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AI Earnings Predictions for Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+0.07%

$58.13

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+2.34%

$59.45

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+2.31%

$59.43

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $58.09 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Feb 26, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+0.07%

$58.13

Act: -2.48%

5D

+2.34%

$59.45

Act: +0.36%

20D

+2.31%

$59.43

Price: $58.09 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001396440-26-000012

main-202602260001396440false00013964402026-02-262026-02-26

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549


FORM 8-K


CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) February 26, 2026


Main Street Capital Corporation (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Maryland

814-00746

41-2230745

(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

1300 Post Oak Boulevard, 8th Floor, Houston, Texas

77056

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code:   (713) 350-6000 Not Applicable


(Former name or former address, if changed since last report) Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

o

Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

o

Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

o

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

o

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share

MAIN

New York Stock Exchange NYSE Texas

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company o If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. o

Item 2.02Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 26, 2026, the Registrant issued a press release. A copy of such press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information disclosed under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing made under the Securities Act of 1933, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Item 9.01Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits

99.1

Press release dated February 26, 2026

104

Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Main Street Capital Corporation

Date: February 26, 2026

By:

/s/ Jason B. Beauvais

Name:    Jason B. Beauvais

Title:      General Counsel

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jan 15, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+0.07%

$58.13

Act: -2.48%

5D

+2.34%

$59.45

Act: +0.36%

20D

+2.31%

$59.43

Price: $58.09 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001396440-26-000005

main-202601150001396440false00013964402026-01-152026-01-15

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549


FORM 8-K


CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) January 15, 2026


Main Street Capital Corporation (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Maryland

814-00746

41-2230745

(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

1300 Post Oak Boulevard, 8th Floor, Houston, Texas

77056

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code:   (713) 350-6000 Not Applicable


(Former name or former address, if changed since last report) Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

o

Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

o

Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

o

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

o

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share

MAIN

New York Stock Exchange NYSE Texas

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company o If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. o

Item 2.02Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On January 15, 2026, the Registrant issued a press release announcing certain preliminary estimates of its financial condition and results of operations for its fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, as well as other information. A copy of such press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information disclosed herein, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, shall be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and shall be deemed incorporated by reference into the Registrant’s filings made under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended; provided, however, that information contained on the Registrant’s website referred to in the press release attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 is not incorporated by reference herein or in Exhibit 99.1 and is not a part of this Form 8-K or Exhibit 99.1.

Item 9.01Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits

99.1

Press release dated January 15, 2026

104

Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Main Street Capital Corporation

Date: January 15, 2026

By:

/s/ Jason B. Beauvais

Name:    Jason B. Beauvais

Title:      General Counsel

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jan 8, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+0.07%

$58.13

Act: -2.48%

5D

+2.34%

$59.45

Act: +0.36%

20D

+2.31%

$59.43

Price: $58.09 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001396440-26-000003

main-202601080001396440false00013964402026-01-082026-01-08

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549


FORM 8-K


CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) January 8, 2026


Main Street Capital Corporation (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Maryland

814-00746

41-2230745

(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

1300 Post Oak Boulevard, 8th Floor, Houston, Texas

77056

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code:   (713) 350-6000 Not Applicable


(Former name or former address, if changed since last report) Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

o

Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

o

Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

o

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

o

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share

MAIN

New York Stock Exchange NYSE Texas

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company o If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. o

Item 2.02Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On January 8, 2026, the Registrant issued a press release. A copy of such press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information disclosed under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing made under the Securities Act of 1933, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Item 9.01Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits

99.1

Press release dated January 8, 2026

104

Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Main Street Capital Corporation

Date: January 8, 2026

By:

/s/ Jason B. Beauvais

Name:    Jason B. Beauvais

Title:      General Counsel

About Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) Earnings

This page provides Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on MAIN's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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