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AI Earnings Predictions for Intuitive Machines Inc. (LUNR)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+4.48%

$18.30

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+17.97%

$20.67

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+37.92%

$24.16

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $17.52 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 BUY +4.48% +17.97% +37.92% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 SELL -3.54% -16.00% -17.43% 100.0% -7.43%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Aug 13, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+4.48%

$18.30

Act: +8.50%

5D

+17.97%

$20.67

20D

+37.92%

$24.16

Price: $17.52 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001628280-26-056476

EX-99.1

2 lunr-20260630xexx991.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

Intuitive Machines Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results; Continues Record Backlog Expansion With Quarter-end Backlog of $1.8 Billion

Houston, TX, August 13, 2026 -- Intuitive Machines, Inc. (Nasdaq: LUNR, “Intuitive Machines,” or the “Company”), a

leading space technology and infrastructure services company, today announced its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026.

Intuitive Machines CEO Steve Altemus said, “We delivered a strong quarter, highlighted by revenue over four times Q2 2025 as we executed across our programs, recorded unprecedented bookings and backlog, and positioned the Company for the next phase of growth.”

Highlights

•Closed Goonhilly Earth Station and COMSAT acquisition in August to expand our space‑to‑ground data services network configured to support missions across LEO, MEO, GEO, cislunar, and deep space environments

•Booked $920 million of awards in Q2 with an additional $300 million of awards in Q3 QTD across commercial, civil, and national security space customers

•Signed $600+ million contract for three commercial GEO satellites as commercial demand strength continues

•Awarded additional CLPS lander contract under NASA’s Moonbase program, Intuitive Machines’ sixth CLPS mission, for a standardized production lander

•Expanded YoY National Security revenue from 3% to 30% in Q2 2026; expect continued growth driven by an award in July for 18 spacecraft to support Accelerated Missile Defense Tranche 3 ("AMDT3") Golden Dome constellation

•Contracted with NASA for two prime lunar reconnaissance awards (Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter Camera “LROC” and ShadowCam) to lead lunar imaging operations, data storage, data processing, and analytics in support of NASA’s Artemis Program / Moonbase Initiatives and commercial lunar missions

Financial Highlights

•Achieved record quarterly revenue of $206 million driven by spacecraft production, CLPS, OMES, and NSNS execution

•Ended Q2 with a strong cash balance of $367 million; Q2 included strategic growth investments through the procurement of advanced inventory that directly resulted in new awards during the quarter; additional investments were made across our ground station network, along with long-lead material purchases for satellites two through five of our lunar constellation, as we look to accelerate NSNS recurring service revenues

•Ended Q2 with record backlog of $1.8 billion, an increase of $1.5 billion from year-end 2025 as Intuitive Machines booked record levels of diverse awards across commercial, civil, and national security space customers

Mr. Altemus continued, “We believe the next era of space will require a next-generation space prime, capable of building spacecraft, connecting them through resilient networks, and operating the resulting infrastructure across civil, commercial, and national security markets. Over the past eighteen months, every strategic decision we have made has been focused on building that next-generation space prime.”

Outlook

•Full-year 2026 revenue of $900 million - $1 billion

•Full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA positive

Conference Call Information

Intuitive Machines will host a conference call today, August 13, 2026, at 8:30 am Eastern Time to discuss these results. A link to the live webcast of the earnings conference call will be made available on the investors portion of the Intuitive Machines’ website at https://investors.intuitivemachines.com.

Following the conference call, a webcast replay will be available through the same link on the investors portion of the Intuitive Machines’ website at https://investors.intuitivemachines.com.

Key Business Metrics and Non-GAAP Financial Measures

In addition to the GAAP financial measures set forth in this press release, the Company has included certain financial measures that have not been prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) and constitute “non-GAAP financial measures” as defined by the SEC. This includes adjusted EBITDA (“Adjusted EBITDA”).

Adjusted EBITDA is a key performance measure that our management team uses to assess the Company’s operating performance and is calculated as net income (loss) excluding results from non-operating sources including interest income or interest expense from cash deposits, loans, or investments, transaction and integration costs related to acquisitions, gain on extinguishing of debt, share-based compensation, change in fair value instruments, gain or loss on issuance of securities, other income/expense, depreciation, impairment of property and equipment, and provision for income taxes. Intuitive Machines has included Adjusted EBITDA because we believe it is helpful in highlighting trends in the Company’s operating results and because it is frequently used by analysts, investors, and other interested parties to evaluate companies in our industry.

Adjusted EBITDA has limitations as

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

May 14, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-3.54%

$35.39

Act: -6.87%

5D

-16.00%

$30.82

Act: -7.43%

20D

-17.43%

$30.29

Act: -27.46%

Price: $36.69 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001628280-26-034807

Transcript text not available. View on SEC.gov →

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K

Mar 19, 2026

0001628280-26-019633

Transcript text not available. View on SEC.gov →

About Intuitive Machines Inc. (LUNR) Earnings

This page provides Intuitive Machines Inc. (LUNR) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on LUNR's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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