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AI Earnings Predictions for St. Joe Company (The) (JOE)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-2.41%

$67.37

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-4.78%

$65.73

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-3.35%

$66.72

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $69.03 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q1 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q1 2026 SELL -2.41% -4.78% -3.35% 100.0% Pending
Q4 2025 BUY +5.58% +5.41% +6.38% 100.0% +4.32%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Apr 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-2.41%

$67.37

5D

-4.78%

$65.73

20D

-3.35%

$66.72

Price: $69.03 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-051504

EX-99.1

2 joe-20260429xex99d1.htm

EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

THE ST. JOE COMPANY REPORTS FIRST QUARTER 2026 RESULTS AND DECLARES A QUARTERLY DIVIDEND OF $0.16 PER SHARE

Highlights for the first quarter of 2026 as compared to the first quarter of 2025:

●Quarterly revenue increased by 5% to $99.1 million from $94.2 million, the Company’s highest first quarter revenue outside of the one-off timberland sale in 2014.

●Hospitality revenue increased by 13% to a first quarter record of $44.7 million from $39.6 million.

●Real estate revenue increased by 4% to $39.7 million from $38.3 million.

●Quarterly operating income increased by 8% to $18.2 million from $16.9 million.  Equity in income from unconsolidated joint ventures decreased by $6.7 million primarily due to lower home closing volume related to the Latitude Margaritaville Watersound unconsolidated joint venture.

●The Company placed 1,380 homesites under contract in the first quarter of 2026 bringing total homesites under contract to 3,204 as of March 31, 2026, as compared to 952 homesites under contract as of March 31, 2025.

●In the first quarter of 2026, the Company funded $20.7 million in capital expenditures, paid $9.2 million in cash dividends, repurchased $5.0 million of the Company's common stock and repaid $10.9 million of debt.

●Cash and cash equivalents balance increased to $136.3 million as of March 31, 2026, as compared to $129.6 million as of December 31, 2025.

Panama City Beach, Florida – (April 29, 2026) – The St. Joe Company (NYSE: JOE) (the “Company,” “We,” or “Our”) today reports first quarter 2026 results.

Jorge Gonzalez, the Company’s President, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board, said, “Building on a record year in 2025, the first quarter 2026 revenue of $99.1 million was the Company’s highest first quarter revenue outside of the one-off timberland sale in 2014.  In addition, we continued to successfully execute our strategy of growing recurring revenue as evidenced by the first quarter record of $44.7 million in hospitality revenue and $14.7 million in leasing revenue, which together accounted for 60% of the total revenue in the quarter.  In addition

Page 2

to the growth in our recurring revenue, we are improving profitability, as evidenced by the increase in margins in hospitality and leasing.”

Mr. Gonzalez continued, “Even though our revenue and net operating income increased for the quarter, our net income decreased primarily because of a lower equity in income from unconsolidated joint ventures, which was primarily caused by a lower home closing volume related to the Latitude Margaritaville Watersound unconsolidated joint venture.  Residential projects of that scale and longevity have an ebb and flow of volume over time caused by many factors, including mortgage interest rates. The community has 2,273 occupied homes and is located in the middle of the Bay-Walton Sector Plan where there were previously only timberlands.  Those residents are now creating demand for commercial goods and services in our emerging Watersound West Bay Center, located at the entry to the Latitude Margaritaville Watersound community, as evidenced by the commencement of development of a new Publix grocery store.  The community is planned for a total of approximately 3,700 homes that are expected to generate additional consumer demand for goods and services.  As of March 31, 2026, our cumulative earnings from the Latitude Margaritaville Watersound unconsolidated joint venture totaled $92.1 million in addition to the payments made to us for the initial land contribution.  As we previously indicated, in addition to the financial performance, our business decision to develop the Latitude Margaritaville Watersound community was based on several factors, including creating energy in a part of our land holdings where there previously was none and creating consumers for our commercial leasing portfolio. The Watersound West Bay Center is planned for a minimum of 500,000 square feet of leasable space, which by itself would represent an increase of approximately 40% to our current commercial leasing portfolio.  We believe there are other benefits to the creation of consumers at the Latitude Margaritaville Watersound community, including our planned marina on the Intracoastal Waterway as well as our real estate brokerage, insurance agency, and title insurance agency businesses.”

Mr. Gonzalez concluded, “In the first quarter 2026, we were pleased to announce the execution of a contract with PulteGroup for up to 2,653 homesites in our most recently approved Detailed Specific Area Plan.  PulteGroup is new to our market and represents our third national homebuilder, joining D.R. Horton and Toll Brothers.  PulteGroup is the third largest homebuilder in the country, and their decision to enter our market is in recognition of the growth of our area and of the thoughtfully planned residential communities we are creating.  In the first quarter, we also

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Feb 25, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+5.58%

$72.76

Act: +1.18%

5D

+5.41%

$72.65

Act: +4.32%

20D

+6.38%

$73.32

Price: $68.92 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-019660

The St. Joe Company_February 25, 2026 false000074530800007453082026-02-252026-02-25 ​ ​

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 ​ Date of report (Date of earliest event reported) February 25, 2026 The St. Joe Company (Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in its Charter) ​ ​

Florida ​ ​ 1-10466 ​ ​ ​ 59-0432511

(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) ​ (Commission File Number) ​ (IRS Employer Identification No.)

​ ​

130 Richard Jackson Blvd, Suite 200 Panama City Beach, Florida 32407

(Address of Principal Executive Offices) (Zip Code)

​ (850) 231-6400 (Registrant’s telephone number, including area code) ​ Not Applicable (Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ​ ☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

​ ☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

​ ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

​ ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

​ Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: ​ ​

Title of Each Class Trading symbol(s) Name of Each Exchange on Which Registered

Common Stock JOE

NYSE

​ Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ ​ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐ ​ ​ ​

ITEM 2.02

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION.

On February 25, 2026, The St. Joe Company (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished with this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1. ​

ITEM 8.01

OTHER EVENTS.

Dividend ​ On February 25, 2026, the Board of Directors of the Company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.16 per share on its common stock, payable on March 26, 2026, to shareholders of record at the close of business on March 9, 2026. ​

ITEM 9.01

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS.

(d) Exhibits The following exhibits are furnished as part of the Current Report on Form 8-K. 99.1 Press Release dated February 25, 2026.

104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (formatted in Inline XBRL).

​ ​

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized. ​

THE ST. JOE COMPANY

​ ​ ​

​ By: /s/ Marek Bakun

​ ​ Marek Bakun

​ ​ Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

​ Date: February 25, 2026 ​

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Oct 29, 2025

0001104659-25-103723

The St. Joe Company_October 29, 2025 false000074530800007453082025-10-292025-10-29 ​ ​

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 ​ Date of report (Date of earliest event reported) October 29, 2025 The St. Joe Company (Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in its Charter) ​ ​

Florida

1-10466

59-0432511

(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) ​ (Commission File Number) ​ (IRS Employer Identification No.)

​ ​

130 Richard Jackson Blvd, Suite 200 Panama City Beach, Florida 32407

(Address of Principal Executive Offices) (Zip Code)

​ (850) 231-6400 (Registrant’s telephone number, including area code) ​ Not Applicable (Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ​ ☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

​ ☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

​ ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

​ ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

​ Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: ​ ​

Title of Each Class Trading symbol(s) Name of Each Exchange on Which Registered

Common Stock JOE

NYSE

​ Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ ​ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐ ​ ​ ​

ITEM 2.02

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION.

On October 29, 2025, The St. Joe Company (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished with this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1. ​

ITEM 8.01

OTHER EVENTS.

Dividend ​ On October 29, 2025, the Board of Directors of the Company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.16 per share on its common stock, payable on December 12, 2025, to shareholders of record at the close of business on November 13, 2025. ​

ITEM 9.01

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS.

(d) Exhibits The following exhibits are furnished as part of the Current Report on Form 8-K. ​

99.1 Press Release dated October 29, 2025.

104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (formatted in Inline XBRL).

​ ​

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized. ​

THE ST. JOE COMPANY

​ ​ ​

​ By: /s/ Marek Bakun

​ ​ Marek Bakun

​ ​ Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

​ Date: October 29, 2025 ​

About St. Joe Company (The) (JOE) Earnings

This page provides St. Joe Company (The) (JOE) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on JOE's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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