1. Home
  2. MAR
  3. Earnings

AI Earnings Predictions for Marriott International (MAR)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+1.09%

$403.70

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+3.88%

$414.82

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+4.36%

$416.73

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $399.34 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q3 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q3 2026 BUY +1.09% +3.88% +4.36% 100.0% Pending
Q2 2026 BUY +1.24% +4.19% +4.88% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 SELL -0.88% -3.14% -9.40% 100.0% -2.47%
Q4 2025 SELL -1.12% -3.88% -9.47% 100.0% -0.93%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q3

Q3 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Nov 2, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.09%

$403.70

Act: +0.25%

5D

+3.88%

$414.82

20D

+4.36%

$416.73

Price: $399.34 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001048286-26-000040

EX-99

2 mar-2026q3xex99earningsrel.htm

EX-99

Document

NEWS

Marriott International Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results

•Third quarter 2026 RevPAR1 increased 6.5 percent worldwide, with 7.4 percent growth in the U.S. & Canada and 4.4 percent growth in international markets

•Third quarter reported diluted EPS totaled $3.04 and Adjusted diluted EPS totaled $3.02

•Third quarter reported net income totaled $794 million and Adjusted net income totaled $790 million

•Third quarter Adjusted EBITDA totaled $1,512 million

•The company added roughly 20,100 net rooms globally during the quarter and net rooms grew 4.6 percent from the end of the third quarter of 2025

•At the end of the quarter, Marriott’s worldwide development pipeline reached a new record and totaled over 4,200 properties and more than 634,000 rooms, with 44 percent of pipeline rooms under construction including hotels that are pending conversion

•The company repurchased 3.5 million shares of common stock for $1.3 billion in the 2026 third quarter. Year-to-date through October 28, the company has returned approximately $4.0 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases

For a summary of third quarter 2026 highlights, please visit: https://news.marriott.com/static-assets/component-resources/newscenter/earnings/2026/2026-q3-earnings-infographic.pdf

BETHESDA, MD – November 2, 2026 - Marriott International, Inc. (Nasdaq: MAR) today reported third quarter 2026 results.

Anthony Capuano, President and Chief Executive Officer, said, “Our excellent third quarter results reflected continued momentum across our business, the benefits of our global scale, and the power of our brands and revenue engines. Global RevPAR increased 6.5 percent in the third quarter, on higher ADR and occupancy. In the U.S. & Canada, RevPAR rose over 7 percent, with broad-based growth across customer segments and chain scales.

“International RevPAR increased over 4 percent in the quarter, led by APEC, which delivered over 9

1All occupancy, Average Daily Rate (ADR) and Revenue per Available Room (RevPAR) statistics and estimates are systemwide constant dollar. Unless otherwise stated, all changes refer to year-over-year changes for the comparable period. Occupancy, ADR and RevPAR comparisons between 2026 and 2025 reflect properties that are comparable in both years.

1

percent RevPAR growth, supported by robust international inbound demand. EMEA RevPAR rose over 4 percent, thanks to solid growth in Europe. While the ongoing conflict in the Middle East continued to impact results in that region, trends improved meaningfully from the second quarter. For full year 2026, given our strong third quarter performance and expectations for continued healthy demand, we are raising our global RevPAR outlook and now expect growth of 4.5 to 5 percent.

“Our development activity remained strong, and we had record global organic signings year to date through September. Conversions continued to be an important driver of growth, representing over a third of signings and over 40 percent of openings during the first nine months of the year.

“Marriott Bonvoy continued to expand its reach and deliver value to our owners and properties and across the enterprise. Our broad portfolio of brands and experiences and powerful collaborations with Uber, Starbucks and others helped drive membership to approximately 309 million members around the world at quarter-end.

“Our global scale, compelling portfolio of brands, industry-leading Marriott Bonvoy loyalty program and dedicated associates, together with our robust development pipeline and disciplined execution, give us confidence in our ability to deliver sustainable, long-term growth.”

Third Quarter 2026 Results

Franchise and base management fees totaled $1,341 million in the 2026 third quarter, a 13 percent increase compared to franchise and base management fees of $1,190 million in the year-ago quarter. The increase was primarily driven by higher co-branded credit card fees, higher RevPAR and rooms growth.

Incentive management fees totaled $181 million in the 2026 third quarter, a 22 percent increase over $148 million in the 2025 third quarter. All regions posted positive growth year over year, with incentive fees in the U.S. & Canada up meaningfully.

Owned, leased, and other revenue, net of owned, leased, and other expense2, totaled $41 million in the 2026 third quarter, compared to $70 million in the 2025 third quarter. The decline reflected lower owned and leased hotel results, including the impact of renovations and our 2026 second quarter sale of a U.S. & Canada hotel, and higher costs associated with a third-party agreement, partially offset by a $12 million expected insurance recovery associated with the 2026 second quarter property-related litigation matter ($9 million after-tax impact and $0.03 per share after-tax).

2In the 2025 fourth quarter, to enhance understanding of the company’s general and administrative costs, w

2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Aug 3, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.24%

$377.46

Act: -0.55%

5D

+4.19%

$388.46

20D

+4.88%

$391.01

Price: $372.83 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001048286-26-000033

SEC.gov | Request Rate Threshold Exceeded

U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

You’ve Exceeded the SEC’s Traffic Limit

Your request rate has exceeded the SEC’s maximum allowable requests per second. Your access to SEC.gov will be limited for 10 minutes.

