19.2% and 16.8% for the third quarter of 2026 and 2025, respectively.

•EBITDA was $172.1 million for the third quarter of 2026, an increase of 16.0% from EBITDA of $148.4 million for the comparable prior-year period, resulting in an EBITDA margin of 24.0%.

CINCINNATI, OHIO, October 21, 2026-- Medpace Holdings, Inc. (Nasdaq: MEDP) (“Medpace”) today announced financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026.

Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results

Revenue for the three months ended September 30, 2026 increased 8.5% to $716.0 million, compared to $659.9 million for the comparable prior-year period. On a constant currency basis, revenue for the third quarter of 2026 increased 8.6% compared to the third quarter of 2025.

Backlog as of September 30, 2026 increased 5.6% to $3,167.2 million from $3,000.6 million as of September 30, 2025. Net new business awards were $873.4 million, as compared to $789.6 million for the comparable prior-year period.

For the third quarter of 2026, total direct costs were $492.1 million, compared to total direct costs of $463.0 million in the third quarter of 2025. Selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses were $51.8 million in the third quarter of 2026, compared to SG&A expenses of $48.1 million in the third quarter of 2025.

GAAP net income for the third quarter of 2026 was $137.5 million, or $4.84 per diluted share, versus GAAP net income of $111.1 million, or $3.86 per diluted share, for the third quarter of 2025. This resulted in a net income margin of 19.2% and 16.8% for the third quarter of 2026 and 2025, respectively.

EBITDA for the third quarter of 2026 increased 16.0% to $172.1 million, or 24.0% of revenue, compared to $148.4 million, or 22.5% of revenue, for the comparable prior-year period. On a constant currency basis, EBITDA for the third quarter of 2026 increased 16.0% from the third quarter of 2025.

A reconciliation of the Company’s non-GAAP financial measures, including EBITDA and EBITDA margin to the corresponding GAAP measures is provided below.

1

Year-to-Date 2026 Financial Results

Revenue for the nine months ended September 30, 2026 was $2,129.9 million, and increased 16.9% on a reported basis and 16.7% on a constant currency basis from the comparable prior-year period. Year-to-date 2026 GAAP net income was $382.7 million, or $13.37 per diluted share, compared to $316.0 million, or $10.64 per diluted share, for the comparable prior-year period. Year-to-date 2026 EBITDA was $474.9 million, or 22.3% of revenue, and increased 19.5% on a reported basis and 20.4% on a constant currency basis from the comparable prior-year period.

Balance Sheet and Liquidity

The Company’s Cash and cash equivalents were $705.3 million at September 30, 2026, and the Company generated $216.6 million in cash flow from operating activities during the third quarter of 2026. There were no share repurchases in the third quarter of 2026. As of September 30, 2026, the Company had $527.0 million remaining under its authorized share repurchase program.

Effective October 20, 2026 (“Effective Date”), the Company’s Board of Directors (“Board”) terminated the Company’s current stock repurchase authorization of the Company’s common stock, $0.01 par value (“common stock”) which was set to expire on December 31, 2026. As of the Effective Date, this repurchase authorization had $527.0 million remaining.

Effective as of the Effective Date, the Board approved a new stock repurchase authorization, pursuant to which the Company is authorized to repurchase up to $1.0 billion shares of common stock until December 31, 2028, at the discretion of the Company’s management. Repurchases under this new authorization may be made, from time to time, in amounts and at prices the Company deems appropriate, subject to alternative uses of capital, prevailing market conditions, applicable regulatory requirements, and other considerations. Under the new authorization, any such repurchases may be executed using open market purchases, privately negotiated transactions, transactions in accordance with Rule 10b5-1 of the Exchange

2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Jul 22, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-12.22%

$463.58

Act: +14.71%

5D

-11.82%

$465.71

Act: +10.76%

20D

-12.65%

$461.33

Price: $528.12 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001668397-26-000023

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2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Apr 22, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-10.49%

$455.14

Act: -22.63%

5D

-10.68%

$454.17

Act: -18.66%

20D

-11.92%

$447.87

Act: -17.03%

Price: $508.46 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001668397-26-000017

EX-99.1

2 medp-20260422exx991.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

Investor Contact:

Lauren Morris

283-227-6409

l.morris@medpace.com

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Media Contact:

Michael Maley

283-227-6367

m.maley@medpace.com

Medpace Holdings, Inc. Reports First Quarter 2026 Results

•Revenue of $706.6 million in the first quarter of 2026 increased 26.5% from revenue of $558.6 million for the comparable prior-year period, representing a backlog conversion rate of 23.3%.

•Net new business awards were $618.4 million in the first quarter of 2026, representing an increase of 23.7% from net new business awards of $500.0 million for the comparable prior-year period, which resulted in a net book-to-bill ratio of 0.88x.

•First quarter of 2026 GAAP net income was $123.9 million, or $4.28 per diluted share, versus GAAP net income of $114.6 million, or $3.67 per diluted share, for the comparable prior-year period. Net income margin was 17.5% and 20.5% for the first quarter of 2026 and 2025, respectively.

•EBITDA was $149.4 million for the first quarter of 2026, an increase of 25.9% from EBITDA of $118.6 million for the comparable prior-year period, resulting in an EBITDA margin of 21.1%.

CINCINNATI, OHIO, April 22, 2026-- Medpace Holdings, Inc. (Nasdaq: MEDP) (“Medpace”) today announced financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026.

First Quarter 2026 Financial Results

Revenue for the three months ended March 31, 2026 increased 26.5% to $706.6 million, compared to $558.6 million for the comparable prior-year period. On a constant currency basis, revenue for the first quarter of 2026 increased 25.8% compared to the first quarter of 2025.

Backlog as of March 31, 2026 increased 2.9% to $2,929.2 million from $2,846.0 million as of March 31, 2025. Net new business awards were $618.4 million, representing a net book-to-bill ratio of 0.88x for the first quarter of 2026, as compared to $500.0 million for the comparable prior-year period. The Company calculates the net book-to-bill ratio by dividing net new business awards by revenue.

For the first quarter of 2026, total direct costs were $510.3 million, compared to total direct costs of $380.2 million in the first quarter of 2025. Selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses were $47.9 million in the first quarter of 2026, compared to SG&A expenses of $57.9 million in the first quarter of 2025.

GAAP net income for the first quarter of 2026 was $123.9 million, or $4.28 per diluted share, versus GAAP net income of $114.6 million, or $3.67 per diluted share, for the first quarter of 2025. This resulted in a net income margin of 17.5% and 20.5% for the first quarter of 2026 and 2025, respectively.

EBITDA for the first quarter of 2026 increased 25.9% to $149.4 million, or 21.1% of revenue, compared to $118.6 million, or 21.2% of revenue, for the comparable prior-year period. On a constant currency basis, EBITDA for the first quarter of 2026 increased 28.6% from the first quarter of 2025.

A reconciliation of the Company’s non-GAAP financial measures, including EBITDA and EBITDA margin to the corresponding GAAP measures is provided below.

1

Balance Sheet and Liquidity

The Company’s Cash and cash equivalents were $652.7 million at March 31, 2026, and the Company generated $151.8 million in cash flow from operating activities during the first quarter of 2026.

2026 Financial Guidance

The Company forecasts 2026 revenue in the range of $2.755 billion to $2.855 billion, representing growth of 8.9% to 12.8% over 2025 revenue of $2.530 billion. GAAP net income for full year 2026 is forecasted in the range of $487.0 million to $511.0 million. Additionally, full year 2026 EBITDA is expected in the range of $605.0 million to $635.0 million. Based on forecasted 2026 revenue of $2.755 billion to $2.855 billion and GAAP net income of $487.0 million to $511.0 million, diluted earnings per share (GAAP) is forecasted in the range of $16.68 to $17.50. This guidance assumes a full year 2026 tax rate of 19.0% to 20.0%, interest income of $27.5 million, foreign exchange rates as of March 31, 2026, and 29.2 million diluted weighted average shares outstanding. This guidance does not include the potential impact of any share repurchases the Company may make pursuant to the share repurchase program after March 31, 2026.

Leadership Update

On April 21, 2026, Jesse Geiger notified the Company of his intent to resign as President and that he will retire from the Company effective May 31, 2026. This departure is not the result of any disagreement with the Company regarding its operations, policies, or practices. Effective on Mr. Geiger’s resignation date, the Company’s Chief Executive Officer, August Troendle, will reassume the role of President until such time as the Company appoints a successor.

Conference Call Details

Medpace will host a conference call at 9:00 a.m. ET, Thursday, April 23, 2026, to discuss its first quarter 2026 results.

To participate in the confere

About Medpace Holdings Inc. (MEDP) Earnings

This page provides Medpace Holdings Inc. (MEDP) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on MEDP's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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