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AI Earnings Predictions for Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-0.93%

$56.26

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-2.55%

$55.34

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-1.88%

$55.72

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $56.79 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 SELL -0.93% -2.55% -1.88% 100.0% Pending
Q2 2026 SELL -0.93% -2.55% -1.87% 99.7% -4.36%
Q4 2025 BUY +0.07% +2.34% +2.31% 100.0% +0.36%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Aug 6, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-0.93%

$55.02

Act: -0.31%

5D

-2.55%

$54.13

Act: -4.36%

20D

-1.87%

$54.50

Price: $55.54 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001396440-26-000090

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2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Jul 16, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-0.93%

$55.02

Act: -0.31%

5D

-2.55%

$54.13

Act: -4.36%

20D

-1.87%

$54.50

Price: $55.54 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001396440-26-000086

EX-99.1

2 main-q22026xprexerxexx991.htm

EX-99.1

MAIN - Q2 2026 - Pre-ER - EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

NEWS RELEASE

Contacts:

Main Street Capital Corporation

Dwayne L. Hyzak, CEO, dhyzak@mainstcapital.com

Ryan R. Nelson, CFO, rnelson@mainstcapital.com

713-350-6000

Dennard Lascar Investor Relations

Ken Dennard / ken@dennardlascar.com

Zach Vaughan / zvaughan@dennardlascar.com

713-529-6600

Main Street Announces Preliminary Estimate of Second Quarter 2026

Operating Results

Announces Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call Schedule

HOUSTON – July 16, 2026 – Main Street Capital Corporation (NYSE: MAIN) (“Main Street”

or the “Company”) is pleased to announce its preliminary operating results for the second quarter

of 2026 and its second quarter 2026 earnings release and conference call schedule.

In commenting on the Company’s preliminary operating results for the second quarter of 2026,

Dwayne L. Hyzak, Main Street’s Chief Executive Officer, stated, “We are very pleased with our

performance in the second quarter, which resulted in another strong quarter of operating results,

including favorable distributable net investment income before taxes and an increase to our net

asset value per share for the sixteenth consecutive quarter. The increase in net asset value per

share was primarily driven by significant net fair value appreciation on our lower middle market

and private loan investment portfolios, including the benefit of another material realized gain in

our lower middle market portfolio. Our strong second quarter results are highlighted by a

favorable estimated return on equity of over 18% for the quarter. We look forward to sharing the

full details of our second quarter 2026 results in a few weeks.”

Preliminary Estimates of Second Quarter 2026 Results

Main Street’s preliminary estimate of second quarter 2026 net investment income (“NII”) is

$0.95 to $0.99 per share, distributable net investment income (“DNII”)(1) is $1.02 to $1.06 per

share and DNII before taxes(2) is $1.06 to $1.10 per share.

Main Street’s preliminary estimate of net asset value (“NAV”) per share as of June 30, 2026 is

$33.88 to $33.96, representing an increase of $0.42 to $0.50 per share, or 1.2% to 1.5%, from the

NAV per share of $33.46 as of March 31, 2026, with this increase after the impact of the

supplemental dividend paid in June 2026 of $0.30 per share. The estimated NAV per share

increase is primarily due to the net fair value appreciation on the investment portfolio and the

accretive impact of equity issuances, partially offset by a decrease due to the issuance of

restricted stock, the total dividends per share paid in the second quarter in excess of NII per share

and the net tax provision. The net fair value appreciation on the investment portfolio is primarily

the result of net fair value appreciation on the lower middle market (“LMM”) investment

portfolio, private loan investment portfolio and other portfolio investments, partially offset by

fair value depreciation of the wholly-owned external investment manager.

As a result of Main Street’s preliminary estimates of NII, net fair value appreciation and the net

tax provision as noted above, Main Street estimates that it generated an annualized return on

equity of over 18% for the second quarter.(3)

Main Street preliminarily estimates that investments on non-accrual status comprised 1.1% of the

total investment portfolio at fair value and 4.0% at cost as of June 30, 2026.

Investment Portfolio Activity

The Company’s second quarter 2026 operating activities include the following investment

activity in the LMM and private loan investment strategies:

•$95.7 million in total LMM portfolio investments, which after aggregate repayments and

return of invested equity capital resulted in a net decrease of $30.6 million in the total

cost basis of the LMM investment portfolio; and

•$238.9 million in total private loan portfolio investments, which after aggregate

repayments, return of invested equity capital and a decrease in cost basis due to a realized

loss resulted in a net increase of $60.2 million in the total cost basis of the private loan

investment portfolio.

Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call Schedule

Main Street will release its second quarter 2026 results on Thursday, August 6, 2026, after the

financial markets close. In conjunction with the release, Main Street has scheduled a conference

call, which will be broadcast live via phone and over the Internet, on Friday, August 7, 2026, at

10:00 a.m. Eastern time. Investors may participate either by phone or audio webcast.(4)

By Phone:

Dial 412-902-0030 at least 10 minutes before the call. A replay will be

available through August 14, 2026 by dialing 201-612-7415 and using the

access code 13761583#.

By Webcast:

Connect to the webcast via the Investor Relations section of Main Street’s

website at www.mainstcapital.com. Please log in at leas

2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Jul 9, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-0.93%

$55.02

Act: -0.31%

5D

-2.55%

$54.13

Act: -4.36%

20D

-1.87%

$54.50

Price: $55.54 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001396440-26-000084

EX-99.1

2 main-q22026xplprxexx991.htm

EX-99.1

MAIN - Q2 2026 - PL PR - EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

NEWS RELEASE

Contacts:

Main Street Capital Corporation

Dwayne L. Hyzak, CEO, dhyzak@mainstcapital.com

Ryan R. Nelson, CFO, rnelson@mainstcapital.com

713-350-6000

Dennard Lascar Investor Relations

Ken Dennard / ken@dennardlascar.com

Zach Vaughan / zvaughan@dennardlascar.com

713-529-6600

Main Street Announces Second Quarter 2026 Private Loan Portfolio Activity

HOUSTON – July 9, 2026 – Main Street Capital Corporation (NYSE: MAIN) (“Main Street”)

is pleased to announce the following recent activity in its private loan portfolio. During the

second quarter of 2026, Main Street originated new or increased commitments in its private loan

portfolio totaling $319.0 million and funded total investments across its private loan portfolio

with a cost basis totaling $238.9 million.

The following represent notable new private loan commitments and investments during the

second quarter of 2026:

•$81.5 million in a first lien senior secured term loan, $24.4 million in a first lien senior

secured revolver and $32.6 million in a first lien senior secured delayed draw term loan to

a provider of mechanical, electrical and plumbing services;

•$112.4 million in a first lien senior secured term loan, $6.2 million in a first lien senior

secured revolver and $18.0 million in a first lien senior secured delayed draw term loan to

a national provider of custom power system platforms;

•$20.4 million in a first lien senior secured term loan, $3.6 million in a first lien senior

secured revolver and $1.2 million in equity to a provider of structural repair and

restoration services for condominium and commercial properties; and

•Increased commitment of $7.5 million in an incremental first lien senior secured delayed

draw term loan to a provider of senior-level executive search, interim placement,

consulting and other talent advisory solutions.

As of June 30, 2026, Main Street’s private loan portfolio included total investments at cost of

approximately $2.1 billion across 86 unique companies. The private loan portfolio, as a

percentage of cost, included 93.6% invested in first lien senior secured debt investments and

6.4% invested in equity investments or other securities.

ABOUT MAIN STREET CAPITAL CORPORATION

Main Street (www.mainstcapital.com) is a principal investment firm that primarily provides

customized long-term debt and equity capital solutions to lower middle market companies and

debt capital to private companies owned by or in the process of being acquired by a private

equity fund. Main Street’s portfolio investments are typically made to support management

buyouts, recapitalizations, growth financings, refinancings and acquisitions of companies that

operate in diverse industry sectors. Main Street seeks to partner with entrepreneurs, business

owners and management teams and generally provides customized “one-stop” debt and equity

financing solutions within its lower middle market investment strategy. Main Street seeks to

partner with private equity fund sponsors and primarily invests in secured debt investments in its

private loan investment strategy. Main Street’s lower middle market portfolio companies

generally have annual revenues between $10 million and $150 million. Main Street’s private

loan portfolio companies generally have annual revenues between $25 million and $500 million.

Main Street, through its wholly-owned portfolio company MSC Adviser I, LLC (“MSC

Adviser”), also maintains an asset management business through which it manages investments

for external parties. MSC Adviser is registered as an investment adviser under the Investment

Advisers Act of 1940, as amended.

About Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) Earnings

This page provides Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on MAIN's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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