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AI Earnings Predictions for John Marshall Bancorp Inc. (JMSB)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+1.33%

$20.27

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+4.09%

$20.82

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+5.13%

$21.03

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $20.00 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

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2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jan 28, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.33%

$20.27

Act: +3.15%

5D

+4.09%

$20.82

Act: +4.95%

20D

+5.13%

$21.03

Act: +0.00%

Price: $20.00 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-007250

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc._January 28, 2026 0001710482false00017104822026-01-282026-01-28 ​ ​

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549 ​

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 ​ Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): January 28, 2026 ​

​ John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) ​

​ ​ -

Virginia

001-41315

81-5424879

(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

​ 1943 Isaac Newton Square East, Suite 100 Reston, Virginia 20190 (Address, including zip code, of principal executive offices) ​ Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (703) 584-0840 ​

​ Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below): ​

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

​ Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: ​ Title of each class registered

Trading symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share

JMSB

The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC

​ Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). ​ Emerging growth company ☒ ​ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☒ ​ ​ ​

​ Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition. ​ On January 28, 2026, John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its results of operations and financial condition for the quarter ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is included as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. ​ ​ Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

Exhibits

Exhibit No. ​ Description

99.1 ​ Press release dated January 28, 2026.

104 ​ Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

JOHN MARSHALL BANCORP, INC.

Date: January 28, 2026

By:

/s/ Kent D. Carstater

Kent D. Carstater Senior Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Oct 29, 2025

0001104659-25-103565

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc._October 29, 2025 0001710482false00017104822025-10-292025-10-29 ​ ​

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549 ​

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 ​ Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): October 29, 2025 ​

​ John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) ​

​ ​ -

Virginia

001-41315

81-5424879

(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

​ 1943 Isaac Newton Square East, Suite 100 Reston, Virginia 20190 (Address, including zip code, of principal executive offices) ​ Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (703) 584-0840 ​

​ Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below): ​

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

​ Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: ​ Title of each class registered

Trading symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share

JMSB

The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC

​ Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). ​ Emerging growth company ☒ ​ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☒ ​ ​ ​

​ Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition. ​ On October 29, 2025, John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its results of operations and financial condition for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. A copy of the press release is included as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. ​ ​ Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

Exhibits

Exhibit No.

Description

99.1 ​ Press release dated October 29, 2025.

104 ​ Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

JOHN MARSHALL BANCORP, INC.

Date: October 29, 2025

By:

/s/ Kent D. Carstater

Kent D. Carstater Senior Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer

2025
Q2

Q2 2025 Earnings

8-K

Jul 23, 2025

0001558370-25-009404

0001710482false00017104822025-07-232025-07-23 ​ ​

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549 ​

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 ​ Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): July 23, 2025 ​

​ John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) ​

​ ​ -

Virginia

001-41315

81-5424879

(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

​ 1943 Isaac Newton Square East, Suite 100 Reston, Virginia 20190 (Address, including zip code, of principal executive offices) ​ Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (703) 584-0840 ​

​ Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below): ​

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

​ Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: ​ Title of each class registered

Trading symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share

JMSB

The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC

​ Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). ​ Emerging growth company ☒ ​ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☒ ​ ​ ​

​ Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition. ​ On July 23, 2025, John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its results of operations and financial condition for the quarter ended June 30, 2025. A copy of the press release is included as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. ​ ​ Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

Exhibits

Exhibit No.

Description

99.1 ​ Press release dated July 23, 2025.

104 ​ Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

JOHN MARSHALL BANCORP, INC.

Date: July 23, 2025

By:

/s/ Kent D. Carstater

Kent D. Carstater Senior Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer

About John Marshall Bancorp Inc. (JMSB) Earnings

This page provides John Marshall Bancorp Inc. (JMSB) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on JMSB's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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