Current guidelines limit each user to a total of no more than 10 requests per second, regardless of the number of machines used to submit requests. To ensure that SEC.gov remains available to all users, we reserve the right to block IP addresses that submit excessive requests.

The block will be lifted automatically by waiting 10 minutes. Continuing to exceed the SEC’s maximum allowable request rate during the time-out period will extend the duration of the time-out period. To ensure fair access for all users, please reduce the rate of your requests and visit SEC.gov again after the 10 minute time-out period has passed.

For best practices on efficiently downloading information from SEC.gov, including the latest EDGAR filings, visit sec.gov/developer. You can also sign up for email updates on the SEC open data program, including best practices that make it more efficient to download data, and SEC.gov enhancements that may impact scripted downloading processes. For more information, contact opendata@sec.gov.

For more information, please see the SEC’s Web Site Privacy and Security Policy. Thank you for your interest in the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Reference ID: 0.e618d017.1785758908.4ccdaef3

More Information

Internet Security Policy

By using this site, you are agreeing to security monitoring and auditing. For security purposes, and to ensure that the public service remains available to users, this government computer system employs programs to monitor network traffic to identify unauthorized attempts to upload or change information or to otherwise cause damage, including attempts to deny service to users.

Unauthorized attempts to upload information and/or change information on any portion of this site are strictly prohibited and are subject to prosecution under the Computer Fraud and Abuse Act of 1986 and the National Information Infrastructure Protection Act of 1996 (see Title 18 U.S.C. §§ 1001 and 1030).

To ensure our website performs well for all users, the SEC monitors the frequency of requests for SEC.gov content to ensure automated searches do not impact the ability of others to access SEC.gov content. We reserve the right to block IP addresses that submit excessive requests. Current guidelines limit users to a total of no more than 10 requests per second, regardless of the number of machines used to submit requests.

If a user or application submits more than 10 requests per second, further requests from the IP address(es) may be limited for a brief period. Once the rate of requests has dropped below the threshold for 10 minutes, the user may resume accessing content on SEC.gov. This SEC practice is designed to limit excessive automated searches on SEC.gov and is not intended or expected to impact individuals browsing the SEC.gov website.

Note that this policy may change as the SEC manages SEC.gov to ensure that the website performs efficiently and remains available to all users.

Note: We do not offer technical support for developing or debugging scripted downloading processes.

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

May 6, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-0.88%

$355.89

Act: -1.95%

5D

-3.14%

$347.77

Act: -2.47%

20D

-9.40%

$325.31

Act: +7.31%

Price: $359.06 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001048286-26-000012

SEC.gov | Request Rate Threshold Exceeded

U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

You’ve Exceeded the SEC’s Traffic Limit

Your request rate has exceeded the SEC’s maximum allowable requests per second. Your access to SEC.gov will be limited for 10 minutes.

Current guidelines limit each user to a total of no more than 10 requests per second, regardless of the number of machines used to submit requests. To ensure that SEC.gov remains available to all users, we reserve the right to block IP addresses that submit excessive requests.

The block will be lifted automatically by waiting 10 minutes. Continuing to exceed the SEC’s maximum allowable request rate during the time-out period will extend the duration of the time-out period. To ensure fair access for all users, please reduce the rate of your requests and visit SEC.gov again after the 10 minute time-out period has passed.

For best practices on efficiently downloading information from SEC.gov, including the latest EDGAR filings, visit sec.gov/developer. You can also sign up for email updates on the SEC open data program, including best practices that make it more efficient to download data, and SEC.gov enhancements that may impact scripted downloading processes. For more information, contact opendata@sec.gov.

For more information, please see the SEC’s Web Site Privacy and Security Policy. Thank you for your interest in the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Reference ID: 0.c706d217.1784381811.d6264b3f

More Information

Internet Security Policy

By using this site, you are agreeing to security monitoring and auditing. For security purposes, and to ensure that the public service remains available to users, this government computer system employs programs to monitor network traffic to identify unauthorized attempts to upload or change information or to otherwise cause damage, including attempts to deny service to users.

Unauthorized attempts to upload information and/or change information on any portion of this site are strictly prohibited and are subject to prosecution under the Computer Fraud and Abuse Act of 1986 and the National Information Infrastructure Protection Act of 1996 (see Title 18 U.S.C. §§ 1001 and 1030).

To ensure our website performs well for all users, the SEC monitors the frequency of requests for SEC.gov content to ensure automated searches do not impact the ability of others to access SEC.gov content. We reserve the right to block IP addresses that submit excessive requests. Current guidelines limit users to a total of no more than 10 requests per second, regardless of the number of machines used to submit requests.

If a user or application submits more than 10 requests per second, further requests from the IP address(es) may be limited for a brief period. Once the rate of requests has dropped below the threshold for 10 minutes, the user may resume accessing content on SEC.gov. This SEC practice is designed to limit excessive automated searches on SEC.gov and is not intended or expected to impact individuals browsing the SEC.gov website.

Note that this policy may change as the SEC manages SEC.gov to ensure that the website performs efficiently and remains available to all users.

Note: We do not offer technical support for developing or debugging scripted downloading processes.

About Marriott International (MAR) Earnings

This page provides Marriott International (MAR) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on MAR's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Share on Social Networks: